Jonah Hurney — OGILVIE

Jonah Hurney P Dayton Dragons

Age 27 LHP 5'8" / 185 lbs A+

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 60 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113121vR 129

ERA5.07

FIP5.07

K%13.0%

BB%8.8%

K-BB%4.1%

ROS IP60

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL5555

CMD4040

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	24	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	28	0	56	221	62	13	2	0%	2.0	20.8%	6.9%	13.8%	1.1%	3.40	2.83	—
2024	24	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	28	0	56	221	62	13	2	0%	2.0	20.8%	6.9%	13.8%	1.1%	3.40	2.83	—
2024	24	A RAW	Daytona Tortugas	28	0	56	221	62	13	2	0%	2.0	28.1%	5.9%	22.2%	0.9%	3.40	2.04	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	28	0	64	287	52	17	5	0%	2.3	14.0%	6.8%	7.1%	1.9%	5.09	3.85	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	28	0	64	287	52	17	5	0%	2.3	14.0%	6.8%	7.1%	1.9%	5.09	3.85	—
2025	25	A+ RAW	Dayton Dragons	28	0	64	287	52	17	5	0%	2.3	18.1%	5.9%	12.2%	1.7%	5.09	3.29	—
2026	26	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	13	0	18	88	13	8	2	0%	1.4	11.4%	10.5%	0.9%	2.8%	7.13	5.02	—
2026	26	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	13	0	18	88	13	8	2	0%	1.4	11.4%	10.5%	0.9%	2.8%	7.13	5.02	—
2026	26	A+ RAW	Dayton Dragons	13	0	18	88	13	8	2	0%	1.4	14.8%	9.1%	5.7%	2.3%	7.13	4.46	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	CIN	57	0	60	253	33	22	7	0%	1.1	13.0%	8.8%	4.1%	2.9%	5.07	5.07	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	CIN	55	0	58	244	34	22	7	0%	1.0	13.9%	9.0%	4.9%	3.0%	5.04	5.08	-0.3
2029	29	MLB MLE	CIN	52	0	55	233	33	22	7	0%	1.1	14.4%	9.3%	5.1%	3.1%	5.08	5.15	-0.4
2028	28	MLB CTX	CIN	20	0	21	89	12	8	3	0%	1.1	13.9%	9.0%	4.9%	3.0%	5.04	5.08	-0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	CIN	29	0	30	127	18	12	4	0%	1.0	14.4%	9.3%	5.1%	3.1%	5.08	5.15	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		49	0	51	217	31	20	7	0%	1.1	14.2%	9.2%	5.0%	3.1%	5.06	4.74	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	120	78	27	0%	1.1	14.2%	9.2%	5.0%	3.1%	5.06	4.74	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		69	0	137	596	96	44	10	0%	2.0	16.1%	7.4%	8.7%	1.8%	4.66	3.64	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		101	0	200	870	140	64	15	0%	2.0	16.1%	7.4%	8.7%	1.8%	4.66	3.64	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jonah Hurney (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.07	13.0%	8.8%	2.9%	—	5.11	14.1%	5.0%	113	+0.04	—	—	—
Stephen Peterson L 2015 · 4.59 FIP	27	SU	4.59	13.0%	9.5%	2.5%	.284	3.04	17.3%	6.3%	55	-1.55	3.04	120	94
Michael Johnson L 2018 · 5.19 FIP	27	SU	5.19	13.4%	10.0%	3.6%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	256	84
Ozzie Mendez L 2015 · 4.16 FIP	27	SU	4.16	14.6%	6.7%	2.6%	.269	3.99	11.3%	3.0%	68	-0.17	3.95	161	83
Chris Cotton L 2016 · 4.17 FIP	25	SU	4.17	9.7%	6.4%	2.0%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.69	128	81
George Sherrill L 2004 · 4.36 FIP	27	SU	4.36	15.4%	7.7%	2.9%	.273	2.90	28.3%	18.2%	105	-1.46	2.74	323	81
Greg Nappo L 2016 · 5.09 FIP	27	SU	5.09	17.2%	10.3%	3.9%	.285	6.26	12.3%	-0.3%	11	+1.17	3.37	144	81
Eric Jokisch L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	27	SW	4.64	12.4%	9.6%	2.5%	.330	3.93	15.2%	7.6%	283	-0.71	3.78	427	81
Justin Thomas L 2016 · 4.25 FIP	25	SU	4.25	13.1%	10.4%	1.7%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.09	105	80
Juan Martinez L 2019 · 4.81 FIP	27	SU	4.81	14.4%	9.2%	3.2%	.279	—	—	—	—	—	3.41	273	80
Michael Heesch L 2016 · 4.56 FIP	26	SU	4.56	11.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	3.79	109	79
Heath Murray L 2001 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	14.0%	11.6%	3.6%	.333	6.02	20.0%	7.3%	12	+0.62	4.69	159	78
Jose Meraz L 2015 · 4.71 FIP	27	SU	4.71	13.3%	12.0%	2.2%	.331	4.06	15.3%	6.7%	44	-0.65	3.78	110	77
Ryne Slack L 2018 · 5.59 FIP	26	SU	5.59	13.9%	12.1%	3.9%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	4.07	212	77
Doug Slaten L 2007 · 4.08 FIP	27	SU	4.08	17.2%	8.6%	2.5%	.316	3.81	17.6%	8.2%	73	-0.27	3.22	139	77
Juan Grullon L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	19.8%	10.9%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	134	76
Kyle Bartsch L 2016 · 4.70 FIP	25	SU	4.70	13.2%	8.2%	3.1%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.78	118	76
Everett Teaford L 2011 · 5.47 FIP	27	SU	5.47	16.0%	8.0%	4.9%	.224	5.47	13.3%	5.3%	61	+0.00	4.42	208	76
Haylen Green L 2023 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	18.6%	10.8%	2.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	75
Ben Onyshko L 2023 · 4.39 FIP	26	SU	4.39	16.1%	10.2%	2.5%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	219	75
Justin Wright L 2016 · 4.42 FIP	26	SU	4.42	14.7%	13.7%	1.5%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	2.28	109	75

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	57	13.7%	9.0%	1.15	5.06
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Matt Whiteside ('05)	2.0	58	14.5%	8.8%	1.15	5.23
Rodney Myers ('04)	1.2	60	15.0%	10.3%	1.05	5.07
Carlos Almánzar ('05)	1.2	60	16.3%	7.9%	1.32	4.82
Vinnie Chulk ('12)	1.4	57	16.0%	9.0%	0.98	4.51
Eric Gunderson ('00)	1.1	76	13.3%	8.1%	1.14	4.95