John McHenry — OGILVIE

John McHenry2B Fredericksburg Nationals

Age 25 S/R 5'10" / 190 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 99 proj PA

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.187 / .261 / .276

PA99

HR1

K%29

BB%8

ISO90

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE46

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	31	27	3	0	0	0	3	7	1	1	0	111	226	111	337		150	23	10	164	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	31	26	4	0	0	0	4	5	1	1	0	154	290	154	444		190	16	13	231	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	2 teams	—	186	164	29	2	0	3	16	51	4	5	2	177	266	244	510	67	232	27	9	237	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	2 teams	—	186	147	33	3	0	3	32	34	4	5	2	224	375	306	681	82	268	18	17	321	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A	2 teams	—	211	181	18	6	0	2	15	96	6	10	3	99	193	166	359	66	182	45	7	169	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A	2 teams	—	211	171	22	7	0	3	25	71	6	10	3	129	262	222	485	94	186	34	12	227	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	25	MLB	WSH	—	99	90	16	3	0	1	8	28	1	2	1	178	253	244	497	67	258	28	8	249	49	-6	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	WSH	30%	136	122	25	5	1	2	11	38	2	3	1	205	281	311	593	107	262	28	8	258	56	-7	+0	+0	+0	+4	-0.2
2027	26	MLB	WSH	30%	41	37	7	1	0	1	3	11	1	1	0	189	268	297	566	108	262	27	7	249	48	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	41	37	7	1	0	1	3	11	1	1	0	189	268	297	566	108	240	27	7	249	48	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	111	16	0	16	48	174	16	16	0	189	269	298	567	109	239	27	7	249	48	-38	+3	+0	+2	+18	-1.4
Career	—			—	663	584	91	16	1	8	53	220	14	21	7	156	243	228	470	72	228	33	8	218	25	-56	+1	+0	+2	+19	-3.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	90	16	1	8	52	216	14	21	7	157	245	230	475	73	230	33	8	218	25	-55	+1	+0	+2	+18	-3.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	31	26	4	0	0	4	5	1	1	0	154	290	154	444		190	16	13	231	35	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2023	22	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	167	132	29	2	2	28	33	4	5	2	220	370	280	650	61	273	20	17	310	96	-1	+0	—	—	+5	0.4
2023	22	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	19	15	4	1	1	4	1	0	0	0	267	421	533	954	267	231	5	21	419	179	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	23	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	77	62	8	3	0	8	29	5	3	2	129	280	177	457	48	235	38	10	229	33	-6	-0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2024	23	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	134	109	14	4	3	17	42	1	7	1	128	252	248	500	119	162	31	13	226	31	-10	+1	—	—	+4	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
John McHenry (OGILVIE)	25	20	35	53	46	187/261/276	89	258	1	2	29%	8%	49	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕J.T. Arruda 2022 · A	24	39→41	38→40	54→55	42	186/251/269	83	279	5	13	33%	8%	41	-2.3	201/275/292	91	299	6	20	32%	9%	58	-1.2	205/267/297	93	281	9	23	29%	7%	52	-0.8
✕Chase Simpson 2017 · A	25	39→37	43→45	51→45	44	194/265/308	114	274	9	5	31%	8%	58	-1.2	194/252/309	115	293	11	7	35%	6%	52	-1.6	126/167/239	113	192	13	3	42%	4%	-5	-1.3
✕Oliver Dominguez 2013 · A	24	40	40	50→45	45	194/265/290	97	275	7	10	31%	8%	53	-1.5	200/256/298	98	292	8	7	32%	7%	50	-1.7	161/205/243	82	230	8	0	33%	5%	13	-1.0
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	35	36→40	52→50	40	172/231/233	61	252	4	15	32%	6%	24	-3.6	212/280/299	87	278	9	14	25%	8%	62	-0.9	207/281/290	83	267	10	16	25%	8%	57	-0.6
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	36	42→40	49→50	47	183/268/285	102	256	10	13	31%	9%	54	-1.4	203/302/300	97	289	8	11	29%	11%	72	-0.2	190/312/271	81	272	7	11	29%	13%	66	-0.4
✕Arquímedes Gamboa 2023 · AAA	25	42→44	41→40	53→50	47	203/277/300	97	290	8	12	31%	9%	60	-1.0	208/289/309	101	313	9	15	33%	10%	68	-0.5	198/288/293	95	302	8	17	34%	11%	61	-0.6
✕Julian Escobedo 2023 · AA	25	37→34	41→40	48→50	40	186/251/287	100	259	9	14	31%	6%	46	-2.0	205/270/324	119	291	11	14	32%	7%	64	-0.8	182/254/327	145	270	14	20	36%	6%	54	-0.3
✕Jackson Cluff 2022 · AA	25	40→29	40→45	49→60	37	191/259/277	86	288	7	12	34%	6%	48	-1.9	177/254/283	106	281	10	16	38%	8%	47	-1.9	181/273/314	133	265	15	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Jerome Pena 2014 · A	25	39→34	38→40	46→45	40	190/248/268	78	283	6	8	34%	7%	40	-2.4	204/260/305	101	326	8	8	37%	7%	54	-1.4	193/255/321	127	323	12	7	41%	7%	53	-0.5
✕Chris Givin 2022 · AA	25	38	38→30	50→45	42	186/246/261	75	259	6	6	30%	7%	37	-2.6	202/265/279	77	274	6	7	26%	7%	50	-1.8	195/263/252	57	256	4	5	24%	8%	40	-1.1
✕Chris Roller 2022 · AA	25	38	39→50	53→55	39	187/246/274	87	273	6	16	32%	6%	40	-2.4	190/267/311	121	291	12	16	36%	8%	60	-1.0	179/262/313	134	284	16	16	40%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Matt Whatley 2021 · A	25	39→36	37→40	52→50	47	185/262/257	71	256	5	15	28%	8%	43	-2.2	191/254/274	83	276	8	10	32%	7%	44	-2.1	167/230/254	87	226	12	8	31%	6%	27	-1.2
✕Estarlin De Los Santos 2012 · AA	25	41→40	36→40	48→55	38	196/239/267	71	279	3	13	30%	5%	34	-2.8	201/248/279	78	271	6	11	27%	5%	42	-2.3	191/234/249	58	249	5	10	25%	4%	24	-1.8
✕Robbie Shields 2013 · A	25	42→36	39→40	47→45	44	205/260/294	89	264	6	8	24%	6%	51	-1.7	196/249/271	75	276	4	7	28%	6%	40	-2.4	175/225/238	62	250	2	5	29%	6%	17	-2.4
✕Luis Mendez 2018 · AA	25	42	37→30	47→50	44	203/263/276	72	274	5	12	27%	7%	48	-1.9	211/268/310	99	299	9	10	31%	7%	59	-1.1	197/253/279	82	279	8	7	31%	6%	41	-1.0
✕Jan Vázquez 2016 · AA	25	40	41→40	43→45	41	195/268/292	97	287	9	7	33%	7%	55	-1.4	215/288/307	92	290	7	9	27%	7%	68	-0.5	211/289/296	86	282	7	7	26%	7%	61	-0.3
✕Tyler Friis 2021 · AA	25	44	40	47→50	51	212/281/303	91	257	7	12	20%	8%	63	-0.9	223/278/310	87	295	6	17	24%	7%	63	-0.9	232/278/291	59	306	0	30	23%	6%	56	-0.3
✕Matthew Morizio 2009 · A	25	40	38→40	48→50	47	193/266/271	77	258	5	9	26%	8%	49	-1.8	188/257/262	74	249	4	9	24%	7%	43	-2.2	119/196/142	23	155	0	3	21%	7%	-15	-1.3
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2023 · A	25	41→43	39→45	47→50	45	200/275/283	83	276	7	13	29%	8%	56	-1.3	207/278/312	105	288	10	11	30%	8%	64	-0.8	165/242/293	128	222	16	8	33%	8%	42	-0.6
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	37→28	42→45	48→50	40	187/248/281	94	262	11	15	32%	6%	43	-2.2	194/265/312	118	265	14	14	31%	8%	59	-1.1	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5