Adam Retzbach — OGILVIE

Adam RetzbachC Chesapeake Baysox

Age 25 R/R 6'4" / 220 lbs AA HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION225 act + 150 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†35

AVG/OBP/SLG.158 / .248 / .248

PA150

HR2

K%43

BB%8

BABIP279

ISO90

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	43	33	6	2	0	0	7	18	3	1	0	182	372	242	615	61	400	42	16	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	43	30	6	2	0	0	10	14	3	1	0	200	442	267	709	67	375	33	23	357	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	2 teams	—	122	111	16	3	2	2	9	69	1	2	1	144	215	261	476	117	341	57	7	199	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	2 teams	—	122	106	22	4	2	2	14	50	1	2	1	208	306	340	645	132	364	41	11	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	2 teams	—	313	270	31	6	2	5	33	162	5	2	1	115	224	207	431	93	245	52	11	201	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	2 teams	—	313	258	46	9	4	7	45	119	5	2	1	178	312	326	637	147	289	38	14	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Chesapeake Baysox	—	446	393	80	18	1	8	32	167	14	3	1	204	287	316	603	112	326	37	7	263	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Chesapeake Baysox	—	446	380	84	19	1	13	45	141	14	3	1	221	326	379	705	158	310	32	10	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	AA	BAL	—	225	196	27	5	1	3	17	102	7	1	0	138	232	219	451	82	258	45	8	208	17	-21	+0	+0	+4	+6	-1.1
YTD	25	AA	BAL	—	225	188	32	6	1	4	25	79	7	1	0	170	291	277	568	106	262	35	11	263	60	-10	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.0
ROS	25	AA	BAL	2%	150	133	21	4	1	2	12	64	4	1	0	158	248	248	496	90	272	43	8	231	35	-11	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.4
ROS	25	MLB	BAL	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						276	33	0	216	23	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	25	AA	BAL	—	228	199	27	5	1	3	17	103	7	1	0	136	229	216	445	80	253	45	7	208	17	-21	+0	+0	+4	+6	-1.1
TOT	25	AA	BAL	—	375	329	48	9	2	5	29	166	11	2	0	146	238	231	469	85	267	44	8	217	24	-32	+0	+0	+7	+11	-1.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	BAL	31%	364	323	55	11	2	7	30	148	8	3	1	170	258	282	539	111	275	41	8	244	45	-23	+0	+0	+7	+10	-0.6
2028	27	MLB	BAL	42%	388	345	60	12	2	8	32	153	8	4	1	174	260	290	550	116	277	39	8	250	49	-22	+0	+0	+7	+11	-0.4
2029	28	MLB	BAL	48%	400	355	62	12	2	8	34	155	8	5	1	175	262	287	549	113	277	39	8	252	51	-22	+1	-1	+7	+11	-0.4
2027	26	MLB	BAL	31%	113	101	16	3	0	2	9	46	2	1	0	158	241	248	489	89	280	41	8	231	35	-8	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.3
2028	27	MLB	BAL	42%	163	146	25	5	1	3	13	64	3	2	0	171	253	281	534	110	281	39	8	238	40	-11	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.3
2029	28	MLB	BAL	48%	191	169	30	6	1	4	16	74	4	2	1	178	265	296	560	118	282	39	8	241	43	-12	+0	-0	+3	+5	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	470	419	71	14	2	9	38	185	9	5	1	169	253	277	530	107	272	39	8	237	40	-32	+1	-0	+8	+13	-1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	98	19	3	12	53	256	12	7	1	169	253	275	527	105	273	39	8	237	40	-44	+1	-0	+12	+18	-1.4
Career	—			—	2226	1963	331	68	12	40	189	936	51	21	6	169	259	277	536	108	291	42	8	242	43	-143	+2	-1	+40	+63	-4.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	98	20	4	12	55	273	15	6	2	171	261	283	544	112	295	42	8	242	43	-42	+0	-0	+12	+18	-1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	43	30	6	2	0	0	10	14	3	1	0	200	442	267	709	67	375	33	23	357	132	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	22	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	102	90	20	4	2	2	10	42	1	2	0	222	307	378	685	156	383	41	10	305	92	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
2023	22	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	20	16	2	0	0	0	4	8	0	0	1	125	300	125	425		250	40	20	230	34	-1	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	23	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	18	17	2	0	0	0	0	9	1	0	0	118	167	118	284		250	50	0	141	-34	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	23	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	295	241	44	9	4	7	45	110	4	2	1	183	321	340	661	158	291	37	15	300	88	-4	+0	—	—	+8	0.4
2025	24	AA	Chesapeake Baysox	—	446	380	84	19	1	13	45	141	14	3	1	221	326	379	705	158	310	32	10	316	100	-0	+0	—	—	+13	1.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	15	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.3	10.9
	/162	664	12	3	194	253	300	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#4J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	474	9	5	173	257	284	+8	+4	-0.6	-0.3
	/162	664	13	7	173	257	284	+11.9	+5.6	-0.8	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Adam Retzbach (OGILVIE)	25	35	45	45	45	146/238/231	85	267	5	2	44%	8%	24	-1.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cooper Johnson 2023 · AA	25	37	39→50	45→40	42	171/257/255	84	300	6	5	41%	9%	42	-2.3	183/266/304	121	296	13	6	39%	9%	58	-1.2	171/259/303	132	252	15	4	36%	10%	52	-0.7
✕Joe Cronin 2019 · AA	25	38	40→45	45→50	44	181/274/268	88	287	8	7	37%	9%	53	-1.5	196/278/301	105	300	9	11	35%	8%	62	-0.9	171/260/279	108	256	10	13	35%	9%	46	-1.0
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	34	40→45	50→45	38	172/234/264	91	270	8	7	38%	7%	33	-2.9	198/262/311	113	286	10	8	32%	7%	57	-1.2	182/252/296	114	256	10	5	31%	7%	45	-1.0
✕Blake Forsythe 2014 · AA	25	36→37	45	50→30	39	184/246/308	124	280	12	4	38%	7%	50	-1.8	197/249/310	113	314	11	5	39%	6%	51	-1.7	182/235/278	96	304	10	0	42%	6%	33	-1.3
✕Rylan Sandoval 2013 · AA	25	38	41→40	45	35	187/242/284	97	286	9	5	36%	5%	42	-2.3	210/261/294	84	310	6	8	32%	6%	52	-1.6	210/261/280	69	308	5	8	31%	5%	44	-0.8
✕Garrett Wolforth 2023 · AA	25	34	45	44→40	35	170/237/294	124	298	13	4	45%	7%	43	-2.2	190/246/293	103	313	9	7	40%	6%	46	-2.0	171/213/252	80	273	6	6	38%	4%	17	-1.4
✕Edwin Díaz 2021 · AA	25	35→31	45→50	49→40	36	179/242/305	127	289	13	5	41%	7%	48	-1.9	173/227/316	143	304	19	5	47%	6%	44	-2.1	158/222/310	152	235	22	4	42%	7%	38	-1.2
✕Allan de San Miguel 2012 · AAA	24	38	41→45	46→40	43	179/267/274	95	300	9	4	40%	10%	51	-1.7	200/274/311	111	297	11	7	34%	8%	63	-0.8	182/256/284	102	254	10	5	31%	7%	46	-0.7
✕Trevor Schwecke 2023 · AAA	25	39	44→45	41→50	39	195/257/308	113	291	11	6	35%	7%	54	-1.4	218/275/332	114	316	10	14	32%	6%	68	-0.5	223/280/335	112	320	9	17	31%	6%	68	-0.3
✕Connor Kaiser 2022 · AA	25	36	44→45	47→50	43	187/255/303	116	259	12	5	32%	8%	53	-1.5	191/267/312	121	296	14	14	37%	9%	60	-1.0	169/257/271	103	275	11	16	40%	10%	43	-1.1
✕C.J. Stubbs 2022 · AA	25	37	43→45	45→50	32	176/233/284	108	316	11	9	46%	6%	38	-2.6	158/241/281	123	301	15	14	49%	8%	42	-2.3	141/235/255	115	241	14	11	44%	8%	31	-1.6
✕Gunnar Heidt 2018 · AA	25	37→39	42→45	47→50	38	186/242/289	103	277	10	12	35%	6%	43	-2.2	197/252/301	104	308	9	13	37%	6%	50	-1.8	206/260/308	103	297	8	9	32%	6%	52	-1.0
✕Cadyn Grenier 2022 · AAA	25	41→39	40	48→50	39	190/264/282	92	318	8	10	40%	8%	51	-1.7	201/280/301	100	296	8	13	32%	9%	63	-0.9	184/275/280	96	259	7	16	29%	10%	53	-1.0
✕Matt Winn 2018 · AAA	25	36→34	46→50	45→30	37	186/245/315	128	292	15	3	40%	7%	51	-1.7	179/240/298	119	346	12	3	48%	7%	44	-2.1	147/210/266	119	303	12	0	52%	7%	21	-1.4
✕Sean Coyle 2017 · AAA	25	35→34	45→50	47→50	37	180/243/296	116	289	13	11	40%	7%	46	-2.0	189/248/293	104	291	9	10	36%	7%	46	-2.0	146/203/235	89	219	3	6	33%	7%	8	-1.2
✕Jordan Betts 2017 · AA	25	34→27	41→45	45→40	34	174/219/271	97	274	8	4	39%	5%	27	-3.3	190/236/303	113	293	12	4	38%	5%	43	-2.2	180/226/293	113	272	14	3	38%	5%	36	-1.7
✕Jorge Saez 2017 · AA	26	37	45	44→30	40	191/250/309	118	275	13	4	34%	7%	52	-1.6	208/275/344	136	298	17	5	34%	8%	72	-0.2	192/268/324	132	267	19	2	34%	9%	62	-0.3
✕Mikey White 2019 · AA	25	41→45	42→45	46→40	37	199/252/302	103	300	10	4	36%	6%	50	-1.7	197/259/305	108	298	12	5	36%	7%	54	-1.4	190/252/295	105	272	12	2	33%	6%	46	-1.4
✕Joe Donovan 2023 · A	24	35	43→45	51→40	35	174/245/285	111	285	11	7	41%	6%	44	-2.1	197/254/306	109	317	9	5	39%	5%	53	-1.5	196/252/314	118	301	9	0	36%	4%	50	-0.7
✕Brent Diaz 2022 · AA	26	40	43→45	44→45	36	192/269/300	107	311	12	8	39%	6%	59	-1.1	219/284/356	137	303	16	9	32%	6%	79	+0.3	191/254/319	128	258	17	9	32%	5%	53	-0.5