Tre Phelps — OGILVIE

Tre Phelps3B Bradenton Marauders

Age 23 R/R A HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 85 proj PA

wRC+†73

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .288 / .310

PA85

HR2

K%30

BB%7

ISO104

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

DEFENSE40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	22	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	74	57	10	1	0	1	8	17	7	5	2	175	347	246	593	70	220	23	11	288	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	22	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	74	59	9	1	0	1	6	23	7	5	2	153	306	220	526	68	189	31	8	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	74	59	9	1	0	1	6	23	7	5	2	153	306	220	526	68	216	31	8	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A RAW	Bradenton Marauders	—	74	57	10	1	0	1	8	17	7	5	2	175	347	246	593	70	220	23	11	288	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	74	61	9	1	0	1	6	23	7	5	2	148	306	213	519	66	189	31	8	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	22	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	74	61	9	1	0	1	6	23	7	5	2	148	306	213	519	66	189	31	8	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	184	163	34	5	1	3	13	55	6	4	1	209	290	313	603	104	290	30	7	276	73	-6	+0	-1	+1	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	PIT	30%	173	154	32	5	1	3	12	51	5	3	1	212	293	321	614	109	291	29	7	280	76	-5	+0	-1	+1	+4	-0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	PIT	44%	271	242	51	8	1	5	19	79	8	5	1	214	294	328	622	113	291	29	7	283	78	-7	+1	-1	+1	+6	-0.1
2030	26	MLB MLE	PIT	51%	339	301	65	10	2	7	25	98	10	6	1	216	296	333	628	117	290	29	7	286	79	-8	+1	-2	+1	+7	-0.1
2031	27	MLB MLE	PIT	52%	375	334	72	11	2	8	28	107	10	6	1	216	296	334	630	117	290	29	7	286	80	-9	+1	-2	+1	+8	-0.1
2032	28	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	396	354	76	12	2	8	29	113	10	6	1	216	295	333	628	117	289	29	7	285	79	-10	+1	-3	+1	+9	-0.2
2033	29	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	401	359	76	12	2	8	29	115	10	5	1	213	292	326	618	113	287	29	7	281	76	-11	+1	-3	+1	+9	-0.4
2034	30	MLB MLE	PIT	52%	402	360	76	12	2	8	29	117	10	5	1	210	288	318	606	108	285	29	7	276	73	-13	+1	-4	+1	+9	-0.6
2028	24	MLB CTX	PIT	30%	52	46	10	2	0	1	4	15	2	1	0	211	292	317	608	105	291	29	8	278	76	-2	+0	-0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	PIT	44%	120	106	23	4	1	2	9	35	4	2	0	213	294	323	616	109	291	29	8	281	78	-3	+0	-1	+0	+3	-0.0
2030	26	MLB CTX	PIT	51%	172	153	32	5	1	3	12	49	5	3	1	215	295	328	623	113	291	28	7	283	79	-4	+0	-1	+1	+4	-0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	PIT	52%	197	176	38	6	1	4	14	56	5	3	1	215	295	329	624	113	290	28	7	284	80	-5	+0	-1	+1	+4	-0.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	211	187	41	7	1	4	16	60	6	3	1	215	294	328	622	113	289	28	8	283	79	-5	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.1
2033	29	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	211	188	40	7	1	4	16	61	5	3	1	212	291	321	612	109	287	29	8	279	76	-6	+0	-2	+1	+5	-0.2
2034	30	MLB CTX	PIT	52%	209	187	39	6	1	4	15	61	5	3	1	209	287	313	600	104	285	29	7	274	73	-7	+0	-2	+1	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1172	1043	223	37	6	22	86	337	32	18	5	214	294	324	618	110	291	29	7	280	76	-31	+2	-8	+4	+25	-0.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	124	21	3	12	48	187	18	10	3	215	295	324	619	109	293	29	7	280	76	-17	+1	-4	+2	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	2516	2239	472	73	12	50	183	728	73	43	9	211	292	321	613	110	286	29	7	281	76	-66	+5	-16	+9	+53	-1.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	122	19	3	13	47	188	19	11	2	211	292	322	614	111	286	29	7	281	76	-18	+1	-4	+2	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#4Dylan Carlsonlast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,987 PA	3.0	1,987	43	16	233	312	372	-9	-22	0.8	0.8
/162	664	14	5	-3.0	-7.4	0.3	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.9	1,256	25	19	215	291	328	+4	-16	0.6	0.7
/162	664	13	10	+2.4	-8.5	0.3	pk7: 1
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tre Phelps (OGILVIE)	23	50	55	45	—	207/288/310	103	290	2	2	30%	7%	73	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ruben Cardenas 2021 · A	23	43	42→55	46→50	41	212/261/320	108	276	9	8	26%	6%	63	-1.4	217/266/376	159	292	21	8	32%	6%	78	-0.3	205/269/366	162	259	21	10	29%	7%	75	-0.3
✕Jack Mayfield 2014 · A	23	42→45	42→55	45→50	42	210/267/314	104	272	10	7	26%	6%	64	-1.3	216/264/328	112	271	11	5	24%	6%	66	-1.1	218/266/393	174	252	22	7	23%	5%	82	+0.0
✕Rainel Rosario 2012 · A	23	47→51	44→50	48→50	41	225/285/343	118	321	10	10	32%	7%	78	-0.3	202/257/288	86	305	6	8	33%	6%	54	-2.0	246/301/378	133	280	16	6	18%	7%	88	+0.4
✕Barrett Barnes 2014 · A	23	43→53	43→45	50	38	212/261/318	106	297	11	13	32%	5%	63	-1.4	222/287/342	120	289	11	14	26%	7%	78	-0.3	232/299/352	120	307	10	12	26%	7%	83	+0.0
✕Chris Colton 2007 · A	24	44→48	43→55	47→50	41	217/264/327	110	282	11	14	27%	6%	65	-1.2	223/278/356	133	287	13	10	26%	7%	78	-0.3	231/291/436	204	268	22	5	23%	8%	101	+0.4
✕Matthew Lugo 2024 · AA	23	46→50	45→55	50	38	225/269/349	124	300	11	12	29%	5%	73	-0.6	224/277/381	157	309	16	15	32%	6%	84	+0.1	219/277/384	165	302	17	15	32%	6%	81	-0.1
✕Juan Portes 2009 · A	23	46→47	43→45	46→45	41	225/272/331	106	280	11	8	24%	5%	70	-0.8	225/277/332	107	274	9	6	21%	6%	72	-0.7	222/275/327	105	266	9	4	19%	6%	68	-0.7
✕Charles Leblanc 2019 · A	23	45→53	40→50	47→45	41	218/269/310	92	303	7	6	30%	6%	63	-1.3	219/271/318	99	312	9	6	31%	7%	66	-1.1	221/306/357	136	312	15	7	31%	10%	87	+0.3
✕Andrew Pintar 2024 · A	23	44→43	40→45	42→60	40	211/269/301	90	297	7	10	30%	6%	62	-1.4	221/284/327	106	309	9	23	29%	7%	74	-0.6	223/290/331	108	311	10	31	29%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Sandro Fabian 2021 · A	23	41→48	45→55	46→45	39	207/265/323	116	281	13	6	30%	6%	66	-1.1	230/270/389	159	266	20	4	22%	4%	84	+0.1	234/282/398	164	262	19	4	19%	5%	87	+0.3
✕Matt Fiedler 2018 · A	23	47	40→45	47→50	43	226/279/322	96	295	7	8	25%	6%	70	-0.8	219/273/331	112	286	10	9	26%	6%	70	-0.8	204/253/333	129	246	15	10	24%	5%	61	-0.4
✕Ramon Mendoza 2024 · A	23	42→51	40→45	44→45	45	204/273/295	91	282	7	6	29%	8%	63	-1.4	225/299/330	105	301	9	5	26%	8%	80	-0.1	232/310/341	109	301	10	3	24%	9%	83	+0.1
✕John Schuknecht 2017 · A	23	43	46→55	48→50	38	213/268/350	137	299	13	11	32%	6%	74	-0.6	171/236/267	96	276	9	6	39%	6%	42	-2.9	117/189/192	75	189	9	3	42%	6%	7	-3.6
✕Kyler Fedko 2023 · A	23	43→42	42→50	51→55	47	212/283/319	108	277	9	10	26%	8%	72	-0.7	203/287/319	116	263	12	14	26%	10%	74	-0.6	195/275/339	144	243	18	22	27%	9%	72	-0.5
✕Dorssys Paulino 2017 · A	22	48→50	42→45	46→45	41	233/282/342	109	310	9	8	27%	6%	76	-0.4	231/294/336	105	307	10	7	26%	8%	80	-0.2	229/299/324	96	299	10	5	25%	8%	76	-0.2
✕Orlando Martinez 2021 · A	23	44→48	46→50	44→50	42	220/267/347	126	283	13	7	27%	6%	72	-0.7	223/266/347	124	299	12	8	28%	5%	71	-0.8	223/280/330	107	273	9	7	21%	7%	71	-0.5
✕Jordan Patterson 2015 · A	23	43→50	43→55	48→50	40	212/275/316	104	283	11	13	28%	5%	69	-0.9	228/288/373	145	315	14	11	31%	5%	86	+0.3	227/288/386	159	316	15	9	31%	5%	86	+0.3
✕Christian Franklin 2024 · A	24	43→52	44→45	46→55	46	205/298/323	118	303	12	12	33%	9%	79	-0.2	230/321/333	103	317	9	22	27%	11%	90	+0.6	232/328/329	97	317	8	25	26%	11%	88	+0.3
✕Ty Wright 2008 · A	23	46→55	43→45	51→45	41	228/273/332	103	300	11	14	27%	6%	70	-0.9	251/297/352	101	300	9	7	19%	5%	84	+0.1	257/298/368	110	293	10	5	16%	4%	85	+0.2
✕Arturo Rivas 2007 · A	23	45	42→45	48→45	44	215/282/331	115	293	8	7	28%	7%	74	-0.6	230/289/349	119	317	10	8	28%	7%	80	-0.1	265/319/412	147	351	11	6	26%	7%	103	+0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps