Abraham Gaitan
P
Daytona Tortugas
Age 22
RHP
6'2" / 180 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION40 act + 19 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120110vR 101
ERA4.43
FIP4.43
K%22.2%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%13.0%
ROS IP19
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 58 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Reds | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 2.0 | 10.5% | 10.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.50 | 3.54 | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Reds | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 2.0 | 10.5% | 10.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.50 | 3.60 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Reds | 13 | 8 | 51 | 204 | 36 | 14 | 1 | 62% | 3.9 | 12.0% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 2.45 | 3.62 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Reds | 13 | 8 | 51 | 204 | 36 | 14 | 1 | 62% | 3.9 | 17.6% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 0.5% | 2.45 | 2.77 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | ACL Reds | 13 | 3 | 23 | 108 | 14 | 11 | 0 | 23% | 1.8 | 8.8% | 12.7% | -3.9% | 0.0% | 4.70 | 3.97 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | ACL Reds | 13 | 3 | 23 | 108 | 14 | 11 | 0 | 23% | 1.8 | 13.0% | 10.2% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 4.70 | 3.32 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK | ACL Reds | 16 | 0 | 32 | 141 | 36 | 9 | 8 | 0% | 2.0 | 17.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 5.06 | 5.55 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK | ACL Reds | 16 | 0 | 32 | 141 | 36 | 9 | 8 | 0% | 2.0 | 25.5% | 6.4% | 19.1% | 5.7% | 5.06 | 4.94 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 17 | 0 | 40 | 182 | 30 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 2.3 | 12.2% | 9.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 7.71 | 4.40 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | CIN | 18 | 0 | 19 | 79 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 3.0% | 4.43 | 4.43 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.2% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 3.0% | 4.43 | 4.43 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 58 | 261 | 47 | 21 | 5 | — | — | 18.2% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 2.1% | 6.67 | 4.41 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | CIN | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 8.8% | 14.3% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.28 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | CIN | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 8.8% | 14.3% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.28 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 8.8% | 14.3% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 3.89 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 8.8% | 14.3% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 3.89 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 61 | 11 | 150 | 654 | 83 | 61 | 13 | 18% | 2.5 | 12.6% | 9.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 4.80 | 4.31 | +1.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 81 | 15 | 200 | 872 | 110 | 81 | 17 | 18% | 2.5 | 12.6% | 9.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 4.80 | 4.31 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Abraham Gaitan (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.43 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 3.0% | — | 4.28 | 23.1% | 14.3% | 20 | -0.15 | — | — | — |
| Kyle Zurak R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.48 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 121 | -0.48 | 3.28 | 181 | 95 |
| Addison Russ R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.90 | 22.2% | 7.9% | 3.1% | .324 | 3.02 | 25.6% | 17.5% | 121 | -0.88 | 2.96 | 194 | 87 |
| Cody Palmquist R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.04 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 3.0% | .278 | 5.78 | 14.7% | 7.1% | 62 | +1.74 | 4.04 | 104 | 87 |
| Michael Gomez R 2026 · 3.38 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.38 | 22.6% | 9.2% | 1.9% | .283 | 3.78 | 17.9% | 8.3% | 110 | +0.40 | 3.33 | 286 | 86 |
| Luis Romero R 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.50 | 22.1% | 11.9% | 3.2% | .367 | 4.16 | 21.6% | 12.5% | 132 | -0.34 | 3.99 | 293 | 85 |
| Chris Gau R 2025 · 4.76 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.76 | 20.0% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .290 | 3.23 | 29.5% | 23.5% | 37 | -1.53 | 2.88 | 211 | 85 |
| Kevin Coulter R 2026 · 3.27 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.27 | 21.0% | 7.4% | 1.8% | .287 | 4.31 | 16.1% | 7.6% | 92 | +1.04 | 3.27 | 128 | 84 |
| Heath Holder R 2027 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .287 | 3.13 | 22.3% | 13.1% | 247 | -1.03 | 2.74 | 367 | 83 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2028 · 3.86 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.86 | 22.2% | 9.8% | 2.5% | .353 | 4.73 | 19.3% | 6.7% | 54 | +0.87 | 3.86 | 106 | 83 |
| Reece Karalus R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.74 | 18.5% | 8.6% | 3.8% | .298 | 4.94 | 14.8% | 4.1% | 103 | +0.20 | 4.74 | 149 | 83 |
| Owen Holt R 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.89 | 20.7% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .258 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 6.4% | 107 | +0.63 | 3.89 | 145 | 83 |
| Austin Hutchison R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.05 | 19.7% | 6.0% | 3.4% | .340 | 5.20 | 18.7% | 9.2% | 213 | +1.15 | 3.60 | 235 | 83 |
| Clark Beeker R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.04 | 20.0% | 7.1% | 3.2% | .270 | 4.35 | 11.6% | 6.4% | 244 | +0.31 | 4.04 | 287 | 83 |
| Zac Ryan R 2027 · 3.74 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.74 | 20.5% | 10.9% | 1.8% | .233 | 3.92 | 21.6% | 6.9% | 124 | +0.18 | 3.74 | 184 | 82 |
| David Garner R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.94 | 21.7% | 10.0% | 2.6% | .282 | 4.65 | 19.8% | 5.2% | 98 | +0.71 | 3.94 | 154 | 82 |
| Tyler Bray R 2027 · 4.08 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.08 | 22.3% | 9.1% | 3.1% | .356 | 3.17 | 17.9% | 7.6% | 114 | -0.91 | 2.81 | 152 | 82 |
| Parker Curry R 2027 · 3.68 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.68 | 22.5% | 8.2% | 2.6% | .341 | 4.68 | 18.6% | 11.6% | 193 | +1.00 | 3.68 | 256 | 82 |
| Tyler Mitzel R 2027 · 4.21 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.21 | 24.1% | 12.0% | 3.0% | .245 | 4.19 | 22.4% | 14.3% | 96 | -0.02 | 3.95 | 142 | 82 |
| Troy Bacon R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.48 | 21.8% | 10.0% | 3.6% | .349 | 5.02 | 18.2% | 5.7% | 83 | +0.54 | 3.43 | 203 | 82 |
| Colby Morris R 2028 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .291 | 5.76 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 54 | +1.53 | 4.23 | 105 | 81 |