Daniel Nunez P Visalia Rawhide
Age 23 RHP 6'0" / 195 lbs A
2026 ROS PROJECTION19 act + 62 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 146137vR 127
ERA5.65
FIP5.65
K%11.7%
BB%11.0%
K-BB%0.7%
ROS IP62
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 80 IP
K: -7.3 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-7KBB: -2.1 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-2BBCONTACT: -10.1 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-10CONTACTSTAM: +7.1 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+7STAMTotal WAR: -1.31 (80 IP)-1.3WAR
-0.20.00.00.00.00.026283031
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF3030
CTRL4545
CMD3030
K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202421MIX2 levels2311723078314448%3.119.0%5.1%14.0%1.2%3.482.77
202421MIX2 levels2311723078314448%3.127.0%4.6%22.5%1.3%3.482.10
202522A+Hillsboro Hops24157836457311262%3.212.1%9.8%2.3%4.4%6.585.74
202522A+Hillsboro Hops24157836457311262%3.215.7%8.5%7.1%3.3%6.584.83
▸ 2026 Season
202623AVisalia Rawhide150198411850%1.27.0%11.2%-4.2%8.8%6.278.74-0.9
ROS23MLBARI59062260302980%1.011.7%11.0%0.7%3.2%5.655.65-0.8
ROS23MLBARI011.7%11.0%0.7%3.2%5.655.65
2026 TOT23MLBARI8034441371312.0%10.6%1.4%3.9%5.796.37-1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202724MLBARI60063266382880%1.114.3%10.6%3.7%3.2%5.425.35-0.5
202825MLBARI61064270432880%1.015.9%10.4%5.6%3.1%5.245.17-0.4
202926MLBARI61064270452880%1.016.8%10.3%6.5%3.1%5.125.08-0.3
202724MLBARI26027114161240%1.014.3%10.6%3.7%3.2%5.425.35-0.3
202825MLBARI40042177281860%1.115.9%10.4%5.6%3.1%5.245.17-0.3
202926MLBARI49051215362270%1.016.8%10.3%6.5%3.1%5.125.08-0.3
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career11401205068153160%1.115.9%10.4%5.5%3.1%5.234.79+0.9
/ 200 IP190020084413588270%1.015.9%10.4%5.5%3.1%5.234.79+1.4
Career6226169755108612742%2.714.3%8.0%6.3%3.6%5.224.87+1.1
/ 200 IP7331200893128723242%2.714.3%8.0%6.3%3.6%5.224.87+1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Daniel Nunez (OGILVIE) 5.65 11.7%11.0%3.2% 5.20 15.7%5.3%191 -0.45
Chance Huff R 2026 · 5.78 FIP 23 SW 5.78 11.8%11.4%4.1%.312 5.14 15.7%-0.0%151 -0.64 4.35 235 88
Wirkin Estevez R 2027 · 5.36 FIP 24 SW 5.36 10.7%13.4%2.7%.316 4.42 12.3%3.5%179 -0.94 4.24 238 88
Cooper Adams R 2027 · 5.35 FIP 24 SW 5.35 13.0%12.2%3.3%.275 3.92 22.5%11.6%118 -1.43 2.99 197 85
Kevin Johnson R 2027 · 4.59 FIP 24 SW 4.59 11.0%8.5%2.5%.302 5.48 9.9%-2.0%26 +0.89 4.59 106 85
Zach Mort R 2025 · 5.14 FIP 22 SW 5.14 10.7%12.3%2.5%.240 5.35 17.0%8.8%176 +0.21 5.14 237 83
Daniel Concepcion R 2025 · 5.38 FIP 22 SW 5.38 13.0%10.6%3.7%.271 3.84 110 83
Axel Rios R 2026 · 4.57 FIP 23 SW 4.57 13.1%13.5%1.6%.333 4.01 15.2%3.2%97 -0.56 3.45 153 82
Jordan Mikel R 2026 · 6.16 FIP 23 SW 6.16 12.8%11.6%4.9%.229 3.94 20.1%11.3%115 -2.22 3.09 195 82
LJ Brewster R 2026 · 4.90 FIP 23 SW 4.90 9.4%11.0%2.2%.266 4.25 143 82
Kelvis Valerio R 2026 · 4.80 FIP 23 SU 4.80 12.9%10.3%2.7%.312 4.08 11.4%4.0%190 -0.72 4.03 266 81
Dennis O'Grady R 2029 · 5.19 FIP 26 SW 5.19 13.5%11.0%3.4%.339 3.79 157 81
Tyler Brashears R 2026 · 5.54 FIP 23 SW 5.54 12.1%13.0%3.3%.314 3.57 156 81
Kyle Miller R 2026 · 4.76 FIP 23 SW 4.76 12.1%12.0%2.1%.294 2.83 164 81
Paulshawn Pasqualotto R 2026 · 4.91 FIP 23 SW 4.91 15.6%9.5%3.5%.354 3.46 18.9%9.4%89 -1.45 3.06 165 81
Juan Perez R 2025 · 4.63 FIP 22 SW 4.63 10.8%10.8%2.0%.230 4.63 113 80
Kyle Smith R 2026 · 4.75 FIP 23 SW 4.75 14.7%8.7%3.3%.326 3.33 15.2%9.5%76 -1.42 3.33 159 80
Jheyson Caraballo R 2024 · 5.25 FIP 21 SW 5.25 11.9%10.6%3.3%.322 3.39 101 80
Marco Camarena R 2028 · 4.53 FIP 25 SW 4.53 11.0%9.3%2.2%.365 3.81 8.4%0.9%73 -0.72 3.81 142 80
Tyler Peyton R 2026 · 5.56 FIP 23 SW 5.56 11.1%10.5%3.8%.298 4.50 12.8%1.6%115 -1.06 3.88 183 80
Aaron Northcraft R 2028 · 4.50 FIP 25 SW 4.50 13.6%10.2%2.3%.286 4.16 16.1%7.8%91 -0.34 3.28 252 80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION46314.7%10.6%1.225.35
Drew VerHagen ('23)64319.7%9.4%1.404.82
Adam Conley ('19)58319.7%9.5%1.174.82
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Roansy Contreras ('24)37719.5%10.1%1.364.78
Wily Peralta ('22)77116.1%9.8%1.224.66
Jorge De La Rosa ('18)49819.5%10.3%1.224.52