Daniel Pena — OGILVIE

Daniel PenaC FCL Twins

Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 205 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION62 act + 136 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†43

AVG/OBP/SLG.174 / .259 / .256

PA136

HR2

K%23

BB%8

BABIP213

ISO83

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	159	141	35	5	0	1	7	33	10	4	3	248	329	305	634	57	315	21	4	276	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	159	135	41	7	0	1	13	22	10	4	3	304	405	378	783	74	354	14	8	361	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	117	102	23	3	0	5	10	19	2	0	0	225	307	402	709	176	222	16	9	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	117	97	27	4	0	5	15	14	2	0	0	278	386	474	860	196	272	12	13	374	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	2 teams	—	175	155	24	4	0	4	16	55	3	0	0	155	247	258	505	103	206	31	9	225	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	2 teams	—	175	149	32	5	0	4	22	38	3	0	0	215	328	329	656	114	259	22	13	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	212	189	31	5	0	2	15	40	5	0	0	164	244	222	466	58	193	19	7	222	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	212	181	36	6	0	2	23	28	5	0	0	199	306	265	571	66	221	13	11	269	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	ROK	MIN	—	62	51	7	0	0	1	8	19	3	1	1	137	290	196	486	59	194	31	13	222	28	-5	-0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
YTD	21	ROK	MIN	—	62	46	8	0	0	1	13	13	3	1	1	174	387	239	626	65	219	21	21	318	101	+0	-0	+0	+1	+2	0.3
ROS	21	ROK	MIN	0%	136	121	21	4	0	2	11	31	3	2	1	174	259	256	515	83	219	23	8	242	43	-9	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.3
ROS	21	MLB	MIN	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		219	—	—	228	32	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	21	ROK	MIN	—	62	52	7	0	0	1	8	19	3	1	1	135	290	192	483	58	188	31	13	222	28	-5	-0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
TOT	21	ROK	MIN	—	198	172	28	4	0	3	19	50	6	3	2	163	269	238	507	76	208	25	10	236	38	-14	-0	+0	+4	+6	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	MIN	34%	274	245	46	8	1	5	22	61	5	4	1	188	268	290	558	102	226	22	8	255	53	-15	+0	+0	+5	+8	-0.1
2028	23	MLB	MIN	48%	369	329	64	12	1	7	31	81	6	5	1	195	276	301	577	106	232	22	8	264	60	-17	+1	+0	+7	+10	0.1
2029	24	MLB	MIN	53%	434	388	77	14	2	9	36	95	7	6	2	198	278	314	593	116	236	22	8	269	64	-17	+0	+0	+8	+12	0.3
2030	25	MLB	MIN	55%	470	419	84	15	2	10	40	102	8	6	2	200	283	317	600	117	237	22	9	272	66	-18	+0	+0	+8	+13	0.4
2031	26	MLB	MIN	56%	490	437	88	16	2	11	42	107	8	6	2	201	283	323	606	121	237	22	9	273	67	-18	+0	+0	+9	+14	0.5
2032	27	MLB	MIN	55%	498	444	89	16	2	11	43	109	8	6	2	200	283	320	603	119	237	22	9	273	67	-19	+0	+0	+9	+14	0.5
2033	28	MLB	MIN	55%	498	444	88	16	2	11	43	110	8	6	2	198	281	318	598	119	236	22	9	272	66	-19	+0	-1	+9	+14	0.4
2034	29	MLB	MIN	53%	492	438	86	16	2	10	43	109	8	6	2	196	280	311	591	114	235	22	9	270	65	-20	+0	-1	+9	+14	0.2
2027	22	MLB	MIN	34%	94	84	16	3	0	2	8	21	2	1	0	190	277	298	574	107	227	22	9	242	44	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2028	23	MLB	MIN	48%	179	159	31	6	1	3	15	39	3	2	1	195	277	302	579	107	232	22	8	252	51	-10	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.2
2029	24	MLB	MIN	53%	229	204	40	7	1	5	19	50	4	3	1	196	278	314	591	118	236	22	8	258	55	-12	+0	+0	+4	+6	-0.1
2030	25	MLB	MIN	55%	257	229	46	8	1	6	22	56	4	3	1	201	282	323	605	122	238	22	9	260	57	-12	+0	+0	+5	+7	-0.0
2031	26	MLB	MIN	56%	273	243	49	9	1	6	23	59	5	4	1	202	284	321	605	119	237	22	8	261	58	-13	+0	+0	+5	+8	-0.0
2032	27	MLB	MIN	55%	274	243	49	9	1	6	24	60	5	4	1	202	287	321	608	119	237	22	9	261	58	-13	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.0
2033	28	MLB	MIN	55%	272	241	48	9	1	6	24	60	5	3	1	199	285	320	605	120	236	22	9	260	57	-13	+0	-0	+5	+8	-0.1
2034	29	MLB	MIN	53%	262	233	45	8	1	5	23	58	4	3	1	193	277	300	577	107	236	22	9	258	56	-13	+0	-1	+5	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1840	1637	324	59	7	39	158	403	32	23	7	198	281	314	595	116	237	22	9	258	56	-92	+2	-1	+33	+52	-0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	114	21	2	14	56	142	11	8	2	197	280	313	593	116	236	22	9	258	56	-33	+1	-0	+12	+18	-0.2
Career	—			—	4324	3852	756	134	14	88	359	952	81	51	18	196	279	307	586	111	236	22	8	265	61	-189	+3	-2	+77	+123	1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	113	20	2	13	54	143	12	8	3	195	278	304	581	109	234	22	8	265	61	-28	+0	-0	+12	+18	0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	159	135	41	7	1	13	22	10	4	3	304	405	378	783	74	354	14	8	361	134	+6	-0	—	—	+5	1.0
2023	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	117	97	27	4	5	15	14	2	0	0	278	386	474	860	196	272	12	13	374	144	+6	+0	—	—	+3	0.9
2024	19	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	143	123	24	3	3	16	32	3	0	0	195	303	293	595	98	236	22	11	278	71	-5	+0	—	—	+4	-0.1
2024	19	ROK	FCL Twins	—	32	26	8	2	1	6	6	0	0	0	308	438	500	938	192	368	19	19	417	178	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2025	20	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	212	181	36	6	2	23	28	5	0	0	199	306	265	571	66	221	13	11	269	64	-9	+0	—	—	+6	-0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	2,038	41	26	197	275	309	+36	+20	1.0	1.2
	/162	664	13	8	197	275	309	+11.9	+6.5	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Daniel Pena (OGILVIE)	21	35	25	40	40	163/269/238	76	208	3	3	25%	10%	38	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Bill Pujols 2015 · A	21	43	37→40	43→50	46	204/263/281	76	253	4	7	20%	6%	49	-1.8	197/257/271	74	281	3	6	29%	6%	44	-2.1	146/212/197	51	225	0	5	32%	6%	4	-0.9
✕Franklin Tineo 2016 · A	21	36	38→45	41→50	47	177/258/254	77	247	5	7	29%	9%	41	-2.3	190/264/281	91	260	7	10	28%	8%	50	-1.7	184/261/280	96	239	8	13	25%	8%	47	-0.7
✕Luis De La Cruz 2010 · A	21	41	38→40	47→30	40	197/233/275	77	246	5	6	22%	4%	33	-2.9	220/253/314	94	277	6	6	22%	4%	52	-1.6	244/267/328	84	295	4	3	18%	3%	57	-0.3
✕Deivi Mejia 2011 · A	21	40	39→40	43→30	44	193/264/278	85	266	7	5	29%	8%	50	-1.8	212/259/304	92	276	7	4	25%	4%	53	-1.5	224/268/311	87	267	6	1	18%	3%	59	-0.4
✕Erick Castillo 2014 · A	21	41	37→30	39→30	45	194/250/267	73	232	4	4	18%	5%	40	-2.4	196/237/253	57	244	3	4	20%	4%	30	-3.1	192/250/234	43	239	4	0	20%	4%	29	-0.9
✕Claudio Finol 2021 · A	21	42	37→40	43→45	40	200/246/273	72	266	4	5	26%	5%	39	-2.5	191/247/273	82	270	6	8	30%	6%	40	-2.4	172/238/248	76	248	7	10	32%	6%	29	-0.7
✕Cam Gallagher 2014 · A	21	39	38→45	42→30	47	185/242/260	75	213	5	3	16%	6%	35	-2.8	217/265/327	110	246	10	3	16%	6%	62	-0.9	223/283/334	112	275	10	0	22%	7%	70	-0.1
✕Wynston Sawyer 2013 · A	21	40	38→45	46→45	48	192/255/265	72	234	6	5	20%	7%	42	-2.3	208/265/308	100	261	9	4	23%	6%	57	-1.2	220/307/327	107	283	10	2	24%	9%	79	+0.1
✕Victor Duarte 2022 · A	21	39	38→30	48→45	42	188/251/269	81	260	6	7	29%	6%	42	-2.3	199/274/280	81	291	6	6	31%	8%	55	-1.4	183/255/250	66	251	6	11	27%	8%	37	-0.7
✕Abrahan Gutierrez 2021 · A	21	44→45	40	46→40	43	215/264/301	87	273	8	6	24%	6%	54	-1.4	227/296/326	99	305	8	4	26%	8%	75	-0.0	220/294/315	95	295	8	2	26%	8%	68	-0.2
✕Antoni Lugo 2009 · A	21	40	36→45	42→45	42	190/245/251	61	237	4	5	22%	5%	33	-2.9	207/267/326	119	247	14	5	22%	6%	63	-0.8	200/264/341	141	224	19	3	21%	6%	63	-0.3
✕Luis Palacios 2010 · A	21	39	39→40	46→50	36	192/235/276	84	265	7	5	30%	4%	36	-2.7	190/239/268	78	302	5	7	36%	5%	35	-2.8	130/184/163	32	225	0	6	40%	6%	-19	-1.1
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A	21	39	38→40	47→55	47	190/263/273	82	247	5	9	24%	8%	47	-1.9	212/292/300	88	256	8	17	19%	9%	67	-0.5	209/299/290	80	241	9	25	16%	10%	66	-0.2
✕Jesús Sucre 2009 · A	21	38	37→40	43→40	42	185/220/251	66	219	5	4	19%	4%	22	-3.7	224/246/313	89	264	7	3	18%	3%	49	-1.8	240/279/336	96	274	11	3	17%	4%	65	-0.2
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	36	36→40	45→40	46	170/263/235	65	253	4	5	32%	9%	40	-2.4	187/263/267	80	309	5	4	37%	8%	46	-2.0	184/258/270	86	308	5	2	39%	8%	42	-0.8
✕Jean Carrillo 2018 · A	21	43	37→30	46→30	47	203/257/276	73	238	4	5	16%	6%	45	-2.1	202/252/262	60	303	5	3	33%	5%	40	-2.4	189/239/229	39	292	4	1	34%	5%	21	-1.5
✕Jairo Rodriguez 2010 · A	21	44	35→30	43→30	47	201/246/263	62	227	2	4	13%	5%	37	-2.7	199/241/263	64	245	3	4	19%	5%	34	-2.8	216/259/262	46	264	2	1	18%	4%	39	-0.8
✕Ali Sánchez 2018 · A	21	45	35→45	42→40	44	215/258/269	55	260	4	6	19%	5%	43	-2.2	221/259/302	81	266	6	4	19%	5%	52	-1.6	232/282/331	98	300	12	1	26%	6%	67	-0.3
✕Antonio Negron 2007 · A	21	40	41→45	42→50	50	194/285/294	100	244	9	10	23%	9%	63	-0.8	211/289/317	106	264	10	10	23%	8%	71	-0.3	206/289/314	108	245	12	12	21%	9%	69	-0.2
✕Marco Guzman 2015 · A	20	41	39→45	44→50	48	196/264/281	85	246	6	7	22%	8%	50	-1.7	217/263/307	90	264	5	7	19%	6%	55	-1.4	227/264/332	105	291	6	8	23%	5%	60	-0.3