Tres Gonzalez — OGILVIE

Tres GonzalezOF Altoona Curve

Age 25 L/L 5'11" / 185 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 280 proj PA

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .277 / .257

PA280

HR1

SB5

K%26

BB%7

ISO51

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	92	82	24	3	1	0	7	17	3	7	1	293	370	354	723	61	369	18	8	321	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	92	80	26	4	1	0	9	12	3	7	1	325	413	400	813	75	382	13	10	372	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	2 teams	—	531	459	114	17	0	6	54	126	7	28	8	248	337	325	661	76	326	24	10	292	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	2 teams	—	531	433	125	22	0	9	80	95	7	28	8	289	408	402	810	113	348	18	15	363	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	Altoona Curve	—	363	332	68	8	1	0	18	105	7	10	8	205	261	235	495	30	298	29	5	222	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	Altoona Curve	—	363	322	77	9	1	0	28	75	7	10	8	239	314	273	587	34	310	21	8	271	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	2 teams	—	295	261	54	8	0	1	24	80	6	2	3	207	289	249	538	42	291	27	8	246	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	2 teams	—	295	249	62	10	0	1	36	56	6	2	3	249	357	301	659	52	314	19	12	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	25	MLB	PIT	—	280	253	52	8	0	1	21	74	4	5	3	206	277	249	526	43	286	26	8	250	50	-16	-0	+0	-2	+8	-1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	PIT	31%	320	288	62	10	1	3	24	83	5	5	3	215	287	288	575	73	287	26	8	263	60	-15	-0	+0	-2	+9	-0.8
2028	27	MLB	PIT	42%	356	320	69	11	1	4	28	92	5	6	4	216	289	294	583	78	288	26	8	268	63	-15	-0	+0	-2	+10	-0.7
2029	28	MLB	PIT	48%	378	340	74	12	1	5	30	98	5	6	4	218	291	303	594	85	288	26	8	270	65	-15	-0	-1	-2	+11	-0.8
2027	26	MLB	PIT	31%	99	90	19	3	0	1	8	26	1	2	1	211	283	278	561	67	286	26	8	252	51	-6	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
2028	27	MLB	PIT	42%	150	135	29	5	0	2	12	39	2	3	2	215	289	296	585	81	286	26	8	256	54	-8	-0	+0	-1	+4	-0.5
2029	28	MLB	PIT	48%	181	162	35	6	0	2	14	47	3	3	2	216	291	290	581	74	286	26	8	258	56	-9	-0	-0	-1	+5	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	430	387	83	14	0	5	34	112	6	8	5	214	288	289	577	75	287	26	8	256	54	-22	-0	-0	-3	+12	-1.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	126	21	0	8	51	169	9	12	8	215	288	292	581	77	287	26	8	256	54	-34	-1	-1	-4	+18	-2.1
Career	—			—	2615	2335	517	77	5	20	206	675	42	69	34	221	296	284	581	63	300	26	8	264	60	-119	+0	-1	-16	+74	-6.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	128	19	1	5	51	168	10	17	8	221	294	283	577	62	300	26	8	264	60	-29	+0	-0	-4	+18	-1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	92	80	26	4	1	0	9	12	3	7	1	325	413	400	813	75	382	13	10	372	143	+4	+1	—	—	+3	0.8
2023	22	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	449	366	105	18	0	8	65	84	7	22	8	287	404	402	806	115	349	19	14	360	134	+17	+1	—	—	+13	3.2
2023	22	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	82	67	20	4	0	1	15	11	0	6	0	299	427	403	830	104	345	13	18	381	150	+5	+1	—	—	+2	0.8
2024	23	AA	Altoona Curve	—	363	322	77	9	1	0	28	75	7	10	8	239	314	273	587	34	310	21	8	271	66	-14	-1	—	—	+10	-0.5
2025	24	AA	Altoona Curve	—	270	228	56	10	0	1	32	49	6	0	3	246	353	303	656	57	306	18	12	305	92	-3	-1	—	—	+8	0.4
2025	24	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	25	21	6	0	0	0	4	7	0	2	0	286	400	286	686		429	28	16	329	110	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jose Maciaslast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,785 PA	6	1,785	25	43	256	298	370	-8	+2	1.4	1.4
	/162	664	9	16	256	298	370	-3.1	+0.6	0.5	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	436	5	7	217	287	294	-3	+0	-0.9	-0.4
	/162	664	7	11	217	287	294	-4.0	+0.0	-1.4	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tres Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	25	45	25	40	50	207/277/257	50	286	1	5	26%	7%	50	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Forrestt Allday 2016 · AA	25	47→45	36→30	40→50	48	221/301/287	66	300	4	9	26%	8%	68	-0.5	229/305/287	58	289	3	12	20%	8%	69	-0.4	227/306/274	47	283	2	13	19%	8%	64	-0.4
✕Wade Robinson 2006 · AA	25	47→48	36→30	41→50	41	222/261/279	57	290	4	12	24%	5%	46	-2.0	227/263/281	54	293	4	10	23%	5%	47	-1.9	234/263/262	27	299	1	8	21%	4%	39	-0.8
✕Ender Chavez 2006 · A	25	47→48	36→30	46→55	44	224/272/289	65	285	4	12	22%	6%	54	-1.4	233/306/294	61	296	3	15	20%	9%	70	-0.3	242/326/287	45	305	1	19	19%	10%	74	-0.0
✕Alex Perez 2018 · AA	25	48	33→30	41→40	48	217/291/260	43	308	1	4	28%	9%	56	-1.3	209/270/265	56	297	2	5	28%	7%	47	-1.9	193/249/232	39	274	0	2	28%	7%	27	-2.1
✕Cole Daily 2022 · AA	25	41	35→30	43→55	45	193/258/249	56	273	3	8	29%	8%	39	-2.5	201/272/270	69	315	4	16	34%	9%	50	-1.7	184/263/228	44	298	1	24	35%	9%	33	-1.4
✕Cody Regis 2016 · A	25	50→52	35→30	44→45	44	235/283/300	64	288	2	7	19%	5%	62	-0.9	222/277/292	70	295	3	6	24%	7%	57	-1.2	211/273/267	56	290	1	3	26%	7%	47	-1.3
✕Stephen Gaylor 2017 · AA	25	48	34→30	49→55	44	226/277/275	49	293	2	18	23%	6%	53	-1.5	216/268/283	67	290	4	15	25%	6%	51	-1.7	201/250/248	47	272	0	18	24%	5%	31	-0.9
✕Greg Creek 2008 · AA	25	46→48	38→40	39→40	42	221/269/304	83	288	5	6	25%	6%	57	-1.2	218/272/318	100	283	8	4	24%	6%	63	-0.9	215/270/318	103	275	8	1	24%	6%	59	-0.7
✕Devyn Bolasky 2018 · AAA	25	45	37→30	47→45	44	215/262/297	82	266	4	7	20%	5%	53	-1.5	245/293/320	75	292	4	6	17%	6%	71	-0.3	295/340/341	47	334	0	2	11%	5%	92	+0.5
✕Braxton Lee 2019 · MLB	25	49→58	35→40	44→50	45	227/280/290	63	292	3	13	22%	6%	58	-1.2	221/274/297	76	301	4	10	26%	7%	57	-1.2	215/269/285	70	301	2	8	27%	6%	48	-1.1
✕Andrew Moritz 2022 · A	25	48	35→30	47→50	41	226/265/275	50	295	3	13	24%	5%	47	-1.9	230/291/306	76	312	5	10	26%	7%	67	-0.5	230/299/304	74	312	4	9	25%	8%	67	-0.2
✕Kennard Jones 2007 · AAA	25	50→56	34→30	46→50	48	227/296/282	55	317	2	13	27%	9%	63	-0.8	224/281/301	77	299	4	16	25%	7%	62	-0.9	223/278/300	76	293	4	19	24%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Sean McCraw 2011 · AA	25	43	37→30	43→30	46	201/271/272	71	279	3	4	28%	8%	50	-1.7	205/270/304	99	282	8	6	28%	8%	59	-1.1	165/239/265	100	221	9	0	28%	8%	31	-0.8
✕Michael Massaro 2008 · A	24	51→54	34→30	40→45	49	238/295/286	49	298	2	8	20%	7%	63	-0.8	246/286/312	66	310	3	6	20%	5%	66	-0.6	271/297/332	61	336	0	1	19%	4%	70	-0.2
✕Levi Hyams 2015 · A	25	44→48	38→40	45	44	210/271/296	86	289	4	7	27%	7%	56	-1.3	213/265/309	96	291	7	5	28%	6%	57	-1.2	217/267/325	108	288	10	4	27%	6%	59	-0.6
✕Chase Calabuig 2021 · AA	25	48→56	37→40	45	47	221/296/294	72	312	5	8	29%	9%	67	-0.5	230/293/345	115	278	11	5	21%	8%	79	+0.3	239/301/363	125	278	12	3	18%	8%	82	+0.3
✕Nick Shaw 2014 · AA	25	46→56	36→40	45	50	217/285/281	64	272	3	7	20%	8%	58	-1.2	224/299/283	59	294	2	8	22%	9%	65	-0.7	228/308/277	49	305	0	7	23%	10%	65	-0.3
✕Bryant Flete 2018 · AA	25	43→44	38→40	43→50	40	208/252/288	80	274	5	6	26%	5%	46	-2.0	213/282/291	78	299	6	6	29%	7%	60	-1.0	203/291/266	63	295	5	4	30%	8%	56	-0.5
✕Danny Oh 2015 · A	25	51	35→30	48→50	48	231/308/294	63	315	2	8	25%	8%	72	-0.2	230/280/296	66	301	2	13	23%	6%	59	-1.1	234/276/291	57	302	1	16	22%	5%	53	-0.8
✕Cesar Del Angel 2015 · AAA	24	46	37→30	38→30	43	218/270/293	75	286	4	6	25%	6%	54	-1.4	207/253/291	84	280	7	9	27%	5%	47	-1.9	162/198/197	35	235	2	10	31%	3%	-1	-0.9