Turner Hill
OF Sacramento River Cats| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25 | AAA/AA/A+SF | 449 | .265/.370/.360 | 3 | 30 | 71 | — | .226/.308/.294 |
| 2025 | 26 | AA/ROKSF | 336 | .265/.370/.375 | 2 | 20 | 79 | — | .237/.318/.319 |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA/AASF | 407 | .352/.429/.530 | 9 | 24 | 135 | — | .325/.382/.466 |
| 2026 | 27 | MLBSF | 124 | .219/.317/.314 | 1 | 2 | 80 | -0.4 | |
| 2027PROJ45% MLB | 28 | MLBSF | 70 | .245/.315/.350 | 1 | 3 | 92 | 0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ53% MLB | 29 | MLBSF | 258 | .243/.313/.347 | 3 | 9 | 90 | 0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ58% MLB | 30 | MLBSF | 157 | .240/.309/.342 | 2 | 5 | 88 | -0.0 |
Tools · Recent Form · ContractCON 55 / POW 35
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 24 | A | San Jose Giants | — | 347 | 300 | 86 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 27 | 9 | 287 | 376 | 370 | 746 | 83 | 317 | 9 | 11 | 338 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 20 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 188 | 235 | 188 | 423 | 188 | 10 | 5 | 171 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 222 | 188 | 50 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 31 | 6 | 14 | 3 | 266 | 367 | 324 | 691 | 59 | 314 | 14 | 11 | 317 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | — | 207 | 174 | 47 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 21 | 4 | 15 | 4 | 270 | 383 | 414 | 797 | 144 | 293 | 10 | 14 | 360 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 314 | 266 | 68 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 36 | 32 | 7 | 18 | 6 | 256 | 359 | 357 | 716 | 102 | 281 | 10 | 11 | 324 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | ROK | ACL Giants | — | 22 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 412 | 524 | 647 | 1.171 | 235 | 438 | 9 | 18 | 484 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | — | 124 | 105 | 23 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 219 | 317 | 314 | 631 | 95 | 253 | 17 | 10 | 284 | 80 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +3 | -0.4 |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 365 | 323 | 114 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 37 | 31 | 2 | 23 | 5 | 353 | 423 | 529 | 952 | 176 | 368 | 8 | 10 | 417 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 42 | 32 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 344 | 488 | 531 | 1.019 | 188 | 393 | 12 | 19 | 439 | 158 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 124 | 105 | 23 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 219 | 317 | 314 | 631 | 95 | 253 | 17 | 10 | 284 | 78 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +3 | -0.4 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 24 | A MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 347 | 312 | 77 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 45 | 6 | 27 | 9 | 247 | 315 | 317 | 632 | 71 | 282 | 13 | 7 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 20 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 250 | 294 | 250 | 544 | 189 | 10 | 5 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 222 | 195 | 46 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 37 | 6 | 14 | 3 | 236 | 317 | 282 | 599 | 46 | 284 | 17 | 8 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ MLE | Eugene Emeralds | — | 207 | 183 | 39 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 29 | 4 | 15 | 4 | 213 | 301 | 311 | 612 | 98 | 246 | 14 | 9 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 314 | 276 | 64 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 38 | 7 | 18 | 6 | 232 | 314 | 308 | 622 | 76 | 257 | 12 | 8 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | ROK MLE | ACL Giants | — | 22 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 316 | 381 | 474 | 855 | 158 | 310 | 14 | 9 | 360 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB MLE | San Francisco Giants | — | 124 | 105 | 23 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 219 | 317 | 314 | 631 | 95 | 253 | 17 | 10 | 286 | 80 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +3 | -0.4 |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 365 | 334 | 109 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 37 | 2 | 23 | 5 | 326 | 378 | 464 | 843 | 138 | 346 | 10 | 7 | 364 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 42 | 35 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 314 | 415 | 486 | 900 | 171 | 365 | 14 | 12 | 402 | 158 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 347 | 312 | 77 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 45 | 6 | 27 | 9 | 247 | 315 | 317 | 632 | 71 | 286 | 13 | 7 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A RAW | San Jose Giants | — | 347 | 300 | 86 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 27 | 9 | 287 | 376 | 370 | 746 | 83 | 317 | 9 | 11 | 338 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 449 | 394 | 90 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 68 | 10 | 30 | 7 | 228 | 311 | 299 | 610 | 71 | 268 | 15 | 8 | 274 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 449 | 378 | 100 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 53 | 54 | 10 | 30 | 7 | 265 | 370 | 360 | 729 | 95 | 298 | 12 | 12 | 330 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 336 | 295 | 70 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 41 | 7 | 20 | 6 | 237 | 318 | 319 | 637 | 81 | 268 | 12 | 8 | 284 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 336 | 283 | 75 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 34 | 7 | 20 | 6 | 265 | 370 | 375 | 744 | 110 | 291 | 10 | 12 | 335 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 531 | 475 | 143 | 28 | 6 | 8 | 43 | 64 | 5 | 26 | 6 | 301 | 365 | 436 | 801 | 135 | 329 | 12 | 8 | 349 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 531 | 460 | 148 | 31 | 6 | 10 | 58 | 57 | 5 | 26 | 6 | 322 | 403 | 480 | 884 | 159 | 345 | 11 | 11 | 388 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 347 | 313 | 77 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 45 | 6 | 27 | 9 | 246 | 315 | 316 | 631 | 70 | 282 | 13 | 7 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 449 | 399 | 90 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 68 | 10 | 30 | 7 | 226 | 311 | 296 | 606 | 70 | 262 | 15 | 8 | 274 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 336 | 298 | 70 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 41 | 7 | 20 | 6 | 235 | 318 | 315 | 634 | 81 | 260 | 12 | 8 | 284 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 531 | 478 | 143 | 28 | 6 | 8 | 43 | 64 | 5 | 26 | 6 | 299 | 365 | 433 | 798 | 134 | 326 | 12 | 8 | 349 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 449 | 399 | 90 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 68 | 10 | 30 | 7 | 226 | 311 | 296 | 606 | 70 | 262 | 15 | 8 | 274 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 336 | 298 | 70 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 41 | 7 | 20 | 6 | 235 | 318 | 315 | 634 | 81 | 260 | 12 | 8 | 284 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 531 | 478 | 143 | 28 | 6 | 8 | 43 | 64 | 5 | 26 | 6 | 299 | 365 | 433 | 798 | 134 | 326 | 12 | 8 | 349 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB MLE | SF | 45% | 380 | 342 | 86 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 31 | 61 | 4 | 16 | 3 | 249 | 319 | 357 | 676 | 108 | 288 | 16 | 8 | 304 | 92 | -4 | +2 | +0 | -2 | +8 | 0.3 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB CTX | SF | 45% | 70 | 63 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 245 | 315 | 350 | 666 | 105 | 284 | 16 | 9 | 300 | 92 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +2 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 29 | MLB MLE | SF | 53% | 487 | 439 | 108 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 40 | 81 | 5 | 18 | 4 | 246 | 316 | 354 | 670 | 107 | 287 | 17 | 8 | 302 | 90 | -6 | +2 | -1 | -3 | +11 | 0.3 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB MLE | SF | 58% | 272 | 245 | 59 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 47 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 243 | 313 | 349 | 661 | 105 | 286 | 17 | 8 | 298 | 88 | -4 | +1 | -2 | -2 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB CTX | SF | 53% | 258 | 232 | 56 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 43 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 243 | 313 | 347 | 659 | 104 | 283 | 17 | 8 | 298 | 90 | -3 | +1 | -1 | -2 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB CTX | SF | 58% | 157 | 141 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 27 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 240 | 309 | 342 | 651 | 102 | 282 | 17 | 8 | 294 | 88 | -2 | +1 | -1 | -1 | +3 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 539 | 478 | 112 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 47 | 91 | 7 | 16 | 4 | 234 | 312 | 335 | 647 | 100 | 274 | 17 | 9 | 293 | 90 | -8 | +2 | -2 | -6 | +12 | -0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 576 | 135 | 29 | 4 | 7 | 57 | 110 | 8 | 19 | 5 | 234 | 312 | 335 | 647 | 101 | 275 | 17 | 9 | 293 | 90 | -10 | +2 | -2 | -7 | +14 | -0.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2577 | 2299 | 581 | 110 | 23 | 22 | 208 | 371 | 38 | 136 | 35 | 253 | 325 | 349 | 674 | 97 | 290 | 14 | 8 | 301 | 90 | -14 | +4 | -3 | -9 | +22 | -0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 580 | 147 | 28 | 6 | 6 | 52 | 94 | 10 | 34 | 9 | 253 | 326 | 353 | 679 | 100 | 291 | 14 | 8 | 301 | 90 | -9 | +2 | -2 | -5 | +14 | -0.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAASacramento River Cats · 365 PAwOBA .408 → .364 (−45)K% 8.5% → 10.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.49% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 10.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 7.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.55% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.037 | ×1.003 | 26.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.037 | ×1.003 | 6.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.37% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.037 | ×1.003 | 1.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 2.16% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.
Result: wOBA .408 → .364; ISO .176 → .147; BABIP .368 → .346. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 42 PAwOBA .433 → .402 (−32)K% 11.9% → 14.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.90% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 14.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 11.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.38% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 1.98% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.93% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.978 | 24.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.978 | 6.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 7.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.978 | 6.88% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .433 → .402; ISO .188 → .189; BABIP .393 → .365. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 314 PAwOBA .320 → .279 (−41)K% 10.2% → 12.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.19% | ÷1.018 | ×1.220 | — | — | 12.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.46% | ÷0.962 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 8.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.23% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 1.87% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.37% | ÷1.004 | ×0.970 | ×0.988 | ×0.988 | 20.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.70% | ÷0.992 | ×0.860 | ×0.988 | ×0.988 | 3.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.14% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | ×0.988 | 1.72% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.85% | ÷1.183 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 0.56% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 101, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 104, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .320 → .279; ISO .102 → .083; BABIP .281 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKACL Giants · 22 PAwOBA .494 → .360 (−134)K% 9.1% → 12.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.09% | ÷1.045 | ×1.440 | — | — | 12.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.18% | ÷1.070 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.940 | 9.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.042 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.940 | 14.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 26.67% | ÷1.001 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 18.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.128 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 108, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 109, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .494 → .360; ISO .235 → .181; BABIP .438 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 222 PAwOBA .313 → .273 (−40)K% 14.0% → 16.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.96% | ÷1.025 | ×1.220 | — | — | 16.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.81% | ÷0.988 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 7.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.70% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 2.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.11% | ÷0.999 | ×0.970 | ×0.956 | ×0.998 | 24.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.46% | ÷1.110 | ×0.860 | ×0.956 | ×0.998 | 3.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.27% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.956 | ×0.998 | 1.28% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.062 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 100, 2B 122, 3B 80, K 105, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.956.
Result: wOBA .313 → .273; ISO .059 → .051; BABIP .314 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Eugene Emeralds · 207 PAwOBA .351 → .281 (−71)K% 10.1% → 14.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.14% | ÷0.968 | ×1.350 | — | — | 14.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.53% | ÷1.024 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 9.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.93% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.978 | 1.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.61% | ÷1.016 | ×0.910 | ×0.976 | ×0.978 | 16.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.84% | ÷0.950 | ×0.830 | ×0.976 | ×0.978 | 6.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.31% | ÷1.150 | ×0.820 | ×0.976 | ×0.978 | 0.89% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.96% | ÷1.010 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.978 | 1.58% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 103, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 94, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.
Result: wOBA .351 → .281; ISO .144 → .117; BABIP .293 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAASacramento River Cats · 20 PAwOBA .185 → .203 (+18)K% 10.0% → 11.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.081 | ×1.200 | — | — | 11.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.00% | ÷1.032 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 3.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.43% | ÷0.976 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.033 | 21.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.052 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.091 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.010 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 95, 2B 110, 3B 118, K 116, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .185 → .203; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .188 → .189. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ASan Jose Giants · 347 PAwOBA .332 → .280 (−52)K% 8.9% → 13.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.93% | ÷0.935 | ×1.360 | — | — | 12.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.66% | ÷1.011 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 7.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.73% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 1.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.79% | ÷1.049 | ×0.920 | ×1.041 | ×0.980 | 21.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.06% | ÷1.005 | ×0.830 | ×1.041 | ×0.980 | 5.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.12% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×1.041 | ×0.980 | 1.15% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.890 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 110, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 87, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.041.
Result: wOBA .332 → .280; ISO .083 → .075; BABIP .317 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).