Keaton Anthony — OGILVIE

Keaton AnthonyOF Lehigh Valley IronPigs

Age 25 R/R 6'2" / 211 lbs AAA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION184 act + 136 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†101

AVG/OBP/SLG.262 / .311 / .397

PA136

HR3

K%23

BB%6

BABIP323

ISO135

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 53 / POW 44

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT53

scouting grade only

POWER44

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED31

scouting grade only

DEFENSE48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.9	$3M	+$3M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.9	$3M	+$2M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.9	$3M	+$2M
2030	Arb-1	$1M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2031	Arb-2	$2M	+0.6	$2M	+$0.7M
2032	Arb-3	$1M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$14M	+$9M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	ROK	2 teams	—	55	45	10	1	0	1	4	13	6	1	0	222	364	311	675	89	290	24	7	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK	2 teams	—	55	43	13	1	0	2	6	9	6	1	0	302	455	465	920	163	344	16	11	420	179	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	3 teams	—	444	395	111	20	2	7	36	93	9	3	1	281	355	395	749	114	348	21	8	330	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	3 teams	—	444	379	124	20	2	8	50	68	9	3	1	327	416	454	870	127	378	15	11	388	155	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	2 teams	—	348	326	96	26	1	5	17	90	3	0	0	294	335	426	762	132	391	26	5	331	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	2 teams	—	348	316	102	31	1	6	26	73	3	0	0	323	379	484	863	161	402	21	7	380	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	AAA	PHI	—	184	162	45	5	1	6	14	37	2	0	0	278	343	432	775	154	312	20	8	337	116	+3	+0	+0	-1	+5	0.8
YTD	25	AAA	PHI	—	184	156	47	6	1	7	20	30	2	0	0	301	388	487	875	186	320	16	11	376	146	+10	+0	+0	-1	+5	1.4
ROS	25	AAA	PHI	10%	136	126	33	6	1	3	8	31	1	0	0	262	311	397	708	135	328	23	6	317	101	+0	+0	-0	-1	+4	0.3
ROS	25	MLB	PHI	10%	14	13	3	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	231	286	308	593	77	330	21	7	312	97	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	0.0
FULL	25	AAA	PHI	—	198	175	48	6	1	6	15	40	2	0	0	274	339	423	761	149	311	20	8	335	115	+3	+0	-0	-1	+6	0.8
TOT	25	AAA	PHI	—	320	288	78	11	2	9	22	68	3	0	0	271	329	417	746	146	317	21	7	329	110	+3	+0	-0	-2	+9	1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	PHI	33%	362	331	88	17	2	8	24	83	4	1	0	266	323	402	725	136	326	23	7	320	103	+1	+0	-1	-2	+10	0.9
2028	27	MLB	PHI	44%	386	353	93	18	2	9	26	88	4	1	0	263	321	402	723	139	324	23	7	320	103	+1	+0	-1	-2	+11	0.9
2029	28	MLB	PHI	51%	399	364	95	19	2	9	28	92	4	1	0	261	321	398	719	137	322	23	7	320	103	+1	+0	-2	-2	+11	0.9
2030	29	MLB	PHI	53%	400	365	95	19	2	9	28	93	4	1	0	260	320	397	717	137	320	23	7	318	101	+1	+0	-2	-2	+11	0.7
2031	30	MLB	PHI	54%	398	363	93	18	2	9	28	93	4	1	0	256	316	391	708	135	319	23	7	315	99	-0	+0	-3	-2	+11	0.6
2032	31	MLB	PHI	55%	386	352	89	18	1	8	27	92	4	1	0	253	313	378	691	125	317	24	7	311	96	-2	+0	-4	-2	+11	0.3
2033	32	MLB	PHI	56%	369	336	84	16	1	8	26	89	4	1	0	250	311	375	686	125	314	24	7	305	92	-4	+0	-4	-2	+10	0.0
2034	33	MLB	PHI	57%	341	311	76	14	1	7	24	84	3	1	0	244	305	363	668	119	309	25	7	298	86	-5	+0	-5	-2	+10	-0.3
2027	26	MLB	PHI	33%	120	110	30	6	1	3	8	27	1	0	0	273	328	427	755	155	329	22	7	315	99	-0	+0	-0	-1	+3	0.2
2028	27	MLB	PHI	44%	169	154	41	8	1	4	11	39	2	1	0	266	323	409	732	143	326	23	7	315	99	-0	+0	-0	-1	+5	0.3
2029	28	MLB	PHI	51%	202	184	49	10	1	5	14	46	2	1	0	266	325	413	738	147	324	23	7	314	99	-0	+0	-1	-1	+6	0.4
2030	29	MLB	PHI	53%	211	192	50	10	1	5	15	49	2	1	0	260	321	401	722	141	323	23	7	312	97	-1	+0	-1	-1	+6	0.3
2031	30	MLB	PHI	54%	217	198	51	10	1	5	15	51	2	1	0	258	316	394	710	136	322	24	7	310	95	-1	+0	-2	-1	+6	0.2
2032	31	MLB	PHI	55%	214	195	51	10	1	5	15	51	2	1	0	262	321	400	721	138	319	24	7	306	92	-2	+0	-2	-1	+6	0.1
2033	32	MLB	PHI	56%	207	188	47	9	1	4	15	50	2	0	0	250	312	372	685	122	316	24	7	300	88	-3	+0	-3	-1	+6	-0.1
2034	33	MLB	PHI	57%	193	175	44	8	1	4	14	48	2	0	0	251	314	377	691	126	312	25	7	293	82	-4	+0	-3	-1	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1547	1409	366	72	8	35	108	364	15	5	0	260	319	397	716	137	325	24	7	308	94	-11	+1	-12	-9	+44	1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	153	30	3	15	45	153	6	2	0	258	317	395	712	137	323	24	7	308	94	-5	+0	-5	-4	+18	0.5
Career	—			—	4024	3667	963	192	17	83	276	941	50	12	1	263	323	392	715	130	330	23	7	317	101	+3	+2	-23	-24	+114	7.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	155	31	3	13	45	152	8	2	0	262	322	390	713	128	329	23	7	317	101	+1	+0	-4	-4	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	20	14	2	0	0	0	4	3	2	1	0	143	400	143	543		182	15	20	304	90	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	22	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	35	29	11	1	0	2	2	6	4	0	0	379	486	621	1.106	241	429	17	6	486	230	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.6
2024	23	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	26	25	3	0	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	120	154	120	274		158	23	4	131	-41	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2024	23	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	232	205	73	10	2	4	21	34	3	0	0	356	424	483	907	127	406	15	9	400	164	+17	+0	—	—	+7	2.4
2024	23	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	186	149	48	10	0	4	28	28	6	3	1	322	443	470	913	148	373	15	15	408	170	+15	+0	—	—	+5	2.1
2025	24	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	148	134	42	10	0	2	12	33	1	0	0	313	372	433	804	119	404	22	8	360	134	+6	+0	—	—	+4	1.0
2025	24	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	200	182	60	21	1	4	14	40	2	0	0	330	384	522	906	192	400	20	7	395	160	+14	+0	—	—	+6	2.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Emil Brownlast yr '08 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,335 PA	6	2,335	57	47	263	326	406	-24	-8	5.3	5.3
#1Emil Brownlast yr '08 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,335 PA	/162	664	16	13	263	326	406	-6.7	-2.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#2Robert Ficklast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,585 PA	8	2,585	63	4	258	327	400	-24	-19	4.0	4.6
	/162	664	16	1	258	327	400	-6.3	-4.8	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Shane Halterlast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,744 PA	5	1,744	41	11	247	305	396	-6	+8	3.9	3.9
	/162	664	16	4	247	305	396	-2.1	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 4
#4Nomar Mazaralast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,690 PA	7	2,690	85	7	256	315	414	-29	-21	3.7	3.7
	/162	664	21	2	256	315	414	-7.1	-5.3	0.9	pk7: 4
#5Shane Spencerlast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,568 PA	5	1,568	41	13	261	325	410	-12	-6	3.6	3.6
	/162	664	17	6	261	325	410	-5.3	-2.7	1.5	pk7: 4
#6Wil Corderolast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,639 PA	6	1,639	43	5	262	325	416	-17	-13	3.1	3.1
	/162	664	17	2	262	325	416	-7.0	-5.2	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,564	34	4	257	313	388	-9	-3	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	14	2	257	313	388	-4.0	-1.4	1.2	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Keaton Anthony (OGILVIE)	25	45→53	45→44	30→31	40	271/329/417	146	317	9	0	21%	7%	110	+1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Casey McGehee 2008 · AAA	25	50→60	43→55	36→40	45	243/284/357	114	287	10	2	19%	5%	77	+0.1	260/308/400	140	305	15	2	19%	6%	99	+1.7	274/327/430	156	312	18	0	18%	7%	111	+2.3
●Matt Miller 2008 · AAA	25	51→61	47→50	36→40	45	255/304/387	131	285	15	4	17%	5%	94	+1.3	276/328/386	110	323	9	4	17%	6%	103	+1.9	283/338/387	104	336	8	3	17%	7%	106	+2.1
●Josh Satin 2011 · AA	26	53→59	43→50	35→40	47	248/318/367	120	340	9	2	28%	8%	95	+1.4	259/333/392	133	352	12	3	27%	10%	108	+2.3	262/343/397	135	351	12	2	26%	10%	110	+2.1
✕Cesar Nicolas 2008 · AA	26	47→52	48→50	34→30	49	236/320/381	145	290	15	3	24%	8%	101	+1.8	229/313/358	129	287	12	4	23%	9%	92	+1.2	224/313/354	131	274	13	1	22%	9%	89	+0.5
●Brian Hernandez 2014 · AA	25	50→60	40→45	40	43	242/286/335	94	302	7	5	22%	5%	72	-0.2	254/293/353	99	314	9	4	21%	5%	80	+0.4	290/328/409	119	340	12	2	18%	5%	107	+1.6
✕Roberto Lopez 2011 · AA	25	49	48→55	38→45	45	244/305/390	145	279	15	5	19%	6%	96	+1.5	239/288/403	164	268	19	6	19%	5%	92	+1.2	235/282/400	164	261	19	6	18%	4%	86	+0.6
✕Marc Tugwell 2006 · A	25	53→56	41→45	36→40	43	254/304/354	100	306	8	4	20%	5%	85	+0.7	213/267/294	81	273	7	6	23%	6%	54	-1.4	140/192/167	28	183	3	0	24%	5%	-11	-1.7
✕Colin Moran 2019 · MLB	26	51→57	48→55	35→30	47	255/312/391	136	303	16	2	22%	7%	98	+1.6	264/324/424	160	323	18	2	23%	8%	112	+2.6	262/326/423	161	325	19	1	24%	8%	109	+1.4
✕Konrad Schmidt 2010 · AAA	25	51→59	41→45	38→40	41	246/287/343	97	307	8	3	22%	4%	76	+0.0	242/281/353	111	306	9	5	23%	4%	76	+0.0	236/276/346	110	300	9	4	24%	4%	71	-0.2
●Matt Hague 2011 · AA	25	54→64	48→50	37→45	48	271/323/411	140	300	16	4	16%	6%	108	+2.3	263/312/379	116	304	11	4	16%	6%	95	+1.4	273/335/392	119	329	11	3	19%	7%	104	+1.9
✕Eric Campbell 2011 · AA	24	50→57	44→45	40→50	48	243/302/362	119	287	10	5	19%	7%	86	+0.8	240/314/351	111	298	9	8	21%	9%	89	+1.0	258/338/376	118	323	10	11	21%	9%	103	+1.3
✕Cristian Santana 2022 · AAA	25	54→48	44→45	39→30	35	266/286/384	118	341	12	3	26%	3%	85	+0.7	233/272/328	95	322	9	4	29%	5%	65	-0.7	225/267/301	76	313	7	1	29%	5%	53	-1.3
✕Dilson Herrera 2019 · MLB	25	44→54	48→50	38→50	40	223/274/360	137	292	17	5	29%	6%	76	+0.0	206/266/378	172	276	23	9	33%	6%	77	+0.1	177/242/362	185	225	26	9	35%	6%	60	-0.5
✕Albert Almora Jr. 2019 · MLB	25	57→59	43→45	42→50	45	275/313/388	113	319	10	5	17%	5%	97	+1.5	236/280/357	121	271	13	6	18%	5%	76	+0.1	221/262/334	113	250	13	6	18%	5%	58	-0.6
✕Adam Heether 2008 · AA	26	50→56	41→50	39→45	46	239/297/343	105	303	8	3	23%	7%	79	+0.3	227/304/359	132	286	13	8	24%	8%	88	+0.9	216/302/352	136	267	14	9	23%	9%	84	+0.5
✕Elias Díaz 2016 · AAA	25	49→56	42→50	39→45	45	241/284/349	108	280	10	5	18%	6%	75	-0.0	248/287/348	100	292	9	5	18%	5%	76	+0.1	245/304/378	133	272	15	0	16%	7%	89	+0.5
✕Mike Eylward 2007 · AAA	27	54→58	46→45	35→40	46	265/314/396	131	299	13	4	17%	6%	101	+1.8	246/301/359	113	291	11	3	19%	6%	85	+0.7	239/298/343	103	284	10	1	19%	6%	78	+0.2
●Andy Ibáñez 2019 · AAA	26	48→56	43→55	40→45	46	238/286/348	110	274	11	6	18%	6%	76	+0.0	248/300/393	145	286	16	6	19%	6%	95	+1.4	256/310/417	161	286	17	5	17%	7%	102	+1.4
✕Carson Kelly 2018 · MLB	24	46→47	43→55	37→40	46	226/281/331	104	269	11	2	20%	6%	70	-0.3	231/310/376	145	269	17	3	20%	9%	95	+1.4	248/332/397	148	279	19	1	18%	10%	107	+1.2
✕Jayce Boyd 2016 · AAA	25	53→57	40→45	40	48	252/307/350	98	297	7	4	17%	7%	85	+0.7	229/283/326	97	284	8	6	21%	6%	69	-0.4	221/278/314	93	276	8	4	22%	7%	62	-0.4