Jonah Hurney
P
Dayton Dragons
Age 26
LHP
5'8" / 185 lbs
A+
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION18 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 109118vR 127
ERA4.77
FIP4.77
K%14.1%
BB%8.0%
K-BB%6.1%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 88 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 28 | 0 | 56 | 221 | 62 | 13 | 2 | 0% | 2.0 | 20.8% | 6.9% | 13.8% | 1.0% | 3.40 | 2.78 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 28 | 0 | 56 | 221 | 62 | 13 | 2 | 0% | 2.0 | 28.1% | 5.9% | 22.2% | 0.9% | 3.40 | 2.04 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 28 | 0 | 64 | 287 | 52 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 2.3 | 14.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 1.7% | 5.09 | 3.74 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 28 | 0 | 64 | 287 | 52 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 2.3 | 18.1% | 5.9% | 12.2% | 1.7% | 5.09 | 3.29 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 13 | 0 | 18 | 88 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 11.4% | 10.5% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 7.13 | 5.02 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | CIN | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 42 | 24 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 4.77 | 4.77 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 4.77 | 4.77 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 88 | 384 | 55 | 32 | 10 | — | — | 14.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 5.25 | 4.82 | +0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 14.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 4.77 | 4.39 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CIN | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 44 | 24 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 4.75 | 4.76 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | CIN | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 44 | 24 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 4.77 | 4.81 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CIN | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 4.75 | 4.76 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | CIN | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 26 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 4.77 | 4.81 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 62 | 0 | 65 | 275 | 42 | 23 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 4.76 | 4.41 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 129 | 71 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 4.76 | 4.41 | +2.3 | ||
| Career | — | 69 | 0 | 137 | 596 | 96 | 44 | 10 | 0% | 2.0 | 16.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 1.6% | 4.66 | 3.58 | +2.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 101 | 0 | 200 | 870 | 140 | 64 | 14 | 0% | 2.0 | 16.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 1.6% | 4.66 | 3.58 | +4.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jonah Hurney (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.77 | 14.1% | 8.0% | 2.7% | — | 4.78 | 15.3% | 7.0% | 136 | +0.01 | — | — | — |
| Stephen Peterson L 2027 · 4.79 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.79 | 13.0% | 9.5% | 2.9% | .284 | 3.04 | 17.3% | 6.3% | 55 | -1.75 | 3.04 | 120 | 90 |
| Patrick McCoy L 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.72 | 14.4% | 8.0% | 1.5% | .336 | 4.17 | 15.4% | 1.6% | 44 | +0.45 | 3.72 | 113 | 89 |
| Nolan Becker L 2025 · 4.10 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.10 | 13.9% | 7.5% | 2.2% | .313 | 6.80 | 18.9% | 14.6% | 13 | +2.70 | 3.71 | 105 | 86 |
| Dylan Phillips L 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.27 | 16.9% | 10.3% | 2.4% | .291 | 4.01 | 22.8% | 12.7% | 49 | -0.26 | 2.69 | 221 | 84 |
| Ozzie Mendez L 2027 · 4.07 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.07 | 14.6% | 6.7% | 2.5% | .269 | 3.89 | 11.3% | 3.0% | 68 | -0.18 | 3.86 | 161 | 84 |
| Chris Cotton L 2025 · 4.13 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.13 | 9.7% | 6.4% | 1.9% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.66 | 128 | 83 |
| Hayden Howard L 2025 · 3.77 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.77 | 17.5% | 8.4% | 2.0% | .328 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 200 | 82 |
| Triston Polley L 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.19 | 17.8% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .331 | 4.49 | 17.4% | -0.3% | 22 | +0.30 | 4.19 | 151 | 82 |
| Braulio Lara L 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.10 | 16.7% | 8.7% | 2.4% | .367 | 5.20 | 18.9% | 3.9% | 67 | +1.10 | 4.10 | 118 | 82 |
| Justin Thomas L 2025 · 4.23 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.23 | 13.1% | 10.4% | 1.7% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 105 | 80 |
| Orleny Quiroz L 2025 · 4.47 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.47 | 12.7% | 8.6% | 2.5% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.58 | 136 | 80 |
| José Manuel Fernández L 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.12 | 13.6% | 8.7% | 3.8% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 263 | 79 |
| Adam Kolarek L 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.74 | 17.2% | 10.3% | 1.4% | .281 | 2.60 | 20.9% | 12.0% | 183 | -1.14 | 2.20 | 504 | 79 |
| Juan Grullon L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.86 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 134 | 79 |
| Ben Onyshko L 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.68 | 16.1% | 10.2% | 3.0% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 219 | 78 |
| Haylen Green L 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.08 | 18.6% | 10.8% | 2.2% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 104 | 78 |
| Gerardo Concepción L 2024 · 4.75 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.75 | 16.9% | 10.4% | 3.2% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 104 | 78 |
| Rob Zastryzny L 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.44 | 18.4% | 11.0% | 2.8% | .264 | 4.82 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 142 | +0.38 | 3.26 | 634 | 78 |
| Michael Heesch L 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.59 | 11.1% | 8.3% | 2.5% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.87 | 109 | 78 |
| Will Gilbert L 2025 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 19.9% | 10.3% | 2.8% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.85 | 141 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 69 | 14.9% | 8.2% | 1.07 | 4.76 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Vance Worley ('17) | 3 | 77 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 1.02 | 4.73 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |
| Robert Gsellman ('21) | 5 | 67 | 18.4% | 7.8% | 0.96 | 4.38 |
| Chris Rusin ('18) | 4 | 89 | 17.9% | 7.1% | 1.01 | 4.43 |