Tres Gonzalez

OF Altoona Curve
Age 26 L/L 5'11" / 185 lbs AA HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202322A+/APIT531.289/.408/.40292880—.244/.325/.325
202423AAPIT363.239/.314/.27301047—.224/.280/.254
202524AA/A+PIT295.249/.357/.3011260—.218/.299/.261
2027PROJMLE26MLBPIT3.216/.287/.2790062-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB27MLBPIT42.217/.287/.2820163-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 AA
Z-Con%97
Chase%93
Whiff%93
K%80
BB%70
wOBA52
CompsForrestt Allday (age 26) · Andrew Moritz (age 26) · Kyle Kasser (age 26)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†62
AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .287 / .279
PA3
HR0
K%33
BB%8
BABIP286
ISO76
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: -0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.9 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +3.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.3-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 25
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT45
scouting grade only
POWER25
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED40
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202221 ABradenton Marauders — 9280 26410 9123 71 325413400813 75382 1310 372 101 — — — — — —
202322 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers — 449366 1051808 65847 228 287404402806 115349 1914 360 76 — — — — — —
202322 ABradenton Marauders — 8267 20401 15110 60 299427403830 104345 1318 381 103 — — — — — —
202423 AAAltoona Curve — 363322 77910 28757 108 239314273587 34310 218 271 47 — — — — — —
202524 AAAltoona Curve — 270228 561001 32496 03 246353303656 57306 1812 305 61 — — — — — —
202524 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers — 2521 6000 470 20 286400286686 429 2816 329 53 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202221 A MLEBradenton Marauders — 9283 24310 6163 71 289359349708 60361 177 317 101 — — — — — —
202322 A+ MLEGreensboro Grasshoppers — 449392 931306 391107 228 237317316634 79299 249 281 76 — — — — — —
202322 A MLEBradenton Marauders — 8272 20401 10140 60 278366375741 97327 1712 321 103 — — — — — —
202423 AA MLEAltoona Curve — 363331 74810 19957 108 224280254534 30304 265 238 47 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLEAltoona Curve — 270238 52801 22636 03 218301265565 46286 238 258 61 — — — — — —
202524 A+ MLEGreensboro Grasshoppers — 2523 5000 290 20 217280217497 384 368 247 53 — — — — — —
202221 A MLEBradenton Marauders — 9283 24310 6163 71 289359349708 60358 177 317 101 — — — — — —
202221 A RAWBradenton Marauders — 9280 26410 9123 71 325413400813 75382 1310 372 101 — — — — — —
202322 A+ MLE2 teams — 531464 1131707 491247 288 244325325650 82315 239 287 80 — — — — — —
202322 A+ RAW2 teams — 531433 1252209 80957 288 289408402810 113348 1815 363 80 — — — — — —
202423 AA MLEAltoona Curve — 363331 74810 19957 108 224280254534 30312 265 238 47 — — — — — —
202423 AA RAWAltoona Curve — 363322 77910 28757 108 239314273587 34310 218 271 47 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLE2 teams — 295261 58801 24726 23 222302264567 42300 248 257 60 — — — — — —
202524 AA RAW2 teams — 295249 621001 36566 23 249357301659 52314 1912 307 60 — — — — — —
202221 A MLEBradenton Marauders — 9283 24310 6163 71 289359349708 60361 177 317 101 — — — — — —
202322 A+ MLE2 teams — 531470 1131707 491247 288 240325321646 81303 239 287 80 — — — — — —
202423 AA MLEAltoona Curve — 363334 74810 19957 108 222280251532 30304 265 238 47 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLE2 teams — 295263 58801 24726 23 221302262565 42294 248 257 60 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202423 AA MLEAltoona Curve — 363334 74810 19957 108 222280251532 30304 265 238 47 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLE2 teams — 295263 58801 24726 23 221302262565 42294 248 257 60 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202726 MLB MLEPIT 2% 345312 671311 25815 53 216286277563 61285 237 260 62 -16 -0 +0 -2 +7 -0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202726 MLB CTXPIT 2% 33 0000 010 00 216287279565 62286 330 261 62 -0 +0 +0 -0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202827 MLB MLEPIT 27% 157142 31611 12372 21 216287281568 65285 248 262 63 -7 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.5
202827 MLB CTXPIT 27% 4238 8200 3101 10 217287282569 65286 247 262 63 -2 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 4238 8200 3101 10 211286263549 53286 247 262 67 -2 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650588 1243100 4615515 150 211285264548 53286 247 262 67 -28 +3 +0 -4 +14 -1.6
Career— MLE — 15841413 32947410 12137827 5122 233306293599 60309 248 267 67 -13 +0 +0 -2 +7 -0.9
/ 162G— MLE — 650580 1351924 5015511 219 233306293599 60308 248 267 67 -29 +0 +0 -4 +14 -1.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 AAAltoona Curve · 270 PAwOBA .300 → .258 (−42)K% 18.1% → 23.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.15%÷0.947×1.220——23.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.85%÷1.033×0.700—×0.9988.01%
HBP% /PA2.22%—×0.850—×0.9981.89%
Singles /BIP25.14%÷1.024×0.970×1.014×0.99824.10%
Doubles /BIP5.59%÷1.036×0.860×1.014×0.9984.69%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.950×1.014×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP0.56%÷0.891×0.780—×0.9980.49%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 105, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 89, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.

Result: wOBA .300 → .258; ISO .057 → .049; BABIP .306 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers · 25 PAwOBA .322 → .247 (−75)K% 28.0% → 36.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.00%÷0.994×1.310——36.88%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.00%÷0.980×0.600—×0.9789.58%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.770—×0.9780.00%
Singles /BIP42.86%÷0.950×0.870—×0.97838.40%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.998×0.780—×0.9780.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.025×0.850—×0.9780.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.048×0.880—×0.9780.00%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 90, 2B 100, 3B 105, K 99, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .322 → .247; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .429 → .384. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAAltoona Curve · 363 PAwOBA .264 → .238 (−26)K% 20.7% → 26.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.66%÷0.959×1.220——26.28%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.44%÷1.022×0.700—×1.0125.15%
HBP% /PA1.93%—×0.850—×1.0121.66%
Singles /BIP27.13%÷1.018×0.970×1.022×1.01226.73%
Doubles /BIP3.64%÷0.948×0.860×1.022×1.0123.42%
Triples /BIP0.40%÷1.150×0.950×1.022×1.0120.35%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.844×0.780—×1.0120.00%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 104, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 92, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.

Result: wOBA .264 → .238; ISO .034 → .031; BABIP .310 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers · 449 PAwOBA .355 → .281 (−74)K% 18.7% → 24.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.71%÷1.005×1.310——24.38%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.48%÷1.007×0.600—×0.9988.61%
HBP% /PA1.56%—×0.770—×0.9981.20%
Singles /BIP28.01%÷1.016×0.870×1.050×0.99825.15%
Doubles /BIP6.38%÷1.154×0.780×1.050×0.9984.52%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.850×1.050×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP2.84%÷1.202×0.880—×0.9982.07%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 140, 1B 103, 2B 131, 3B 80, K 101, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .355 → .281; ISO .115 → .087; BABIP .349 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ABradenton Marauders · 82 PAwOBA .372 → .321 (−51)K% 13.4% → 17.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.41%÷1.037×1.360——17.60%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.29%÷0.994×0.690—×0.99012.57%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×0.9900.00%
Singles /BIP26.79%÷0.958×0.920×1.017×0.99025.89%
Doubles /BIP7.14%÷0.949×0.830×1.017×0.9906.29%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.910×1.017×0.9900.00%
Home runs /BIP1.79%÷0.971×0.800—×0.9901.46%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 92, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 107, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.

Result: wOBA .372 → .321; ISO .104 → .091; BABIP .345 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ABradenton Marauders · 92 PAwOBA .363 → .317 (−46)K% 13.0% → 17.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.04%÷0.996×1.360——17.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.78%÷1.015×0.690——6.65%
HBP% /PA3.26%—×0.780——2.54%
Singles /BIP30.88%÷0.999×0.920×1.050—29.85%
Doubles /BIP5.88%÷1.082×0.830×1.050—4.74%
Triples /BIP1.47%÷0.900×0.910×1.050—1.56%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.111×0.800——0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 100, 2B 116, 3B 80, K 99, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .363 → .317; ISO .075 → .066; BABIP .382 → .361. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).