Colby Jones — OGILVIE

Colby JonesSS Rome Emperors

Age 22 R/R 6'0" / 185 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION299 act + 199 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†39

AVG/OBP/SLG.178 / .274 / .235

PA199

HR1

SB13

K%29

BB%11

BABIP258

ISO57

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	20	A	2 teams	—	100	95	19	2	0	0	3	35	2	2	5	200	240	221	461	21	317	35	3	212	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	2 teams	—	100	93	21	3	0	0	5	25	2	2	5	226	280	258	538	32	309	25	5	251	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	2 teams	—	507	450	76	5	2	1	45	153	8	69	16	169	256	196	452	27	250	30	9	213	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	2 teams	—	507	425	94	7	3	1	70	106	8	69	16	221	342	259	601	38	289	21	14	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A+	ATL	—	299	254	40	8	1	2	38	92	2	26	8	157	272	220	493	63	236	31	13	234	37	-21	+2	+0	+3	+8	-0.8
YTD	22	A+	ATL	—	299	234	45	10	1	3	58	69	2	26	8	192	357	282	639	90	258	23	19	303	90	-3	+2	+0	+3	+8	1.1
ROS	22	A+	ATL	0%	199	174	31	5	1	1	21	58	2	13	4	178	274	235	509	57	252	29	11	236	39	-14	+1	+0	+2	+6	-0.5
ROS	22	MLB	ATL	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						252	0	0	229	34	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	22	A+	ATL	—	300	255	40	8	1	2	38	92	2	26	8	157	271	220	491	63	235	31	13	234	37	-21	+2	+0	+3	+8	-0.8
TOT	22	A+	ATL	—	498	428	71	13	2	3	59	150	4	39	12	166	273	226	499	61	245	30	12	235	38	-35	+3	+0	+5	+14	-1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	ATL	35%	553	484	91	15	2	6	59	156	5	25	7	188	283	264	547	76	258	28	11	255	54	-29	+2	+0	+6	+16	-0.5
2028	24	MLB	ATL	46%	568	498	97	16	2	9	60	156	5	22	7	195	288	289	577	94	262	27	11	267	62	-24	+2	+0	+6	+16	-0.0
2029	25	MLB	ATL	52%	574	502	100	16	2	10	61	155	6	20	6	199	293	299	592	100	264	27	11	273	67	-21	+2	+0	+6	+16	0.3
2030	26	MLB	ATL	54%	585	512	103	17	2	11	62	158	6	19	6	201	295	307	601	105	265	27	11	276	70	-20	+1	+0	+6	+17	0.4
2031	27	MLB	ATL	54%	587	513	103	17	2	11	63	159	6	18	5	201	296	306	602	105	265	27	11	277	70	-20	+2	+0	+6	+17	0.5
2032	28	MLB	ATL	54%	584	510	103	17	2	11	63	159	6	16	5	202	297	308	605	106	264	27	11	276	69	-20	+1	-1	+6	+17	0.3
2027	23	MLB	ATL	35%	191	167	31	5	1	2	20	54	2	9	3	186	280	263	544	78	258	28	10	249	48	-11	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.3
2028	24	MLB	ATL	46%	263	231	45	7	1	4	28	72	2	10	3	195	287	286	573	91	262	27	11	260	57	-13	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.2
2029	25	MLB	ATL	52%	297	260	51	8	1	5	32	80	3	10	3	196	292	292	584	96	264	27	11	266	62	-13	+1	+0	+3	+8	-0.0
2030	26	MLB	ATL	54%	317	277	56	9	1	6	34	85	3	10	3	202	296	307	603	105	265	27	11	269	64	-13	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.0
2031	27	MLB	ATL	54%	318	278	56	9	1	6	34	86	3	10	3	201	295	306	601	104	265	27	11	269	64	-13	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.0
2032	28	MLB	ATL	54%	317	277	55	9	1	6	34	86	3	9	3	199	293	303	596	105	264	27	11	269	64	-13	+1	-0	+3	+9	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1704	1491	294	47	6	29	182	463	16	58	18	197	291	295	586	98	263	27	11	265	61	-75	+4	-0	+18	+48	-0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	569	112	18	2	11	69	177	6	22	7	197	290	293	583	97	263	27	11	265	61	-29	+2	-0	+7	+18	-0.2
Career	—			—	4257	3738	723	110	15	60	437	1189	46	204	61	193	286	279	565	86	264	28	10	261	58	-202	+16	-1	+46	+121	-2.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	571	110	17	2	9	67	182	7	31	9	193	286	277	562	84	263	28	10	261	58	-31	+3	-0	+7	+18	-0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	20	A+	Rome Emperors	—	30	29	3	0	0	0	1	10	0	1	1	103	133	103	237		158	33	3	114	-55	-5	-0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2024	20	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	70	64	18	3	0	0	4	15	2	1	4	281	343	328	671	47	367	21	6	310	95	-0	-1	—	—	+2	0.0
2025	21	A+	Rome Emperors	—	133	121	29	2	0	0	10	28	2	15	6	240	308	256	564	17	312	21	8	267	62	-6	+1	—	—	+4	-0.1
2025	21	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	374	304	65	5	3	1	60	78	6	54	10	214	354	260	614	46	279	21	16	295	84	-7	+7	—	—	+11	1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#3Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	6	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	4	44	247	316	328	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	5	1,539	3	86	251	310	309	+5	+12	2.7	2.7
#5Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	/162	664	1	37	251	310	309	+2.4	+5.1	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,705	29	58	199	290	298	+18	+9	0.6	0.7
	/162	664	11	23	199	290	298	+7.1	+3.5	0.2	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Colby Jones (OGILVIE)	22	35	20	60	60	166/273/226	61	245	3	39	30%	12%	38	-1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Curpa 2022 · A	22	40	36→30	58→55	46	184/272/253	69	286	2	24	33%	10%	47	-1.9	206/292/291	85	310	6	17	32%	9%	65	-0.7	198/299/263	65	296	5	23	31%	10%	59	-0.3
✕Malcolm Holland 2014 · A	22	42→40	33→30	53→60	50	195/279/235	39	278	1	28	28%	10%	45	-2.1	198/275/249	51	282	2	24	27%	9%	46	-2.0	181/266/215	34	258	0	31	27%	10%	32	-2.2
✕Tyler James 2018 · A	21	44	36→30	64→65	42	204/266/281	77	293	2	27	29%	7%	50	-1.7	220/283/294	74	332	4	27	32%	7%	61	-1.0	230/297/289	60	352	4	45	33%	8%	61	-0.4
✕Kenny Wilson 2012 · A	22	37→47	35→40	56→60	40	174/248/231	57	283	2	27	36%	7%	30	-3.1	205/269/282	77	294	5	28	30%	6%	53	-1.5	195/262/289	94	302	8	22	35%	6%	49	-0.7
✕Jenner Emeterio 2014 · A	21	45	35→30	54→60	52	209/291/266	57	279	3	25	24%	10%	58	-1.2	222/308/290	68	293	2	20	22%	10%	71	-0.3	235/336/301	66	302	0	28	19%	12%	85	+0.3
✕D.J. Burt 2018 · A	22	44→51	35→40	54→65	44	206/269/268	62	295	2	24	29%	7%	48	-1.9	210/266/290	80	300	6	26	30%	7%	53	-1.5	213/281/285	72	298	5	46	28%	8%	55	-0.7
✕Terrance Gore 2013 · A	22	48→43	33→30	61→70	46	217/295/263	46	306	1	27	27%	8%	59	-1.1	213/279/249	36	300	1	42	27%	7%	48	-1.9	190/250/239	48	271	1	52	28%	6%	29	-1.0
✕Josh Prince 2010 · A	22	45→49	35→40	53→60	51	212/284/271	59	270	3	26	22%	9%	56	-1.3	213/265/284	71	279	4	30	24%	6%	50	-1.7	220/298/303	83	297	8	28	26%	10%	67	-0.3
✕Omar Garcia 2016 · A	22	47→49	34→30	56→60	42	220/272/264	45	289	1	33	24%	5%	48	-1.9	210/265/266	56	277	3	23	24%	6%	46	-2.0	188/248/205	17	246	0	22	22%	6%	19	-1.3
✕Roberto Caro 2016 · A	22	44→38	38→40	61→60	48	208/284/299	91	280	3	20	25%	8%	63	-0.9	207/276/283	76	320	2	18	33%	8%	55	-1.4	212/285/292	79	328	2	26	33%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Dionis Hinojosa 2013 · A	22	44	36→30	54→60	41	204/267/268	64	302	3	21	32%	6%	47	-1.9	203/255/272	69	284	4	12	28%	6%	43	-2.2	192/240/249	57	257	3	13	25%	5%	27	-0.8
✕Brayan Morales 2018 · AA	22	45	35→30	54→60	44	208/269/267	59	286	2	25	26%	7%	47	-1.9	199/251/263	64	311	2	31	34%	5%	39	-2.5	188/238/247	59	301	1	38	36%	4%	27	-2.1
✕Juan Ciriaco 2012 · A	22	43→49	34→30	54→60	41	204/256/250	46	273	2	24	25%	5%	37	-2.6	217/246/266	49	288	2	25	24%	4%	36	-2.7	231/243/288	57	275	3	22	17%	1%	36	-1.0
✕Victor Soto 2010 · A	21	39	37→45	56→60	40	188/240/265	77	263	3	22	29%	5%	35	-2.8	199/243/272	73	293	3	14	31%	5%	37	-2.6	187/218/237	50	279	0	18	32%	3%	15	-0.8
✕Tyreace House 2011 · A	23	45→43	34→30	53→55	56	205/308/258	53	274	2	20	23%	12%	64	-0.8	195/266/246	51	279	3	18	28%	8%	42	-2.3	171/228/189	18	253	0	22	30%	6%	7	-3.1
✕Danny Taveras 2008 · A	21	45	34→30	54→65	53	206/298/255	49	269	1	23	22%	10%	59	-1.1	209/292/265	56	280	3	29	24%	9%	59	-1.1	197/288/233	36	264	2	46	23%	9%	49	-0.9
✕Yerwin Trejo 2019 · A	22	48	34→30	53→55	48	222/288/275	54	274	2	21	19%	7%	58	-1.2	210/257/269	59	302	3	21	29%	6%	43	-2.2	190/225/228	38	284	3	34	33%	4%	15	-1.7
✕Derrik Gibson 2012 · A	22	44→54	34→40	53→55	44	205/261/258	54	277	2	19	26%	6%	42	-2.3	214/272/275	61	296	2	15	26%	7%	51	-1.7	236/301/308	72	311	3	11	23%	8%	69	-0.2
✕Nasim Nuñez 2022 · A	21	46→49	34→30	57→65	50	211/291/257	47	297	2	32	27%	10%	56	-1.3	207/294/264	57	302	3	41	29%	11%	59	-1.1	210/286/268	58	278	5	56	25%	9%	54	-1.0
✕Christian Cairo 2023 · A	22	39→46	38→40	53→60	49	182/289/262	80	287	6	16	35%	11%	58	-1.2	202/293/281	79	297	5	23	30%	10%	63	-0.8	214/304/283	68	303	4	34	27%	10%	66	-0.4