Juan Frances — OGILVIE

Juan FrancesOF DSL CLE Mendoza

Age 20 S/R 5'9" / 145 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 57 proj PA

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .274 / .298

PA57

HR1

K%23

BB%6

ISO78

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Guardians Blue	—	158	152	25	0	1	0	4	20	0	8	3	164	186	178	364	13	187	13	3	160	-19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Guardians Blue	—	158	149	29	0	1	0	7	14	0	8	3	195	231	208	439	13	212	9	4	202	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	93	84	16	3	1	0	5	12	2	2	3	190	253	250	503	60	216	13	5	215	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	93	81	19	4	1	0	8	8	2	2	3	235	319	309	627	74	253	9	9	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	MLB	PIT	—	57	54	12	2	0	1	3	13	0	1	0	222	263	315	578	93	283	23	5	261	58	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	PIT	34%	118	109	26	4	1	2	7	27	1	2	0	239	291	349	639	110	285	23	6	273	67	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2027	21	MLB	PIT	34%	41	38	8	1	0	1	3	9	0	1	0	211	268	316	584	105	284	22	7	266	61	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	41	38	8	1	0	1	3	9	0	1	0	211	268	316	584	105	250	22	7	266	61	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	602	127	16	0	16	48	143	0	16	0	211	269	317	587	106	251	22	7	266	61	-28	+3	+0	-4	+18	-1.1
Career	—			—	426	399	79	9	3	3	19	72	3	13	6	198	240	258	498	60	231	17	4	217	24	-36	+0	+0	-3	+12	-2.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	609	122	14	5	5	29	110	5	20	9	200	243	264	507	64	233	17	4	217	24	-56	+0	+0	-4	+18	-4.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Guardians Blue	—	158	149	29	0	1	0	7	14	0	8	3	195	231	208	439	13	212	9	4	202	12	-16	+0	—	—	+4	-1.1
2024	18	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	93	81	19	4	1	0	8	8	2	2	3	235	319	309	627	74	253	9	9	285	76	-3	-1	—	—	+3	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Frances (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	221/274/298	77	283	1	1	23%	6%	58	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	41→34	41→45	48→50	40	199/264/295	96	283	9	10	32%	6%	54	-1.4	202/295/301	99	301	9	8	33%	10%	69	-0.4	182/291/276	94	275	9	10	33%	11%	61	-0.6
✕Brainer Bonaci 2022 · A	20	41→42	39→45	53→50	42	196/255/285	89	270	5	13	28%	7%	46	-2.0	211/283/320	109	300	10	13	30%	9%	69	-0.4	209/285/321	112	292	12	14	30%	9%	67	-0.4
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	40	37→40	50→55	42	191/251/266	76	262	4	12	28%	6%	40	-2.4	205/277/292	87	289	8	19	29%	8%	59	-1.1	203/290/292	89	267	11	29	26%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Jose Marquez 2018 · A	20	41	37→50	44→50	40	195/244/271	76	263	4	4	27%	5%	38	-2.6	217/261/322	105	295	8	7	28%	5%	59	-1.1	199/246/317	119	277	12	10	32%	5%	48	-0.6
✕Allan Castro 2023 · A	20	38→43	40→45	54→55	39	184/247/283	100	276	6	9	34%	6%	43	-2.2	200/271/309	109	281	9	13	30%	8%	60	-1.0	198/272/305	108	273	9	14	29%	9%	57	-1.0
✕Alejandro Flores 2016 · A	20	37	39→50	45→40	43	182/248/265	83	263	7	5	32%	8%	39	-2.5	203/261/310	107	295	9	6	32%	7%	56	-1.3	202/257/342	140	271	13	4	30%	6%	59	-0.5
✕Nomar Fana 2022 · A	19	40	38→50	48→50	41	192/248/270	78	285	5	9	33%	7%	40	-2.4	191/260/292	101	307	9	11	38%	8%	52	-1.6	175/255/295	120	271	14	14	38%	9%	48	-0.6
✕Alexis Hernandez 2023 · A	20	40	38→50	47→50	46	191/256/270	79	241	6	11	23%	7%	44	-2.1	209/284/304	95	294	8	17	30%	8%	65	-0.7	196/277/321	126	268	14	17	31%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Hansel Moreno 2017 · A	20	44→30	37→45	50	41	207/257/284	76	292	4	10	29%	6%	46	-2.0	201/246/295	94	305	8	15	35%	5%	45	-2.1	181/225/272	91	279	9	18	37%	5%	28	-1.8
✕Francisco Santana 2008 · A	20	37	38→50	52→55	39	182/227/269	87	246	5	7	28%	5%	30	-3.1	203/247/310	107	265	8	12	26%	5%	50	-1.8	192/231/308	116	248	9	14	26%	5%	40	-0.9
✕Emilio King 2010 · A	20	40	37→45	51→40	43	190/274/270	79	258	4	9	26%	6%	53	-1.5	203/253/290	87	301	6	4	33%	4%	47	-1.9	213/250/309	96	311	7	2	33%	3%	47	-1.0
✕Edwin Mateo 2019 · A	20	40	37→40	52→55	48	192/265/260	67	249	4	15	23%	8%	45	-2.1	213/290/299	86	290	7	14	27%	8%	66	-0.6	208/281/291	83	293	6	14	29%	7%	57	-0.5
✕Yeilin Hernandez 2016 · A	20	45	40→45	51→45	44	215/272/318	104	268	5	8	21%	6%	63	-0.9	198/259/290	92	260	6	6	25%	6%	50	-1.8	151/218/229	78	192	7	3	24%	6%	16	-1.3
✕Alan Schoenberger 2009 · A	20	39	36→45	46→45	43	184/249/253	69	277	2	6	32%	8%	37	-2.7	196/250/284	88	297	6	7	34%	6%	44	-2.1	188/236/280	92	275	7	5	33%	5%	34	-1.4
✕Stanley Martinez 2017 · A	20	40	38→45	48→50	45	192/266/269	77	269	5	10	29%	8%	48	-1.9	216/284/317	101	292	9	7	27%	7%	68	-0.5	213/282/313	100	281	9	5	26%	7%	65	-0.2
✕Misael Urbina 2022 · A	20	36→29	40→45	51→50	48	177/255/271	94	227	7	13	24%	8%	44	-2.1	175/249/266	91	263	6	10	33%	8%	40	-2.4	157/237/236	79	247	5	10	36%	9%	25	-2.0
✕Jose Ramos 2021 · A	20	43→42	38→50	48→45	41	206/270/283	78	285	5	9	28%	6%	53	-1.5	214/277/356	142	321	16	4	36%	7%	76	+0.0	203/271/349	146	304	18	4	37%	7%	69	-0.3
✕Albertson Asigen 2022 · A	20	43	39→40	53→55	44	205/260/298	92	275	5	6	27%	7%	52	-1.6	224/299/302	78	328	5	17	30%	8%	70	-0.3	213/301/307	94	348	8	27	37%	9%	69	-0.1
✕Janelfry Zorrilla 2011 · A	20	41	40→45	50	42	202/257/291	89	262	7	13	26%	6%	49	-1.8	224/280/353	129	280	13	10	24%	6%	76	+0.0	226/277/353	127	285	14	8	25%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Nerwilian Cedeño 2022 · A	20	40→32	40→45	51→50	44	189/267/287	97	296	6	7	36%	9%	53	-1.5	190/262/303	113	294	11	12	36%	8%	56	-1.3	173/244/282	109	262	12	12	37%	8%	40	-1.4