Adam RetzbachC
Chesapeake Baysox
Age 25
R/R
6'4" / 220 lbs
AA
HR +8%BB -5%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.2 · 2028
wRC+†47
AVG/OBP/SLG.169 / .250 / .285
PA320
HR7
K%43
BB%8
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
35→35
PWR
45→45
SPD
45→45
EYE
51↘45
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2028
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.2 | $0.9M | +$0.0M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.1 | $0.5M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $2M | $-7M | -$9M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 43 | 34 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .176 | .349 | .235 | .584 | .059 | .400 | 44 | 14 | .269 | 64 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | 2 teams | 122 | 111 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 67 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .153 | .223 | .270 | .493 | .117 | .349 | 55 | 7 | .197 | 9 | -13 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | -0.7 |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | 2 teams | 313 | 274 | 32 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 29 | 157 | 5 | 2 | 1 | .117 | .214 | .208 | .422 | .091 | .235 | 50 | 9 | .199 | 10 | -32 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +9 | -1.8 |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Chesapeake Baysox | 446 | 393 | 76 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 174 | 14 | 3 | 1 | .193 | .278 | .308 | .586 | .115 | .315 | 39 | 7 | .260 | 57 | -22 | +0 | +0 | +8 | +13 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Chesapeake Baysox | 54 | 44 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .159 | .288 | .250 | .538 | .091 | .250 | 39 | 15 | .241 | 43 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | BAL | 266 | 236 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 113 | 5 | 2 | 1 | .169 | .258 | .288 | .546 | .119 | .286 | 42 | 9 | .248 | 48 | -16 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +8 | -0.3 |
| TOT | 25 | MLB | BAL | 320 | 280 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 31 | 134 | 5 | 2 | 1 | .168 | .263 | .282 | .545 | .114 | .282 | 42 | 10 | .247 | 47 | -19 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +9 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB 11% | BAL | 364 | 321 | 56 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 132 | 6 | 4 | 1 | .174 | .266 | .290 | .556 | .115 | .268 | 36 | 9 | .262 | 59 | -17 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +10 | 0.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB 26% | BAL | 388 | 342 | 63 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 37 | 137 | 6 | 5 | 1 | .184 | .275 | .310 | .585 | .126 | .270 | 35 | 10 | .267 | 62 | -17 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +11 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB 38% | BAL | 400 | 353 | 66 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 140 | 6 | 5 | 1 | .187 | .277 | .312 | .589 | .125 | .271 | 35 | 10 | .268 | 64 | -16 | +1 | -1 | +7 | +11 | 0.2 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB 47% | BAL | 400 | 353 | 66 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 139 | 6 | 5 | 1 | .187 | .277 | .312 | .589 | .125 | .271 | 35 | 10 | .268 | 63 | -17 | +1 | -1 | +7 | +11 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB 56% | BAL | 398 | 351 | 63 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 38 | 140 | 6 | 4 | 1 | .179 | .271 | .296 | .567 | .117 | .269 | 35 | 10 | .265 | 61 | -18 | +0 | -2 | +7 | +11 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB 73% | BAL | 374 | 329 | 58 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 133 | 6 | 3 | 0 | .176 | .270 | .289 | .558 | .112 | .267 | 36 | 10 | .261 | 58 | -18 | +1 | -3 | +7 | +11 | -0.3 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB 91% | BAL | 348 | 307 | 53 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 33 | 126 | 5 | 3 | 0 | .173 | .264 | .280 | .544 | .107 | .265 | 36 | 9 | .256 | 54 | -18 | +1 | -4 | +6 | +10 | -0.5 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | BAL | 310 | 273 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 114 | 5 | 2 | 0 | .172 | .264 | .278 | .542 | .106 | .263 | 37 | 9 | .251 | 50 | -17 | +0 | -4 | +6 | +9 | -0.7 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | BAL | 262 | 231 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 99 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .169 | .262 | .273 | .534 | .104 | .261 | 38 | 10 | .245 | 45 | -16 | +0 | -5 | +5 | +7 | -0.9 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4434 | 3908 | 682 | 133 | 18 | 92 | 407 | 1690 | 78 | 43 | 9 | .175 | .266 | .288 | .554 | .114 | .274 | 38 | 9 | .254 | 53 | -237 | +5 | -20 | +79 | +126 | -4.8 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 573 | 99 | 19 | 3 | 13 | 60 | 248 | 11 | 6 | 1 | .173 | .264 | .284 | .548 | .112 | .272 | 38 | 9 | .254 | 53 | -35 | +1 | -3 | +12 | +18 | -0.7 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 43 | 30 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .200 | .442 | .267 | .709 | .067 | .375 | 33 | 23 | .357 | 132 | +2 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.3 |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | 102 | 90 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .222 | .307 | .378 | .685 | .156 | .383 | 41 | 10 | .305 | 92 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 20 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .125 | .300 | .125 | .425 | .000 | .250 | 40 | 20 | .230 | 34 | -1 | -0 | — | — | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Bowie Baysox | 18 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .118 | .167 | .118 | .284 | .000 | .250 | 50 | 0 | .141 | -34 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | 295 | 241 | 44 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 110 | 4 | 2 | 1 | .183 | .321 | .340 | .661 | .158 | .291 | 37 | 15 | .300 | 88 | -4 | +0 | — | — | +8 | 0.4 |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Chesapeake Baysox | 446 | 380 | 84 | 19 | 1 | 13 | 45 | 141 | 14 | 3 | 1 | .221 | .326 | .379 | .705 | .158 | .310 | 32 | 10 | .316 | 100 | -0 | +0 | — | — | +13 | 1.3 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Adam Retzbach (OGILVIE) | 25 | 35 | 45 | 45 | 45 | .169/.250/.285 | .116 | .290 | 7 | 3 | 43% | 8% | 47 | -1.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Sean Coyle 2017 · AAA |
25 | 36 | 45→50 | 48→50 | 37 | .186/.248/.306 | .120 | .290 | 14 | 12 | 39% | 7% | 50 | -1.7 | .185/.245/.287 | .102 | .286 | 9 | 10 | 36% | 7% | 43 | -2.2 | .153/.212/.244 | .092 | .224 | 3 | 6 | 32% | 7% | 14 | -1.0 |
|
✕Trevor Schwecke 2023 · AAA |
25 | 40 | 43→45 | 42→50 | 39 | .196/.257/.308 | .111 | .294 | 11 | 7 | 36% | 7% | 54 | -1.4 | .222/.280/.337 | .115 | .319 | 10 | 13 | 32% | 7% | 71 | -0.3 | .230/.289/.344 | .113 | .326 | 10 | 17 | 30% | 7% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Blake Forsythe 2014 · AA |
25 | 36→35 | 45 | 49→30 | 39 | .186/.249/.310 | .124 | .279 | 12 | 3 | 37% | 7% | 51 | -1.7 | .195/.250/.307 | .112 | .309 | 11 | 4 | 38% | 6% | 51 | -1.7 | .180/.237/.276 | .096 | .295 | 10 | 0 | 40% | 7% | 34 | -1.2 |
|
✕Garrett Wolforth 2023 · AA |
25 | 35 | 46→45 | 45→40 | 35 | .175/.240/.303 | .128 | .304 | 13 | 4 | 44% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .186/.242/.294 | .108 | .315 | 11 | 7 | 42% | 6% | 44 | -2.1 | .164/.207/.247 | .083 | .269 | 8 | 6 | 41% | 4% | 14 | -1.5 |
|
✕Edwin Díaz 2021 · AA |
25 | 35→34 | 46→50 | 49→40 | 37 | .182/.244/.312 | .131 | .282 | 13 | 5 | 39% | 7% | 50 | -1.7 | .174/.231/.312 | .138 | .302 | 17 | 5 | 46% | 6% | 45 | -2.1 | .155/.221/.299 | .144 | .231 | 20 | 4 | 42% | 7% | 35 | -1.3 |
|
✕Blake Hunt 2023 · AA |
24 | 38 | 43→50 | 49→40 | 38 | .190/.248/.301 | .111 | .281 | 11 | 5 | 35% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .209/.266/.343 | .134 | .276 | 14 | 5 | 29% | 6% | 67 | -0.5 | .206/.268/.347 | .141 | .262 | 15 | 2 | 27% | 6% | 67 | -0.3 |
|
✕Chris Williams 2022 · AA |
25 | 36→31 | 45→55 | 50→40 | 45 | .177/.269/.302 | .125 | .295 | 12 | 5 | 41% | 11% | 59 | -1.1 | .194/.271/.372 | .178 | .288 | 24 | 5 | 39% | 9% | 78 | +0.2 | .180/.262/.367 | .188 | .250 | 27 | 4 | 39% | 9% | 71 | -0.2 |
|
✕Matt Winn 2018 · AAA |
25 | 36→33 | 45 | 46→30 | 36 | .183/.240/.302 | .118 | .286 | 13 | 3 | 39% | 6% | 45 | -2.1 | .179/.239/.297 | .118 | .337 | 12 | 3 | 47% | 7% | 43 | -2.2 | .150/.213/.268 | .118 | .300 | 12 | 0 | 51% | 7% | 22 | -1.4 |
|
✕Allan de San Miguel 2013 · AAA |
25 | 39 | 43→45 | 48→40 | 42 | .190/.266/.299 | .109 | .297 | 10 | 6 | 37% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .208/.283/.326 | .118 | .296 | 12 | 8 | 32% | 8% | 71 | -0.3 | .174/.248/.262 | .088 | .232 | 10 | 2 | 28% | 6% | 36 | -0.7 |
|
✕Marty Bechina 2022 · AAA |
25 | 35→34 | 45 | 47→45 | 31 | .179/.230/.302 | .123 | .296 | 13 | 8 | 42% | 5% | 41 | -2.3 | .186/.258/.305 | .119 | .310 | 12 | 9 | 41% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .167/.257/.278 | .111 | .280 | 12 | 8 | 41% | 8% | 44 | -1.4 |
|
✕Matthew Allegra 2006 · AA |
25 | 37 | 47→50 | 45→40 | 35 | .190/.247/.322 | .131 | .301 | 16 | 4 | 41% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .200/.255/.347 | .147 | .291 | 17 | 5 | 36% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .194/.251/.351 | .156 | .269 | 18 | 4 | 34% | 6% | 61 | -0.7 |
|
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA |
25 | 35 | 41→45 | 50→45 | 39 | .177/.239/.273 | .095 | .270 | 8 | 7 | 36% | 7% | 37 | -2.6 | .200/.266/.312 | .112 | .290 | 11 | 7 | 33% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .191/.265/.302 | .110 | .270 | 10 | 5 | 31% | 8% | 52 | -0.8 |
|
✕Seth Gray 2023 · AA |
25 | 38 | 44→45 | 47→50 | 38 | .186/.263/.294 | .108 | .300 | 13 | 8 | 40% | 7% | 54 | -1.4 | .205/.282/.312 | .107 | .343 | 12 | 13 | 40% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .202/.287/.300 | .098 | .353 | 11 | 19 | 41% | 9% | 62 | -0.5 |
|
✕Cole Leonida 2014 · A |
25 | 36 | 45 | 43→40 | 36 | .182/.245/.301 | .118 | .288 | 14 | 4 | 40% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .203/.276/.329 | .126 | .294 | 12 | 6 | 33% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .189/.279/.316 | .127 | .261 | 10 | 4 | 29% | 10% | 62 | -0.3 |
|
✕Jayson Langfels 2014 · AA |
25 | 42→32 | 43→40 | 46→50 | 37 | .201/.264/.310 | .109 | .312 | 11 | 11 | 37% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .206/.279/.294 | .088 | .335 | 7 | 14 | 38% | 7% | 60 | -1.0 | .202/.285/.272 | .070 | .341 | 4 | 17 | 38% | 8% | 54 | -0.8 |
|
✕C.J. Stubbs 2022 · AA |
25 | 38 | 44→50 | 45→50 | 33 | .182/.238/.295 | .113 | .318 | 12 | 10 | 44% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | .164/.244/.298 | .134 | .302 | 17 | 14 | 48% | 7% | 48 | -1.9 | .138/.233/.273 | .135 | .247 | 18 | 15 | 48% | 8% | 35 | -1.5 |
|
✕Marcus Chiu 2022 · A |
25 | 38→27 | 45 | 43→45 | 36 | .181/.266/.304 | .123 | .322 | 14 | 5 | 44% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .202/.270/.326 | .124 | .305 | 14 | 5 | 37% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .184/.254/.305 | .121 | .274 | 15 | 3 | 37% | 5% | 50 | -1.2 |
|
✕Ryan Dorow 2021 · AA |
25 | 42 | 42→45 | 49→45 | 39 | .202/.266/.305 | .102 | .304 | 10 | 9 | 35% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .208/.272/.333 | .125 | .293 | 12 | 6 | 31% | 7% | 67 | -0.5 | .201/.266/.328 | .127 | .277 | 12 | 3 | 30% | 7% | 60 | -0.7 |
|
✕Jimmy Glowenke 2023 · A |
24 | 37→39 | 46→45 | 43→45 | 37 | .192/.258/.321 | .130 | .283 | 14 | 3 | 36% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .202/.276/.318 | .116 | .274 | 12 | 6 | 30% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .195/.276/.303 | .107 | .255 | 12 | 6 | 27% | 7% | 60 | -0.7 |
|
✕Cadyn Grenier 2022 · AAA |
25 | 40→37 | 42→40 | 48→50 | 39 | .191/.265/.291 | .100 | .313 | 9 | 10 | 39% | 8% | 54 | -1.4 | .196/.279/.296 | .100 | .292 | 8 | 13 | 33% | 9% | 61 | -1.0 | .175/.272/.270 | .095 | .250 | 7 | 16 | 30% | 10% | 50 | -1.1 |