Tres Gonzalez — OGILVIE

Tres GonzalezOF Altoona Curve

Age 25 L/L 5'11" / 185 lbs AA HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 280 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .284 / .264

PA22

HR0

K%25

BB%8

ISO52

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	21	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	92	80	26	4	1	0	9	12	3	7	1	325	413	400	813	75	382	13	10	372	138	+4	+1	—	—	+2	0.7
2023	22	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	449	366	105	18	0	8	65	84	7	22	8	287	404	402	806	115	349	19	14	360	130	+16	+1	—	—	+10	2.7
2023	22	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	82	67	20	4	0	1	15	11	0	6	0	299	427	403	830	104	345	13	18	381	144	+4	+1	—	—	+2	0.7
2024	23	AA	Altoona Curve	—	363	322	77	9	1	0	28	75	7	10	8	239	314	273	587	34	310	21	8	271	70	-13	-1	—	—	+8	-0.7
2025	24	AA	Altoona Curve	—	270	228	56	10	0	1	32	49	6	0	3	246	353	303	656	57	306	18	12	305	93	-2	-1	—	—	+6	0.2
2025	24	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	25	21	6	0	0	0	4	7	0	2	0	286	400	286	686		429	28	16	329	109	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	21	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	92	82	25	4	1	0	7	17	3	7	1	305	380	378	758	73	367	18	8	323	105	+1	+1	—	—	+2	0.4
2023	22	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	449	388	97	14	0	6	43	112	7	22	8	250	336	332	668	82	316	25	10	291	83	-9	+1	—	—	+10	0.2
2023	22	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	82	71	20	4	0	1	11	15	0	6	0	282	378	380	758	99	340	18	13	335	113	+1	+1	—	—	+2	0.4
2024	23	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	363	332	71	8	1	0	18	95	7	10	8	214	269	244	513	30	292	26	5	231	42	-25	-1	—	—	+8	-1.9
2025	24	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	270	239	52	9	0	1	21	63	6	0	3	218	297	268	565	50	280	23	8	254	58	-13	-1	—	—	+6	-0.9
2025	24	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	25	22	5	0	0	0	3	9	0	2	0	227	320	227	547		415	36	12	263	64	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2022	21	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	92	82	25	4	1	0	7	17	3	7	1	305	380	378	758	73	385	18	8	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A RAW	Bradenton Marauders	—	92	80	26	4	1	0	9	12	3	7	1	325	413	400	813	75	382	13	10	372	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	531	459	116	18	0	6	54	127	7	28	8	253	340	331	672	78	333	24	10	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	531	433	125	22	0	9	80	95	7	28	8	289	408	402	810	113	348	18	15	363	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	363	332	71	8	1	0	18	95	7	10	8	214	269	244	513	30	298	26	5	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA RAW	Altoona Curve	—	363	322	77	9	1	0	28	75	7	10	8	239	314	273	587	34	310	21	8	271	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	295	261	58	9	0	1	24	73	6	2	3	222	302	268	571	46	302	25	8	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	295	249	62	10	0	1	36	56	6	2	3	249	357	301	659	52	314	19	12	307	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	92	82	25	4	1	0	7	17	3	7	1	305	380	378	758	73	367	18	8	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	531	465	116	18	0	6	54	127	7	28	8	249	340	327	667	77	320	24	10	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	363	335	71	8	1	0	18	95	7	10	8	212	269	242	511	30	292	26	5	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	295	263	58	9	0	1	24	73	6	2	3	221	302	266	569	46	291	25	8	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	531	465	116	18	0	6	54	127	7	28	8	249	340	327	667	77	320	24	10	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	363	335	71	8	1	0	18	95	7	10	8	212	269	242	511	30	292	26	5	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	295	263	58	9	0	1	24	73	6	2	3	221	302	266	569	46	291	25	8	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	25	MLB MLE	PIT	2%	22	20	4	1	0	0	2	5	0	0	0	200	273	250	523	50	287	23	9	256	60	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	PIT	31%	320	287	64	10	1	3	25	78	5	5	3	223	297	296	593	73	288	24	8	269	68	-12	-0	+0	-2	+7	-0.7
2028	27	MLB MLE	PIT	42%	356	320	71	11	1	4	28	86	5	6	4	222	295	300	595	78	288	24	8	273	71	-12	-0	+0	-2	+8	-0.7
2027	26	MLB CTX	PIT	31%	99	90	19	3	0	1	8	24	1	2	1	211	283	278	561	67	286	24	8	256	68	-4	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
2028	27	MLB CTX	PIT	42%	150	135	30	5	0	2	12	36	2	3	2	222	295	304	599	81	286	24	8	260	71	-5	-0	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	249	225	49	8	0	3	20	60	3	5	3	218	290	293	584	76	282	24	8	258	69	-9	-0	+0	-1	+5	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	128	21	0	8	52	157	8	13	8	218	291	295	585	77	282	24	8	258	69	-23	-1	+0	-4	+14	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	1979	1761	409	61	4	14	158	481	33	58	27	232	307	295	603	63	309	24	8	271	69	-25	-1	+0	-4	+15	-1.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	134	20	1	5	52	158	11	19	9	232	307	296	603	64	308	24	8	271	69	-24	-1	+0	-4	+14	-1.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#3Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	2.8	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
/162	664	4	28	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	255	3	4	222	292	298	-2	+0	-0.4	-0.2
/162	664	7	11	-4.0	+0.0	-1.0	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tres Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	25	45	25	40	50	213/284/264	51	287	1	5	25%	8%	60	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Forrestt Allday 2016 · AA	25	48	36→30	40→50	49	224/305/288	64	301	4	9	25%	9%	73	-0.6	234/309/292	58	293	3	12	19%	8%	75	-0.5	237/314/286	50	292	2	13	18%	8%	73	-0.4
✕Alex Perez 2018 · AA	25	48	33→30	41→40	48	220/294/265	45	307	1	4	27%	9%	63	-1.3	215/277/272	57	299	2	5	26%	7%	58	-1.7	205/264/244	39	284	0	2	26%	7%	44	-1.8
✕Wade Robinson 2006 · AA	25	47→48	35→30	41→50	41	224/263/280	56	289	4	12	24%	5%	53	-2.1	227/264/281	54	291	3	10	22%	5%	54	-2.0	236/265/262	26	298	1	8	21%	4%	47	-0.8
✕Zach Ashford 2022 · A	25	48	37→40	45→50	44	224/294/299	75	304	3	8	26%	7%	71	-0.8	224/280/315	91	304	6	11	27%	6%	69	-0.9	222/273/316	93	298	7	13	26%	6%	63	-0.8
✕Cesar Del Angel 2015 · AAA	24	48	37→30	39→30	44	228/281/307	79	293	4	6	23%	6%	68	-1.0	214/263/301	87	283	7	9	26%	6%	59	-1.6	173/209/214	41	238	3	10	28%	3%	19	-0.8
✕Devyn Bolasky 2018 · AAA	25	46	37→30	47→45	45	219/266/301	82	268	4	7	20%	6%	60	-1.6	244/292/320	76	289	4	6	16%	6%	74	-0.6	289/335/337	48	327	0	2	11%	5%	89	+0.2
✕Andrew Ely 2018 · AA	25	45→44	38→30	38→40	44	214/272/289	75	282	5	5	25%	7%	60	-1.6	201/280/285	84	269	5	5	25%	9%	63	-1.3	147/256/210	63	202	2	0	25%	11%	37	-1.3
✕Ender Chavez 2006 · A	25	47→48	36→30	46→55	44	224/272/289	65	285	4	12	22%	6%	59	-1.6	234/306/294	60	297	3	15	20%	9%	74	-0.6	242/326/288	45	305	1	19	19%	10%	77	-0.2
✕Greg Creek 2008 · AA	25	47→49	38→40	39→40	43	222/271/305	83	287	5	6	24%	6%	63	-1.4	219/274/316	97	281	7	4	23%	6%	67	-1.1	217/272/315	99	274	7	1	22%	6%	64	-0.8
✕Braxton Lee 2019 · MLB	25	50→60	35→30	44→50	46	232/286/294	61	296	2	13	22%	7%	65	-1.2	222/276/295	73	302	4	10	26%	7%	62	-1.4	217/270/283	66	303	2	8	27%	6%	54	-1.2
✕Danny Oh 2015 · A	25	50	35→30	48→50	47	231/306/292	62	313	2	8	25%	8%	74	-0.5	236/286/304	68	301	2	13	21%	6%	68	-1.0	243/286/304	61	305	1	16	19%	5%	65	-0.7
✕Cole Sturgeon 2017 · AA	25	47→49	38→40	43→50	41	225/256/304	79	270	5	9	19%	4%	56	-1.9	230/271/321	91	293	7	11	23%	5%	67	-1.1	232/277/324	93	301	8	12	25%	5%	67	-0.7
✕Michael Massaro 2008 · A	24	51→54	34→30	40→45	49	238/295/286	49	298	2	8	20%	7%	68	-1.0	246/286/313	67	310	3	6	20%	5%	70	-0.9	272/298/333	61	335	0	1	18%	4%	74	-0.3
✕Andrew Moritz 2022 · A	25	48	34→30	47→50	41	227/266/276	49	294	3	13	23%	5%	54	-2.0	232/292/304	72	311	4	10	25%	7%	71	-0.8	235/302/303	68	314	3	9	24%	8%	72	-0.3
✕Cole Daily 2022 · AA	25	42	35→30	43→55	46	196/262/254	57	272	3	8	28%	8%	48	-2.5	201/270/271	70	312	4	16	34%	8%	55	-1.9	183/259/229	46	295	1	24	35%	9%	39	-1.5
✕Cody Regis 2016 · A	25	52→54	36→30	44→45	45	242/290/308	66	294	2	7	18%	5%	70	-0.8	225/281/297	72	298	3	6	24%	7%	65	-1.2	214/276/274	60	294	1	3	25%	7%	55	-1.3
✕Kennard Jones 2007 · AAA	25	50→57	34→30	46→50	48	231/299/286	55	317	2	13	26%	9%	70	-0.9	225/282/302	77	299	4	16	24%	7%	66	-1.1	224/279/300	76	293	4	19	24%	7%	62	-0.8
✕Zach Gentile 2012 · A	25	49	34→30	44→45	49	227/287/277	50	277	1	6	18%	7%	63	-1.4	224/284/292	68	279	3	9	20%	7%	65	-1.2	221/282/269	48	268	0	9	16%	6%	55	-0.6
✕Sean McCraw 2011 · AA	25	43	36→30	43→30	47	201/272/269	69	279	3	4	28%	8%	56	-1.9	203/267/298	95	280	8	6	28%	7%	61	-1.5	158/227/250	92	212	9	0	29%	8%	32	-1.0
✕Nick Shaw 2014 · AA	25	47→57	35→40	44→45	51	221/290/283	61	275	3	7	20%	8%	65	-1.2	226/299/282	56	292	2	8	21%	9%	69	-0.9	227/306/274	46	298	0	7	21%	9%	68	-0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps