Darling FernandezOF ACL Athletics
Age 20 L/L 6'2" / 190 lbs ROK HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION122 act + 81 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†56
AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .283 / .314
PA81
HR1
K%28
BB%9
BABIP284
ISO109
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -14.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-15BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -1.2 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +5.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+6REPTotal WAR: -1.00-1.0WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.3-0.42627
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 25
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT45
scouting grade only
POWER25
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Athletics 2927 5000 240 11 185241185427 217 147 182 -2
202317 ROKDSL Athletics 2926 6000 330 11 231310231541 261 1010 259 57
202418 ROKDSL Athletics 214186 381201 21353 141 204295285580 81240 1610 264 60
202418 ROKDSL Athletics 214174 461502 33243 141 264390385776 121289 1115 350 126
202519 ROKACL Athletics 155130 26321 21522 42 200320277597 77316 3414 270 65
202519 ROKACL Athletics 155119 35431 32352 42 294451403854 109400 2321 389 156
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD20 ROKOAK 122106 17710 9404 10 160252245497 85246 337 213 21 -11 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.8
YTD20 ROKOAK 122101 231010 14284 10 228345347691 119303 2311 312 97 -0 +0 +0 -1 +3 0.3
ROS20 ROKOAK 0% 8173 15311 7231 10 205283314596 109274 289 258 56 -4 +0 +0 -0 +2 -0.2
ROS20 MLBOAK 0% 01 0000 000 00 272 245 46 +0 -0
FULL20 ROKOAK 122107 17710 9404 10 159252243495 84243 337 213 21 -11 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.8
TOT20 ROKOAK 203179 321021 16635 20 178265273538 95262 318 231 35 -15 +0 +0 -1 +6 -1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202721 MLBOAK 34% 240214 431013 21653 31 201282299581 98274 279 268 63 -10 +0 +0 -1 +7 -0.4
202721 MLBOAK 34% 8274 14301 7221 10 189268270539 81271 279 256 54 -4 +0 +0 -0 +2 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career 8275 14301 7221 10 187268267535 80250 279 256 54 -4 +0 +0 -0 +2 -0.2
/ 162G 650595 1112408 551748 80 187268267535 81249 278 256 54 -34 +2 +0 -4 +18 -1.8
Career 719630 1272846 721799 235 201292287580 86268 2510 263 59 -33 +3 +0 -4 +20 -1.5
/ 162G 650570 1142545 651628 215 200291284575 84267 2510 263 59 -30 +2 +0 -4 +18 -1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Athletics 2926 6000 330 11 231310231541 261 1010 259 57 -1 -0 +1 -0.1
202418 ROKDSL Athletics 214174 461502 33243 141 264390385776 121289 1115 350 126 +6 +2 +6 1.5
202519 ROKACL Athletics 155119 35431 32352 42 294451403854 109400 2321 389 156 +10 +0 +4 1.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA
91,7564716227293367+6+83.03.5
/162664186+2.4+3.01.1pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA
61,530256231311345+3+173.53.5
/162664113+1.2+7.61.5pk7: 3
#3Gary Bennettlast yr '07
career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA
81,703206239301327+17+62.62.6
/16266482+6.7+2.41.0pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons
122824206285295-1+0-0.4-0.2
/162664610-4.0+0.0-1.3pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Darling Fernandez (OGILVIE) 20 45 25 45 60 178/265/273 95262 12 31% 8% 35 -1.0
Oswal Leones
2021 · A
20 41 36→30 46→50 46 196/259/262 66262 412 25% 7% 43 -2.2 196/259/262 66296 38 32% 7% 43 -2.2 176/243/231552712933%7%25-1.1
Deivi Estrada
2021 · A
20 46 36→30 45→50 50 213/291/275 62281 39 23% 9% 60 -1.0 190/251/259 69328 38 40% 7% 38 -2.6 146/188/204583143452%4%-7-1.2
Angel Rodriguez
2007 · A
20 47 35→30 43→45 50 215/292/277 62279 17 22% 9% 61 -1.0 212/268/280 68273 410 22% 6% 50 -1.7 206/252/2625725741421%5%37-0.7
Cristian Cano
2014 · A
20 46 36→30 44→50 48 215/293/277 63284 49 24% 8% 62 -0.9 199/259/277 78290 57 31% 6% 46 -2.0 146/196/224772214234%5%4-1.0
Cesar Ortega
2021 · A
20 47 37→30 50→55 47 222/295/295 73292 48 24% 8% 67 -0.5 211/287/287 76259 313 19% 7% 62 -0.9 195/283/2626723022115%7%51-0.6
Astolfo Inciarte
2008 · A
20 46 36→30 48→40 48 216/279/282 65287 26 24% 8% 56 -1.3 220/280/282 62267 26 17% 7% 56 -1.3 226/286/271452620413%7%53-0.7
Kelvin Alarcon
2019 · A
20 43 35→30 48→55 51 200/292/258 58284 38 28% 11% 57 -1.2 209/271/272 63327 38 34% 7% 50 -1.7 201/262/235343190834%7%34-0.6
Kleininger Teran
2009 · A
20 45 35→30 43→45 52 208/281/264 56258 25 19% 9% 53 -1.5 228/279/297 69279 24 18% 6% 59 -1.1 243/286/311682911216%5%62-0.3
Sam McDonnell
2016 · A
20 45→43 36→40 45 46 211/270/277 65283 310 25% 7% 50 -1.7 205/279/288 83286 48 27% 9% 58 -1.2 197/278/281842745727%9%53-0.7
Kyung-Min Na
2012 · A
20 51 35→30 48→55 45 235/294/298 63314 214 25% 7% 66 -0.6 202/258/274 72309 310 33% 6% 45 -2.1 125/177/176512170740%5%-17-1.4
Jordan Cowan
2015 · A
20 45→53 36→30 44→50 44 210/263/279 68277 26 24% 6% 48 -1.9 228/276/300 72301 58 24% 6% 59 -1.1 244/301/3106631551723%7%69-0.2
Isaiah Greene
2022 · A
20 47→41 35→40 44→55 46 212/286/273 61325 37 33% 9% 57 -1.2 187/282/264 77315 418 37% 11% 55 -1.4 165/271/2437828142338%12%42-1.0
Ayendy Perez
2013 · A
19 46 35→30 49→60 48 211/290/270 59283 112 24% 8% 58 -1.2 228/291/287 59290 124 20% 8% 62 -0.9 236/296/2895429503319%7%61-0.4
Andres Martinez
2015 · A
20 47 36→30 48→45 47 217/289/281 64284 38 23% 8% 60 -1.0 208/269/280 72296 39 29% 6% 52 -1.6 161/212/2226125101334%4%8-0.8
Michael De La Cruz
2016 · A
20 41 36→40 45→50 44 192/261/262 70277 49 30% 8% 43 -2.2 192/257/257 65308 310 35% 8% 40 -2.4 156/232/1883126901438%9%10-1.5
Darryl Collins
2022 · A
20 43 37→40 50→45 50 205/282/277 72258 511 21% 8% 57 -1.2 203/275/281 78270 411 24% 8% 55 -1.4 189/266/265762621926%9%47-1.1
Hector Hernandez
2016 · A
20 41 35→30 46→45 45 192/262/254 62262 27 26% 7% 43 -2.2 190/260/256 66301 38 35% 8% 42 -2.3 114/195/1493422701045%8%-12-1.3
Diego Cedeno
2012 · A
20 50 34→30 44→45 50 234/302/285 52297 210 21% 8% 66 -0.6 207/281/261 54253 17 17% 9% 52 -1.6 188/270/234462280515%9%39-1.0
Ronny Novas
2021 · A
20 46 34→30 47→55 46 215/278/269 54295 215 26% 8% 52 -1.6 198/254/255 57287 214 29% 7% 38 -2.6 155/198/1893425502037%5%-4-1.0
Jaden Rudd
2023 · A
20 40→36 40→30 50 49 191/283/285 94262 712 28% 10% 60 -1.0 181/291/247 66292 314 35% 10% 56 -1.3 157/284/2075026621636%11%41-1.2