Connor Godwin — OGILVIE

Connor Godwin P Rancho Cucamonga Quakes

Age 25 RHP 6'4" / 207 lbs A

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 60 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 151143vR 135

ERA6.21

FIP6.21

K%16.5%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-3.5%

ROS IP60

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL2020

CMD2525

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	23	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	36	0	44	224	50	38	2	0%	1.2	16.5%	20.0%	-3.5%	1.1%	7.21	4.84	—
2025	23	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	36	0	44	224	50	38	2	0%	1.2	16.5%	20.0%	-3.5%	1.1%	7.21	4.84	—
2025	23	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	36	0	44	224	50	38	2	0%	1.2	22.3%	17.0%	5.4%	0.9%	7.21	4.02	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	LAA	57	0	60	253	42	51	7	0%	1.1	16.5%	20.0%	-3.5%	2.9%	6.21	6.21	-1.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	LAA	57	0	60	251	44	47	7	0%	1.0	17.5%	18.9%	-1.4%	2.9%	6.00	5.98	-0.9
2029	27	MLB MLE	LAA	56	0	59	247	44	45	7	0%	1.0	17.9%	18.2%	-0.3%	3.0%	5.89	5.90	-0.9
2028	26	MLB CTX	LAA	24	0	25	106	18	20	3	0%	1.0	17.5%	18.9%	-1.4%	2.9%	6.00	5.98	-0.4
2029	27	MLB CTX	LAA	35	0	37	156	28	28	5	0%	1.1	17.9%	18.2%	-0.3%	3.0%	5.89	5.90	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		59	0	62	263	47	49	8	0%	1.1	17.8%	18.5%	-0.7%	2.9%	5.93	5.55	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	151	158	26	0%	1.1	17.8%	18.5%	-0.7%	2.9%	5.93	5.55	-2.3
Career	—	MLE		36	0	44	224	37	45	2	0%	1.2	16.5%	20.0%	-3.5%	1.1%	7.21	4.84	-1.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		165	0	200	1026	169	205	11	0%	1.2	16.5%	20.0%	-3.5%	1.1%	7.21	4.84	-3.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Connor Godwin (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.21	16.5%	20.0%	2.9%	—	5.94	17.7%	-0.8%	118	-0.27	—	—	—
Cre Finfrock R 2022 · 6.31 FIP	26	SU	6.31	16.7%	25.2%	2.6%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	103	85
Jeff Ames R 2016 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	18.0%	16.1%	2.8%	.229	4.34	25.2%	11.2%	142	-0.83	3.85	272	85
Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	25	SU	5.28	18.4%	16.5%	3.0%	.320	5.19	17.8%	0.5%	40	-0.09	5.19	116	84
Christian Ruebeck R 2024 · 6.03 FIP	23	SU	6.03	20.6%	24.4%	2.9%	.265	4.57	21.6%	1.9%	70	-1.46	4.35	104	84
Jeff Soptic R 2016 · 5.52 FIP	25	SU	5.52	13.6%	15.3%	3.0%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	5.30	124	83
Jonathan Teaney R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	16.4%	15.7%	3.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	108	83
Wandi Montout R 2022 · 5.59 FIP	25	SU	5.59	13.4%	18.7%	2.3%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	103	83
Andrew McInvale R 2022 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	17.6%	15.9%	2.8%	.324	6.44	24.5%	10.0%	23	+1.29	4.92	103	82
Jairo Beras R 2019 · 5.47 FIP	24	SU	5.47	15.0%	20.3%	1.9%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	110	82
Noah Takacs R 2024 · 5.77 FIP	22	SU	5.77	12.5%	16.4%	3.0%	.301	5.68	13.4%	-2.3%	91	-0.09	5.25	130	81
Yunior Thibo R 2023 · 5.32 FIP	25	SU	5.32	14.3%	15.6%	2.7%	.231	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	110	81
Leandro Linares R 2018 · 5.49 FIP	24	SU	5.49	16.2%	22.0%	1.8%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	1.93	134	81
Hunter Breault R 2024 · 5.98 FIP	25	SU	5.98	17.1%	17.6%	3.8%	.336	5.59	7.6%	-3.2%	45	-0.39	2.90	186	81
Tommy DeJuneas R 2021 · 5.65 FIP	25	SU	5.65	13.7%	17.6%	2.7%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	178	81
Connor Cooke R 2024 · 5.02 FIP	24	SU	5.02	17.4%	17.0%	2.2%	.253	—	—	—	—	—	2.93	103	80
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	80
Michael Blazek R 2013 · 5.52 FIP	24	SU	5.52	16.7%	15.5%	3.4%	.241	3.81	19.8%	10.3%	97	-1.71	2.99	238	80
Ryan Sublette R 2024 · 5.72 FIP	25	SU	5.72	19.9%	17.5%	3.8%	.214	4.47	18.6%	5.0%	53	-1.25	3.74	203	80
Will McAffer R 2022 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	14.5%	20.2%	1.7%	.260	—	—	—	—	—	4.68	133	80
Austin Pettibone R 2016 · 5.11 FIP	23	SU	5.11	14.6%	16.2%	2.2%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	142	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	59	17.3%	19.0%	1.13	6.03
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Paul Spoljaric ('00)	1.4	69	22.1%	12.9%	1.33	5.52