Jay Harry

2B Buffalo Bisons

Age 25 L/R 5'11" / 195 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035

ETA2029MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	23	AATOR	141	.153/.255/.226	2	4	12	—	.132/.206/.194
2025	23	A+TOR	225	.228/.304/.327	3	5	37	—	.187/.241/.278
2026	24	AAATOR	242	.277/.338/.436	6	0	84	—	.246/.296/.366
2026	24	AATOR	179	.325/.356/.580	8	1	116	—	.292/.316/.497
2027PROJ10% MLB	25	MLBTOR	32	.219/.267/.346	1	0	70	-0.0
2028PROJ35% MLB	26	MLBTOR	126	.220/.270/.349	3	1	72	-0.1
2029PROJ44% MLB	27	MLBTOR	171	.220/.271/.349	4	1	73	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Z-Con%77

K%76

Whiff%61

Max EV51

Speed19

BB%13

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 3, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 88%

CompsBen Rortvedt (age 25) · Carlos Penuelas (age 25) · LJ Talley (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .267 / .346

PA32

HR1

K%25

BB%3

BABIP274

ISO133

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	117	101	34	8	1	1	11	8	4	4	1	337	422	465	888	129	355	7	9	396	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	448	395	84	23	1	12	36	97	12	5	5	213	298	367	665	154	247	22	8	298	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	141	124	19	3	0	2	15	33	2	4	0	153	255	226	481	73	191	23	11	231	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	225	202	46	9	1	3	21	42	1	5	3	228	304	327	630	99	272	19	9	287	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	242	220	61	17	0	6	13	42	7	0	0	277	338	436	774	159	316	17	5	343	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	179	169	55	11	4	8	7	42	1	1	1	325	356	580	936	254	392	23	4	401	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	117	105	31	6	1	1	7	11	4	4	1	295	362	400	762	105	321	9	6	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	448	405	69	17	1	9	26	134	12	5	5	170	242	284	525	114	218	30	6	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	141	129	17	2	0	2	10	42	2	4	0	132	206	194	399	62	178	30	7	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	225	209	39	8	1	3	14	59	1	5	3	187	241	278	519	91	235	26	6	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	242	224	55	15	0	4	9	50	7	0	0	246	296	366	662	121	293	21	4	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	179	171	50	9	4	6	5	51	1	1	1	292	316	497	813	205	373	28	3	340	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	117	105	31	6	1	1	7	11	4	4	1	295	362	400	762	105	319	9	6	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	117	101	34	8	1	1	11	8	4	4	1	337	422	465	888	129	355	7	9	396	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	448	405	69	17	1	9	26	134	12	5	5	170	242	284	525	114	225	30	6	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	Vancouver Canadians	—	448	395	84	23	1	12	36	97	12	5	5	213	298	367	665	154	247	22	8	298	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	366	337	54	10	1	4	25	101	3	9	3	160	225	231	456	71	215	28	7	209	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	366	326	65	12	1	5	36	75	3	9	3	199	285	288	573	89	243	20	10	266	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	421	395	105	24	4	10	14	102	8	1	1	266	305	423	727	157	332	24	3	312	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	421	389	116	28	4	14	20	84	8	1	1	298	345	499	844	201	347	20	5	368	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	117	105	31	6	1	1	7	11	4	4	1	295	362	400	762	105	321	9	6	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	448	407	69	17	1	9	26	134	12	5	5	170	242	283	524	113	218	30	6	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	366	335	54	10	1	4	25	101	3	9	3	161	225	233	457	72	213	28	7	209	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	421	396	105	24	4	10	14	102	8	1	1	265	305	422	726	157	327	24	3	312	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	448	407	69	17	1	9	26	134	12	5	5	170	242	283	524	113	218	30	6	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	366	335	54	10	1	4	25	101	3	9	3	161	225	233	457	72	213	28	7	209	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	421	396	105	24	4	10	14	102	8	1	1	265	305	422	726	157	327	24	3	312	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	TOR	10%	380	354	78	17	2	8	17	95	6	3	1	218	266	345	611	126	273	25	4	272	70	-13	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	TOR	10%	32	30	6	1	0	1	1	8	1	0	0	219	267	346	613	127	274	25	3	273	70	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	TOR	35%	364	338	75	16	2	8	17	90	6	3	1	219	269	347	616	128	273	25	5	275	72	-12	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.3
2029	27	MLB MLE	TOR	44%	388	360	79	17	2	8	19	96	6	3	1	220	270	348	618	128	274	25	5	276	73	-13	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.3
2030	28	MLB MLE	TOR	49%	400	371	81	17	2	9	20	100	6	2	1	219	271	346	617	127	274	25	5	275	72	-13	+0	-1	+1	+9	-0.4
2028	26	MLB CTX	TOR	35%	126	117	26	5	1	3	6	31	2	1	0	220	270	349	618	128	274	25	5	275	72	-4	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	TOR	44%	171	158	35	7	1	4	8	42	3	1	1	220	271	349	620	129	275	25	5	276	73	-6	-0	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
2030	28	MLB CTX	TOR	49%	196	181	39	8	1	4	10	49	3	1	1	220	272	347	619	127	275	25	5	276	72	-6	-0	-0	+1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	493	456	100	20	3	11	24	122	8	3	2	219	270	349	619	129	273	25	5	276	67	-16	-0	-0	+2	+11	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	601	132	26	4	15	32	161	11	4	3	220	272	351	623	131	273	25	5	276	67	-21	-0	-0	+2	+14	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	2824	2609	560	121	15	56	142	714	50	30	14	215	268	337	605	122	271	25	5	267	67	-49	+1	-1	+5	+32	-1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	601	129	28	3	13	33	164	12	7	3	215	270	336	606	121	271	25	5	267	67	-22	+0	-0	+2	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#2Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
#3Bobby Lowe'01-'07 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,085 PA	3.1	2,085	4	65	229*	274*	350*	+6	+6	0.1	0.1
/162	664	1	21	+2.0	+1.8	0.0	pk7: 0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.8	525	11	4	220	268	348	+2	+1	-0.1	-0.0
/162	664	14	5	+2.4	+1.3	-0.1	pk7: 0
#4Tommy Corcoran'01-'07 * career totals — 7 seasons, 3,117 PA	4.7	3,117	7	102	235*	269*	379*	+32	-3	-0.3	-0.3
/162	664	1	22	+6.7	-0.7	-0.1	pk7: -0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jay Harry (OGILVIE)	25	40	30	45	40	216/264/342	125	273	7	3	25%	5%	70	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ben Rortvedt 2023 · MLB	25	39	46→45	46→40	39	199/262/323	124	288	15	4	35%	7%	65	-1.2	209/289/320	111	287	12	5	29%	9%	75	-0.5	198/286/289	91	268	9	2	27%	9%	67	-0.5
✕Carlos Penuelas 2013 · AAA	25	47	40→30	45→50	42	229/273/322	93	295	8	8	25%	6%	68	-1.0	253/303/334	81	315	5	11	20%	6%	82	-0.0	274/321/332	58	338	3	12	19%	5%	85	+0.1
✕LJ Talley 2022 · AA	25	42→48	43→45	48→50	45	211/268/322	111	265	11	6	25%	7%	67	-1.1	223/285/335	112	283	11	11	24%	7%	76	-0.4	220/286/328	108	277	11	13	24%	8%	72	-0.4
✕Casey McElroy 2015 · AA	25	45→48	43→40	40→30	48	222/287/327	105	259	11	3	19%	7%	75	-0.5	225/281/317	92	278	7	4	21%	6%	70	-0.9	227/281/310	83	284	4	1	20%	6%	66	-0.8
✕Matt Wallach 2011 · AA	25	42	46→45	42→40	43	214/263/340	126	256	13	3	22%	6%	69	-0.9	211/283/307	96	258	10	5	21%	7%	69	-0.9	192/276/259	67	243	7	3	22%	8%	56	-0.8
✕Luis Sierra 2012 · AA	25	45	41→40	40→45	41	219/261/317	98	278	8	4	24%	5%	62	-1.4	212/261/291	79	269	4	5	21%	6%	56	-1.9	224/281/294	69	277	0	0	18%	7%	61	-0.6
✕Steven Lerud 2010 · AA	25	44→42	41→45	44→40	44	215/279/313	98	278	9	4	25%	6%	69	-0.9	198/265/294	96	284	9	4	32%	6%	59	-1.6	199/289/281	82	285	7	2	29%	9%	64	-0.4
✕Chad Sedio 2019 · AA	25	46→51	41→45	48→30	39	224/279/328	103	289	9	4	25%	4%	72	-0.7	218/283/318	100	305	8	4	30%	5%	72	-0.7	202/275/301	99	295	7	0	32%	4%	63	-0.8
✕Irving Lopez 2021 · AAA	26	46→49	43→45	45→40	44	225/287/342	117	278	10	4	22%	6%	78	-0.3	211/273/307	96	272	8	6	24%	6%	65	-1.2	205/275/297	92	261	8	4	23%	7%	62	-0.7
✕Rodrigo Aguirre 2009 · AAA	25	50	43→30	44→45	46	244/286/358	114	271	10	7	15%	5%	80	-0.1	256/305/350	94	291	6	6	14%	6%	86	+0.3	254/298/311	57	294	1	2	13%	6%	71	-0.3
✕Marco Rivera 2009 · AAA	25	43	46→40	50→40	42	216/266/345	129	272	14	11	26%	6%	71	-0.8	240/297/329	89	295	8	6	20%	7%	78	-0.3	252/309/318	65	309	5	2	19%	7%	78	-0.1
✕Anthony Bemboom 2015 · AA	25	41	42→40	45	42	203/244/302	100	243	10	5	22%	5%	52	-2.2	209/258/297	88	267	7	6	24%	6%	56	-1.9	193/262/294	101	249	10	2	26%	8%	56	-0.6
✕Phil Clarke 2023 · AA	25	46	40	44→45	51	219/299/307	88	266	8	4	20%	8%	76	-0.4	228/309/315	87	267	8	8	17%	9%	81	-0.1	232/316/308	77	265	7	7	15%	9%	78	-0.1
✕Javi Herrera 2006 · AA	25	43	41→40	43→45	38	212/266/312	100	276	9	6	26%	4%	63	-1.3	214/284/304	90	268	8	6	22%	6%	69	-0.9	198/290/275	78	247	7	5	21%	9%	65	-0.4
✕Adam Melker 2013 · AA	25	48	39→40	46→50	44	230/283/313	83	299	7	9	25%	6%	70	-0.9	232/277/324	92	292	9	12	23%	5%	70	-0.9	232/275/317	85	287	9	13	22%	4%	64	-0.7
✕Logan Driscoll 2024 · AAA	26	44→46	44→45	46→40	39	217/273/332	115	299	12	6	31%	5%	71	-0.8	232/288/351	119	308	11	5	27%	6%	81	-0.1	235/296/355	120	309	10	2	26%	7%	82	-0.0
✕Grayson Greiner 2018 · AAA	25	42	43→45	48→30	41	211/262/321	110	280	10	2	28%	6%	64	-1.3	212/276/329	117	288	12	3	29%	8%	72	-0.7	201/272/294	93	296	9	0	33%	8%	61	-0.7
✕Francisco Arcia 2015 · AAA	25	47	39→40	43→40	40	225/269/308	82	287	6	4	24%	4%	63	-1.4	220/272/283	63	281	4	5	22%	5%	59	-1.7	205/258/279	74	263	7	3	24%	4%	51	-1.0
✕Jan Vázquez 2016 · AA	25	42	41→40	43→45	42	204/275/301	97	290	9	7	31%	7%	65	-1.2	221/294/314	93	294	7	9	26%	7%	75	-0.5	217/296/305	87	288	7	7	25%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Aaron Antonini 2023 · AA	25	37	43→40	46→45	45	188/274/289	101	242	12	5	27%	8%	63	-1.4	210/289/330	120	289	13	9	30%	7%	78	-0.3	182/272/311	129	273	14	8	36%	7%	66	-0.3

Jay Harry

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps