Nicholas Regalado
P
Quad Cities River Bandits
Age 24
RHP
6'2" / 215 lbs
A+
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 34 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129119vR 110
ERA4.85
FIP4.85
K%20.7%
BB%11.7%
K-BB%9.0%
ROS IP34
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 34 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | ACL Royals | 4 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 33.3% | 0.0% | 4.50 | 0.29 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | ACL Royals | 4 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 33.3% | 0.0% | 4.50 | -0.40 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 20 | 0 | 32 | 139 | 43 | 17 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 22.9% | 14.4% | 8.5% | 0.0% | 2.78 | 2.99 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 20 | 0 | 32 | 139 | 43 | 17 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 30.9% | 12.2% | 18.7% | 0.0% | 2.78 | 2.02 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 1 | 50 | 228 | 67 | 25 | 2 | 3% | 1.7 | 22.7% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 1.2% | 3.99 | 3.49 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 1 | 50 | 228 | 67 | 25 | 2 | 3% | 1.7 | 29.4% | 11.0% | 18.4% | 0.9% | 3.99 | 2.44 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 3 | 54 | 241 | 46 | 33 | 7 | 9% | 1.6 | 15.0% | 15.5% | -0.5% | 3.3% | 5.03 | 5.62 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 3 | 54 | 241 | 46 | 33 | 7 | 9% | 1.6 | 19.1% | 13.7% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 5.03 | 4.93 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | KC | 33 | 0 | 34 | 145 | 30 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.7% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 3.0% | 4.85 | 4.85 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | KC | 33 | 0 | 35 | 147 | 31 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.3% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 3.0% | 4.72 | 4.67 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | KC | 14 | 0 | 15 | 63 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.3% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 3.0% | 4.72 | 4.67 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 14 | 0 | 15 | 63 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.3% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 3.0% | 4.72 | 4.29 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 174 | 94 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.3% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 3.0% | 4.72 | 4.29 | +2.6 | ||
| Career | — | 88 | 4 | 140 | 629 | 127 | 87 | 11 | 5% | 1.6 | 20.2% | 13.8% | 6.3% | 1.7% | 4.12 | 4.09 | +2.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 126 | 6 | 200 | 901 | 181 | 125 | 15 | 5% | 1.6 | 20.2% | 13.8% | 6.3% | 1.7% | 4.12 | 4.09 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Nicholas Regalado (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.85 | 20.7% | 11.7% | 3.0% | — | 4.67 | 21.3% | 10.6% | 35 | -0.18 | — | — | — |
| Colby Morris R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .291 | 5.76 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 54 | +1.53 | 4.23 | 105 | 93 |
| Harrison Cohen R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.55 | 22.4% | 13.4% | 3.0% | .282 | 4.01 | 23.3% | 9.5% | 99 | -0.54 | 2.09 | 146 | 91 |
| Ricardo Velez R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.48 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 3.5% | .261 | 4.12 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 138 | -0.36 | 3.77 | 166 | 90 |
| Max Alba R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.24 | 20.6% | 12.6% | 2.3% | .290 | 5.06 | 17.4% | 10.5% | 207 | +0.82 | 4.24 | 262 | 90 |
| Cole Gordon R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 22.0% | 12.7% | 2.4% | .243 | 5.20 | 20.9% | 9.5% | 83 | +1.04 | 4.16 | 112 | 89 |
| Ben Hecht R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.56 | 22.7% | 12.9% | 3.2% | .293 | 7.95 | 14.1% | -11.4% | 13 | +3.39 | 4.55 | 155 | 89 |
| Alex Palsha R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.84 | 20.6% | 10.4% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.90 | 15.3% | 4.4% | 77 | +0.06 | 3.40 | 134 | 88 |
| Cameron Gann R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.16 | 21.4% | 12.4% | 2.4% | .296 | 5.44 | 21.1% | 6.8% | 23 | +1.28 | 3.52 | 146 | 88 |
| Hunter Mann R 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.27 | 19.6% | 11.5% | 2.5% | .256 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.01 | 135 | 88 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2027 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .330 | 4.97 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.23 | 3.74 | 140 | 87 |
| Jay Driver R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.43 | 21.4% | 13.3% | 2.6% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 135 | 87 |
| Reid Schaller R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.73 | 20.2% | 13.1% | 3.0% | .298 | 3.84 | 22.0% | 11.4% | 90 | -0.89 | 3.49 | 186 | 87 |
| Justin Evans R 2026 · 5.29 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.29 | 19.2% | 11.2% | 4.4% | .333 | 3.97 | 22.0% | 5.5% | 65 | -1.32 | 3.73 | 105 | 87 |
| Hunter Dula R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.79 | 20.1% | 12.1% | 3.4% | .301 | 4.05 | 19.8% | 10.2% | 37 | -0.74 | 3.85 | 132 | 86 |
| Kyle Schepel R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.49 | 23.1% | 10.7% | 3.6% | .233 | 3.63 | 22.1% | 10.4% | 120 | -0.86 | 3.51 | 156 | 86 |
| Grayson Thurman R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.38 | 19.5% | 14.1% | 2.1% | .319 | 4.85 | 19.9% | 10.5% | 87 | +0.47 | 4.38 | 132 | 86 |
| Tyler Mitzel R 2025 · 4.21 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.21 | 24.1% | 12.0% | 3.0% | .245 | 4.19 | 22.4% | 14.3% | 96 | -0.02 | 3.95 | 142 | 86 |
| Brandon Johnson R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.88 | 22.4% | 14.2% | 3.4% | .327 | 4.57 | 21.7% | 10.8% | 163 | -0.31 | 3.44 | 224 | 86 |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.51 | 20.7% | 9.6% | 3.5% | .281 | 4.91 | 21.2% | 5.7% | 55 | +0.40 | 4.51 | 121 | 86 |
| Kyle Whitten R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.26 | 18.0% | 9.5% | 2.7% | .296 | 5.21 | 18.2% | 7.4% | 37 | +0.95 | 4.26 | 152 | 86 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 35 | 21.0% | 11.2% | 1.15 | 4.78 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |