Juan Frances — OGILVIE

Juan FrancesOF DSL CLE Mendoza

Age 20 S/R 5'9" / 145 lbs ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 57 proj PA

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .274 / .299

PA5

HR0

K%23

BB%6

ISO78

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Guardians Blue	—	158	149	29	0	1	0	7	14	0	8	3	195	231	208	439	13	212	9	4	202	23	-15	+0	—	—	+3	-1.1
2024	18	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	93	81	19	4	1	0	8	8	2	2	3	235	319	309	627	74	253	9	9	285	79	-2	-1	—	—	+2	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Blue	—	158	152	25	0	1	0	4	20	0	8	3	164	186	178	364	13	179	13	3	159	-6	-20	+0	—	—	+3	-1.6
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	93	84	16	3	1	0	5	12	2	2	3	190	253	250	503	60	204	13	5	218	34	-7	-1	—	—	+2	-0.6
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Blue	—	158	152	25	0	1	0	4	20	0	8	3	164	186	178	364	13	187	13	3	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Guardians Blue	—	158	149	29	0	1	0	7	14	0	8	3	195	231	208	439	13	212	9	4	202	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	93	84	16	3	1	0	5	12	2	2	3	190	253	250	503	60	216	13	5	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	93	81	19	4	1	0	8	8	2	2	3	235	319	309	627	74	253	9	9	285	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Blue	—	158	153	25	0	1	0	4	20	0	8	3	163	186	176	362	13	179	13	3	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	93	86	16	3	1	0	5	12	2	2	3	186	253	244	497	58	204	13	5	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Blue	—	158	153	25	0	1	0	4	20	0	8	3	163	186	176	362	13	179	13	3	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	93	86	16	3	1	0	5	12	2	2	3	186	253	244	497	58	204	13	5	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	20	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	200	200	200	400		283	20	0	262	63	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	PIT	34%	118	109	26	4	1	2	7	27	1	2	0	239	291	349	639	110	285	23	6	274	71	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
2027	21	MLB CTX	PIT	34%	41	38	7	1	0	0	3	9	0	1	0	184	244	211	454	26	284	22	7	264	71	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	41	38	7	1	0	0	3	9	0	1	0	184	244	211	454	26	241	22	7	264	29	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	602	111	16	0	0	48	143	0	16	0	184	245	211	456	27	242	22	7	264	29	-22	+3	+0	-4	+14	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	374	350	68	7	3	2	16	60	3	12	6	194	236	249	484	54	225	16	4	211	29	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	608	117	12	5	3	28	104	5	21	10	192	234	243	477	51	224	16	4	211	29	-22	+2	+0	-4	+14	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Frances (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	221/274/299	78	283	1	1	23%	6%	63	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brainer Bonaci 2022 · A	20	40→44	39→45	53→50	43	195/254/284	89	269	5	13	28%	7%	53	-2.1	216/286/322	106	302	9	13	29%	9%	74	-0.6	216/290/325	109	297	11	14	29%	9%	73	-0.4
✕Allan Castro 2023 · A	20	38→44	40→45	54→50	40	185/249/285	100	275	6	9	34%	7%	51	-2.2	203/274/314	111	281	9	13	29%	8%	68	-1.0	202/276/313	110	274	9	14	28%	9%	65	-1.0
✕Jose Marquez 2018 · A	20	41	37→50	44→50	40	195/244/271	76	263	4	4	27%	5%	45	-2.7	217/261/322	105	296	8	7	28%	5%	63	-1.3	200/247/320	120	277	13	10	32%	5%	55	-0.6
✕Hansel Moreno 2017 · A	20	44→33	37→45	50	41	207/257/284	76	292	4	10	29%	6%	53	-2.1	205/250/300	95	306	8	15	34%	5%	54	-2.0	189/234/282	93	284	9	18	36%	5%	42	-1.6
✕Emilio King 2010 · A	20	40	37→45	51→40	43	190/274/270	79	258	4	9	26%	6%	58	-1.7	202/252/288	86	301	6	4	33%	4%	53	-2.1	211/249/305	94	308	7	2	33%	3%	52	-1.1
✕Francisco Santana 2008 · A	20	37	38→50	52→55	39	182/227/269	87	246	5	7	28%	5%	38	-3.2	202/247/309	107	265	8	12	26%	5%	55	-2.0	191/230/306	114	248	9	14	26%	5%	46	-1.0
✕Jose Ramos 2021 · A	20	43→41	38→50	48→45	41	206/270/283	78	285	5	9	28%	6%	59	-1.7	214/277/357	143	320	16	4	36%	7%	78	-0.3	203/271/348	146	303	18	4	37%	7%	72	-0.5
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	41→40	41→45	48→50	41	200/267/299	99	282	9	10	31%	6%	61	-1.5	203/296/305	102	299	9	8	32%	10%	74	-0.5	186/292/283	98	277	9	10	33%	11%	67	-0.7
✕Nomar Fana 2022 · A	19	41	38→50	48→50	41	195/251/274	79	290	5	9	33%	7%	49	-2.4	193/263/294	101	310	9	11	37%	8%	59	-1.7	177/259/297	120	274	14	14	38%	10%	56	-0.6
✕Yeilin Hernandez 2016 · A	20	45	40→45	51→45	44	215/272/318	104	268	5	8	21%	6%	67	-1.1	198/259/290	92	260	6	6	25%	6%	55	-1.9	151/218/229	78	192	7	3	24%	6%	26	-1.3
✕Alejandro Flores 2016 · A	20	37	39→50	45→40	43	182/248/265	83	263	7	5	32%	8%	46	-2.6	201/260/300	99	294	8	6	32%	7%	58	-1.7	200/255/329	129	272	11	4	29%	6%	60	-0.8
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	40	37→40	50→55	42	192/252/267	75	262	4	12	27%	6%	48	-2.5	202/274/290	88	285	7	19	30%	8%	61	-1.5	196/282/285	89	259	11	29	27%	9%	63	-0.8
✕Stanley Martinez 2017 · A	20	40	38→45	48→50	45	192/266/269	77	269	5	10	29%	8%	54	-2.0	216/284/317	101	292	9	7	27%	7%	72	-0.7	213/282/313	100	281	9	5	26%	7%	69	-0.3
✕Edwin Mateo 2019 · A	20	40	37→40	52→55	48	192/265/260	67	249	4	15	23%	8%	51	-2.2	212/289/298	86	289	7	14	27%	8%	69	-0.9	206/278/290	84	292	6	14	29%	7%	61	-0.7
✕Albertson Asigen 2022 · A	20	43	40	53→55	44	206/261/303	97	274	6	6	27%	7%	59	-1.7	224/297/299	75	327	4	17	30%	8%	72	-0.7	212/299/299	88	345	7	27	37%	9%	70	-0.3
✕Gilberto Vizcarra 2019 · A	20	35	38→45	47→40	46	171/243/241	71	215	6	3	23%	7%	40	-3.1	206/263/285	79	260	5	4	22%	6%	56	-1.9	227/270/319	92	275	7	1	19%	4%	65	-0.4
✕Misael Urbina 2022 · A	20	36→30	39→45	51→50	48	178/255/268	89	228	6	13	24%	8%	50	-2.3	175/249/266	91	260	6	10	32%	8%	47	-2.5	158/245/237	79	236	5	8	32%	9%	37	-1.9
✕Janelfry Zorrilla 2011 · A	20	41	40→45	50	42	202/257/291	89	262	7	13	26%	6%	55	-2.0	224/279/352	128	280	13	10	24%	6%	78	-0.3	225/276/353	127	282	14	8	25%	5%	75	-0.2
✕Francis Grullon 2021 · A	20	43	39→45	49→55	51	204/272/294	89	240	6	12	18%	8%	61	-1.5	197/268/280	83	297	6	10	33%	8%	57	-1.8	170/264/256	86	254	8	16	33%	9%	49	-0.5
✕Jonathan Araúz 2019 · A	20	40→38	40→45	44→45	46	195/252/294	99	241	7	5	22%	7%	53	-2.1	204/260/309	105	258	10	5	24%	7%	61	-1.5	187/255/290	103	228	12	3	23%	8%	53	-1.2