Carter Graham — OGILVIE

Carter Graham1B Dayton Dragons

Age 24 R/R 6'1" / 228 lbs A+ HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION346 act + 230 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†93

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .306 / .362

PA230

HR7

K%27

BB%9

BABIP271

ISO149

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	40	33	5	1	0	0	4	15	2	2	0	152	282	182	464	30	263	38	10	225	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	40	31	6	1	0	0	6	11	2	2	0	194	359	226	585	32	286	28	15	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	2 teams	—	318	286	48	12	1	4	18	115	11	8	3	168	244	259	503	91	259	36	6	229	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	2 teams	—	318	279	60	15	1	8	25	83	11	8	3	215	305	362	667	147	272	26	8	301	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	2 teams	—	408	369	73	15	1	6	22	125	9	12	2	198	260	293	553	95	272	31	5	246	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	2 teams	—	408	362	87	18	1	9	29	91	9	12	2	240	312	370	683	130	289	22	7	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	A+	CIN	—	346	294	80	16	0	17	37	86	12	7	1	272	376	500	876	228	326	25	11	372	143	+17	+1	+0	-6	+10	2.2
YTD	24	A+	CIN	—	346	279	92	20	0	20	52	64	12	7	1	330	455	616	1.071	287	365	18	15	461	211	+43	+1	+0	-6	+10	4.9
ROS	24	A+	CIN	0%	230	201	43	9	0	7	20	63	7	4	1	213	306	362	668	149	273	27	9	307	93	-2	+0	+0	-4	+7	0.1
ROS	24	MLB	CIN	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						276	0	0	289	79	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	24	A+	CIN	—	347	295	80	16	0	17	37	86	12	7	1	271	375	498	873	227	325	25	11	371	142	+17	+1	+0	-6	+10	2.2
TOT	24	A+	CIN	—	576	495	123	25	0	24	57	149	19	11	2	248	348	444	792	196	304	26	10	346	123	+15	+1	+0	-10	+16	2.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	CIN	30%	581	513	113	23	1	19	49	158	14	9	2	220	306	380	686	160	275	27	8	306	93	-5	+1	+0	-10	+16	0.2
2028	26	MLB	CIN	44%	609	538	119	24	1	20	52	163	14	9	2	221	306	381	687	160	276	27	9	309	94	-4	+1	+0	-11	+17	0.4
2029	27	MLB	CIN	49%	624	551	122	25	1	20	54	167	14	10	2	221	307	379	686	158	277	27	9	309	95	-4	+1	+0	-11	+18	0.4
2027	25	MLB	CIN	30%	176	155	34	7	0	6	15	48	4	3	1	219	305	381	685	161	278	27	9	292	81	-4	+0	+0	-3	+5	-0.2
2028	26	MLB	CIN	44%	269	238	53	11	0	9	23	72	6	4	1	223	307	382	689	160	279	27	9	295	84	-5	+0	+0	-5	+8	-0.2
2029	27	MLB	CIN	49%	306	269	61	12	1	10	27	82	7	5	1	227	314	390	704	164	280	27	9	296	85	-5	+1	+0	-5	+9	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	752	663	148	30	1	25	65	202	17	12	3	223	309	385	693	161	280	27	9	295	84	-14	+1	+0	-13	+21	-0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	129	26	1	22	56	175	15	10	3	225	311	389	700	164	282	27	9	295	84	-12	+1	+0	-12	+18	-0.5
Career	—			—	2810	2491	523	109	5	76	219	806	71	54	12	210	292	349	641	139	274	29	8	289	79	-66	+6	+0	-50	+80	-3.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	121	25	1	18	51	186	16	12	3	210	292	351	643	141	273	29	8	289	79	-15	+1	+0	-12	+18	-0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	40	31	6	1	0	0	6	11	2	2	0	194	359	226	585	32	286	28	15	287	78	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	22	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	131	117	22	5	0	5	10	45	3	3	1	188	269	359	628	171	250	34	8	281	74	-4	+0	—	—	+4	-0.0
2024	22	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	187	162	38	10	1	3	15	38	8	5	2	235	330	364	694	130	285	20	8	314	99	-0	+0	—	—	+5	0.5
2025	23	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	229	206	51	10	0	4	13	50	6	7	1	248	311	354	665	107	301	22	6	298	86	-4	+1	—	—	+6	0.4
2025	23	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	179	156	36	8	1	5	16	41	3	5	1	231	314	391	705	160	272	23	9	310	96	-1	+1	—	—	+5	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Mark Trumbolast yr '18 career totals — 8 seasons, 4,372 PA	8	4,372	218	23	250	303	462	-58	-63	6.2	6.6
	/162	664	33	3	250	303	462	-8.9	-9.6	0.9	pk7: 7
#2Brandon Mosslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,459 PA	8	3,459	160	11	238	315	455	-53	-41	5.9	5.9
	/162	664	31	2	238	315	455	-10.2	-7.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#3Justin Smoaklast yr '20 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,750 PA	11	4,750	196	3	229	322	419	-85	-77	1.9	3.8
	/162	664	27	0	229	322	419	-11.9	-10.7	0.3	pk7: 6
#4Chris Carterlast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,807 PA	7	2,807	158	12	219	314	462	-50	-50	3.3	3.3
	/162	664	37	3	219	314	462	-11.7	-11.9	0.8	pk7: 3
#5Gaby Sanchezlast yr '14 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,240 PA	5	2,240	59	12	254	332	411	-40	-26	2.2	2.2
	/162	664	17	4	254	332	411	-11.9	-7.8	0.6	pk7: 2
#6Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	6	2,377	81	7	239	332	416	-42	-36	1.7	1.7
#6Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	/162	664	23	2	239	332	416	-11.9	-10.1	0.5	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	753	24	11	222	305	382	-13	-2	0.4	0.4
	/162	664	22	10	222	305	382	-11.9	-1.3	0.4	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carter Graham (OGILVIE)	24	40	35	50	25	248/348/444	196	304	24	11	26%	10%	123	+2.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Romy Gonzalez 2021 · A	24	40→41	42→50	51→55	36	195/251/301	106	305	9	10	38%	6%	50	-1.8	215/259/359	144	314	18	18	36%	5%	69	-0.4	253/296/402	149	335	16	16	28%	5%	92	+0.6
✕Luis Santana 2022 · AA	23	39	42→45	47→50	39	198/255/299	101	269	10	10	30%	5%	51	-1.7	211/272/334	123	278	13	9	28%	6%	67	-0.5	201/263/321	120	259	14	7	27%	6%	57	-0.7
✕Jared Schlehuber 2013 · A	24	43	45→50	48→40	41	214/265/335	122	286	12	4	29%	6%	64	-0.8	228/282/356	128	292	13	3	26%	6%	77	+0.1	227/282/357	131	286	15	2	25%	6%	74	-0.0
●Alex Call 2019 · AA	24	39→49	44→50	43→50	42	197/262/314	117	276	11	7	32%	7%	58	-1.2	202/261/328	126	279	13	9	31%	7%	61	-1.0	221/327/368	147	257	16	17	20%	12%	99	+1.3
✕Nick Podkul 2022 · AA	25	38	45→50	51→50	45	194/270/315	121	262	12	11	30%	8%	63	-0.9	214/301/367	153	292	18	6	31%	9%	89	+1.0	208/303/367	159	284	21	3	32%	10%	85	+0.3
●Matt Vierling 2021 · A	24	39→49	40→50	50	39	193/248/279	86	265	7	14	29%	6%	43	-2.2	240/298/358	118	301	11	14	23%	7%	84	+0.6	257/317/400	143	310	14	10	21%	7%	100	+1.5
✕Daniel Arribas 2017 · A	24	41→39	42→40	48→45	43	204/271/302	98	273	10	7	28%	7%	59	-1.1	198/273/287	89	286	7	10	31%	8%	56	-1.3	127/235/159	33	213	0	15	36%	11%	7	-1.0
✕Barrett Barnes 2015 · A	24	42→48	44→45	51→50	42	210/273/325	116	283	12	14	30%	7%	66	-0.6	223/289/345	122	293	11	12	26%	7%	77	+0.1	215/293/346	131	300	13	7	30%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Brandon Lockridge 2021 · A	24	40→50	44→50	50→65	36	200/251/322	121	295	11	12	35%	5%	55	-1.4	227/276/357	130	327	14	22	33%	6%	75	-0.0	251/318/335	84	356	3	53	28%	8%	83	+0.3
✕Stuart Fairchild 2021 · AA	25	43→42	43→50	47→55	42	212/278/328	116	288	10	10	29%	7%	69	-0.4	223/300/379	156	295	17	13	29%	8%	92	+1.2	220/316/365	145	284	15	26	26%	9%	92	+0.7
✕Mike McGee 2013 · A	24	44→41	43→45	48→45	45	217/272/330	112	267	10	8	23%	6%	66	-0.6	200/262/297	97	291	9	9	32%	7%	53	-1.5	94/175/132	38	173	6	7	46%	9%	-26	-1.3
✕Trenton Moses 2013 · A	24	46	41→45	48→30	39	224/272/324	100	304	8	4	28%	5%	64	-0.8	237/300/347	110	331	8	3	29%	6%	82	+0.5	249/317/370	121	348	9	0	29%	7%	91	+0.7
✕Eric Wagaman 2022 · A	24	37→47	42→50	43→45	41	185/248/287	102	277	9	4	35%	8%	45	-2.1	220/279/366	146	273	17	10	25%	7%	79	+0.3	242/291/388	146	290	16	11	22%	6%	86	+0.5
✕Josh Petersen 2007 · A	24	42	40→45	45→40	36	207/244/298	91	283	8	5	30%	4%	45	-2.1	235/274/333	98	306	8	5	25%	4%	67	-0.5	251/292/348	97	319	8	4	23%	4%	75	-0.0
✕Weston Wilson 2019 · AA	24	41→43	43→55	43→55	37	207/252/315	108	287	11	6	31%	5%	53	-1.5	209/268/359	150	271	19	10	30%	7%	72	-0.2	212/291/397	185	265	26	25	30%	9%	90	+0.7
✕Gage Green 2017 · A	24	43	40→45	46→50	40	208/269/298	90	288	9	10	30%	6%	56	-1.3	205/262/294	89	283	7	8	29%	6%	53	-1.5	175/222/236	62	232	0	0	23%	4%	22	-0.7
✕Sean Bouchard 2019 · A	23	39→41	43→55	49→50	38	195/247/302	108	280	10	13	33%	6%	48	-1.9	197/253/324	127	295	12	10	36%	6%	56	-1.3	210/314/386	176	278	19	16	30%	12%	96	+0.7
✕Willie MacIver 2021 · A	24	35→33	41→45	49→55	36	182/228/277	95	252	9	9	31%	4%	33	-2.9	190/258/311	121	280	14	15	35%	7%	56	-1.3	225/305/348	123	321	11	18	31%	8%	83	+0.3
✕Trey Amburgey 2019 · AA	24	41→44	45→50	51→50	36	209/250/328	120	278	13	11	30%	4%	56	-1.3	221/262/362	141	290	15	8	28%	4%	70	-0.3	205/249/348	143	276	15	4	31%	5%	58	-0.7
✕Rob Segedin 2013 · AA	24	45→53	42→50	46→45	42	223/271/326	103	280	9	7	24%	5%	64	-0.8	229/290/350	121	284	12	5	23%	6%	79	+0.3	239/305/392	153	290	17	3	23%	7%	93	+0.9