Jim Jarvis

SS Gwinnett Stripers

Age 26 L/R 5'9" / 190 lbs AAA Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2031

Overview

AAA40-MANROOKIEPre-ArbFA 2032

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	23	A+DET	289	.216/.312/.308	4	11	47	—	.188/.260/.273
2025	24	AAATL	403	.247/.324/.342	2	14	61	—	.223/.279/.309
2025	24	INTLGlendale Dese…	66	.259/.394/.426	2	4	138	—
2026	25	MLBATL	124	.207/.267/.297	1	0	55	0.2
2027PROJ45% MLB	26	MLBATL	112	.225/.294/.318	1	5	74	0.1
2028PROJ51% MLB	27	MLBATL	202	.225/.294/.320	2	10	75	0.3
2029PROJ55% MLB	28	MLBATL	222	.224/.294/.320	2	10	74	0.2

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.2 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2031Service1.000First FA2032

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Arb-1$2M2030Arb-2$2M2031Arb-3$2M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Speed95

Whiff%93

Z-Con%91

K%81

BB%76

Chase%75

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 5, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 85%

CompsJ.D. Orr (age 25) · Patrick Biondi (age 27) · Adam Heisler (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.225 / .294 / .318

PA112

HR1

SB5

K%19

BB%8

BABIP273

ISO89

MLB%45%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 41 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT41

xAVG

290.234

POWER30

Barrel%

123.3

Avg EV

4889.0

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED50

Sprint

6027.9

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2029	Arb-1	$2M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-3	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.8M		$3M	+$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	22	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	122	104	27	7	0	1	11	22	4	6	3	260	353	356	709	96	310	18	9	319	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	289	250	54	9	1	4	32	40	3	11	5	216	312	308	620	92	238	14	11	285	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	191	163	44	9	2	1	23	24	3	14	2	270	370	368	738	98	307	13	12	335	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Columbus Clingstones	—	403	360	89	22	3	2	33	52	8	14	5	247	324	342	666	94	282	13	8	303	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	66	54	14	3	0	2	12	9	0	4	2	259	394	426	820	167	279	14	18	372	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	124	111	23	5	1	1	8	23	1	0	1	207	267	297	564	90	253	19	6	249	55	-7	-0	+0	+6	+3	0.2
2026	25	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	460	392	116	23	6	6	62	75	2	40	11	296	395	431	826	135	350	16	13	369	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	124	111	23	5	1	1	8	23	1	0	1	207	267	297	564	90	253	19	6	249	55	-7	-0	+0	+6	+3	0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	22	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	122	108	25	6	0	1	7	31	4	6	3	231	303	315	617	83	285	25	6	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	289	260	49	8	1	4	22	53	3	11	5	188	260	273	533	85	214	18	8	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	191	171	40	6	2	1	15	32	3	14	2	234	307	310	617	76	268	17	8	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Columbus Clingstones	—	403	372	83	22	2	2	21	63	8	14	5	223	279	309	588	86	259	16	5	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	124	111	23	5	1	1	8	23	1	0	1	207	267	297	564	90	253	19	6	249	55	-7	-0	+0	+6	+3	0.2
2026	25	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	—	460	411	113	21	6	4	43	90	2	40	11	275	346	384	731	109	336	20	9	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	122	108	25	6	0	1	7	31	4	6	3	231	303	315	617	83	304	25	6	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A RAW	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	122	104	27	7	0	1	11	22	4	6	3	260	353	356	709	96	310	18	9	319	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	480	431	88	14	3	4	37	85	6	25	7	204	276	278	555	74	241	18	8	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	480	413	98	18	3	5	55	64	6	25	7	237	335	332	667	94	266	13	11	305	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	469	435	96	25	3	2	24	73	8	18	7	221	274	306	580	85	260	16	5	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	469	414	103	25	3	4	45	61	8	18	7	249	334	353	687	104	282	13	10	313	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	584	522	136	26	7	5	51	113	3	40	12	261	330	366	696	105	322	19	9	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	584	503	139	28	7	7	70	98	3	40	12	276	368	402	770	125	329	17	12	344	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	122	110	25	6	0	1	7	31	4	6	3	227	303	309	612	82	285	25	6	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	480	434	88	14	3	4	37	85	6	25	7	203	276	276	553	74	235	18	8	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	469	434	96	25	3	2	24	73	8	18	7	221	274	306	581	85	259	16	5	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	584	525	136	26	7	5	51	113	3	40	12	259	330	364	694	105	318	19	9	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	480	434	88	14	3	4	37	85	6	25	7	203	276	276	553	74	235	18	8	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	469	434	96	25	3	2	24	73	8	18	7	221	274	306	581	85	259	16	5	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	584	525	136	26	7	5	51	113	3	40	12	259	330	364	694	105	318	19	9	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	ATL	45%	380	343	77	15	4	3	31	72	3	18	4	225	294	318	612	93	273	19	8	278	74	-12	+2	+2	+4	+8	0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	ATL	45%	112	101	22	4	1	1	9	21	1	5	1	225	294	318	612	93	273	19	8	278	74	-3	+1	+0	+1	+2	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	ATL	51%	395	357	81	16	4	4	32	77	3	19	5	225	294	320	614	95	274	19	8	279	75	-12	+2	+2	+4	+9	0.4
2029	28	MLB MLE	ATL	55%	403	364	82	16	4	4	33	80	3	17	4	224	294	320	614	96	274	20	8	278	74	-12	+2	+1	+4	+9	0.4
2030	29	MLB MLE	ATL	56%	398	360	80	16	3	4	32	80	3	15	4	223	292	319	611	96	274	20	8	277	74	-12	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.2
2031	30	MLB MLE	ATL	56%	394	356	79	15	3	4	32	81	3	12	3	222	290	316	607	95	273	21	8	275	72	-13	+1	-0	+4	+9	0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	ATL	51%	202	183	41	8	2	2	16	39	1	10	2	225	294	320	614	95	274	19	8	279	75	-6	+1	+1	+2	+4	0.3
2029	28	MLB CTX	ATL	55%	222	200	45	9	2	2	18	44	2	10	2	224	294	320	614	96	274	20	8	278	74	-7	+1	+1	+2	+5	0.2
2030	29	MLB CTX	ATL	56%	222	200	45	9	2	2	18	45	2	8	2	223	292	319	611	96	274	20	8	277	74	-7	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2031	30	MLB CTX	ATL	56%	222	200	45	9	2	2	18	46	2	7	2	222	290	316	607	95	273	21	8	275	72	-7	+1	-0	+2	+5	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	992	894	199	40	9	9	78	197	8	35	9	223	291	318	608	95	275	20	8	274	73	-34	+3	+1	+16	+21	0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	130	26	6	6	51	129	5	23	6	222	290	317	607	96	273	20	8	274	73	-22	+2	+1	+10	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	3495	3159	717	144	29	30	268	668	35	164	48	227	295	319	614	92	277	19	8	275	73	-64	+7	+4	+26	+43	1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	134	27	5	6	50	124	7	31	9	228	297	321	618	94	277	19	8	275	73	-21	+2	+1	+9	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	2.8	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
/162	664	4	28	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3
#2Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#3Al Weis'62-'71 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,763 PA	2.7	1,763	7	55	223*	283*	300*	+10	+9	-0.2	1.3
/162	664	3	21	+3.8	+3.5	-0.1	pk7: 3
#4Chuck Cottier'59-'69 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,770 PA	2.7	1,770	19	28	219*	280*	330*	+7	+14	0.5	0.9
/162	664	7	11	+2.7	+5.3	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.7	1,106	11	40	222	287	317	+12	+8	0.9	0.9
/162	664	6	24	+7.1	+4.8	0.5	pk7: 1
#5Jimmy Cooney'17-'28 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,722 PA	2.6	1,722	2	30	235*	281*	341*	+17	+8	0.5	0.5
/162	664	1	12	+6.7	+3.0	0.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jim Jarvis (OGILVIE)	26	50→41	30	50	40	223/291/315	92	273	2	12	19%	8%	74	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕J.D. Orr 2022 · AA	25	51	36→30	54→65	47	235/294/310	75	312	3	24	24%	8%	72	-0.7	214/294/279	65	295	3	37	26%	9%	67	-1.1	199/291/245	46	277	1	51	25%	10%	56	-0.8
✕Patrick Biondi 2018 · AA	27	50→44	35→30	55→60	46	232/291/290	58	306	3	29	24%	7%	67	-1.1	216/282/277	61	303	3	26	27%	8%	61	-1.5	195/268/219	24	285	0	37	29%	8%	41	-1.2
✕Adam Heisler 2014 · AAA	26	44→45	38→40	55	46	211/274/297	86	279	5	20	25%	7%	63	-1.4	222/279/323	101	290	7	15	24%	7%	70	-0.8	236/279/354	118	289	6	17	20%	5%	72	-0.2
✕Brad Coon 2009 · AAA	26	53→58	37→40	54→60	49	251/313/321	70	306	4	28	19%	7%	82	+0.0	238/301/312	74	299	5	19	20%	8%	76	-0.4	231/296/301	70	293	4	18	21%	8%	69	-0.7
✕Bo Way 2018 · AAA	26	49→52	35→40	49→55	43	231/275/290	59	290	3	20	21%	5%	61	-1.5	225/272/305	80	280	5	13	20%	5%	63	-1.3	223/271/305	82	274	5	10	20%	5%	59	-0.9
✕Jack Dunn 2024 · AAA	27	48	38→40	53→55	53	227/314/302	74	294	6	23	23%	10%	80	-0.2	213/302/302	89	272	8	19	23%	10%	76	-0.4	196/293/279	83	238	9	16	20%	10%	65	-0.9
✕Magneuris Sierra 2022 · MLB	26	49→58	38→40	58→60	43	234/275/313	80	293	4	26	22%	5%	66	-1.1	232/279/325	93	302	7	27	24%	6%	70	-0.8	231/278/319	88	302	6	33	24%	5%	66	-0.6
✕Nathan Haynes 2007 · AAA	27	48	41→40	55	42	228/279/335	107	306	6	25	26%	6%	73	-0.6	250/294/344	94	330	6	25	25%	5%	80	-0.2	265/304/345	80	346	5	28	24%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Nook Logan 2007 · MLB	27	51	37→40	57→60	47	240/290/319	79	299	4	27	21%	7%	72	-0.7	244/290/335	91	323	5	27	24%	6%	77	-0.3	259/297/337	78	350	0	39	25%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Tony Gwynn Jr. 2009 · MLB	26	53→57	36→40	55→60	46	248/294/311	63	299	3	24	18%	6%	72	-0.7	245/311/325	80	291	4	25	16%	9%	82	+0.0	246/318/329	82	292	4	29	16%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Luke Waddell 2024 · AAA	26	50→52	42→40	51→50	56	243/320/346	103	276	10	18	16%	10%	91	+0.7	223/288/304	81	262	5	13	16%	7%	70	-0.9	209/271/283	74	243	4	10	15%	6%	57	-1.4
✕Andrew Aplin 2017 · AAA	26	48→58	38→40	54→55	50	225/295/302	77	287	5	25	22%	9%	72	-0.7	211/283/312	101	272	9	13	24%	9%	70	-0.8	206/287/315	109	257	9	6	22%	9%	70	-0.5
✕Matt Camp 2010 · AAA	26	53→57	35→30	53→55	47	248/291/307	58	287	3	21	15%	5%	70	-0.8	227/270/289	62	261	3	13	14%	5%	59	-1.7	217/261/268	50	248	1	10	12%	5%	50	-1.5
✕Elih Marrero 2023 · AA	26	44	37→40	53→55	47	208/280/280	72	296	4	23	29%	9%	61	-1.5	215/280/311	96	306	8	21	30%	8%	68	-1.0	210/266/317	107	293	8	22	29%	6%	61	-0.4
✕Andrew Romine 2012 · MLB	26	53→55	36→40	54→55	47	246/304/313	66	312	4	22	22%	7%	77	-0.3	244/296/315	71	305	5	22	20%	6%	74	-0.5	239/296/327	88	295	7	19	20%	6%	78	-0.1
✕Zack Granite 2019 · MLB	26	53→61	38→40	54→60	49	248/294/325	77	276	5	24	12%	6%	76	-0.4	224/269/303	79	258	5	19	15%	6%	61	-1.5	219/264/294	75	253	5	21	15%	5%	55	-1.3
✕Peter Bergeron 2004 · MLB	26	45→55	40	52→50	51	214/293/306	92	278	7	20	24%	10%	72	-0.7	241/296/335	94	322	8	13	26%	7%	79	-0.2	242/289/326	84	306	6	11	22%	6%	72	-0.4
✕Ivan Ochoa 2009 · MLB	26	50→56	39→40	52→55	44	239/295/328	89	300	6	20	22%	6%	78	-0.3	223/283/316	93	278	7	17	21%	6%	70	-0.8	204/260/277	73	250	3	14	19%	6%	52	-1.0
✕Jordan Cowan 2022 · AA	27	48→51	39→30	53→50	48	229/294/312	83	293	6	19	23%	8%	74	-0.6	216/282/303	87	285	6	13	25%	7%	68	-1.0	184/256/225	41	248	0	8	24%	7%	36	-0.9
✕Leon Landry 2016 · AAA	26	47→54	41→45	54→55	43	227/262/323	96	262	8	23	17%	4%	63	-1.3	205/245/295	90	248	7	10	20%	5%	51	-2.3	187/226/267	79	227	5	4	19%	4%	36	-1.7

Jim Jarvis

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps