Win Scott

P Lakeland Flying Tigers

Age 24 LHP A peak 0.3 · 2028

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	23	MIX3 levels	23	4	48	1.86	2.17	28.4%	4.2%	—	K 21.9% · BB 5.4% · FIP 2.74
2027PROJ	24	MLBDET	25	0	26	3.96	3.96	22.4%	6.2%	0.2
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBDET	18	0	19	3.96	3.94	22.9%	6.4%	0.1

Next 2 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsAndy Fisher (age 23) · Ryan Rowland-Smith (age 24) · Damaso Marte (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 92100vR 108

ERA3.96

FIP3.96

K%22.4%

BB%6.2%

K-BB%16.1%

Proj IP26

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 26 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	23	4	48	190	54	8	3	17%	2.1	21.9%	5.4%	16.5%	1.5%	1.86	2.74	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	23	4	48	190	54	8	3	17%	2.1	21.9%	5.4%	16.5%	1.5%	1.86	2.74	—
2026	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	23	4	48	190	54	8	3	17%	2.1	28.4%	4.2%	24.2%	1.6%	1.86	2.17	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	DET	25	0	26	110	25	7	3	0%	1.0	22.4%	6.2%	16.1%	2.9%	3.96	3.96	+0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	DET	42	0	44	186	42	12	5	0%	1.0	22.9%	6.4%	16.4%	2.9%	3.96	3.94	+0.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	DET	18	0	19	80	18	5	2	0%	1.1	22.9%	6.4%	16.4%	2.9%	3.96	3.94	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		18	0	19	79	18	5	2	0%	1.0	22.9%	6.4%	16.4%	2.9%	3.96	3.56	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	191	53	21	0%	1.1	22.9%	6.4%	16.4%	2.9%	3.96	3.56	+2.4
Career	—	MLE		23	4	48	190	42	10	3	17%	2.1	21.9%	5.4%	16.5%	1.5%	1.86	2.74	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		95	17	200	786	172	43	11	17%	2.1	21.9%	5.4%	16.5%	1.5%	1.86	2.74	+1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Win Scott (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.96	22.4%	6.2%	2.9%	—	3.94	22.9%	16.4%	44	-0.02	—	—	—
Andy Fisher L 2019 · 3.20 FIP	23	SU	3.20	22.8%	4.5%	2.6%	.242	3.66	23.5%	8.7%	89	+0.46	3.13	167	82
Ryan Rowland-Smith L 2007 · 3.35 FIP	24	SU	3.35	25.0%	8.3%	2.4%	.324	4.89	12.7%	4.4%	324	+1.54	3.35	363	82
Damaso Marte L 2001 · 3.48 FIP	26	SU	3.48	25.3%	5.8%	3.2%	.287	3.09	26.5%	17.9%	214	-0.39	2.41	495	80
Chris Cotton L 2015 · 3.69 FIP	24	SU	3.69	20.7%	7.0%	2.6%	.288	4.17	9.7%	3.3%	61	+0.48	3.69	128	79
Jonah Hurney L 2024 · 2.83 FIP	24	SU	2.83	20.8%	6.9%	1.1%	.285	4.10	13.4%	5.8%	81	+1.27	2.83	137	79
Daniel Schlereth L 2010 · 3.59 FIP	24	SU	3.59	21.8%	8.0%	2.4%	.305	4.64	20.8%	7.6%	49	+1.05	3.06	130	79
Greg Nappo L 2015 · 3.37 FIP	26	SU	3.37	22.7%	7.5%	2.2%	.267	5.25	16.5%	5.9%	79	+1.88	3.37	144	78
Josh Dye L 2021 · 3.51 FIP	24	SU	3.51	22.0%	7.0%	2.5%	.298	5.34	16.7%	10.4%	79	+1.83	2.79	238	78
Trevor Lane L 2018 · 3.56 FIP	24	SU	3.56	21.5%	7.3%	2.5%	.360	3.10	21.2%	12.6%	91	-0.46	2.13	246	78
Pedro Feliciano L 2003 · 3.74 FIP	26	SU	3.74	19.7%	8.3%	2.3%	.309	3.52	20.2%	11.1%	79	-0.22	2.69	378	78
Sean Mellen L 2022 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	21.3%	10.4%	2.5%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	101	77
Ben Wereski L 2022 · 4.78 FIP	24	SU	4.78	18.6%	7.6%	4.2%	.287	3.73	29.0%	21.6%	20	-1.05	3.73	142	76
Caden Favors L 2024 · 3.73 FIP	22	SW	3.73	18.2%	4.5%	2.9%	.351	4.82	20.0%	8.8%	236	+1.09	3.73	248	76
Christian Jones L 2015 · 3.32 FIP	24	SU	3.32	18.5%	7.4%	1.6%	.319	4.00	15.0%	3.7%	89	+0.68	3.32	161	76
Drake Britton L 2013 · 2.97 FIP	24	SU	2.97	20.2%	7.1%	1.2%	.333	4.72	10.1%	0.2%	125	+1.75	2.97	146	76
Carson Skipper L 2024 · 3.12 FIP	24	SU	3.12	25.0%	8.2%	2.0%	.322	4.23	18.2%	9.2%	77	+1.11	3.02	186	76
Tyler Webb L 2015 · 3.80 FIP	25	SU	3.80	21.6%	6.9%	3.0%	.324	3.31	24.3%	17.3%	185	-0.49	3.10	337	76
Reagan Todd L 2019 · 2.89 FIP	23	SU	2.89	26.6%	7.1%	2.1%	.286	4.21	26.1%	15.5%	90	+1.32	2.89	122	75
Easton Lucas L 2021 · 4.29 FIP	24	SU	4.29	23.6%	9.2%	3.7%	.316	4.00	21.5%	11.9%	184	-0.29	3.38	311	75
Chris Narveson L 2009 · 4.01 FIP	27	SW	4.01	22.4%	7.3%	3.4%	.277	4.00	18.5%	10.0%	329	-0.01	4.00	625	75

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	35	22.7%	6.4%	1.11	3.96
Nick Wittgren ('23)	1.6	41	21.6%	7.0%	1.15	4.04
Junichi Tazawa ('18)	2.0	49	22.2%	6.5%	1.12	4.12
Charlie Furbush ('15)	1.3	52	24.5%	8.1%	1.04	3.97
Mike Schooler ('88-'93, 5 WAR*)	1.5	49	26.9%*	8.0%*	0.96*	3.68*
Tim Crews ('87-'92, 3 WAR*)	2.1	71	20.8%*	6.2%*	1.09*	4.11*
Carlos Diaz ('82-'86, 2 WAR*)	1.3	52	25.1%*	8.7%*	0.91*	3.84*