Josnier Parra

P Stockton Ports

Age 25 RHP 6'1" / 170 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	22	ROKOAK	18	0	23	5.48	3.97	17.7%	6.2%	—	K 12.0% · BB 7.7% · FIP 5.46
2025	23	ROKOAK	12	9	47	6.65	3.08	12.8%	6.4%	—	K 8.7% · BB 8.0% · FIP 3.76
2026	24	MIX2 levels	25	6	59	6.75	4.51	22.3%	9.2%	—	K 15.5% · BB 11.0% · FIP 6.04
2027PROJ	25	MLBOAK	57	0	60	5.79	5.79	11.4%	12.0%	-0.8
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBOAK	24	0	25	5.58	5.54	13.8%	11.7%	-0.3
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBOAK	35	0	37	5.49	5.49	14.5%	11.6%	-0.4

Next 3 projected WAR -1.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff20Control50Command25

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsCooper Adams (age 24) · Clate Schmidt (age 25) · Zach Nuding (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 143135vR 127

ERA5.79

FIP5.79

K%11.4%

BB%12.0%

K-BB%-0.6%

Proj IP60

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF2020

CTRL5050

CMD2525

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	21	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	15	1	32	141	33	11	3	7%	2.1	15.9%	9.8%	6.2%	2.9%	4.22	4.56	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	15	1	32	141	33	11	3	7%	2.1	23.4%	7.8%	15.6%	2.1%	4.22	3.29	—
2024	22	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	18	0	23	113	20	7	3	0%	1.3	12.0%	7.7%	4.3%	4.4%	5.48	5.46	—
2024	22	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	18	0	23	113	20	7	3	0%	1.3	12.0%	7.7%	4.3%	4.4%	5.48	5.46	—
2024	22	ROK RAW	ACL Athletics	18	0	23	113	20	7	3	0%	1.3	17.7%	6.2%	11.5%	2.7%	5.48	3.97	—
2025	23	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	12	9	47	218	28	14	1	75%	3.9	8.7%	8.0%	0.7%	0.7%	6.65	3.76	—
2025	23	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	12	9	47	218	28	14	1	75%	3.9	8.7%	8.0%	0.7%	0.7%	6.65	3.76	—
2025	23	ROK RAW	ACL Athletics	12	9	47	218	28	14	1	75%	3.9	12.8%	6.4%	6.4%	0.5%	6.65	3.08	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	6	59	273	61	25	10	24%	2.3	15.5%	11.0%	4.4%	5.2%	6.75	6.04	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	6	59	273	61	25	10	24%	2.3	15.5%	11.0%	4.4%	5.2%	6.75	6.04	—
2026	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	6	59	273	61	25	10	24%	2.3	22.3%	9.2%	13.2%	3.7%	6.75	4.51	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	OAK	57	0	60	253	29	31	8	0%	1.1	11.4%	12.0%	-0.6%	3.2%	5.79	5.79	-0.8
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	OAK	57	0	60	251	35	29	8	0%	1.0	13.8%	11.7%	2.1%	3.2%	5.58	5.54	-0.7
2029	27	MLB MLE	OAK	56	0	59	247	36	29	8	0%	1.0	14.5%	11.6%	2.9%	3.2%	5.49	5.49	-0.6
2028	26	MLB CTX	OAK	24	0	25	106	15	12	3	0%	1.0	13.8%	11.7%	2.1%	3.2%	5.58	5.54	-0.3
2029	27	MLB CTX	OAK	35	0	37	156	23	18	5	0%	1.1	14.5%	11.6%	2.9%	3.2%	5.49	5.49	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		59	0	62	263	37	31	8	0%	1.1	14.2%	11.7%	2.6%	3.2%	5.53	5.13	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	119	100	26	0%	1.1	14.2%	11.7%	2.6%	3.2%	5.53	5.13	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		70	16	161	745	97	70	25	23%	2.3	13.1%	9.4%	3.7%	3.3%	6.04	5.01	-1.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		87	20	200	925	121	87	31	23%	2.3	13.1%	9.4%	3.7%	3.3%	6.04	5.01	-2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Josnier Parra (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.79	11.4%	12.0%	3.2%	—	5.52	14.2%	2.5%	118	-0.27	—	—	—
Cooper Adams R 2024 · 5.42 FIP	24	SW	5.42	13.0%	12.2%	3.4%	.275	4.32	21.7%	10.4%	141	-1.10	3.05	221	86
Clate Schmidt R 2019 · 5.66 FIP	25	SU	5.66	13.5%	13.9%	3.5%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	160	83
Zach Nuding R 2015 · 4.76 FIP	25	SU	4.76	12.5%	10.5%	2.5%	.236	5.03	12.6%	3.3%	106	+0.27	4.76	146	82
Dillon McNamara R 2017 · 5.01 FIP	25	SW	5.01	13.3%	11.1%	3.0%	.229	3.00	21.2%	12.3%	69	-2.01	1.73	244	82
Ryan Vogelsong R 2001 · 5.34 FIP	24	SU	5.34	14.6%	11.6%	3.7%	.287	4.78	14.9%	5.7%	155	-0.56	3.14	1,184	81
Matt Roney R 2003 · 5.54 FIP	23	SW	5.54	10.5%	9.8%	3.8%	.249	—	—	—	—	—	5.54	101	81
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	81
Jarod Wright R 2022 · 5.73 FIP	25	SU	5.73	12.7%	13.2%	3.7%	.282	4.46	13.2%	3.8%	53	-1.27	4.46	170	80
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	80
Cullen Kafka R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	24	SW	4.95	14.2%	12.1%	2.8%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	148	80
Fernando Cruz R 2015 · 5.29 FIP	25	SU	5.29	15.6%	12.2%	3.6%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	2.50	371	80
Kender Villegas R 2017 · 4.70 FIP	24	SU	4.70	13.3%	13.3%	1.9%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.26	131	80
Robbie Peto R 2023 · 5.75 FIP	25	SW	5.75	15.3%	13.4%	4.1%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	5.39	232	79
James Pugliese R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	24	SW	4.72	12.5%	11.6%	2.2%	.226	—	—	—	—	—	2.52	218	79
John Kuchno R 2016 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	10.2%	8.6%	3.3%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	2.43	162	79
Wuilder Rodriguez R 2018 · 5.25 FIP	25	SU	5.25	11.1%	10.4%	3.2%	.320	4.12	9.2%	1.0%	18	-1.13	3.03	249	78
Austin Amaral R 2024 · 5.94 FIP	22	SU	5.94	12.1%	14.4%	3.7%	.254	3.55	18.6%	6.3%	113	-2.39	3.53	136	78
Reece Karalus R 2018 · 4.73 FIP	24	SU	4.73	15.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	4.73	149	78
Conor Steinbaugh R 2024 · 4.74 FIP	25	SU	4.74	16.0%	9.9%	3.2%	.281	6.29	15.0%	2.1%	44	+1.55	4.74	111	78
Tom Reisinger R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	23	SW	5.44	12.1%	14.6%	2.8%	.381	6.49	10.3%	-5.6%	47	+1.05	5.44	110	78

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	59	13.2%	11.8%	1.23	5.62
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Luther Hackman ('03)	1.1	71	13.3%	10.9%	1.10	5.09
Rodney Myers ('04)	1.2	60	15.0%	10.3%	1.05	5.07
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*
Russ Swan ('89-'94, -2 WAR*)	1.3	89	12.3%*	9.9%*	1.13*	5.09*
Jim Winn ('83-'88, -1 WAR*)	1.5	77	15.1%*	11.0%*	1.09*	4.96*