Lucas Moore

OF Hill City Howlers

Age 22 L/R A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

Scout OFP40MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	21	ACLE	57	.300/.386/.380	0	5	74	—	.250/.316/.308
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBCLE	167	.211/.274/.300	2	5	63	-0.1
2028PROJ25% MLB	23	MLBCLE	42	.214/.278/.307	1	1	66	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Chase%74

K%68

wRC+67

wOBA65

Speed60

Whiff%52

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 91%

CompsSaige Jenco (age 22) · Ty Morrison (age 22) · Corey Rosier (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 74 proj PA

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .272 / .297

PA74

HR1

K%29

BB%7

ISO89

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

SPEED70

scouting grade only

DEFENSE60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	21	A	Hill City Howlers	—	57	50	15	4	0	0	7	12	0	5	2	300	386	380	766	80	395	21	12	350	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	21	A MLE	Hill City Howlers	—	57	52	13	3	0	0	5	16	0	5	2	250	316	308	623	58	359	28	9	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Hill City Howlers	—	57	52	13	3	0	0	5	16	0	5	2	250	316	308	623	58	361	28	9	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	Hill City Howlers	—	57	50	15	4	0	0	7	12	0	5	2	300	386	380	766	80	395	21	12	350	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Hill City Howlers	—	57	52	13	3	0	0	5	16	0	5	2	250	316	308	623	58	359	28	9	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	21	A MLE	Hill City Howlers	—	57	52	13	3	0	0	5	16	0	5	2	250	316	308	623	58	359	28	9	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	CLE	0%	167	152	32	6	1	2	12	48	1	5	1	211	274	300	574	89	291	29	7	261	63	-7	+1	+1	-1	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	CLE	25%	168	152	33	7	1	2	13	47	1	5	1	214	278	308	586	94	292	28	8	266	66	-7	+1	+1	-1	+4	-0.3
2028	23	MLB CTX	CLE	25%	42	39	9	2	0	1	3	12	0	1	0	214	278	307	585	93	292	29	7	266	66	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	42	39	9	2	0	1	3	12	0	1	0	231	286	359	645	128	308	29	7	266	67	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	604	139	31	0	15	46	186	0	15	0	230	285	356	641	126	308	29	7	266	67	-26	+3	+2	-4	+14	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	299	273	60	13	1	3	23	84	1	12	3	220	283	308	591	88	305	28	8	267	67	-10	+1	+1	-1	+5	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	593	130	28	2	7	50	183	2	26	7	219	282	309	590	89	304	28	8	267	67	-27	+3	+2	-4	+14	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Lucas Moore (OGILVIE)	22	50	30	70	—	209/272/297	88	291	1	2	29%	7%	63	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Saige Jenco 2017 · A	22	52	38→40	60→50	47	242/301/332	90	317	4	21	24%	7%	80	-0.1	212/285/299	87	309	4	13	30%	9%	68	-1.0	194/276/274	79	290	3	12	31%	10%	56	-0.9
✕Ty Morrison 2012 · A	22	49→54	38→40	60→55	37	224/271/306	82	334	4	27	33%	5%	63	-1.4	234/286/316	82	322	3	19	26%	5%	71	-0.8	248/303/335	87	332	2	22	24%	5%	78	-0.3
✕Corey Rosier 2023 · A	23	46→54	42→40	62→60	48	222/293/332	110	289	9	28	25%	8%	78	-0.3	219/280/317	98	293	7	33	26%	7%	70	-0.9	214/278/307	93	284	7	36	26%	7%	64	-0.8
✕James Ramsay 2015 · A	23	43→53	38→40	58→50	46	201/270/296	95	279	4	19	28%	8%	61	-1.5	223/282/322	99	284	7	11	23%	7%	71	-0.8	228/285/324	97	281	8	8	21%	7%	70	-0.7
✕Donnie Dewees 2017 · A	23	48→50	40→45	61→50	41	230/272/333	103	290	5	17	22%	5%	70	-0.9	220/268/329	109	269	8	14	21%	5%	68	-1.0	213/264/327	114	253	10	13	20%	6%	63	-1.1
✕Shawon Dunston Jr. 2015 · A	22	47	38→40	57→55	39	224/258/316	92	291	4	19	24%	4%	60	-1.6	213/254/304	91	284	4	18	25%	4%	56	-1.9	201/248/287	86	265	4	22	25%	5%	48	-0.8
✕Victor Scott II 2023 · A	22	44→54	43→40	58→65	50	212/292/336	124	282	9	19	27%	10%	79	-0.2	228/288/323	95	287	7	44	22%	6%	74	-0.5	222/287/310	87	280	7	49	22%	7%	70	-0.8
✕Alvi Morel 2007 · A	22	47	37→40	58→55	41	220/269/299	79	308	4	20	29%	6%	61	-1.5	198/244/273	75	291	4	12	31%	5%	45	-2.7	169/211/235	65	248	4	13	32%	5%	22	-2.3
✕Javis Diaz 2006 · A	22	51→49	40	58→55	42	239/293/336	97	324	6	19	27%	6%	78	-0.3	231/285/300	69	325	4	17	28%	7%	67	-1.1	225/277/287	62	313	4	21	28%	6%	58	-1.1
✕Yoel Yanqui 2018 · A	22	47→52	38→40	56→50	50	222/291/309	87	285	4	12	22%	9%	72	-0.7	226/279/313	87	310	6	11	27%	7%	68	-1.0	219/276/310	91	303	7	11	28%	7%	65	-0.8
✕Tyler James 2018 · A	21	44	36→30	64→65	42	203/264/279	76	291	2	27	29%	7%	55	-2.0	217/280/291	74	327	4	27	32%	7%	63	-1.3	224/290/283	58	344	4	45	33%	7%	61	-0.6
✕Pedro Ogando 2016 · A	22	48	35→30	56→60	42	226/268/292	66	290	2	22	22%	5%	58	-1.7	202/251/264	62	250	2	19	19%	6%	46	-2.6	167/237/209	42	195	0	26	13%	7%	28	-1.1
✕Aaron Zavala 2022 · A	22	49→46	40→45	56→50	45	228/306/326	97	327	7	17	30%	8%	82	-0.0	205/301/310	105	307	10	11	33%	10%	78	-0.3	200/277/306	106	297	9	9	33%	8%	65	-1.1
✕Eddie Park 2024 · A	22	53	37→30	56→50	47	244/312/318	74	333	4	15	26%	8%	82	-0.0	220/283/280	60	287	4	13	23%	8%	61	-1.5	217/284/247	30	274	2	14	20%	8%	51	-1.4
✕Tres Gonzalez 2023 · A	22	52→50	39→30	54→50	46	244/306/332	88	307	5	16	21%	7%	83	+0.1	232/299/301	69	308	5	15	24%	8%	73	-0.6	227/297/281	55	304	4	13	25%	8%	65	-0.8
✕Elijah Nunez 2024 · A	22	50	37→30	57→55	50	230/305/301	71	317	5	29	27%	10%	76	-0.4	186/273/244	58	288	3	27	32%	10%	51	-2.2	157/254/200	43	256	1	30	35%	10%	34	-1.4
✕Josh Womack 2006 · A	22	44→51	38→40	56→50	42	210/264/289	79	301	5	15	30%	7%	57	-1.8	218/270/311	93	301	6	14	28%	6%	64	-1.3	218/269/310	92	294	6	14	27%	6%	61	-0.9
✕Luis Valdez 2022 · A	22	46→52	37→40	58→70	44	217/282/292	75	299	4	26	27%	7%	65	-1.2	210/262/273	63	318	3	44	32%	6%	52	-2.2	201/253/258	56	307	3	56	33%	6%	43	-1.5
✕Albertson Asigen 2024 · A	22	48	37→40	56→55	48	223/301/297	74	312	3	19	27%	9%	73	-0.6	211/293/300	89	335	7	20	35%	9%	72	-0.7	189/281/275	86	310	8	25	38%	9%	59	-0.6
✕Isaiah Greene 2024 · A	22	41→42	38→40	56→55	50	187/286/268	81	306	5	19	36%	12%	62	-1.4	198/272/294	96	312	7	14	35%	9%	62	-1.4	155/236/258	102	239	4	15	34%	10%	37	-0.6