Trevor Kuncl
P
Louisville Bats
Age 27
RHP
5'10" / 200 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION34 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 99
ERA4.32
FIP4.32
K%22.2%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%12.6%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 104 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 47 | 0 | 50 | 199 | 51 | 17 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 1.7% | 2.34 | 3.49 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 47 | 0 | 50 | 199 | 51 | 17 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.6% | 8.5% | 17.1% | 1.5% | 2.34 | 2.86 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 35 | 0 | 34 | 156 | 38 | 25 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.4% | 16.8% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 4.50 | 4.20 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | CIN | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 66 | 28 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 2.7% | 4.32 | 4.32 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | CIN | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 2.7% | 4.32 | 4.32 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 104 | 452 | 104 | 53 | 10 | — | — | 22.9% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 2.2% | 4.38 | 4.28 | +1.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 22.2% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 2.7% | 4.32 | 3.94 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | CIN | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 64 | 28 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 2.9% | 4.37 | 4.41 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | CIN | 62 | 0 | 65 | 274 | 60 | 27 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.0% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 3.0% | 4.46 | 4.53 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | CIN | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 27 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 2.9% | 4.37 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | CIN | 36 | 0 | 38 | 160 | 35 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 3.0% | 4.46 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 71 | 0 | 74 | 313 | 69 | 31 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.1% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 2.9% | 4.41 | 4.08 | +0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 186 | 84 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 2.9% | 4.41 | 4.08 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 82 | 0 | 84 | 355 | 75 | 45 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 12.7% | 8.4% | 1.6% | 3.21 | 3.80 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 195 | 0 | 200 | 845 | 178 | 107 | 13 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 12.7% | 8.4% | 1.6% | 3.21 | 3.80 | +3.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Trevor Kuncl (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.32 | 22.2% | 9.6% | 2.7% | — | 4.47 | 22.1% | 12.3% | 133 | +0.15 | — | — | — |
| Jaye Chapman R 2027 · 3.36 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.36 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .276 | 4.03 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 85 | +0.67 | 3.27 | 150 | 91 |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.86 | 22.9% | 8.0% | 3.1% | .295 | 3.60 | 12.4% | 5.2% | 127 | -0.26 | 3.19 | 269 | 89 |
| Taylor Williams R 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.64 | 24.2% | 8.9% | 2.6% | .309 | 4.33 | 22.5% | 12.7% | 108 | +0.69 | 2.59 | 309 | 88 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2027 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 1.8% | .333 | 4.06 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 75 | +0.44 | 3.62 | 147 | 88 |
| Ryan Kelly R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.43 | 20.3% | 7.5% | 2.0% | .241 | 3.28 | 20.8% | 14.2% | 43 | -0.15 | 2.51 | 131 | 87 |
| Justin De Fratus R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.88 | 18.8% | 8.3% | 2.4% | .325 | 4.53 | 12.4% | 6.9% | 279 | +0.65 | 3.88 | 500 | 86 |
| Steve Geltz R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.00 | 22.7% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .209 | 4.89 | 22.2% | 12.0% | 89 | +0.89 | 3.58 | 157 | 86 |
| Cole Sulser R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.43 | 22.6% | 10.2% | 1.7% | .321 | 2.78 | 28.2% | 18.4% | 140 | -0.65 | 2.29 | 538 | 85 |
| Al Alburquerque R 2028 · 3.58 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.58 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.18 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 114 | -0.40 | 2.76 | 228 | 85 |
| Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.90 | 20.4% | 6.8% | 3.0% | .276 | 3.48 | 23.3% | 15.0% | 198 | -0.42 | 2.78 | 596 | 84 |
| Ryan Garton R 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.71 | 25.2% | 11.3% | 2.4% | .252 | 4.13 | 23.5% | 10.8% | 108 | +0.42 | 3.15 | 307 | 84 |
| Trevin Michael R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 23.0% | 9.1% | 3.2% | .230 | 3.59 | 23.5% | 7.2% | 40 | -0.49 | 2.74 | 188 | 84 |
| Danny Farquhar R 2027 · 3.84 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.84 | 22.4% | 6.8% | 3.2% | .324 | 3.81 | 22.0% | 12.8% | 135 | -0.03 | 3.57 | 224 | 84 |
| Chaz Roe R 2027 · 3.16 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.16 | 20.7% | 8.4% | 1.3% | .300 | 2.78 | 28.4% | 20.7% | 140 | -0.38 | 1.69 | 257 | 84 |
| Dalier Hinojosa R 2028 · 3.56 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.56 | 20.4% | 9.8% | 1.7% | .283 | 4.38 | 18.7% | 6.1% | 24 | +0.82 | 3.56 | 104 | 84 |
| Grant Sides R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.89 | 22.4% | 11.9% | 2.1% | .247 | 3.24 | 21.7% | 11.9% | 47 | -0.65 | 3.24 | 159 | 83 |
| Luis García R 2027 · 3.26 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.26 | 20.7% | 9.5% | 1.3% | .327 | 3.25 | 21.6% | 12.8% | 187 | -0.01 | 2.40 | 617 | 83 |
| Brad Boxberger R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.99 | 27.3% | 10.0% | 3.5% | .280 | 4.01 | 28.5% | 17.2% | 107 | +0.02 | 3.07 | 363 | 83 |
| José A. Váldez R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.52 | 21.6% | 8.3% | 4.0% | .325 | 4.07 | 18.8% | 6.4% | 153 | -0.45 | 4.02 | 328 | 83 |
| J.J. Hoover R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.26 | 19.7% | 11.4% | 2.5% | .211 | 4.51 | 24.6% | 14.3% | 98 | +0.25 | 4.26 | 258 | 83 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 68 | 22.1% | 9.7% | 1.11 | 4.38 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Scott Oberg ('19) | 5 | 51 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.91 | 3.85 |