Luke Keaschall

2B Minnesota Twins

Age 24 R/R 6'0" / 190 lbs MLB Svc 0.953 · Ctrl thru 2032

Overview

MLB40-MANPre-ArbFA 2033

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	21	AAMIN	267	.281/.398/.439	8	9	97	—	.235/.333/.383
2025	22	MLBMIN	207	.302/.383/.445	4	14	137	1.6
2026	23	MLBMIN	620	.282/.379/.407	10	20	123	3.5
2027PROJ	24	MLBMIN	620	.271/.363/.387	9	28	116	2.9
2028PROJ	25	MLBMIN	625	.272/.365/.393	10	28	118	3.1
2029PROJ	26	MLBMIN	625	.272/.365/.392	10	28	118	3.1

Last 3 seasons WAR 5.1 · Next 3 projected WAR 9.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2032Service0.953First FA2033

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Arb-1$8M2031Arb-2$12M2032Arb-3$17M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2025-2026

Whiff%90

Chase%90

Speed84

xwOBA62

Bat Spd32

Barrel%19

Form.285/.372/.425 ▲▲ rolling true talent (45d window) · proj .270/.360/.386

CompsMaikel Garcia (age 24) · Xavier Edwards (age 24) · Desmond Jennings (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 116116vR 114

AVG/OBP/SLG.271 / .363 / .387

PA620

HR9

SB28

K%15

BB%10

BABIP309

ISO115

MLB%100%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$102M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

901.7%

xAVG

530.254

POWER40

Barrel%

194.2

Avg EV

1085.6

Bat Spd

3269.5

EYE60

Chase%

905.6%

SPEED60

Sprint

8428.8

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%11%▲▲8% over 71 PA (45d) · proj 15%

BB%9%·9% over 130 PA (60d) · proj 9%

ISO.140▲.174 over 109 AB (60d) · proj .116

HR/BB2.1%·2.0% over 98 BBE (60d) · proj 2.1%

BABIP.312·.333 over 96 BIP (60d) · proj .309

SLASH.285/.372/.425▲▲proj .270/.360/.386

Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 317 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

116

201

—

wRC+

127

▶▶R

wOBA

259

356

▶▶R

ISO

086

130

▶▶R

BABIP

249

329

▶▶R

19.0%

11.4%

▶▶R

BB%

6.0%

9.0%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 0.953 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+3.4	$33M	+$33M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+3.1	$26M	+$26M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+3.1	$25M	+$24M
2030	Arb-1	$8M	+3.0	$22M	+$16M
2031	Arb-2	$12M	+2.7	$17M	+$9M
2032	Arb-3	$17M	+2.4	$13M	+$3M
Totals		$40M		$136M	+$110M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	20	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	34	32	10	2	0	2	2	3	0	1	0	312	353	562	915	250	296	9	6	399	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	94	72	21	8	1	1	15	20	4	8	0	292	440	472	912	181	370	21	16	397	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	267	221	62	9	1	8	32	51	11	9	5	281	398	439	837	158	327	19	12	375	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	197	158	53	12	0	7	30	29	7	14	1	335	462	544	1.006	209	371	15	15	441	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	207	182	55	14	0	4	19	29	5	14	3	302	383	445	829	143	340	14	9	371	137	+9	+2	-1	+1	+4	1.6
2025	22	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	118	95	25	2	1	1	17	17	2	11	2	263	386	337	723	74	296	14	14	327	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	620	528	149	28	4	10	59	87	23	20	7	282	379	407	786	125	317	14	10	352	123	+17	+1	+0	+2	+13	3.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	827	710	204	42	4	14	78	116	28	34	10	287	380	417	797	130	323	14	9	357	127	+27	+3	-1	+3	+18	5.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	20	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	34	33	9	2	0	1	1	4	0	1	0	273	294	424	718	152	266	12	3	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	94	78	19	6	1	1	9	28	4	8	0	244	352	385	736	141	333	30	10	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	267	230	54	8	1	8	23	65	11	9	5	235	333	383	716	148	274	24	9	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	197	167	46	9	0	5	21	38	7	14	1	275	379	419	799	144	309	19	11	342	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	207	182	55	14	0	4	19	29	5	14	3	302	383	445	829	143	340	14	9	370	137	+9	+2	-1	+1	+4	1.6
2025	22	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	118	100	27	2	1	1	12	21	2	11	2	270	360	340	700	70	295	18	10	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	620	529	149	28	4	10	58	87	23	20	7	282	377	406	783	125	317	14	9	350	123	+17	+1	+0	+2	+13	3.5
2023	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	128	110	28	8	1	2	11	32	4	9	0	255	344	400	744	145	329	25	9	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	128	104	31	10	1	3	17	23	4	9	0	298	416	500	916	202	346	18	13	398	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	464	397	98	16	1	13	44	102	18	23	6	247	349	390	739	144	296	22	9	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA RAW	2 teams	—	464	379	115	21	1	15	62	80	18	23	6	303	425	483	908	179	346	17	13	403	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	325	282	82	16	1	5	31	50	7	25	5	291	375	408	783	117	332	15	10	347	121	+8	+3	-1	+1	+7	1.9
2025	22	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	325	277	80	16	1	5	36	46	7	25	5	289	384	408	792	119	325	14	11	355	121	+8	+3	-1	+1	+7	1.9
2026	23	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	620	529	149	28	4	10	58	87	23	20	7	282	377	406	783	125	316	14	9	350	123	+17	+1	+0	+2	+13	3.5
2026	23	MLB RAW	Minnesota Twins	—	620	528	149	28	4	10	59	87	23	20	7	282	379	407	786	125	317	14	10	352	123	+17	+1	+0	+2	+13	3.5
2023	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	128	112	28	8	1	2	11	32	4	9	0	250	344	393	737	143	315	25	9	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	464	399	98	16	1	13	44	102	18	23	6	246	349	388	737	143	289	22	9	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	325	284	82	16	1	5	31	50	7	25	5	289	375	405	780	116	324	15	10	347	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	620	534	149	28	4	10	58	87	23	20	7	279	377	403	780	124	317	14	9	350	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	464	399	98	16	1	13	44	102	18	23	6	246	349	388	737	143	289	22	9	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	325	284	82	16	1	5	31	50	7	25	5	289	375	405	780	116	324	15	10	347	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	620	534	149	28	4	10	58	87	23	20	7	279	377	403	780	124	317	14	9	350	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	MIN	100%	564	488	132	24	3	9	53	85	18	26	5	270	363	386	749	116	309	15	9	339	116	+11	+3	-1	+2	+12	3.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	MIN	100%	620	537	145	27	4	9	59	93	19	28	6	271	363	387	750	116	309	15	10	339	116	+12	+3	-2	+2	+13	2.9
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	MIN	100%	625	541	147	27	4	10	60	94	19	28	6	272	365	392	757	120	310	15	10	342	118	+13	+3	-2	+2	+14	3.1
2029	26	MLB MLE	MIN	100%	625	541	147	27	4	10	60	94	19	28	6	272	365	392	756	120	309	15	10	342	118	+13	+3	-2	+2	+14	3.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	MIN	100%	620	537	145	27	3	10	59	94	19	27	6	270	364	389	753	119	309	15	10	341	117	+12	+3	-2	+2	+13	3.0
2031	28	MLB MLE	MIN	100%	612	529	142	26	3	10	59	94	19	24	5	268	361	384	745	116	308	15	10	338	115	+11	+3	-2	+2	+13	2.7
2032	29	MLB MLE	MIN	100%	600	520	138	25	3	9	57	94	18	20	4	266	359	377	736	111	307	16	10	334	112	+9	+2	-3	+2	+13	2.4
2033	30	MLB MLE	MIN	100%	588	510	134	24	3	8	56	94	17	16	4	262	355	369	723	106	305	16	10	329	109	+6	+2	-4	+2	+13	1.9
2034	31	MLB MLE	MIN	100%	573	497	128	23	3	7	54	94	17	11	3	257	349	357	707	100	301	16	9	322	104	+3	+1	-4	+2	+12	1.4
2035	32	MLB MLE	MIN	100%	554	482	120	21	2	6	51	93	16	6	2	251	342	342	684	92	296	17	9	314	98	-1	+0	-5	+2	+12	0.9
2036	33	MLB MLE	MIN	100%	524	456	111	19	2	5	48	91	15	2	2	242	333	324	658	82	290	17	9	303	91	-6	-0	-6	+2	+11	0.2
2037	34	MLB MLE	MIN	96%	476	418	97	15	2	4	42	86	13	1	1	232	322	304	626	71	282	18	9	290	82	-10	-0	-6	+2	+10	-0.4
2028	25	MLB CTX	MIN	100%	625	541	147	27	4	10	60	94	19	28	6	272	365	393	757	121	310	15	10	342	118	+13	+3	-2	+2	+14	3.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	MIN	100%	625	541	147	27	4	10	60	94	19	28	6	272	365	392	757	121	309	15	10	342	118	+13	+3	-2	+2	+14	3.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	MIN	100%	620	537	145	27	3	10	59	94	19	27	6	271	364	389	753	119	309	15	10	341	117	+12	+3	-2	+2	+13	3.0
2031	28	MLB CTX	MIN	100%	612	529	142	26	3	10	59	94	19	24	5	269	362	384	746	116	308	15	10	338	115	+11	+3	-2	+2	+13	2.7
2032	29	MLB CTX	MIN	100%	600	520	138	25	3	9	57	94	18	20	4	266	359	378	736	112	307	16	10	334	112	+9	+2	-3	+2	+13	2.4
2033	30	MLB CTX	MIN	100%	588	510	134	24	3	8	56	94	17	16	4	262	355	369	724	107	305	16	10	329	109	+6	+2	-4	+2	+13	1.9
2034	31	MLB CTX	MIN	100%	573	497	128	23	3	7	54	94	17	11	3	257	349	358	707	100	301	16	9	323	104	+3	+1	-4	+2	+12	1.4
2035	32	MLB CTX	MIN	100%	554	482	120	21	2	6	51	93	16	6	2	251	342	343	685	92	296	17	9	314	98	-1	+0	-5	+2	+12	0.9
2036	33	MLB CTX	MIN	100%	524	456	111	19	2	5	48	91	15	2	2	243	333	325	658	82	290	17	9	303	91	-6	-0	-6	+2	+11	0.2
2037	34	MLB CTX	MIN	96%	455	400	94	15	2	4	40	82	12	1	1	232	322	304	626	71	282	18	9	290	82	-9	-0	-6	+2	+10	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	6603	5723	1510	276	33	93	622	1040	199	197	49	264	356	372	729	109	306	16	9	331	110	+78	+20	-34	+24	+143	23.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	563	148	27	3	9	61	102	20	19	5	263	356	369	725	107	305	16	9	331	110	+8	+2	-3	+2	+14	2.3
Career	—	MLE		—	7954	6886	1811	329	40	118	749	1292	243	268	63	263	356	374	730	111	306	16	9	330	110	+89	+23	-36	+26	+157	26.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	563	148	27	3	10	61	106	20	22	5	263	356	375	730	112	306	16	9	330	110	+8	+2	-3	+2	+14	2.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 13 projected seasons	10.9	7,223	103	224	265	354	375	+26	-3	33.2	28.9
/162	664	9	21	+2.4	-0.3	3.1	pk7: 25
#1Bobby Avila'49-'59 * career totals — 10 seasons, 5,343 PA	8.0	5,343	80	78	273*	343*	411*	+19	+17	24.4	24.5
/162	664	10	10	+2.3	+2.1	3.0	pk7: 25
#2Delino DeShields'90-'02 * career totals — 13 seasons, 6,652 PA	10.0	6,652	80	463	259*	342*	380*	+14	-17	24.9	23.2
/162	664	8	46	+1.4	-1.7	2.5	pk7: 22
#3Jason Kipnislast yr '20 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,984 PA	7.5	4,984	126	136	260	333	416	+18	-11	22.6	21.9
/162	664	17	18	+2.4	-1.4	3.0	pk7: 21
#4Snuffy Stirnweiss'43-'51 * career totals — 9 seasons, 4,292 PA	6.5	4,292	29	134	261*	346*	412*	+18	-2	18.9	20.4
/162	664	4	21	+2.8	-0.3	2.9	pk7: 22
#5David Ecksteinlast yr '10 career totals — 10 seasons, 5,705 PA	8.6	5,705	35	123	280	345	355	+31	+19	21.9	20.3
/162	664	4	14	+3.6	+2.2	2.5	pk7: 19
#6César Hernándezlast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,797 PA	7.2	4,797	71	91	267	341	375	+17	+1	17.8	18.1
/162	664	10	13	+2.4	+0.2	2.5	pk7: 18

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luke Keaschall (OGILVIE)	24	55	40	60	60	268/360/383	115	309	9	28	15%	9%	116	+2.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Maikel Garcia 2024 · MLB	24	54→58	40→45	55→60	48	256/314/354	99	325	7	25	22%	8%	91	+0.6	258/317/381	123	301	10	24	17%	8%	97	+1.1	260/322/390	130	293	10	24	14%	8%	102	+1.4
●Xavier Edwards 2024 · MLB	24	58→68	39→40	56→60	52	278/333/360	82	319	6	25	15%	8%	99	+1.2	292/351/382	90	341	5	30	14%	8%	110	+2.1	293/359/382	88	343	4	31	14%	9%	113	+2.1
●Desmond Jennings 2011 · MLB	24	55→61	42→50	65→60	51	261/325/381	119	308	7	37	17%	8%	101	+1.4	250/323/399	149	300	14	29	20%	9%	105	+1.7	246/325/404	158	293	16	28	21%	9%	107	+1.9
✕Cameron Maybin 2012 · MLB	25	55→60	45→50	60→55	47	263/322/398	135	332	11	27	23%	8%	103	+1.6	242/302/363	121	296	10	24	21%	8%	88	+0.5	258/330/374	116	309	11	30	19%	9%	102	+1.2
●Jean Segura 2014 · MLB	24	57→62	42→50	62→60	44	278/314/391	113	315	9	35	15%	4%	99	+1.2	267/302/374	107	302	9	26	15%	4%	90	+0.6	302/347/439	137	334	13	24	13%	5%	123	+3.2
●Elvis Andrus 2013 · MLB	24	57→61	37→50	53→60	54	268/333/347	79	305	4	23	13%	8%	96	+1.0	258/315/333	75	297	4	26	14%	7%	86	+0.3	276/328/411	135	308	11	19	14%	7%	107	+1.7
●Rafael Furcal 2002 · MLB	24	57→63	40→50	57→60	56	272/344/369	98	315	7	35	16%	10%	105	+1.7	276/332/401	125	311	10	24	14%	8%	107	+1.9	282/347/421	139	308	12	33	12%	9%	119	+3.1
●Julio Lugo 2001 · MLB	25	55→62	47→45	54→60	50	272/335/419	147	324	14	24	20%	8%	113	+2.3	260/321/386	126	311	13	15	20%	8%	101	+1.4	279/345/398	119	317	8	28	14%	8%	113	+2.3
●Adam Eaton 2013 · MLB	24	63→69	42→50	56→55	51	299/375/419	120	357	8	27	17%	8%	128	+3.4	279/346/392	113	334	7	20	17%	8%	111	+2.1	285/356/413	128	338	9	15	17%	8%	120	+3.0
✕Jose Aguilar 2014 · AAA	24	61→64	40→45	53→55	47	291/345/389	98	337	6	16	15%	6%	109	+2.0	278/335/386	108	319	7	17	14%	6%	105	+1.7	275/335/378	103	313	6	19	14%	6%	101	+0.8
✕Jose Tabata 2012 · MLB	23	58→62	41→45	53→55	52	276/337/382	105	318	7	25	15%	8%	105	+1.7	261/321/363	102	302	6	13	15%	7%	95	+1.0	261/318/354	93	301	5	8	14%	6%	91	+0.5
●Matt Duffy 2015 · MLB	24	59→67	41→45	53→50	47	279/330/384	104	337	7	17	19%	6%	103	+1.5	276/321/393	117	321	10	13	17%	6%	102	+1.5	282/336/386	104	328	9	12	16%	6%	106	+1.6
●Kolten Wong 2015 · MLB	24	52→58	46→50	58→55	45	258/301/387	128	291	13	23	16%	5%	93	+0.8	257/319/390	133	291	12	16	16%	7%	101	+1.4	272/342/411	139	310	13	20	16%	7%	116	+1.7
●Sal Frelick 2024 · MLB	24	55→63	42→45	54→55	53	266/333/379	113	304	9	19	15%	8%	103	+1.6	261/325/363	102	298	8	18	14%	8%	97	+1.1	260/324/358	98	293	7	17	13%	8%	96	+0.9
●Nico Hoerner 2023 · MLB	26	55→62	43→45	55→60	49	268/319/383	114	294	10	19	13%	6%	99	+1.2	277/334/383	106	302	9	28	11%	7%	105	+1.7	280/339/377	97	304	7	31	10%	7%	106	+1.9
●Austin Jackson 2011 · MLB	24	60→64	40→50	58→55	43	278/326/384	106	371	5	21	25%	6%	101	+1.4	274/336/414	140	358	11	16	24%	8%	112	+2.2	273/342/423	151	347	13	13	23%	9%	117	+2.7
✕Tyler Black 2024 · AAA	24	51→53	48→50	63→60	54	248/344/409	162	313	13	33	23%	11%	115	+2.4	235/325/365	130	309	11	28	25%	10%	98	+1.2	225/318/339	114	302	9	27	26%	10%	86	+0.2
●Ender Inciarte 2016 · MLB	25	57→62	40→45	55→60	48	274/313/367	93	302	7	24	12%	5%	93	+0.8	283/331/386	103	317	7	19	13%	7%	103	+1.6	281/334/384	102	316	7	20	13%	7%	105	+1.8
●Starlin Castro 2013 · MLB	23	59→63	45→50	53→50	46	287/322/418	132	320	10	18	14%	5%	108	+1.9	266/303/390	124	306	12	10	17%	5%	95	+0.9	284/323/433	149	327	17	3	18%	5%	113	+2.3
●Peter Bourjos 2011 · MLB	24	51→56	46→50	63→60	42	249/291/387	138	301	12	28	22%	4%	90	+0.6	249/304/389	140	312	12	20	23%	6%	95	+1.0	250/311/388	138	319	11	18	24%	6%	98	+0.7

Luke Keaschall

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps