Tyler Switalski
P
Eugene Emeralds
Age 23
LHP
6'4" / 248 lbs
A+
peak 0.3 · 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION79 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120129vR 138
ERA5.29
FIP5.29
K%14.0%
BB%12.8%
K-BB%1.2%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 143 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 4 | 97 | 407 | 82 | 40 | 3 | 17% | 4.0 | 15.0% | 11.5% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 4.00 | 3.60 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 4 | 97 | 407 | 82 | 40 | 3 | 17% | 4.0 | 20.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 0.7% | 4.00 | 3.05 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 17 | 16 | 79 | 338 | 96 | 32 | 14 | 94% | 4.6 | 22.9% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 5.1% | 4.58 | 5.33 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | SF | 12 | 12 | 65 | 274 | 38 | 35 | 7 | 100% | 5.4 | 14.0% | 12.8% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 5.29 | 5.29 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | SF | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14.0% | 12.8% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 5.29 | 5.29 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | SF | — | — | 143 | 612 | 134 | 67 | 21 | — | — | 22.0% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 3.4% | 4.90 | 5.31 | +0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | SF | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 14.0% | 12.8% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 5.29 | 4.91 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | SF | 12 | 12 | 69 | 293 | 47 | 35 | 7 | 100% | 5.8 | 16.1% | 11.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 5.08 | 5.01 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | SF | 12 | 12 | 70 | 297 | 51 | 34 | 8 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.2% | 11.4% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 4.93 | 4.86 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | SF | 12 | 12 | 70 | 297 | 53 | 33 | 8 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.8% | 11.3% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 4.85 | 4.81 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | SF | 5 | 5 | 30 | 127 | 20 | 15 | 3 | 100% | 6.0 | 16.1% | 11.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 5.08 | 5.01 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | SF | 8 | 8 | 47 | 198 | 34 | 23 | 5 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.2% | 11.4% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 4.93 | 4.86 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | SF | 9 | 9 | 56 | 236 | 42 | 27 | 6 | 100% | 6.2 | 17.8% | 11.3% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 4.85 | 4.81 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 17 | 17 | 133 | 560 | 96 | 64 | 14 | 100% | 7.8 | 17.2% | 11.5% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 4.93 | 4.49 | +1.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 26 | 26 | 200 | 844 | 145 | 97 | 21 | 100% | 7.8 | 17.2% | 11.5% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 4.93 | 4.49 | +2.1 | ||
| Career | — | 41 | 20 | 175 | 745 | 139 | 83 | 20 | 49% | 4.3 | 18.6% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 4.26 | 4.38 | +2.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 47 | 23 | 200 | 850 | 158 | 94 | 22 | 49% | 4.3 | 18.6% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 4.26 | 4.38 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tyler Switalski (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.29 | 14.0% | 12.8% | 2.5% | — | 4.89 | 17.0% | 5.5% | 210 | -0.40 | — | — | — |
| Cole Kirschsieper L 2025 · 5.23 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.23 | 15.2% | 12.0% | 3.5% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.23 | 105 | 84 |
| Nate Peterson L 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.40 | 18.4% | 11.4% | 2.6% | .284 | 4.47 | 17.1% | 5.8% | 213 | +0.07 | 3.67 | 288 | 83 |
| Pat Peterson L 2025 · 4.36 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.36 | 13.5% | 10.6% | 1.9% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.36 | 108 | 83 |
| Sam Garcia L 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.74 | 18.5% | 12.7% | 2.9% | .284 | 3.62 | 25.5% | 9.2% | 24 | -1.12 | 3.62 | 125 | 82 |
| Joe Kemlage L 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.35 | 19.4% | 13.5% | 2.1% | .278 | 5.53 | 17.6% | 5.9% | 65 | +1.18 | 4.35 | 128 | 82 |
| Tim Berry L 2027 · 4.30 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.30 | 12.0% | 9.7% | 1.8% | .346 | 5.11 | 14.7% | -0.6% | 113 | +0.81 | 4.04 | 196 | 81 |
| Ian Clarkin L 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.42 | 9.3% | 11.2% | 3.1% | .290 | 5.84 | 8.1% | -4.9% | 82 | +0.42 | 3.92 | 335 | 79 |
| Bryan Radziewski L 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.19 | 16.4% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.19 | 106 | 78 |
| Bryce Hubbart L 2026 · 5.10 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.10 | 15.5% | 13.8% | 2.8% | .313 | 4.90 | 19.3% | 6.1% | 68 | -0.20 | 4.73 | 181 | 78 |
| Connor Oliver L 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.29 | 17.3% | 12.1% | 2.0% | .314 | 5.52 | 19.2% | 3.4% | 121 | +1.23 | 4.29 | 200 | 78 |
| Wandy Peralta L 2027 · 4.47 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.47 | 12.4% | 12.6% | 1.5% | .324 | 3.89 | 17.3% | 7.3% | 200 | -0.58 | 2.69 | 703 | 78 |
| Scott DeCecco L 2027 · 4.58 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.58 | 14.5% | 11.5% | 2.3% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.58 | 125 | 78 |
| Hayden Frank L 2026 · 5.29 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.29 | 17.2% | 14.2% | 3.4% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.29 | 109 | 77 |
| Luis Leroy Cruz L 2027 · 4.93 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.93 | 16.0% | 10.1% | 3.5% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.93 | 116 | 77 |
| Estevan Gonzalez L 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.69 | 14.1% | 10.7% | 2.6% | .322 | 4.80 | 14.7% | 0.1% | 130 | +0.11 | 4.62 | 195 | 75 |
| Colin Rodgers L 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.97 | 16.2% | 11.9% | 3.1% | .320 | 4.49 | 16.8% | 7.1% | 68 | -0.48 | 3.99 | 313 | 74 |
| Adam Tulloch L 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.49 | 20.3% | 14.1% | 2.4% | .313 | 4.65 | 17.8% | 1.7% | 139 | +0.16 | 4.12 | 234 | 74 |
| Amilcar Gaxiola L 2027 · 4.57 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.57 | 6.3% | 8.4% | 1.7% | .323 | 5.16 | 11.3% | 1.8% | 148 | +0.59 | 4.37 | 321 | 74 |
| Ryan Hartman L 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.58 | 15.1% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .274 | 4.59 | 22.0% | 14.5% | 236 | +0.01 | 3.17 | 456 | 74 |
| Michael Roth L 2028 · 4.67 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.67 | 12.1% | 8.3% | 2.8% | .298 | 4.50 | 13.5% | 6.2% | 358 | -0.17 | 4.22 | 483 | 73 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 69 | 16.3% | 11.9% | 0.98 | 5.03 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |