Daniel Pena — OGILVIE

Daniel PenaC FCL Twins

Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 205 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION74 act + 11 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†47

AVG/OBP/SLG.100 / .182 / .100

PA11

HR0

K%18

BB%9

BABIP214

ISO85

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-1	$3M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	159	135	41	7	0	1	13	22	10	4	3	304	405	378	783	74	354	14	8	361	130	+6	-0	—	—	+3	0.9
2023	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	117	97	27	4	0	5	15	14	2	0	0	278	386	474	860	196	272	12	13	374	139	+5	+0	—	—	+3	0.8
2024	19	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	143	123	24	3	0	3	16	32	3	0	0	195	303	293	595	98	236	22	11	278	74	-4	+0	—	—	+3	-0.1
2024	19	ROK	FCL Twins	—	32	26	8	2	0	1	6	6	0	0	0	308	438	500	938	192	368	19	19	417	169	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2025	20	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	212	181	36	6	0	2	23	28	5	0	0	199	306	265	571	66	221	13	11	269	68	-8	+0	—	—	+5	-0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	159	141	34	5	0	1	7	32	10	4	3	241	323	298	621	57	300	20	4	274	72	-5	-0	—	—	+3	-0.2
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	117	102	22	3	0	4	10	20	2	0	0	216	298	363	661	147	208	17	9	291	83	-2	+0	—	—	+3	0.0
2024	19	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	143	127	17	2	0	2	12	46	3	0	0	134	225	197	422	63	197	32	8	214	31	-12	+0	—	—	+3	-0.9
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	32	28	6	1	0	1	4	9	0	0	0	214	312	357	670	143	284	28	12	293	84	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2025	20	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	212	188	33	6	0	2	16	40	5	0	0	176	258	239	498	64	199	19	8	226	39	-15	+0	—	—	+5	-1.1
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	159	141	34	5	0	1	7	32	10	4	3	241	323	298	621	57	303	20	4	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	—	159	135	41	7	0	1	13	22	10	4	3	304	405	378	783	74	354	14	8	361	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	117	102	22	3	0	4	10	20	2	0	0	216	298	363	661	147	222	17	9	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	—	117	97	27	4	0	5	15	14	2	0	0	278	386	474	860	196	272	12	13	374	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	175	155	24	4	0	3	16	55	3	0	0	155	247	239	486	84	214	31	9	228	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	175	149	32	5	0	4	22	38	3	0	0	215	328	329	656	114	259	22	13	303	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	212	188	33	6	0	2	16	40	5	0	0	176	258	239	498	64	208	19	8	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	212	181	36	6	0	2	23	28	5	0	0	199	306	265	571	66	221	13	11	269	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	159	141	34	5	0	1	7	32	10	4	3	241	323	298	621	57	300	20	4	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	117	104	22	3	0	4	10	20	2	0	0	212	298	356	654	144	208	17	9	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	175	154	24	4	0	3	16	55	3	0	0	156	247	240	487	84	213	31	9	228	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	212	189	33	6	0	2	16	40	5	0	0	175	258	238	496	63	199	19	8	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	117	104	22	3	0	4	10	20	2	0	0	212	298	356	654	144	208	17	9	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	175	154	24	4	0	3	16	55	3	0	0	156	247	240	487	84	213	31	9	228	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	212	189	33	6	0	2	16	40	5	0	0	175	258	238	496	63	199	19	8	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	ROK MLE	MIN	—	74	62	7	0	0	1	8	23	4	2	1	113	257	161	418	48	158	31	11	197	19	-7	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	ROK RAW	MIN	—	74	57	9	0	0	1	13	16	4	2	1	158	351	211	562	53	200	22	18	288	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	ROK MLE	MIN	0%	11	10	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	100	182	100	282		214	18	9	237	47	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	21	ROK MLE	MIN	—	85	72	8	0	0	1	9	25	4	2	1	111	247	153	400	42	152	29	11	202	23	-8	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	MIN	34%	274	245	44	8	1	4	22	61	5	4	1	180	261	269	530	90	223	22	8	252	56	-14	+0	+0	+5	+6	-0.3
2028	23	MLB MLE	MIN	48%	369	329	62	11	1	7	30	81	7	5	1	188	270	292	562	103	229	22	8	261	63	-16	+1	+0	+7	+8	-0.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	434	387	77	14	2	9	36	95	8	6	2	199	281	315	596	116	233	22	8	267	67	-17	+0	+0	+8	+9	0.0
2030	25	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	470	420	83	15	2	10	39	102	8	6	2	198	278	314	593	117	235	22	8	270	69	-17	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.2
2031	26	MLB MLE	MIN	56%	490	437	86	16	2	10	41	107	9	7	2	197	279	311	590	114	235	22	8	270	69	-18	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.2
2032	27	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	498	443	88	16	2	11	43	109	9	7	2	199	283	318	601	120	234	22	9	271	69	-18	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.2
2033	28	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	498	443	87	16	2	10	43	109	9	6	2	196	281	309	590	113	234	22	9	270	69	-19	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.1
2034	29	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	492	437	85	15	2	10	43	109	9	6	2	195	280	307	587	112	233	22	9	268	67	-19	+0	-1	+9	+11	-0.1
2035	30	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	483	430	83	15	1	10	42	108	8	5	2	193	277	302	579	109	231	22	9	265	65	-20	+0	-2	+9	+10	-0.3
2027	22	MLB CTX	MIN	34%	94	84	16	3	0	2	8	21	2	1	0	190	277	298	574	107	224	22	9	238	56	-5	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	MIN	48%	179	159	31	6	1	3	15	39	3	2	1	195	277	302	579	107	229	22	8	248	63	-8	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	229	204	40	7	1	5	19	50	4	3	1	196	278	314	591	118	233	22	8	254	67	-9	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.0
2030	25	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	257	229	45	8	1	5	22	56	4	3	1	197	278	306	584	109	235	22	9	257	69	-10	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	MIN	56%	273	243	49	9	1	6	23	59	5	4	1	202	284	321	605	119	235	22	8	258	69	-10	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.1
2032	27	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	274	244	49	9	1	6	23	60	5	4	1	201	283	320	603	119	234	22	8	258	69	-10	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.1
2033	28	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	272	241	48	9	1	6	24	60	5	3	1	199	285	320	605	120	234	22	9	257	69	-10	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.0
2034	29	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	262	232	45	8	1	5	23	58	5	3	1	194	281	302	582	108	233	22	9	255	67	-10	+0	-1	+5	+6	-0.0
2035	30	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	254	226	44	8	1	5	22	57	4	3	1	195	278	305	583	111	232	22	9	253	65	-10	+0	-1	+5	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2094	1862	367	67	8	43	179	460	37	26	8	197	281	311	592	114	237	22	9	255	65	-82	+2	-2	+37	+45	0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	113	21	2	13	56	143	11	8	2	196	279	306	585	111	236	22	9	255	65	-26	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	4682	4167	809	144	15	91	389	1030	92	56	19	194	278	301	579	107	234	22	8	264	65	-160	+4	-4	+72	+87	-0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	113	20	2	13	54	143	13	8	3	195	279	304	583	109	235	22	8	264	65	-26	+1	-1	+12	+14	-0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	4.5	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.2	10.8
/162	664	12	3	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.5	2,292	45	30	195	274	304	+41	+24	1.2	1.3
/162	664	13	9	+11.9	+7.0	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Daniel Pena (OGILVIE)	21	35	25	40	40	171/254/249	79	214	2	3	23%	8%	47	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis De La Cruz 2010 · A	21	41	38→30	47→30	40	197/233/275	77	246	5	6	22%	4%	41	-3.0	220/253/311	91	276	5	6	21%	4%	57	-1.8	245/267/324	79	295	3	3	18%	3%	62	-0.4
✕Bill Pujols 2015 · A	21	43	37→40	43→50	46	204/263/281	76	253	4	7	20%	6%	55	-2.0	197/257/271	74	281	3	6	29%	6%	51	-2.3	146/212/197	51	225	0	5	32%	6%	15	-0.9
✕Erick Castillo 2014 · A	21	41	37→30	39→30	45	194/250/267	73	232	4	4	18%	5%	47	-2.5	198/240/256	58	246	3	4	20%	4%	40	-3.1	191/250/230	39	236	3	0	20%	4%	36	-0.9
✕Claudio Finol 2021 · A	21	42	37→40	43→45	40	202/249/275	72	266	4	5	25%	5%	47	-2.5	192/249/275	83	270	6	8	29%	6%	49	-2.4	178/246/255	77	255	7	10	31%	7%	42	-0.6
✕Deivi Mejia 2011 · A	21	40	39→40	43→30	44	193/264/278	85	266	7	5	29%	8%	55	-1.9	212/259/304	92	276	7	4	25%	4%	59	-1.7	224/268/311	87	267	6	1	18%	3%	64	-0.5
✕Franklin Tineo 2016 · A	21	36	38→45	41→50	47	177/258/254	77	247	5	7	29%	9%	48	-2.5	190/264/281	91	260	7	10	28%	8%	56	-1.9	184/261/280	96	239	8	13	25%	8%	53	-0.7
✕Cam Gallagher 2014 · A	21	40	38→45	42→30	47	188/244/267	79	216	6	3	16%	6%	45	-2.7	211/262/308	97	242	8	3	16%	6%	61	-1.5	218/279/324	106	270	9	0	22%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Victor Duarte 2022 · A	21	39	38→30	48→45	42	188/251/270	82	260	6	7	29%	6%	49	-2.4	199/275/282	83	287	6	6	30%	8%	61	-1.5	182/254/249	67	248	6	11	27%	8%	43	-0.7
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	36	36→40	45→40	46	170/263/235	65	253	4	5	32%	9%	47	-2.6	187/263/267	80	309	5	4	37%	8%	53	-2.1	184/258/270	86	308	5	2	39%	8%	49	-0.9
✕Jesús Sucre 2009 · A	21	38	37→40	43→40	42	185/220/251	66	219	5	4	19%	4%	31	-3.7	224/246/313	89	263	7	3	18%	3%	55	-2.0	239/278/332	93	274	11	3	17%	4%	68	-0.3
✕Luis Palacios 2010 · A	21	39	39→40	46→50	36	192/235/276	84	265	7	5	30%	4%	43	-2.8	192/239/270	78	302	5	7	36%	5%	43	-2.8	140/190/175	36	236	0	6	38%	6%	0	-1.0
✕J.C. Rodriguez 2017 · A	21	41	38→40	39→45	46	197/267/285	89	249	4	5	22%	7%	58	-1.7	206/269/306	100	261	7	4	23%	7%	63	-1.3	187/256/282	95	228	8	0	21%	7%	51	-0.9
✕Antoni Lugo 2009 · A	21	40	36→45	42→45	42	190/245/251	61	237	4	5	22%	5%	41	-3.0	207/267/326	119	247	14	5	22%	6%	68	-1.0	200/264/341	141	224	19	3	21%	6%	67	-0.4
✕Wynston Sawyer 2013 · A	21	41	37→45	46→45	48	196/260/267	71	242	5	5	21%	7%	51	-2.2	208/267/304	96	263	8	4	23%	7%	62	-1.4	228/314/342	113	289	10	2	23%	9%	86	+0.1
✕Luis Sanchez 2008 · A	21	37	36→30	45→40	44	178/253/238	60	259	4	7	31%	8%	42	-2.9	198/256/251	53	276	2	4	27%	7%	45	-2.7	190/246/233	43	263	1	2	26%	7%	36	-1.6
✕Jose Herrera 2018 · A	21	42	39→40	44→40	45	203/251/288	85	249	6	3	21%	6%	52	-2.2	203/268/290	87	267	6	4	25%	8%	59	-1.6	210/292/298	88	277	8	3	26%	10%	69	-0.5
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A	21	39	38→40	47→55	47	190/263/273	82	247	5	9	24%	8%	53	-2.1	212/292/300	88	256	8	17	19%	9%	71	-0.8	209/299/290	80	241	9	25	16%	10%	70	-0.3
✕Argenis Raga 2014 · A	20	39	36→40	43→40	42	188/234/251	63	232	4	5	21%	5%	36	-3.3	218/265/297	79	287	4	4	24%	5%	59	-1.7	219/263/309	90	291	6	2	26%	5%	59	-0.8
✕Jose Gil 2008 · A	21	40	41→45	43→45	41	201/245/294	92	258	10	4	26%	5%	51	-2.2	208/246/303	95	271	8	7	26%	4%	53	-2.1	213/262/333	120	261	13	3	23%	5%	64	-0.5
✕Jean Carrillo 2018 · A	21	43	37→30	46→30	47	203/257/276	73	238	4	5	16%	6%	51	-2.2	201/252/258	57	301	4	3	33%	5%	45	-2.7	186/239/222	36	287	3	1	34%	5%	29	-1.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps