Jeremy Rodriguez

SS St. Lucie Mets
Age 21 L/R 6'0" / 170 lbs A H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKNYM217.282/.355/.40031749—.201/.249/.275
202519ANYM492.202/.308/.23613444—.198/.279/.230
202620A/ROKNYM264.228/.337/.27211145—.196/.276/.233
2027PROJMLE21MLBNYM418.180/.257/.22321239-0.6
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBNYM76.182/.260/.2391248-0.2
2029PROJ48% MLB23MLBNYM152.189/.267/.2622556-0.3
Next 3 projected WAR -1.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
Whiff%79
Z-Con%77
Chase%71
K%67
BB%60
Max EV57
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.0 / P90 0.3, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 93%
CompsTerry Serrano (age 21) · Freizer Pedron (age 20) · Richard Rodriguez (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 174 proj PA
wRC+†39
AVG/OBP/SLG.178 / .255 / .221
PA174
HR1
SB5
K%24
BB%9
ISO43
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -12.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-13BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +3.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: -0.60-0.6WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M———
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-1M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKDSL Mets Orange — 202167 491053 33311 196 293413467880 174343 1516 391 52 — — — — — —
202418 ROKFCL Mets — 217195 551023 21371 178 282355400755 118335 1710 341 49 — — — — — —
202519 ASt. Lucie Mets — 492420 85721 60944 3413 202308236544 33254 1912 258 44 — — — — — —
202620 ASt. Lucie Mets — 230194 42500 32461 85 216330242573 26280 2014 274 42 — — — — — —
202620 ROKFCL Mets — 3430 9011 470 31 300382467849 167364 2112 377 63 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEDSL Mets Orange — 202178 31631 22391 196 174269258527 84213 1911 245 52 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEFCL Mets — 217204 41712 12551 178 201249275523 74270 256 241 49 — — — — — —
202519 A MLESt. Lucie Mets — 492435 86721 451214 3413 198279230509 32256 259 233 44 — — — — — —
202620 A MLESt. Lucie Mets — 230203 39400 23631 85 192278212489 20270 2710 230 42 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEFCL Mets — 3432 7011 2100 31 219265375640 156289 296 261 63 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Mets Orange — 202178 31631 22391 196 174269258527 84216 1911 245 52 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWDSL Mets Orange — 202167 491053 33311 196 293413467880 174343 1516 391 52 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEFCL Mets — 217204 41712 12551 178 201249275523 74265 256 241 49 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWFCL Mets — 217195 551023 21371 178 282355400755 118335 1710 341 49 — — — — — —
202519 A MLESt. Lucie Mets — 492435 86721 451214 3413 198279230509 32266 259 233 44 — — — — — —
202519 A RAWSt. Lucie Mets — 492420 85721 60944 3413 202308236544 33254 1912 258 44 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE2 teams — 264235 46411 25731 116 196276234510 38276 289 234 45 — — — — — —
202620 A RAW2 teams — 264224 51511 36531 116 228337272609 45291 2014 287 45 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Mets Orange — 202177 31631 22391 196 175269260529 85213 1911 245 52 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEFCL Mets — 217202 41712 12551 178 203249277526 74270 256 241 49 — — — — — —
202519 A MLESt. Lucie Mets — 492440 86721 451214 3413 195279227506 32256 259 233 44 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE2 teams — 264236 46411 25731 116 195276233509 38272 289 234 45 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEFCL Mets — 217202 41712 12551 178 203249277526 74270 256 241 49 — — — — — —
202519 A MLESt. Lucie Mets — 492440 86721 451214 3413 195279227506 32256 259 233 44 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE2 teams — 264236 46411 25731 116 195276233509 38272 289 234 45 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLENYM 0% 418376 68912 371012 125 180257223480 43238 249 226 39 -30 +0 +0 +4 +9 -0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLENYM 34% 220197 38512 20521 73 187265246511 59242 249 239 48 -14 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.6
202923 MLB MLENYM 48% 314281 54714 28732 104 194272269541 75245 239 250 56 -17 +0 +0 +3 +7 -0.6
203024 MLB MLENYM 53% 383343 68916 35882 125 199278285563 86248 239 259 61 -18 +0 +0 +4 +8 -0.5
203125 MLB MLENYM 55% 422378 761027 38973 135 203281296578 93251 239 265 65 -17 +1 +0 +5 +9 -0.3
203226 MLB MLENYM 59% 443397 811128 401023 135 205284303587 98253 239 268 68 -17 +1 +0 +5 +10 -0.2
203327 MLB MLENYM 62% 450403 821128 411043 135 204283301583 96252 239 267 67 -18 +1 +0 +5 +10 -0.3
203428 MLB MLENYM 63% 450403 821128 411053 115 203281296577 94251 239 264 65 -19 +0 -1 +5 +10 -0.5
202822 MLB CTXNYM 34% 7669 13201 7180 21 182260239500 58234 249 234 48 -5 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.2
202923 MLB CTXNYM 48% 152136 26312 14351 52 189267262529 73238 239 245 56 -8 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.3
203024 MLB CTXNYM 53% 202181 35413 18471 62 194273278551 84241 239 254 61 -9 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.2
203125 MLB CTXNYM 55% 231207 41514 21531 73 197276289565 91243 239 259 65 -10 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.2
203226 MLB CTXNYM 59% 263235 47615 24602 83 200278296574 96245 239 263 68 -10 +0 +0 +3 +6 -0.1
203327 MLB CTXNYM 62% 277248 50715 25642 83 199278293571 94244 239 262 67 -11 +0 +0 +3 +6 -0.2
203428 MLB CTXNYM 63% 283253 50715 26662 73 197276289564 92244 239 259 65 -12 +0 -0 +3 +6 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 14841329 26234625 1353439 4317 197276288564 91245 239 257 57 -64 +2 -0 +16 +32 -1.5
/ 162G— A+C — 650582 11515311 591504 197 198276290566 93245 239 257 57 -28 +1 -0 +7 +14 -0.7
Career— MLE — 40313610 714921949 36295125 16567 198275275550 77253 249 252 57 -131 +3 -1 +31 +62 -3.7
/ 162G— MLE — 650582 1151538 581534 2711 198275275550 77252 249 252 57 -30 +1 -0 +7 +14 -0.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ASt. Lucie Mets · 230 PAwOBA .270 → .230 (−40)K% 20.0% → 27.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.00%÷1.000×1.360——27.20%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.91%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0309.89%
HBP% /PA0.43%—×0.780—×1.0300.35%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷1.000×0.920×1.031×1.03024.42%
Doubles /BIP3.38%÷1.000×0.830×1.031×1.0302.98%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910×1.031×1.0300.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0300.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.

Result: wOBA .270 → .230; ISO .026 → .022; BABIP .280 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ROKFCL Mets · 34 PAwOBA .367 → .261 (−106)K% 20.6% → 29.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.59%÷1.000×1.440——29.65%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.76%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9957.26%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Singles /BIP30.43%÷1.000×0.820—×0.99524.83%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Triples /BIP4.35%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9953.11%
Home runs /BIP4.35%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9953.37%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .367 → .261; ISO .167 → .117; BABIP .364 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ASt. Lucie Mets · 492 PAwOBA .255 → .233 (−22)K% 19.1% → 24.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.11%÷1.060×1.360——24.51%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.99%÷0.953×0.690—×1.0459.07%
HBP% /PA0.81%—×0.780—×1.0450.66%
Singles /BIP23.01%÷0.977×0.920×1.032×1.04523.37%
Doubles /BIP2.15%÷0.903×0.830×1.032×1.0452.13%
Triples /BIP0.61%÷1.150×0.910×1.032×1.0450.52%
Home runs /BIP0.31%÷0.855×0.800—×1.0450.30%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 95, 2B 81, 3B 130, K 112, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.

Result: wOBA .255 → .233; ISO .033 → .031; BABIP .254 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKFCL Mets · 217 PAwOBA .332 → .241 (−91)K% 17.1% → 25.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.05%÷0.973×1.440——25.24%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.68%÷1.068×0.620—×1.0225.74%
HBP% /PA0.46%—×0.720—×1.0220.34%
Singles /BIP25.32%÷0.979×0.820×0.963×1.02220.86%
Doubles /BIP6.33%÷0.952×0.720×0.963×1.0224.71%
Triples /BIP1.27%÷0.900×0.720×0.963×1.0221.00%
Home runs /BIP1.90%÷0.974×0.780—×1.0221.55%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 96, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 95, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.

Result: wOBA .332 → .241; ISO .118 → .087; BABIP .335 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Mets Orange · 202 PAwOBA .382 → .245 (−137)K% 15.3% → 19.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.35%÷0.975×1.220——19.20%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.84%÷1.052×0.700—×1.02210.78%
HBP% /PA0.50%—×0.700—×1.0220.35%
Singles /BIP22.79%÷1.020×0.680×0.950×1.02214.77%
Doubles /BIP7.35%÷1.012×0.600×0.950×1.0224.24%
Triples /BIP3.68%÷0.949×0.600×0.950×1.0222.26%
Home runs /BIP2.21%÷1.084×0.470—×1.0220.98%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 104, 2B 102, 3B 90, K 95, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .382 → .245; ISO .174 → .098; BABIP .343 → .213. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).