Turner Hill — OGILVIE

Turner HillOF Sacramento River Cats

Age 27 L/L 5'10" / 198 lbs AAA HR -8%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION311 act + 207 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†102

AVG/OBP/SLG.259 / .331 / .356

PA207

HR2

SB10

K%13

BB%8

BABIP292

ISO97

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.1	$8M	+$7M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$6M	+$6M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$16M	+$14M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	24	A	San Jose Giants	—	347	311	74	16	3	0	26	48	6	27	9	238	309	309	618	71	279	14	7	273	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A	San Jose Giants	—	347	300	86	19	3	0	37	31	6	27	9	287	376	370	746	83	317	9	11	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	3 teams	—	449	397	88	15	4	2	34	72	10	30	7	222	299	295	594	73	263	16	8	263	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	3 teams	—	449	378	100	19	4	3	53	54	10	30	7	265	370	360	729	95	298	12	12	330	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	2 teams	—	336	294	68	13	4	1	29	43	7	20	6	231	315	313	628	82	264	13	9	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	2 teams	—	336	283	75	15	5	2	40	34	7	20	6	265	370	375	744	110	291	10	12	335	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	AAA	SF	—	311	279	83	13	5	5	26	35	3	19	2	297	364	434	797	136	324	11	8	343	120	+7	+3	+0	-2	+9	1.7
YTD	27	AAA	SF	—	311	268	88	15	5	6	37	27	3	19	2	328	416	489	904	160	346	9	12	399	163	+22	+3	+0	-2	+9	3.3
ROS	27	AAA	SF	10%	207	185	48	8	2	2	17	27	3	10	2	259	331	356	687	97	298	13	8	318	102	+0	+1	+0	-1	+6	0.6
ROS	27	MLB	SF	10%	21	19	5	1	0	0	2	3	0	1	0	263	333	316	649	53	293	14	10	304	91	-0	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.0
FULL	27	AAA	SF	—	332	298	88	14	5	5	28	38	3	20	2	295	362	426	788	131	323	11	8	340	119	+7	+3	+0	-2	+9	1.8
TOT	27	AAA	SF	—	518	464	131	21	7	7	43	62	6	29	4	282	351	403	753	121	311	12	8	333	113	+8	+4	+0	-3	+15	2.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	SF	31%	471	423	110	19	5	6	39	67	6	21	4	260	331	371	702	111	296	14	8	315	99	-0	+3	-1	-3	+13	1.2
2028	29	MLB	SF	40%	490	440	113	20	5	6	41	74	6	20	4	257	329	366	694	109	295	15	8	314	99	-1	+2	-1	-3	+14	1.1
2029	30	MLB	SF	45%	498	447	115	20	5	7	42	79	6	18	3	257	329	371	701	114	294	16	8	312	97	-2	+2	-2	-3	+14	1.0
2030	31	MLB	SF	47%	500	448	113	20	5	6	42	81	6	16	3	252	325	359	684	107	292	16	8	308	94	-3	+2	-3	-3	+14	0.7
2027	28	MLB	SF	31%	146	131	34	6	2	2	12	21	2	6	1	260	331	382	713	122	291	14	8	302	89	-2	+1	-0	-1	+4	0.2
2028	29	MLB	SF	40%	194	174	44	8	2	2	16	29	2	8	1	253	323	356	679	103	290	15	8	301	88	-3	+1	-1	-1	+5	0.2
2029	30	MLB	SF	45%	222	198	50	9	2	3	19	35	3	8	1	253	327	364	691	111	289	16	9	298	87	-3	+1	-1	-1	+6	0.2
2030	31	MLB	SF	47%	237	212	52	9	2	3	20	39	3	8	1	245	319	349	668	104	287	16	8	295	84	-4	+1	-1	-1	+7	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	820	734	185	33	8	10	69	127	10	31	4	252	325	360	684	108	291	15	8	299	87	-12	+5	-3	-5	+23	0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	146	26	6	8	55	101	8	25	3	251	324	357	681	107	290	16	8	299	87	-10	+4	-2	-4	+18	0.6
Career	—			—	3298	2945	729	131	33	30	270	491	50	162	38	248	321	345	666	97	286	15	8	299	87	-49	+17	-7	-20	+93	3.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	144	26	7	6	53	97	10	32	7	248	322	348	670	100	287	15	8	299	87	-10	+4	-1	-4	+18	0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	24	A	San Jose Giants	—	347	300	86	19	3	0	37	31	6	27	9	287	376	370	746	83	317	9	11	338	117	+7	+2	—	—	+10	1.9
2024	25	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	20	16	3	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	188	235	188	423		188	10	5	171	-11	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	25	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	222	188	50	7	2	0	24	31	6	14	3	266	367	324	691	59	314	14	11	317	101	+0	+2	—	—	+6	0.8
2024	25	A+	Eugene Emeralds	—	207	174	47	12	2	3	28	21	4	15	4	270	383	414	797	144	293	10	14	360	134	+8	+1	—	—	+6	1.5
2025	26	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	314	266	68	11	5	2	36	32	7	18	6	256	359	357	716	102	281	10	11	324	106	+2	+1	—	—	+9	1.3
2025	26	ROK	ACL Giants	—	22	17	7	4	0	0	4	2	0	2	0	412	524	647	1.171	235	438	9	18	484	228	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	6	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
	/162	664	16	27	245	323	394	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
#2Desi Relafordlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,443 PA	6	2,443	34	64	246	329	356	-1	-7	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	9	17	246	329	356	-0.3	-1.8	1.4	pk7: 5
#3Luis Matoslast yr '06 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,740 PA	6	1,740	30	71	258	315	379	+1	+1	4.6	4.6
#3Luis Matoslast yr '06 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,740 PA	/162	664	11	27	258	315	379	+0.4	+0.2	1.7	pk7: 5
#4Damian Jacksonlast yr '06 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,930 PA	6	1,930	21	95	248	324	354	-6	-5	3.6	3.6
	/162	664	7	33	248	324	354	-1.9	-1.6	1.2	pk7: 4
#5Chris Singletonlast yr '05 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,909 PA	5	1,909	28	61	265	308	392	-9	-3	3.3	3.3
	/162	664	10	21	265	308	392	-3.0	-1.2	1.2	pk7: 3
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	824	10	31	256	325	366	-5	+0	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	8	25	256	325	366	-4.0	+0.0	1.4	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Turner Hill (OGILVIE)	27	55	35	60	50	282/351/403	121	311	7	29	12%	8%	113	+2.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Matt Young 2010 · AAA	27	55→60	39→40	57→60	55	258/334/353	94	300	4	25	15%	9%	97	+1.5	252/322/337	85	300	3	26	16%	9%	89	+0.9	250/322/322	72	304	2	26	17%	9%	81	+0.3
✕Chris Getz 2011 · MLB	27	53→56	39→40	58→60	52	250/311/335	85	281	5	27	13%	7%	83	+0.6	246/300/312	66	275	3	26	11%	7%	72	-0.2	247/293/314	66	276	2	31	10%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Tony Gwynn Jr. 2010 · MLB	27	54→57	36→40	55→60	52	254/316/322	68	298	3	22	16%	8%	81	+0.4	241/307/326	85	289	5	27	17%	9%	79	+0.3	244/299/315	71	304	2	27	19%	7%	68	-0.3
✕Brandon Roberts 2012 · AAA	27	54→57	38→40	53→55	44	258/307/336	78	308	5	23	18%	5%	82	+0.5	231/285/311	80	279	5	20	18%	6%	66	-0.6	224/283/282	58	268	0	25	15%	6%	55	-0.6
✕Kyle Wren 2018 · AAA	27	51→58	37→40	57→60	48	238/294/310	72	295	4	25	20%	7%	69	-0.4	225/277/310	85	303	6	17	26%	6%	62	-0.9	229/275/299	70	316	3	17	27%	6%	58	-0.6
✕Jose Constanza 2011 · AAA	27	57→63	35→40	63→60	50	268/316/338	70	314	2	33	15%	7%	85	+0.7	269/311/328	59	318	3	27	15%	6%	79	+0.3	271/312/315	44	321	2	27	15%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Nicky Lopez 2023 · MLB	28	54→64	36→40	55	52	253/312/322	70	291	3	17	14%	8%	80	+0.4	239/309/308	69	282	3	12	15%	8%	76	+0.0	250/314/308	57	296	2	10	15%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Brad Coon 2010 · AAA	27	53→57	37→40	52→60	50	249/313/318	69	302	5	24	19%	8%	79	+0.3	224/289/301	77	290	5	16	23%	8%	65	-0.7	211/281/283	72	278	4	16	23%	8%	54	-0.9
✕Endy Chavez 2005 · MLB	27	55→63	40→45	58→55	50	259/301/362	103	276	7	26	9%	6%	85	+0.7	262/306/366	104	286	6	20	10%	6%	89	+0.9	281/323/374	93	307	4	16	9%	6%	91	+0.5
✕Will Rhymes 2010 · AAA	27	53→60	38→40	54→55	47	251/295/330	79	291	4	18	15%	6%	74	-0.1	259/311/347	88	292	4	15	12%	7%	85	+0.7	264/321/350	86	293	4	13	11%	7%	88	+0.7
●Michael Spidale 2009 · AAA	27	54→64	40	58→55	46	259/302/353	93	290	7	20	13%	5%	83	+0.6	275/312/354	79	317	5	20	14%	4%	88	+0.9	301/338/368	67	347	3	21	14%	4%	98	+1.3
✕Craig Gentry 2011 · MLB	27	51→56	40	57→60	45	245/303/334	89	294	7	25	19%	6%	80	+0.4	253/320/341	88	306	5	32	18%	7%	89	+0.9	272/345/345	73	330	2	40	17%	7%	95	+0.7
✕Mike Rodriguez 2008 · AAA	27	50→53	39→40	56→55	48	235/286/329	94	271	6	22	16%	6%	70	-0.3	224/265/319	95	278	7	14	21%	5%	59	-1.1	220/255/305	85	275	5	11	22%	4%	48	-1.3
✕Tyler Bortnick 2014 · AAA	27	50→60	39→45	60→55	51	234/314/329	95	293	5	25	20%	9%	83	+0.6	229/295/318	89	296	6	19	23%	8%	72	-0.2	247/304/342	95	308	8	16	21%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Evan Frey 2013 · AAA	27	49→59	35→40	54→55	51	226/293/287	61	283	2	24	20%	8%	63	-0.9	213/272/275	62	274	3	19	21%	8%	51	-1.7	202/260/246	43	263	1	19	22%	7%	35	-1.2
✕Myles Straw 2023 · MLB	28	51→60	36→40	56→60	55	239/311/308	69	287	3	23	17%	10%	76	+0.1	230/291/307	77	289	4	23	20%	8%	67	-0.5	226/280/314	88	283	6	25	21%	7%	62	-0.5
✕Kennard Bibbs 2006 · AA	26	53→57	38→40	55	47	250/296/337	87	293	3	21	16%	6%	76	+0.1	226/284/305	79	277	4	21	19%	7%	64	-0.8	206/273/252	46	256	2	28	19%	7%	43	-1.1
✕Julio Borbon 2012 · MLB	26	55→62	38→45	59→60	47	261/306/343	82	298	4	30	14%	5%	82	+0.5	256/300/353	97	297	8	24	16%	6%	82	+0.5	260/303/345	84	303	7	26	16%	6%	78	+0.2
✕Raimel Tapia 2022 · MLB	28	51→61	40→45	53→55	50	244/298/334	90	281	7	19	16%	7%	77	+0.1	246/297/354	108	296	10	19	20%	7%	82	+0.5	247/295/355	107	303	11	20	21%	6%	79	+0.2
✕Rafael Ortega 2018 · MLB	27	51→54	39→55	55	49	242/292/339	97	279	5	22	15%	6%	76	+0.0	232/291/367	135	271	12	18	19%	8%	83	+0.6	240/312/405	165	285	19	17	23%	9%	98	+1.2