Kannon Handy
P
Fresno Grizzlies
Age 26
LHP
6'3" / 220 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 39 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 101110vR 120
ERA4.43
FIP4.43
K%22.9%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%13.3%
ROS IP39
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 39 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0.8 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.29 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0.8 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.70 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 6 | 56 | 250 | 66 | 24 | 6 | 21% | 2.0 | 19.1% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 4.85 | 4.64 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 6 | 56 | 250 | 66 | 24 | 6 | 21% | 2.0 | 26.4% | 9.6% | 16.8% | 2.4% | 4.85 | 3.42 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | COL | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 38 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 3.0% | 4.43 | 4.43 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | COL | 37 | 0 | 38 | 162 | 37 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 3.1% | 4.44 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | COL | 35 | 0 | 37 | 157 | 36 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 3.2% | 4.49 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | COL | 34 | 0 | 36 | 150 | 34 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 3.3% | 4.58 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | COL | 13 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 3.1% | 4.44 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | COL | 21 | 0 | 22 | 93 | 21 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 3.2% | 4.49 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | COL | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 24 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 3.3% | 4.58 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 58 | 0 | 61 | 256 | 58 | 25 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 3.2% | 4.52 | 4.19 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 191 | 82 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 3.2% | 4.52 | 4.19 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 30 | 6 | 57 | 256 | 50 | 29 | 8 | 20% | 1.9 | 19.4% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 3.0% | 4.71 | 4.54 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 105 | 21 | 200 | 893 | 173 | 100 | 27 | 20% | 1.9 | 19.4% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 3.0% | 4.71 | 4.54 | +2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kannon Handy (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.43 | 22.9% | 9.6% | 3.0% | — | 4.54 | 22.8% | 13.0% | 111 | +0.11 | — | — | — |
| Sean Mellen L 2024 · 3.97 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.97 | 21.3% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 101 | 82 |
| Tony Cingrani L 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.61 | 25.8% | 12.9% | 1.9% | .305 | 3.97 | 25.4% | 15.7% | 128 | +0.36 | 1.79 | 186 | 81 |
| Michael Johnson L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.88 | 21.7% | 9.5% | 2.6% | .272 | 4.99 | 13.4% | 3.4% | 67 | +1.11 | 3.88 | 256 | 81 |
| Greg Nappo L 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.40 | 22.7% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .267 | 5.45 | 16.5% | 5.9% | 79 | +2.05 | 3.40 | 144 | 81 |
| Colton Johnson L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.4% | .309 | 4.49 | 12.2% | -0.4% | 48 | +0.45 | 4.04 | 106 | 80 |
| Juan Grullon L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.86 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 134 | 80 |
| Brian Flynn L 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.78 | 21.3% | 11.1% | 2.0% | .258 | 4.41 | 16.6% | 8.2% | 198 | +0.63 | 3.78 | 277 | 80 |
| Tyler Holton L 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.36 | 20.7% | 9.8% | 3.2% | .288 | 3.75 | 21.7% | 16.8% | 258 | -0.61 | 3.02 | 409 | 79 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2027 · 3.30 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.30 | 22.8% | 12.2% | 1.1% | .292 | 3.80 | 20.2% | 11.3% | 127 | +0.50 | 2.68 | 175 | 78 |
| Evan Shawver L 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.01 | 19.5% | 8.3% | 2.8% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 258 | 78 |
| Braulio Lara L 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.10 | 16.7% | 8.7% | 2.4% | .367 | 5.20 | 18.9% | 3.9% | 67 | +1.10 | 4.10 | 118 | 78 |
| James Reeves L 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.79 | 22.4% | 10.3% | 2.3% | .226 | 5.24 | 27.0% | 10.8% | 51 | +1.45 | 2.02 | 280 | 78 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2028 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.41 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.21 | 3.41 | 153 | 78 |
| Will Gilbert L 2025 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 19.9% | 10.3% | 2.8% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.85 | 141 | 78 |
| Robbie Ross Jr. L 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.72 | 20.5% | 6.9% | 2.7% | .287 | 3.19 | 22.3% | 9.6% | 66 | -0.53 | 2.79 | 159 | 77 |
| Brad Kuntz L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.02 | 20.9% | 11.7% | 2.2% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.35 | 197 | 77 |
| Mitchell Tyranski L 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.12 | 21.0% | 12.3% | 4.1% | .234 | 3.46 | 20.5% | 4.0% | 57 | -1.66 | 3.46 | 145 | 76 |
| Luis González L 2026 · 3.29 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.29 | 23.4% | 9.3% | 1.8% | .290 | 5.27 | 24.6% | 16.7% | 74 | +1.98 | 3.05 | 416 | 76 |
| Edgar Olmos L 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.5% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .333 | 3.56 | 18.9% | 9.2% | 87 | -0.35 | 3.19 | 203 | 76 |
| Kit Scheetz L 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.45 | 22.9% | 8.7% | 4.0% | .340 | 5.20 | 16.2% | 2.6% | 55 | +0.75 | 2.34 | 195 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 38 | 22.8% | 9.7% | 1.22 | 4.48 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |