Elvis Rijo

SS Lansing Lugnuts

Age 23 R/R 5'11" / 165 lbs A+ HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	20	AOAK	174	.215/.324/.268	0	2	47	—	.199/.301/.245
2024	20	ROKOAK	32	.120/.290/.120	0	2	-10	—	.074/.194/.074
2025	21	A+OAK	43	.081/.190/.135	0	0	-42	—	.051/.119/.077
2027PROJ0% MLB	23	MLBOAK	175	.209/.276/.306	2	3	65	0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBOAK	43	.219/.286/.329	1	1	70	0.0
2029PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBOAK	110	.222/.290/.338	2	2	73	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 A+

Chase%91

BB%58

ISO15

K%7

Whiff%6

Z-Con%6

CompsDenis Phipps (age 23) · Juan Carlos Perez (age 23) · Narciso Crook (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 66 proj PA

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .274 / .303

PA66

HR1

K%28

BB%6

ISO97

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-1	$3M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	18	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	143	115	29	8	0	0	18	19	8	1	3	252	390	322	712	70	299	13	13	334	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	Stockton Ports	—	53	47	7	0	0	0	3	12	2	0	1	149	231	149	380		194	23	6	187	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	31	28	4	0	0	0	3	7	0	0	1	143	226	143	369		190	23	10	184	-28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Stockton Ports	—	174	149	32	8	0	0	8	32	16	2	1	215	324	268	592	54	274	18	5	284	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	32	25	3	0	0	0	5	7	1	2	1	120	290	120	410		158	22	16	217	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	43	37	3	2	0	0	5	16	0	0	0	81	190	135	326	54	143	37	12	162	-42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	143	121	20	5	0	0	12	24	8	1	3	165	284	207	490	41	198	17	8	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	Stockton Ports	—	53	48	6	0	0	0	2	16	2	0	1	125	192	125	317		188	30	4	158	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	31	29	3	0	0	0	2	10	0	0	1	103	161	103	265		159	32	6	127	-28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Stockton Ports	—	174	151	30	7	0	0	6	43	16	2	1	199	301	245	546	46	261	25	3	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	32	27	2	0	0	0	3	10	1	2	1	74	194	74	268		124	31	9	153	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	43	39	2	1	0	0	3	21	0	0	0	51	119	77	196	26	106	49	7	106	-42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	143	121	20	5	0	0	12	24	8	1	3	165	284	207	490	41	204	17	8	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	—	143	115	29	8	0	0	18	19	8	1	3	252	390	322	712	70	299	13	13	334	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	84	77	9	0	0	0	4	26	2	0	2	117	181	117	298		173	31	5	147	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	84	75	11	0	0	0	6	19	2	0	2	147	229	147	376		193	23	7	186	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	206	178	32	7	0	0	9	53	17	4	2	180	284	219	503	39	254	26	4	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	206	174	35	8	0	0	13	39	17	4	2	201	319	247	566	46	257	19	6	273	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	43	39	2	1	0	0	3	21	0	0	0	51	119	77	196	26	111	49	7	106	-42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ RAW	Lansing Lugnuts	—	43	37	3	2	0	0	5	16	0	0	0	81	190	135	326	54	143	37	12	162	-42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	143	122	20	5	0	0	12	24	8	1	3	164	284	205	489	41	198	17	8	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	84	78	9	0	0	0	4	26	2	0	2	115	181	115	296		177	31	5	147	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	206	178	32	7	0	0	9	53	17	4	2	180	284	219	503	39	240	26	4	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	43	40	2	1	0	0	3	21	0	0	0	50	119	75	194	25	106	49	7	106	-42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	206	178	32	7	0	0	9	53	17	4	2	180	284	219	503	39	240	26	4	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	43	40	2	1	0	0	3	21	0	0	0	50	119	75	194	25	106	49	7	106	-42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	OAK	0%	175	159	32	6	1	2	11	49	3	3	1	209	276	306	582	97	283	28	6	265	65	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	OAK	30%	142	129	27	5	1	2	9	39	3	2	1	213	281	318	599	105	285	27	6	271	70	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	OAK	44%	248	224	47	9	1	4	17	68	5	4	1	216	284	328	611	112	285	27	7	277	73	-8	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2030	26	MLB MLE	OAK	51%	323	292	64	12	2	6	22	88	6	5	1	218	286	335	621	117	286	27	7	280	76	-9	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	OAK	52%	364	330	72	14	2	7	25	98	6	5	1	218	287	336	623	118	286	27	7	281	76	-10	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.2
2032	28	MLB MLE	OAK	53%	389	352	78	15	2	8	27	105	7	4	1	218	287	335	622	117	285	27	7	281	76	-11	+0	-1	+4	+8	0.1
2033	29	MLB MLE	OAK	53%	396	358	77	15	2	7	28	108	7	3	1	216	284	329	614	114	284	27	7	277	74	-12	+0	-1	+4	+9	-0.1
2034	30	MLB MLE	OAK	52%	399	361	77	15	2	7	28	110	7	1	1	213	281	322	603	109	282	28	7	273	71	-14	-0	-2	+4	+9	-0.3
2028	24	MLB CTX	OAK	30%	43	39	9	2	0	1	3	12	1	1	0	219	286	329	615	110	294	28	7	278	70	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	OAK	44%	110	100	23	5	1	2	7	30	2	2	0	222	290	338	628	116	295	27	6	283	73	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2030	26	MLB CTX	OAK	51%	164	149	33	7	1	3	11	45	3	2	1	224	292	345	637	121	295	27	7	287	76	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	OAK	52%	191	173	39	8	1	4	13	52	3	3	1	224	293	346	639	122	295	27	7	288	76	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	OAK	53%	207	186	42	9	1	4	15	56	4	2	1	224	293	346	638	121	295	27	7	287	76	-6	+0	-0	+2	+4	0.0
2033	29	MLB CTX	OAK	53%	208	188	42	9	1	4	15	57	3	1	1	222	290	340	630	118	294	27	7	284	74	-6	-0	-1	+2	+5	-0.1
2034	30	MLB CTX	OAK	52%	208	189	41	8	1	4	14	57	3	1	1	219	286	332	619	113	292	27	7	279	71	-7	-0	-1	+2	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1131	1024	229	48	6	22	78	309	19	12	5	224	291	347	637	123	296	27	7	284	65	-35	+0	-2	+12	+25	0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	132	28	3	13	45	178	11	7	3	224	291	348	640	124	297	27	7	284	65	-20	+0	-1	+7	+14	0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	2803	2522	517	100	12	42	188	759	69	30	14	205	279	304	583	99	274	27	7	264	65	-72	+2	-4	+25	+50	0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	120	23	3	10	44	176	16	7	3	205	279	306	585	101	274	27	7	264	65	-20	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#2George Strickland'50-'60 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,266 PA	4.9	3,266	36	12	219*	302*	329*	+28	+19	3.8	5.0
/162	664	7	2	+5.7	+3.8	0.8	pk7: 6
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.7	1,131	21	11	217	282	332	+12	+9	0.8	0.8
/162	664	12	7	+7.1	+5.3	0.5	pk7: 1
#5Jimmy Cooney'17-'28 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,722 PA	2.6	1,722	2	30	235*	281*	341*	+17	+8	0.5	0.5
/162	664	1	12	+6.7	+3.0	0.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Elvis Rijo (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	207/274/303	96	283	1	1	28%	6%	65	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Denis Phipps 2008 · A	23	41→51	40→50	47→50	39	204/253/287	83	272	8	11	28%	5%	53	-2.1	205/249/302	97	279	8	10	28%	5%	54	-2.0	228/278/359	131	309	13	11	29%	6%	76	-0.3
✕Juan Carlos Perez 2010 · A	23	40→50	42→45	51→55	36	201/234/307	105	267	9	12	28%	4%	49	-2.4	226/258/338	112	294	9	14	25%	4%	65	-1.2	242/279/360	118	298	10	17	22%	4%	76	-0.3
✕Narciso Crook 2017 · A	22	38→43	42→50	51→50	32	193/230/298	105	288	10	11	36%	4%	46	-2.6	210/261/330	120	310	11	10	34%	5%	65	-1.2	211/273/363	152	309	16	14	35%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Felix Reyes 2023 · A	22	36→46	42→50	46→45	35	185/229/286	101	263	10	8	34%	4%	43	-2.8	221/256/343	122	261	14	7	21%	4%	66	-1.1	241/269/392	150	282	18	8	21%	3%	81	-0.0
✕Grant Witherspoon 2021 · A	24	39→46	40→50	52→50	40	194/244/287	93	272	8	13	31%	6%	49	-2.4	217/271/362	145	296	17	13	31%	7%	77	-0.3	212/271/360	149	286	18	14	32%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Joe Napoli 2006 · A	23	39→41	37→45	44→45	41	188/242/263	75	264	4	4	29%	6%	42	-2.9	204/261/306	102	296	8	6	32%	5%	61	-1.5	205/266/333	128	278	12	7	30%	4%	67	-0.8
✕Ariel Montesino 2019 · A	23	39	37→40	47→50	41	189/237/261	72	256	4	9	27%	6%	40	-3.1	187/238/270	83	284	5	10	34%	5%	43	-2.8	131/180/196	65	213	3	13	38%	4%	5	-1.5
✕Tyler Palmer 2015 · A	23	40	38→40	52→50	42	195/246/274	79	250	5	12	24%	5%	47	-2.6	212/274/295	83	292	6	13	27%	7%	63	-1.4	212/285/284	72	296	5	17	28%	9%	60	-0.7
✕Brandon Barnes 2008 · A	22	38→48	38→55	46→50	37	184/235/263	80	274	5	7	34%	5%	40	-3.0	200/239/315	115	297	11	6	35%	4%	54	-2.0	242/288/365	123	327	11	16	28%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Kevonte Mitchell 2019 · A	23	38	42→45	48→50	37	190/242/294	104	277	10	10	34%	6%	50	-2.3	191/249/311	120	284	14	8	36%	6%	58	-1.7	162/225/288	126	228	18	7	37%	6%	42	-1.9
✕Anthony Gallas 2011 · A	23	43→41	38→50	49→40	37	207/250/288	82	288	5	5	29%	4%	51	-2.2	204/253/312	108	275	8	4	28%	5%	58	-1.7	206/251/349	143	269	14	3	29%	5%	64	-1.0
✕Franklin Hernandez 2010 · A	23	39→36	40→45	48→40	34	193/230/287	93	282	6	4	33%	4%	43	-2.8	196/237/286	90	283	7	6	32%	4%	46	-2.6	148/180/204	56	210	4	3	31%	3%	2	-1.1
✕Randy César 2017 · A	22	38→48	40	45→40	35	188/229/270	82	284	8	3	36%	5%	39	-3.1	230/272/320	90	342	8	4	33%	5%	67	-1.1	237/283/328	91	347	8	2	32%	6%	69	-0.6
✕Nick Flair 2016 · A	23	38	40→50	44→40	40	188/241/283	95	272	7	5	33%	6%	47	-2.5	215/250/337	122	308	11	6	33%	4%	63	-1.4	224/241/367	143	313	14	4	33%	2%	64	-0.5
✕Jack López 2017 · AA	24	39→45	40→45	46→55	38	194/231/276	82	245	8	13	24%	4%	41	-3.0	210/244/293	83	286	8	15	29%	3%	50	-2.3	219/256/315	96	299	10	18	29%	3%	57	-1.1
✕Kyle Shelton 2009 · A	23	44	40→45	49→40	36	213/252/307	93	301	8	7	31%	4%	56	-1.9	231/275/330	99	319	9	5	29%	5%	70	-0.8	234/281/331	97	312	9	3	27%	5%	71	-0.3
✕Stefan Sabol 2015 · A	23	33→42	43→45	50	42	172/242/285	113	259	10	12	36%	8%	49	-2.4	197/266/293	96	314	8	9	37%	8%	59	-1.6	194/268/279	84	313	7	7	37%	9%	55	-1.2
✕John Norwood 2016 · A	23	38→48	42→45	50	39	194/246/296	102	269	10	19	32%	6%	52	-2.2	220/277/328	108	315	10	11	31%	7%	71	-0.8	223/281/330	107	319	10	9	31%	7%	70	-0.7
✕Luke Persico 2018 · A	22	42→51	38→45	48→45	44	204/252/288	84	254	5	6	22%	6%	52	-2.2	222/272/317	95	292	6	6	24%	6%	66	-1.1	230/281/327	97	304	5	4	25%	6%	70	-0.5
✕Jon Murphy 2013 · A	23	37	38→30	47→50	39	183/234/259	76	262	5	13	31%	5%	39	-3.1	196/249/259	63	303	3	10	34%	6%	45	-2.7	190/244/242	52	297	3	10	35%	6%	35	-1.8

Elvis Rijo

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps