Daniel Pena

C FCL Twins
Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 205 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2301ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202419A/ROKMIN175.215/.328/.3294041—.155/.247/.233
202520AMIN212.199/.306/.2652037—.175/.254/.233
202621ROKMIN74.158/.351/.2111218—.113/.257/.161
2027PROJMLE22MLBMIN184.186/.259/.2672350-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB23MLBMIN38.192/.265/.2841156-0.0
2029PROJ46% MLB24MLBMIN84.197/.270/.2961161-0.0
Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
Z-Con%76
Whiff%70
BB%65
K%48
wRC+23
ISO17
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 99%
CompsErick Castillo (age 22) · Gerardo Bustamante (age 22) · Luis De La Cruz (age 22)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 53 proj PA
wRC+†50
AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .257 / .265
PA53
HR1
K%23
BB%7
ISO81
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 25
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER25
scouting grade only
EYE40
scouting grade only
SPEED40
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M———
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.5M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202217 ROKDSL Twins — 159135 41701 132210 43 304405378783 74354 148 361 56 — — — — — —
202318 ROKFCL Twins — 11797 27405 15142 00 278386474860 196272 1213 374 87 — — — — — —
202419 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels — 143123 24303 16323 00 195303293595 98236 2211 278 31 — — — — — —
202419 ROKFCL Twins — 3226 8201 660 00 308438500938 192368 1919 417 86 — — — — — —
202520 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels — 212181 36602 23285 00 199306265571 66221 1311 269 37 — — — — — —
202621 ROKFCL Twins — 7457 9001 13164 21 158351211562 53200 2218 288 18 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202217 ROK MLEDSL Twins — 159140 30500 82710 43 214304250554 36254 175 251 56 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEFCL Twins — 117102 23305 10202 00 225307402709 176213 179 297 87 — — — — — —
202419 A MLEFort Myers Mighty Mussels — 143127 18202 12443 00 142232205437 63201 318 214 31 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEFCL Twins — 3228 6101 490 00 214312357670 143287 2812 295 86 — — — — — —
202520 A MLEFort Myers Mighty Mussels — 212189 33502 15385 00 175254233486 58200 187 223 37 — — — — — —
202621 ROK MLEFCL Twins — 7462 7001 8234 21 113257161418 48155 3111 195 18 — — — — — —
202217 ROK MLEDSL Twins — 159140 30500 82710 43 214304250554 36263 175 251 56 — — — — — —
202217 ROK RAWDSL Twins — 159135 41701 132210 43 304405378783 74354 148 361 56 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEFCL Twins — 117102 23305 10202 00 225307402709 176225 179 297 87 — — — — — —
202318 ROK RAWFCL Twins — 11797 27405 15142 00 278386474860 196272 1213 374 87 — — — — — —
202419 A MLE2 teams — 175156 25403 15533 00 160247244491 83218 309 229 41 — — — — — —
202419 A RAW2 teams — 175149 32504 22383 00 215328329656 114259 2213 303 41 — — — — — —
202520 A MLEFort Myers Mighty Mussels — 212189 33502 15385 00 175254233486 58204 187 223 37 — — — — — —
202520 A RAWFort Myers Mighty Mussels — 212181 36602 23285 00 199306265571 66221 1311 269 37 — — — — — —
202621 ROK MLEFCL Twins — 7462 7001 8234 21 113257161418 48158 3111 195 18 — — — — — —
202621 ROK RAWFCL Twins — 7457 9001 13164 21 158351211562 53200 2218 288 18 — — — — — —
202217 ROK MLEDSL Twins — 159140 30500 82710 43 214304250554 36254 175 251 56 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEFCL Twins — 117104 23305 10202 00 221307394701 173213 179 297 87 — — — — — —
202419 A MLE2 teams — 175155 25403 15533 00 161247245492 84217 309 229 41 — — — — — —
202520 A MLEFort Myers Mighty Mussels — 212190 33502 15385 00 174254232485 58200 187 223 37 — — — — — —
202621 ROK MLEFCL Twins — 7462 7001 8234 21 113257161418 48155 3111 195 18 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202419 A MLE2 teams — 175155 25403 15533 00 161247245492 84217 309 229 41 — — — — — —
202520 A MLEFort Myers Mighty Mussels — 212190 33502 15385 00 174254232485 58200 187 223 37 — — — — — —
202621 ROK MLEFCL Twins — 7462 7001 8234 21 113257161418 48155 3111 195 18 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202722 MLB MLEMIN 0% 184165 31612 14433 31 186259267526 81235 238 242 50 -11 +0 +0 +3 +4 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202823 MLB MLEMIN 34% 11099 19402 8252 20 192265283548 91239 237 251 56 -6 +0 +0 +2 +2 -0.1
202924 MLB MLEMIN 46% 182163 33613 14413 31 197270296566 99243 238 258 61 -8 +0 +0 +3 +4 -0.1
203025 MLB MLEMIN 52% 247223 44814 19563 41 200273305578 105245 238 263 64 -10 +0 +0 +4 +5 -0.0
203126 MLB MLEMIN 54% 302271 551016 24694 41 202276311587 109247 238 267 67 -12 +0 +0 +5 +7 0.0
203227 MLB MLEMIN 54% 329296 591116 26754 41 203277313590 110249 238 268 68 -13 +0 +0 +6 +7 0.1
203328 MLB MLEMIN 54% 342308 621216 27794 31 202275308583 107248 238 265 66 -14 +0 -1 +6 +7 -0.1
203429 MLB MLEMIN 53% 341307 611116 27794 21 199272302574 103246 238 262 63 -15 +0 -1 +6 +7 -0.3
202823 MLB CTXMIN 34% 3834 7101 391 10 192265284549 92239 248 252 56 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.0
202924 MLB CTXMIN 46% 8477 14301 6191 10 197270296566 100243 237 259 61 -4 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.0
203025 MLB CTXMIN 52% 128115 23412 10292 20 200273305579 105245 238 263 64 -5 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.0
203126 MLB CTXMIN 54% 164148 31613 13372 21 202276311587 109247 238 267 67 -7 +0 +0 +3 +4 -0.0
203227 MLB CTXMIN 54% 178160 32613 14412 21 204277314591 110249 238 268 68 -7 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.0
203328 MLB CTXMIN 54% 186167 33613 15432 21 202275309584 107248 238 266 66 -8 +0 -0 +3 +4 -0.1
203429 MLB CTXMIN 53% 181163 33613 14422 10 199272303575 103246 238 262 63 -8 +0 -1 +3 +4 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 959864 17332516 7522012 113 200273304578 104248 238 264 60 -40 +1 -1 +17 +21 -0.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650586 11722311 511498 72 200273304577 104247 238 264 60 -27 +1 -1 +12 +14 -0.2
Career— MLE — 26432364 46081645 20559749 2910 195273291564 96238 238 256 60 -81 +2 -2 +34 +41 -0.6
/ 162G— MLE — 650581 11320111 5014712 72 194272289561 95238 238 256 60 -28 +1 -1 +12 +14 -0.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Twins · 74 PAwOBA .282 → .195 (−88)K% 21.6% → 31.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.62%÷1.000×1.440——31.14%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.57%÷1.000×0.620—×0.98510.73%
HBP% /PA5.41%—×0.720—×0.9853.83%
Singles /BIP19.51%÷1.000×0.820×0.963×0.98515.17%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720×0.963×0.9850.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720×0.963×0.9850.00%
Home runs /BIP2.44%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9851.87%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.

Result: wOBA .282 → .195; ISO .053 → .040; BABIP .200 → .155. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels · 212 PAwOBA .266 → .223 (−43)K% 13.2% → 18.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.21%÷0.994×1.360——18.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.85%÷1.054×0.690—×1.0307.31%
HBP% /PA2.36%—×0.780—×1.0301.89%
Singles /BIP18.30%÷1.029×0.920×1.004×1.03016.92%
Doubles /BIP3.92%÷1.032×0.830×1.004×1.0303.26%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910×1.004×1.0300.00%
Home runs /BIP1.31%÷0.898×0.800—×1.0301.20%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 106, 2B 106, 3B 100, K 99, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.

Result: wOBA .266 → .223; ISO .066 → .058; BABIP .221 → .200. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels · 143 PAwOBA .273 → .214 (−59)K% 22.4% → 30.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.38%÷0.994×1.360——30.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.19%÷0.976×0.690—×1.0458.27%
HBP% /PA2.10%—×0.780—×1.0451.71%
Singles /BIP19.78%÷1.096×0.920×0.980×1.04517.00%
Doubles /BIP3.30%÷1.019×0.830×0.980×1.0452.75%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.962×0.910×0.980×1.0450.00%
Home runs /BIP3.30%÷0.962×0.800—×1.0452.86%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 119, 2B 104, 3B 92, K 99, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.

Result: wOBA .273 → .214; ISO .098 → .078; BABIP .236 → .201. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKFCL Twins · 32 PAwOBA .407 → .295 (−112)K% 18.8% → 27.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.75%÷0.974×1.440——27.73%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.75%÷1.046×0.620—×1.00811.20%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷1.036×0.820—×1.00819.93%
Doubles /BIP10.00%÷0.971×0.720—×1.0087.47%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP5.00%÷0.890×0.780—×1.0084.42%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 107, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 95, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .407 → .295; ISO .192 → .156; BABIP .368 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKFCL Twins · 117 PAwOBA .374 → .297 (−77)K% 12.0% → 16.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.97%÷1.025×1.440——16.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.82%÷0.963×0.620—×1.0228.44%
HBP% /PA1.71%—×0.720—×1.0221.26%
Singles /BIP21.69%÷1.018×0.820×0.979×1.02217.49%
Doubles /BIP4.82%÷1.014×0.720×0.979×1.0223.43%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.934×0.720×0.979×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP6.02%÷0.913×0.780—×1.0225.26%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 104, 2B 103, 3B 87, K 105, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.

Result: wOBA .374 → .297; ISO .196 → .170; BABIP .272 → .213. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 DSLDSL Twins · 159 PAwOBA .354 → .251 (−103)K% 13.8% → 17.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.84%÷0.981×1.220——17.20%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.18%÷1.116×0.700—×1.0225.24%
HBP% /PA6.29%—×0.700—×1.0224.50%
Singles /BIP29.20%÷0.974×0.680×1.029×1.02221.47%
Doubles /BIP6.19%÷0.974×0.600×1.029×1.0224.02%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.013×0.600×1.029×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP0.88%÷1.032×0.470—×1.0220.41%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 95, 2B 95, 3B 103, K 96, BB 123 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.

Result: wOBA .354 → .251; ISO .074 → .045; BABIP .354 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).