Boston Baro

SS St. Lucie Mets

Age 22 L/R 6'0" / 170 lbs A H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

Overview

APROSPECTFG #406MiLBFA 2034

Scout OFP42ETA2029FG ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	20	A+NYM	433	.224/.286/.321	4	28	26	—	.175/.215/.246
2026	21	ANYM	33	.241/.333/.310	0	3	50	—	.233/.303/.300
2026	21	INTLSurprise Sagu…	31	.227/.452/.364	1	3	148	—
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBNYM	368	.216/.264/.300	3	11	58	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	23	MLBNYM	64	.215/.265/.311	1	2	66	0.0
2029PROJ46% MLB	24	MLBNYM	138	.219/.271/.325	2	4	72	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$2M2032Arb-2$3M2033Arb-3$4M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 A+

Speed91

Z-Con%85

K%69

Whiff%66

ISO42

wRC+38

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsMichael Siani (age 22) · Bobby Boyd (age 22) · Thomas Milone (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 153 proj PA

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .262 / .298

PA153

HR1

SB5

K%23

BB%6

ISO85

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 46 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT46

scouting grade only

POWER38

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2031	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-2	$3M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-3	$4M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$0.8M		$4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	18	ROK	FCL Mets	—	24	19	6	2	0	0	5	1	0	0	0	316	458	421	879	105	333	4	21	403	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	49	44	9	3	1	0	5	10	0	1	0	205	286	318	604	114	265	20	10	275	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	370	323	93	16	4	4	41	66	2	8	1	288	372	399	771	111	346	18	11	346	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	433	393	88	16	5	4	31	88	3	28	2	224	286	321	606	97	274	20	7	272	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	33	29	7	2	0	0	4	4	0	3	0	241	333	310	644	69	280	12	12	300	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	31	22	5	0	0	1	9	7	0	3	0	227	452	364	815	136	286	23	29	386	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	24	21	5	2	0	0	3	2	0	0	0	238	333	333	667	95	260	8	12	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	49	46	7	2	1	0	3	13	0	1	0	152	204	239	443	87	229	27	6	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	370	336	87	14	3	4	28	91	2	8	1	259	320	354	674	95	331	25	8	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	433	406	71	12	4	3	18	114	3	28	2	175	215	246	462	71	227	26	4	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	33	30	7	2	0	0	3	5	0	3	0	233	303	300	603	67	250	15	9	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	24	21	5	2	0	0	3	2	0	0	0	238	333	333	667	95	263	8	12	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	FCL Mets	—	24	19	6	2	0	0	5	1	0	0	0	316	458	421	879	105	333	4	21	403	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	419	382	94	16	4	4	31	104	2	9	1	246	306	340	646	94	324	25	7	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	419	367	102	19	5	4	46	76	2	9	1	278	361	390	751	112	337	18	11	337	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	433	406	71	12	4	3	18	114	3	28	2	175	215	246	462	71	231	26	4	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ RAW	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	433	393	88	16	5	4	31	88	3	28	2	224	286	321	606	97	274	20	7	272	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	64	59	12	3	0	0	5	11	0	6	0	203	266	254	520	51	250	17	8	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	64	51	12	2	0	1	13	11	0	6	0	235	391	333	724	98	282	17	20	342	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	24	21	5	2	0	0	3	2	0	0	0	238	333	333	667	95	260	8	12	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	419	383	94	16	4	4	31	104	2	9	1	245	306	339	645	94	319	25	7	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	433	409	71	12	4	3	18	114	3	28	2	174	215	244	460	71	227	26	4	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	64	59	12	3	0	0	5	11	0	6	0	203	266	254	520	51	250	17	8	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	419	383	94	16	4	4	31	104	2	9	1	245	306	339	645	94	319	25	7	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	433	409	71	12	4	3	18	114	3	28	2	174	215	244	460	71	227	26	4	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	64	59	12	3	0	0	5	11	0	6	0	203	266	254	520	51	250	17	8	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	NYM	0%	368	342	74	14	3	3	21	85	2	11	1	216	264	300	564	85	275	23	6	254	58	-18	+2	+1	+4	+8	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	NYM	34%	186	172	37	7	1	2	11	42	1	6	1	221	272	321	592	99	276	23	6	266	66	-8	+1	+1	+2	+4	0.0
2029	24	MLB MLE	NYM	46%	300	277	63	12	2	5	18	67	2	9	1	225	277	335	612	109	278	22	6	274	72	-10	+1	+2	+3	+6	0.3
2030	25	MLB MLE	NYM	52%	373	345	80	15	3	7	23	83	2	11	1	228	281	343	624	115	279	22	6	279	75	-11	+2	+2	+4	+8	0.5
2031	26	MLB MLE	NYM	54%	420	388	88	16	3	8	27	94	2	12	1	229	283	347	630	119	279	22	6	282	77	-12	+2	+2	+4	+9	0.6
2032	27	MLB MLE	NYM	54%	443	408	92	17	3	8	29	99	3	12	1	229	284	348	632	119	280	22	7	283	77	-12	+2	+2	+5	+10	0.7
2033	28	MLB MLE	NYM	54%	454	418	95	18	3	8	30	103	3	11	1	227	282	344	626	117	279	23	7	280	76	-13	+2	+2	+5	+10	0.5
2034	29	MLB MLE	NYM	53%	454	420	94	17	3	8	29	104	2	9	1	225	280	338	617	113	278	23	6	277	73	-14	+1	+1	+5	+10	0.3
2035	30	MLB MLE	NYM	57%	450	416	92	17	3	7	29	105	2	7	1	222	276	331	607	109	276	23	6	272	70	-16	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	NYM	34%	64	60	12	2	0	1	4	14	0	2	0	215	265	311	576	96	267	22	6	259	66	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	NYM	46%	138	128	28	5	1	2	8	31	1	4	0	219	271	325	596	106	269	22	6	267	72	-5	+1	+1	+1	+3	0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	NYM	52%	193	178	39	7	1	3	12	43	1	6	1	221	275	333	608	112	270	22	6	272	75	-6	+1	+1	+2	+4	0.2
2031	26	MLB CTX	NYM	54%	228	210	46	8	2	4	15	51	1	7	1	222	277	337	614	115	270	22	7	275	77	-6	+1	+1	+2	+5	0.3
2032	27	MLB CTX	NYM	54%	240	221	49	9	2	4	16	54	1	7	1	222	278	338	616	116	271	22	7	276	77	-6	+1	+1	+3	+5	0.4
2033	28	MLB CTX	NYM	54%	246	227	50	9	2	4	16	56	1	6	1	220	276	334	610	113	270	23	7	273	76	-7	+1	+1	+3	+5	0.3
2034	29	MLB CTX	NYM	53%	241	222	49	9	2	4	16	55	1	5	0	218	273	328	602	110	269	23	7	270	73	-8	+1	+1	+3	+5	0.2
2035	30	MLB CTX	NYM	57%	256	237	51	9	2	4	16	59	1	4	0	215	270	321	591	106	267	23	6	266	70	-9	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1606	1483	324	58	12	26	103	363	7	41	4	218	272	326	599	108	271	23	6	271	69	-50	+7	+6	+17	+35	1.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	600	131	23	5	11	42	147	3	17	2	218	273	328	601	110	270	23	6	271	69	-20	+3	+3	+7	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	4173	3854	853	158	30	61	262	963	23	125	11	221	275	325	600	104	277	23	6	270	69	-103	+13	+13	+35	+70	2.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	600	134	25	5	10	41	150	4	19	2	223	278	332	609	108	279	23	6	270	69	-21	+3	+3	+7	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#2Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.6	1,759	29	45	226	277	338	+19	+11	1.8	1.8
/162	664	11	17	+7.1	+4.1	0.7	pk7: 2
#5Jimmy Cooney'17-'28 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,722 PA	2.6	1,722	2	30	235*	281*	341*	+17	+8	0.5	0.5
/162	664	1	12	+6.7	+3.0	0.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Boston Baro (OGILVIE)	22	30→46	25→38	50→55	40	214/262/298	84	275	1	5	23%	6%	58	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Michael Siani 2021 · A	22	43→45	38→45	54→60	41	208/264/286	78	288	6	21	29%	6%	56	-1.9	201/273/302	101	275	9	28	28%	8%	63	-1.3	211/284/306	95	276	9	33	25%	9%	67	-0.8
✕Bobby Boyd 2015 · A	22	44→53	38→45	54→60	43	210/261/286	76	281	5	15	27%	6%	55	-2.0	230/275/315	85	317	5	23	27%	6%	66	-1.1	238/284/324	86	324	4	28	27%	6%	69	-0.8
✕Thomas Milone 2017 · A	22	41→46	36→45	48→55	40	194/252/257	63	282	3	14	31%	6%	45	-2.7	215/268/303	88	304	4	12	29%	6%	61	-1.5	237/293/355	117	331	8	17	29%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Jason Denham 2008 · A	22	44→45	38→40	51→55	44	213/272/286	73	292	6	16	28%	7%	59	-1.6	226/286/321	95	290	10	18	24%	8%	73	-0.6	230/295/320	90	275	11	27	20%	8%	75	-0.2
✕Livan Soto 2022 · AA	22	37→47	40	50	42	186/244/277	91	256	7	11	30%	7%	47	-2.6	234/302/324	90	314	7	9	25%	8%	80	-0.2	246/319/331	85	322	6	8	24%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Jamodrick McGruder 2014 · A	22	40→44	37→40	52→50	47	193/261/259	66	255	5	10	25%	8%	50	-2.3	211/284/306	95	274	7	10	23%	9%	69	-0.9	206/287/304	98	264	6	10	22%	10%	66	-0.8
✕Jose Augusto Figueroa 2015 · A	22	43	38→40	50→45	42	206/259/288	82	279	5	13	27%	6%	55	-2.0	230/267/313	83	329	4	10	30%	4%	63	-1.4	261/289/353	92	366	4	5	29%	3%	77	-0.1
✕Kier Meredith 2022 · A	22	42	36→30	51→60	45	197/266/263	67	278	4	12	29%	8%	53	-2.1	208/305/278	70	291	4	26	27%	9%	72	-0.7	223/339/272	49	296	2	35	22%	11%	80	-0.0
✕Cam Coursey 2022 · A	23	44	38→40	52→55	48	208/273/289	81	264	5	16	22%	8%	60	-1.6	214/296/293	79	279	4	10	23%	10%	70	-0.8	207/308/266	60	270	2	4	21%	12%	69	-0.4
✕Hoy Park 2018 · A	22	44→52	39→45	58→55	46	208/280/301	93	279	6	17	26%	8%	66	-1.1	228/306/313	85	303	5	16	24%	9%	78	-0.3	234/324/332	98	306	8	17	24%	11%	88	+0.3
✕Luke Williams 2019 · A	22	41→44	38→45	50→65	42	199/251/269	70	259	6	15	25%	5%	47	-2.5	210/270/306	96	280	7	19	26%	7%	63	-1.3	229/291/325	96	311	8	37	27%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Tzu-Wei Lin 2016 · AA	22	48→51	36→45	51→50	46	224/270/291	67	273	3	14	19%	6%	59	-1.7	232/280/317	85	287	5	12	20%	6%	69	-0.9	241/294/348	107	314	8	10	24%	7%	78	-0.1
✕Kristopher Negrón 2008 · A	22	43→49	37→45	55	43	204/269/274	70	275	4	18	26%	6%	56	-1.9	226/287/322	96	290	7	20	23%	6%	74	-0.6	231/294/333	102	293	8	23	23%	6%	76	-0.4
✕Leon Landry 2012 · A	22	47→54	39→45	52→55	43	223/263/317	94	266	5	15	18%	5%	62	-1.4	227/258/335	108	270	7	19	18%	4%	64	-1.3	231/257/339	108	270	7	23	17%	3%	62	-1.1
✕Juan Perez 2014 · A	22	44→50	41→45	53→55	42	216/262/323	107	277	8	18	25%	5%	64	-1.3	213/252/311	98	275	8	16	25%	5%	57	-1.8	226/270/343	117	292	13	24	27%	5%	69	-0.6
✕Raynel Delgado 2022 · A	22	38→48	40	47→60	37	187/242/274	87	288	8	13	36%	6%	46	-2.6	219/288/314	95	306	8	18	29%	8%	72	-0.7	246/311/338	92	338	7	32	27%	8%	82	+0.0
✕James Rapoport 2008 · A	23	43→53	34→40	53→55	42	202/251/255	53	276	2	18	27%	6%	44	-2.8	233/287/302	69	292	4	16	20%	7%	68	-1.0	247/306/317	69	297	4	13	17%	7%	76	-0.3
✕Luis Barrera 2018 · A	22	44→54	40→45	52→50	38	214/250/309	95	287	7	12	28%	4%	55	-1.9	240/281/347	107	316	6	16	24%	5%	76	-0.4	248/293/357	110	319	5	17	23%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Frainyer Chavez 2021 · A	22	44→47	36→40	50	44	210/266/274	64	282	3	15	26%	7%	54	-2.0	207/274/272	65	290	4	11	28%	8%	57	-1.8	223/291/306	84	291	8	18	25%	8%	69	-0.7
✕River Town 2022 · A	23	43→38	37→40	54→50	43	202/278/275	73	283	3	12	28%	7%	61	-1.5	209/294/310	101	262	9	15	22%	8%	75	-0.5	204/297/299	95	251	9	15	21%	9%	72	-0.4

Boston Baro

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps