Daniel Nunez — OGILVIE

Daniel Nunez P Visalia Rawhide

Age 23 RHP 6'0" / 195 lbs A

2026 ROS PROJECTION36 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 139131vR 123

ERA5.57

FIP5.57

K%11.7%

BB%10.5%

K-BB%1.2%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 42 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL4545

CMD3030

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	11	72	307	83	14	4	48%	3.1	19.0%	5.1%	14.0%	1.3%	3.48	2.83	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	11	72	307	83	14	4	48%	3.1	19.0%	5.1%	14.0%	1.3%	3.48	2.83	—
2024	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	11	72	307	83	14	4	48%	3.1	27.0%	4.6%	22.5%	1.3%	3.48	2.10	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	24	15	78	364	57	31	12	62%	3.2	12.1%	9.8%	2.3%	4.3%	6.58	5.66	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	24	15	78	364	57	31	12	62%	3.2	12.1%	9.8%	2.3%	4.3%	6.58	5.66	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	Hillsboro Hops	24	15	78	364	57	31	12	62%	3.2	15.7%	8.5%	7.1%	3.3%	6.58	4.83	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	27	0	36	161	32	14	10	0%	1.3	13.7%	10.2%	3.6%	8.6%	5.45	7.95	—
YTD	23	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	27	0	36	161	32	14	10	0%	1.3	13.7%	10.2%	3.6%	8.6%	5.45	7.95	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	ROK RAW	ARI	2	0	3	10	4	1	0	0%	1.5	40.0%	10.0%	30.0%	0.0%	0.00	0.99	—
2026	23	A RAW	ARI	25	0	33	151	28	13	10	0%	1.3	18.5%	8.6%	9.9%	6.6%	5.94	6.26	—
ROS	23	MLB MLE	ARI	5	0	5	22	3	2	1	0%	1.0	11.7%	10.5%	1.2%	3.2%	5.57	5.57	-0.1
2026 TOT	23	MLB MLE	ARI	—	—	42	183	35	16	11	—	—	18.9%	8.9%	10.0%	5.8%	5.46	7.66	-1.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	ARI	69	0	72	304	44	31	10	0%	1.0	14.3%	10.2%	4.2%	3.1%	5.34	5.28	-0.6
2028	25	MLB MLE	ARI	69	0	73	308	49	31	10	0%	1.1	15.9%	10.0%	6.0%	3.1%	5.17	5.10	-0.4
2029	26	MLB MLE	ARI	69	0	73	308	52	30	10	0%	1.1	16.8%	9.9%	6.9%	3.1%	5.06	5.02	-0.4
2030	27	MLB MLE	ARI	68	0	72	303	51	30	10	0%	1.1	17.0%	9.9%	7.0%	3.2%	5.04	5.04	-0.4
2031	28	MLB MLE	ARI	66	0	70	294	49	30	10	0%	1.1	16.8%	10.1%	6.8%	3.3%	5.09	5.12	-0.4
2032	29	MLB MLE	ARI	63	0	66	281	47	29	10	0%	1.1	16.6%	10.3%	6.3%	3.4%	5.19	5.25	-0.5
2033	30	MLB MLE	ARI	60	0	62	264	43	28	10	0%	1.0	16.2%	10.6%	5.6%	3.6%	5.33	5.43	-0.6
2027	24	MLB CTX	ARI	30	0	31	131	19	13	4	0%	1.0	14.3%	10.2%	4.2%	3.1%	5.34	5.28	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	ARI	46	0	48	203	32	20	6	0%	1.0	15.9%	10.0%	6.0%	3.1%	5.17	5.10	-0.3
2029	26	MLB CTX	ARI	55	0	58	245	41	24	8	0%	1.1	16.8%	9.9%	6.9%	3.1%	5.06	5.02	-0.3
2030	27	MLB CTX	ARI	58	0	61	258	44	26	8	0%	1.1	17.0%	9.9%	7.0%	3.2%	5.04	5.04	-0.3
2031	28	MLB CTX	ARI	59	0	62	262	44	26	9	0%	1.1	16.8%	10.1%	6.8%	3.3%	5.09	5.12	-0.4
2032	29	MLB CTX	ARI	57	0	60	253	42	26	9	0%	1.1	16.6%	10.3%	6.3%	3.4%	5.19	5.25	-0.5
2033	30	MLB CTX	ARI	55	0	58	245	40	26	9	0%	1.1	16.2%	10.6%	5.6%	3.6%	5.33	5.43	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		360	0	378	1596	262	162	52	0%	1.0	16.4%	10.1%	6.3%	3.3%	5.16	4.79	-1.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	139	86	28	0%	1.1	16.4%	10.1%	6.3%	3.3%	5.16	4.79	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		74	26	187	832	124	68	33	35%	2.5	15.0%	8.1%	6.8%	4.0%	5.16	5.06	-3.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		79	28	200	891	133	72	36	35%	2.5	15.0%	8.1%	6.8%	4.0%	5.16	5.06	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Daniel Nunez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.57	11.7%	10.5%	3.2%	—	5.13	15.7%	5.7%	218	-0.44	—	—	—
Kevin Johnson R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	24	SW	4.69	11.0%	8.5%	2.6%	.302	5.52	9.9%	-2.0%	26	+0.83	4.69	106	89
Chance Huff R 2023 · 5.57 FIP	23	SW	5.57	11.8%	11.4%	3.7%	.312	5.08	15.7%	0.2%	155	-0.49	4.31	238	86
Kelvis Valerio R 2015 · 4.53 FIP	23	SU	4.53	12.9%	10.3%	2.2%	.312	4.18	11.4%	4.0%	190	-0.35	4.14	266	86
Rogelio Martinez R 2015 · 5.25 FIP	23	SU	5.25	10.0%	9.7%	3.2%	.304	5.20	11.6%	4.4%	73	-0.05	5.20	152	86
Hunter Hayes R 2023 · 4.53 FIP	22	SW	4.53	13.3%	9.7%	2.4%	.307	4.49	16.5%	4.0%	155	-0.04	3.34	216	85
Raul Carrillo R 2015 · 5.26 FIP	23	SW	5.26	11.1%	11.2%	3.1%	.364	4.56	10.8%	1.4%	169	-0.70	4.40	348	84
Daniel Concepcion R 2016 · 5.87 FIP	22	SW	5.87	13.0%	10.6%	4.6%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	3.84	110	83
Wirkin Estevez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	24	SW	5.39	10.7%	13.4%	2.7%	.316	4.46	12.3%	3.5%	179	-0.93	4.37	238	83
Juan Perez R 2017 · 4.52 FIP	22	SW	4.52	10.8%	10.8%	1.8%	.230	—	—	—	—	—	4.52	113	83
Scott Burke R 2018 · 4.55 FIP	24	SW	4.55	14.2%	7.7%	3.0%	.316	5.27	14.9%	6.7%	61	+0.72	4.55	119	83
Ignacio Marrujo R 2016 · 5.73 FIP	23	SW	5.73	8.0%	10.1%	3.7%	.284	6.48	9.5%	0.3%	40	+0.75	4.32	150	82
Carlos Felix R 2019 · 4.92 FIP	23	SW	4.92	8.7%	6.3%	3.2%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	4.92	121	81
Colin Welmon R 2016 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	13.8%	9.6%	4.6%	.339	5.33	12.0%	5.0%	73	-0.32	5.33	142	81
Cole Percival R 2022 · 5.21 FIP	23	SU	5.21	15.4%	14.5%	2.9%	.297	4.27	17.9%	5.9%	182	-0.94	3.58	327	81
Jordan Mikel R 2022 · 6.04 FIP	23	SW	6.04	12.8%	11.6%	4.7%	.229	3.65	20.1%	11.3%	115	-2.39	3.04	195	81
Alexis Rivero R 2018 · 4.94 FIP	23	SU	4.94	13.2%	11.6%	2.7%	.261	6.43	12.9%	3.3%	24	+1.49	3.86	280	80
Kyle Smith R 2016 · 5.05 FIP	23	SW	5.05	14.7%	8.7%	3.8%	.326	3.31	15.2%	9.5%	76	-1.74	3.31	159	80
Axel Rios R 2016 · 4.70 FIP	23	SW	4.70	13.1%	13.5%	1.8%	.333	4.06	15.2%	3.2%	97	-0.64	3.50	153	80
Zach Mort R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	22	SW	5.01	10.7%	12.3%	2.3%	.240	5.35	17.0%	8.8%	176	+0.34	4.95	237	80
Eli Saul R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	21	SW	5.41	12.6%	14.2%	2.9%	.305	5.39	13.8%	-2.9%	98	-0.02	5.30	157	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.7	69	15.7%	10.2%	1.25	5.22
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.5	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59
Luis Cessa ('23)	2.1	53	18.3%	7.8%	1.40	4.43
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Matt Wisler ('22)	2.5	63	20.1%	7.6%	1.40	4.59
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Daniel Norris ('22)	2.8	70	21.7%	8.5%	1.37	4.70