Tommy Kane — OGILVIE

Tommy Kane P FCL Nationals

Age 25 LHP 6'1" / 180 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 24 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117126vR 134

ERA5.29

FIP5.29

K%20.9%

BB%15.7%

K-BB%5.3%

ROS IP24

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 24 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	0	21	95	27	7	1	0%	1.4	19.6%	8.5%	11.1%	0.0%	7.40	2.52	—
2023	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	0	21	95	27	7	1	0%	1.4	28.4%	7.4%	21.1%	1.1%	7.40	2.13	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	1	55	248	60	29	5	3%	1.4	18.3%	13.6%	4.7%	2.5%	4.09	4.67	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	1	55	248	60	29	5	3%	1.4	18.3%	13.6%	4.7%	2.5%	4.09	4.67	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	1	55	248	60	29	5	3%	1.4	24.2%	11.7%	12.5%	2.0%	4.09	3.68	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	32	0	40	188	51	33	0	0%	1.3	19.2%	20.6%	-1.4%	0.0%	5.80	4.09	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	32	0	40	188	51	33	0	0%	1.3	19.2%	20.6%	-1.4%	0.0%	5.80	4.09	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	32	0	40	188	51	33	0	0%	1.3	27.1%	17.6%	9.6%	0.0%	5.80	3.03	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	SF	23	0	24	101	21	16	3	0%	1.0	20.9%	15.7%	5.3%	2.9%	5.29	5.29	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	SF	35	0	36	153	33	23	4	0%	1.0	21.4%	15.0%	6.4%	2.9%	5.18	5.17	-0.3
2028	26	MLB CTX	SF	15	0	16	68	14	10	2	0%	1.1	21.4%	15.0%	6.4%	2.9%	5.18	5.17	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	0	16	66	14	10	2	0%	1.0	21.4%	15.0%	6.4%	2.9%	5.18	4.79	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	180	129	26	0%	1.1	21.4%	15.0%	6.4%	2.9%	5.18	4.79	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		85	1	116	531	100	80	6	1%	1.4	18.8%	15.1%	3.7%	1.2%	5.28	4.08	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		147	2	200	916	173	139	11	1%	1.4	18.8%	15.1%	3.7%	1.2%	5.28	4.08	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Tommy Kane (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.29	20.9%	15.7%	2.9%	—	5.17	21.4%	6.4%	36	-0.12	—	—	—
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	88
Hector Mercado L 2000 · 4.79 FIP	26	SU	4.79	21.7%	13.3%	3.3%	.270	4.22	22.9%	10.0%	111	-0.57	3.47	125	88
Brian Moran L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	26	SU	4.50	17.7%	14.1%	2.0%	.318	2.74	25.0%	17.4%	80	-1.76	1.80	421	86
Graeme Stinson L 2023 · 4.85 FIP	25	SU	4.85	19.5%	15.6%	2.6%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	146	85
Nick Hagadone L 2012 · 4.74 FIP	26	SU	4.74	22.4%	12.9%	3.5%	.310	3.88	24.6%	14.7%	82	-0.86	2.97	141	85
Seth Clark L 2024 · 5.66 FIP	24	SU	5.66	18.9%	16.2%	3.9%	.267	4.56	17.7%	-2.7%	32	-1.10	4.23	128	84
Matt Thornton L 2004 · 4.18 FIP	27	SU	4.18	20.3%	16.2%	1.4%	.304	4.18	21.8%	11.5%	167	-0.00	1.71	663	84
Ty Madrigal L 2022 · 5.75 FIP	25	SU	5.75	17.6%	15.2%	4.0%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	107	83
Fabian Williamson L 2015 · 5.31 FIP	26	SU	5.31	17.4%	17.9%	2.6%	.289	4.16	20.0%	8.2%	77	-1.15	3.39	154	83
Ryne Slack L 2017 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	17.4%	13.2%	2.0%	.308	5.59	13.9%	1.8%	49	+1.17	4.07	212	83
John Beller L 2023 · 4.16 FIP	24	SU	4.16	21.6%	14.2%	2.0%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.16	170	82
Nick Lee L 2016 · 4.96 FIP	25	SU	4.96	19.0%	19.7%	1.8%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.77	102	82
Jason Kershner L 2002 · 4.76 FIP	25	SU	4.76	16.8%	12.1%	2.8%	.233	4.04	14.5%	8.1%	76	-0.72	3.87	100	81
John Kilichowski L 2018 · 4.99 FIP	24	SU	4.99	17.6%	16.2%	2.4%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	115	81
John Bale L 2001 · 4.41 FIP	27	SU	4.41	18.6%	15.0%	1.8%	.219	4.12	19.0%	13.9%	46	-0.29	2.49	168	81
Brian Marconi L 2022 · 5.02 FIP	25	SU	5.02	20.3%	18.2%	2.4%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.89	101	81
C.J. Widger L 2024 · 4.21 FIP	25	SU	4.21	26.0%	16.0%	2.3%	.258	5.75	18.1%	-0.7%	57	+1.54	3.83	105	81
Chris Reed L 2015 · 4.92 FIP	25	SU	4.92	15.4%	14.5%	2.3%	.284	4.67	16.4%	6.6%	81	-0.25	4.67	137	81
Chandler Jozwiak L 2024 · 5.33 FIP	25	SU	5.33	16.9%	15.3%	3.1%	.259	—	—	—	—	—	2.86	161	81
Brendan Cellucci L 2023 · 4.99 FIP	25	SU	4.99	21.2%	14.6%	3.3%	.381	4.21	23.7%	9.6%	137	-0.78	3.98	288	81

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	30	21.2%	15.2%	1.13	5.22
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
John Parrish ('10)	1.4	46	17.6%	14.8%	0.88	4.51
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32