Juan Nunez — OGILVIE

Juan Nunez P FCL Astros

Age 23 RHP 6'0" / 155 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 23 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 103

ERA4.55

FIP4.55

K%23.0%

BB%10.9%

K-BB%12.1%

ROS IP23

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Orange	13	0	17	79	15	16	1	0%	1.3	12.9%	25.3%	-12.4%	1.9%	6.48	6.28	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL HOU Orange	13	0	17	79	15	16	1	0%	1.3	19.0%	20.3%	-1.3%	1.3%	6.48	4.96	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	15	0	24	100	27	11	0	0%	1.6	18.4%	13.8%	4.6%	0.0%	3.00	3.29	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Orange	15	0	24	100	27	11	0	0%	1.6	27.0%	11.0%	16.0%	0.0%	3.00	2.23	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	4	39	168	48	19	2	27%	2.6	20.1%	13.8%	6.3%	1.4%	2.97	3.94	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	4	39	168	48	19	2	27%	2.6	20.1%	13.8%	6.3%	1.4%	2.97	3.94	—
2024	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	4	39	168	48	19	2	27%	2.6	28.6%	11.3%	17.3%	1.2%	2.97	2.77	—
2026	22	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	7	2	6	36	5	12	3	29%	0.8	13.9%	33.3%	-19.4%	8.3%	20.65	10.72	—
2026	22	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	7	2	6	36	5	12	3	29%	0.8	13.9%	33.3%	-19.4%	8.3%	20.65	10.72	—
2026	22	ROK RAW	FCL Astros	7	2	6	36	5	12	3	29%	0.8	13.9%	33.3%	-19.4%	8.3%	20.65	14.57	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	HOU	22	0	23	97	22	11	3	0%	1.0	23.0%	10.9%	12.1%	3.0%	4.55	4.55	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	HOU	23	0	24	101	24	10	3	0%	1.0	23.6%	10.1%	13.5%	3.0%	4.44	4.39	+0.0
2028	24	MLB CTX	HOU	10	0	10	42	10	4	1	0%	1.0	23.6%	10.1%	13.5%	3.0%	4.44	4.39	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	10	43	10	4	1	0%	1.0	23.6%	10.1%	13.5%	3.0%	4.44	4.01	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	195	78	19	0%	1.1	23.6%	10.1%	13.5%	3.0%	4.44	4.01	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		50	6	86	383	67	69	7	12%	1.7	17.6%	18.0%	-0.4%	1.8%	4.83	4.89	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		117	14	200	894	157	161	16	12%	1.7	17.6%	18.0%	-0.4%	1.8%	4.83	4.89	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Juan Nunez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.55	23.0%	10.9%	3.0%	—	4.39	23.6%	13.5%	24	-0.16	—	—	—
Heath Holder R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	21.1%	10.1%	2.8%	.287	3.30	22.3%	13.1%	247	-0.86	2.94	367	89
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	88
Jonathan Papelbon R 2005 · 3.93 FIP	24	SW	3.93	23.0%	10.1%	2.7%	.305	1.90	31.3%	26.8%	196	-2.03	1.33	726	87
Tyler Mitzel R 2019 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	24.1%	12.0%	3.2%	.245	4.10	22.4%	14.3%	96	-0.24	4.03	142	87
Peyton Williams R 2021 · 3.69 FIP	23	SU	3.69	22.3%	10.3%	2.1%	.311	4.82	22.2%	10.2%	100	+1.13	3.69	123	87
Garrett Mock R 2008 · 3.57 FIP	25	SU	3.57	25.6%	11.1%	2.2%	.300	4.06	17.1%	7.4%	91	+0.49	3.57	132	86
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	86
Jonathan Brand R 2023 · 3.95 FIP	23	SU	3.95	22.7%	10.8%	2.5%	.236	4.79	19.7%	9.4%	160	+0.84	3.34	198	85
Tyler Bray R 2015 · 4.07 FIP	23	SU	4.07	22.3%	9.1%	3.1%	.356	3.21	17.9%	7.6%	114	-0.86	2.82	152	85
Grant Balfour R 2003 · 4.13 FIP	25	SU	4.13	26.1%	10.4%	3.5%	.275	3.79	24.4%	12.8%	39	-0.34	2.04	533	85
Owen Holt R 2022 · 3.72 FIP	23	SU	3.72	20.7%	10.2%	2.0%	.258	4.51	18.7%	6.4%	107	+0.79	3.72	145	85
Zac Ryan R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	23	SU	3.83	20.5%	10.9%	2.0%	.233	3.93	21.6%	6.9%	124	+0.10	3.83	184	85
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	85
Kyle Schepel R 2015 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	23.1%	10.7%	3.9%	.233	3.64	22.1%	10.4%	120	-0.99	3.54	156	85
Austin Smith R 2022 · 3.88 FIP	23	SU	3.88	22.7%	10.0%	2.6%	.274	5.15	16.3%	0.7%	52	+1.27	3.88	148	84
Shane Broyles R 2015 · 3.91 FIP	23	SU	3.91	21.9%	11.5%	2.2%	.338	3.75	25.7%	14.5%	159	-0.16	3.34	218	84
Jacob Dorris R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	26.9%	12.4%	3.2%	.295	4.58	19.2%	8.8%	88	+0.42	4.16	130	84
Chris Perez R 2008 · 4.22 FIP	23	SU	4.22	23.7%	12.4%	2.8%	.269	3.71	22.5%	12.6%	180	-0.51	3.18	379	84
Luke Bell R 2024 · 3.62 FIP	23	SU	3.62	20.4%	9.9%	1.8%	.295	5.69	13.1%	1.3%	66	+2.07	3.62	110	84
Todd Peterson R 2021 · 5.11 FIP	23	SW	5.11	18.4%	10.3%	4.1%	.279	4.83	15.0%	4.3%	124	-0.28	4.45	175	84