Player 802517 — OGILVIE

Player 8025171B FCL Blue Jays

Age — —/— ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 77 proj PA

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .273 / .310

PA77

HR2

K%34

BB%7

ISO112

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	—	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	79	64	20	4	0	4	10	20	4	1	1	312	436	562	998	250	390	25	13	433	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	—	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	79	68	15	3	0	3	6	29	4	1	1	221	321	397	718	176	303	37	8	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	79	68	15	3	0	3	6	29	4	1	1	221	321	397	718	176	324	37	8	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK RAW	FCL Blue Jays	—	79	64	20	4	0	4	10	20	4	1	1	312	436	562	998	250	390	25	13	433	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	79	69	15	3	0	3	6	29	4	1	1	217	321	391	712	174	303	37	8	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	25	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	79	69	15	3	0	3	6	29	4	1	1	217	321	391	712	174	303	37	8	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	TOR	0%	200	179	36	6	1	4	15	67	4	2	1	201	275	313	588	112	291	34	8	267	67	-8	+0	+0	-4	+4	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	TOR	0%	133	120	25	4	1	3	10	44	2	1	0	203	277	318	595	115	290	33	8	270	69	-5	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.4
2028	25	MLB CTX	TOR	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	204	278	319	597	116	291	—	—	271	69	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	289	258	54	9	1	8	22	99	7	3	1	209	289	345	634	136	301	34	8	278	75	-8	+0	+0	-4	+5	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	121	20	2	18	49	223	16	7	2	209	288	343	631	134	300	34	8	278	75	-25	+1	+0	-12	+14	-2.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.3	210	4	2	203	274	318	-3	+0	-0.5	-0.2
/162	664	14	7	-8.9	+0.0	-1.6	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 802517 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	199/273/310	111	291	2	1	34%	7%	67	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Sam Praytor 2024 · A	25	37	42→45	49→55	40	187/249/289	101	268	10	6	33%	6%	53	-2.1	203/271/315	112	272	11	8	28%	8%	67	-1.1	191/269/298	107	248	11	9	26%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Ruben Ibarra 2023 · A	24	40→36	47→50	47→30	41	206/278/335	129	284	16	6	32%	7%	74	-0.5	201/273/342	141	270	18	3	31%	7%	74	-0.5	190/263/343	153	244	21	1	31%	7%	69	-0.7
✕Dillan Shrum 2023 · A	25	40→32	49→50	48→30	38	192/281/338	146	320	17	4	42%	8%	77	-0.3	193/286/340	147	301	17	3	39%	8%	79	-0.2	176/275/324	148	269	18	1	39%	8%	69	-0.6
✕Jose Pineda 2007 · A	25	42→39	43→45	49→45	43	205/275/315	110	292	11	10	32%	8%	68	-1.0	216/270/360	144	301	17	7	33%	6%	76	-0.4	210/258/376	166	280	22	3	33%	5%	73	-0.5
✕Zach Zubia 2023 · A	25	38→33	43→45	46→30	52	184/296/291	107	292	12	3	37%	13%	72	-0.7	200/293/327	127	303	16	4	36%	11%	78	-0.3	187/281/316	129	273	18	2	36%	11%	69	-0.4
✕Griffin Doersching 2024 · A	25	37→33	47→50	44→40	43	188/270/319	130	290	16	3	38%	9%	68	-1.0	193/261/322	129	279	15	6	34%	8%	65	-1.2	157/224/289	132	208	17	4	33%	7%	42	-1.4
✕Duke Sardinha 2007 · A	26	37→33	45→50	45	37	191/240/309	119	274	13	8	35%	6%	53	-2.1	205/253/328	123	277	13	6	30%	5%	62	-1.4	214/263/365	151	259	19	2	25%	5%	72	-0.3
✕Spencer Henson 2023 · A	25	35	48→50	46→40	39	186/254/321	136	277	17	6	38%	7%	62	-1.4	194/248/328	134	275	16	5	35%	5%	61	-1.5	179/229/324	146	236	20	1	34%	4%	53	-1.2
✕Devin Harris 2013 · A	25	35→40	46→55	44→40	38	182/240/312	129	273	14	4	38%	7%	54	-2.0	202/248/360	158	272	18	3	32%	5%	68	-1.0	199/244/363	164	259	19	3	31%	5%	65	-1.0
✕Jimmy Glowenke 2023 · A	24	38	46→45	43→45	38	191/260/319	128	284	14	3	36%	6%	64	-1.3	204/280/315	111	273	11	6	28%	7%	70	-0.8	198/280/300	102	256	10	6	25%	7%	65	-0.8
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	40→45	48→30	43	189/253/279	90	264	9	6	31%	7%	51	-2.2	212/279/326	114	294	12	3	30%	8%	72	-0.7	205/275/317	113	280	13	1	30%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Austin Wilson 2017 · A	25	40	44→45	44→45	35	192/269/307	115	318	13	7	41%	6%	65	-1.2	190/257/275	85	325	8	7	41%	6%	52	-2.2	128/181/128	—	235	0	0	43%	5%	-14	-1.5
✕Matt Repec 2009 · A	25	41→38	44→50	44→45	37	205/249/321	116	290	12	5	33%	5%	59	-1.6	206/253/317	111	288	10	5	30%	6%	59	-1.6	199/247/312	113	272	9	4	29%	5%	55	-1.1
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	32→40	43→45	47→45	44	169/250/274	105	239	11	6	33%	8%	50	-2.3	190/273/295	105	264	10	5	30%	9%	63	-1.3	177/267/274	97	242	10	3	29%	10%	54	-1.0
✕Dexter Kjerstad 2017 · A	25	39→33	44→45	45	34	196/246/310	114	289	12	9	36%	4%	56	-1.9	191/245/288	97	289	10	6	36%	5%	51	-2.3	154/207/216	62	234	8	0	36%	5%	17	-2.0
✕Jeffrey Eure 2006 · A	25	35→30	46→50	41→45	33	185/239/316	131	279	14	4	38%	5%	55	-1.9	200/249/317	117	287	12	6	33%	5%	59	-1.7	196/241/309	113	272	12	5	32%	4%	51	-1.0
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	37	42→40	49→50	48	187/274/289	103	259	10	13	30%	10%	63	-1.4	200/295/298	98	281	9	11	29%	10%	72	-0.7	182/296/265	82	256	7	11	28%	12%	63	-0.8
✕Kamren James 2024 · A	24	36→30	44→50	45	34	183/242/295	112	285	12	8	39%	5%	51	-2.2	183/241/281	98	279	11	8	37%	5%	47	-2.5	164/223/254	90	241	11	7	35%	5%	32	-1.1
✕Connor Kaiser 2022 · AA	25	37	43→45	47→50	44	188/256/297	109	258	11	5	31%	8%	57	-1.8	196/270/312	116	292	12	14	34%	9%	65	-1.2	182/266/286	104	281	10	16	36%	9%	56	-1.0
✕Ryan McCarty 2024 · A	25	41→38	43→45	47→50	43	198/274/311	113	289	9	8	33%	8%	67	-1.1	196/265/293	97	275	9	11	30%	7%	59	-1.6	187/259/272	85	258	9	12	29%	7%	50	-1.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps