Kannon Handy — OGILVIE

Kannon Handy P Fresno Grizzlies

Age 27 LHP 6'3" / 220 lbs A

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 39 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 103111vR 119

ERA4.54

FIP4.54

K%22.4%

BB%10.2%

K-BB%12.2%

ROS IP39

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 39 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	23	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	2	0	2	6	2	0	0	0%	0.8	33.3%	0.0%	33.3%	0.0%	0.00	0.29	—
2023	23	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	2	0	2	6	2	0	0	0%	0.8	33.3%	0.0%	33.3%	0.0%	0.00	0.70	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	6	56	250	66	24	6	21%	2.0	19.1%	11.4%	7.6%	3.1%	4.85	4.65	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	6	56	250	66	24	6	21%	2.0	19.1%	11.4%	7.6%	3.1%	4.85	4.65	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	6	56	250	66	24	6	21%	2.0	26.4%	9.6%	16.8%	2.4%	4.85	3.42	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	COL	37	0	39	165	37	17	5	0%	1.1	22.4%	10.2%	12.2%	3.0%	4.54	4.54	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	COL	36	0	38	160	36	16	5	0%	1.0	22.4%	10.3%	12.1%	3.1%	4.57	4.60	-0.0
2028	28	MLB CTX	COL	13	0	14	59	13	6	2	0%	1.1	22.4%	10.3%	12.1%	3.1%	4.57	4.60	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	14	58	13	6	2	0%	1.1	22.4%	10.3%	12.1%	3.1%	4.57	4.22	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	189	87	29	0%	1.1	22.4%	10.3%	12.1%	3.1%	4.57	4.22	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		30	6	57	256	50	29	8	20%	1.9	19.4%	11.2%	8.2%	3.0%	4.71	4.55	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		105	21	200	893	173	100	27	20%	1.9	19.4%	11.2%	8.2%	3.0%	4.71	4.55	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kannon Handy (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.54	22.4%	10.2%	3.0%	—	4.60	22.4%	12.1%	38	+0.06	—	—	—
Colton Johnson L 2024 · 3.92 FIP	26	SU	3.92	20.8%	11.0%	2.1%	.309	4.53	12.2%	-0.4%	48	+0.61	3.92	106	81
Ryan Verdugo L 2015 · 3.61 FIP	28	SU	3.61	19.8%	10.8%	1.5%	.281	3.36	22.7%	17.3%	82	-0.25	3.36	153	81
Juan Grullon L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	19.8%	10.9%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	134	80
Mitchell Tyranski L 2024 · 4.90 FIP	26	SU	4.90	21.0%	12.3%	3.7%	.234	3.46	20.5%	4.0%	57	-1.44	3.46	145	77
Brendan Nail L 2023 · 4.36 FIP	27	SU	4.36	19.3%	10.5%	2.8%	.262	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	165	77
Chris Narveson L 2009 · 4.01 FIP	27	SW	4.01	22.4%	7.3%	3.4%	.277	4.00	18.5%	10.0%	329	-0.01	4.00	625	77
Aaron Brown L 2019 · 4.04 FIP	27	SU	4.04	22.9%	13.5%	2.1%	.317	4.77	19.4%	6.7%	129	+0.73	4.04	269	76
Will Gilbert L 2019 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	19.9%	10.3%	3.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	141	76
Brad Kuntz L 2018 · 4.10 FIP	26	SU	4.10	20.9%	11.7%	2.4%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	2.35	197	76
Jackson Lancaster L 2024 · 4.48 FIP	25	SU	4.48	24.0%	11.1%	3.6%	.355	5.36	18.3%	4.9%	93	+0.88	4.15	142	75
James Reeves L 2019 · 3.74 FIP	26	SU	3.74	22.4%	10.3%	2.2%	.226	5.11	27.0%	10.8%	51	+1.37	2.02	280	75
Andrew Magno L 2024 · 4.30 FIP	26	SU	4.30	21.7%	10.4%	3.1%	.341	3.41	21.7%	9.6%	119	-0.89	3.23	328	75
Greg Nappo L 2016 · 5.09 FIP	27	SU	5.09	17.2%	10.3%	3.9%	.285	6.26	12.3%	-0.3%	11	+1.17	3.37	144	75
Robby Ahlstrom L 2024 · 3.89 FIP	25	SU	3.89	21.9%	11.6%	2.1%	.294	4.02	20.7%	11.1%	120	+0.13	3.79	332	75
Fabian Williamson L 2016 · 3.39 FIP	27	SU	3.39	23.8%	9.0%	2.1%	.259	5.26	16.5%	-3.3%	54	+1.87	3.39	154	75
Adam Liberatore L 2015 · 3.64 FIP	28	SU	3.64	21.1%	7.3%	2.5%	.267	3.17	23.3%	15.2%	73	-0.47	2.38	124	74
Ashur Tolliver L 2015 · 3.49 FIP	27	SU	3.49	19.8%	12.8%	0.8%	.312	4.58	17.8%	3.7%	76	+1.09	3.49	134	74
Haylen Green L 2023 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	18.6%	10.8%	2.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	74
David Rollins L 2017 · 5.58 FIP	27	SU	5.58	18.0%	12.1%	4.5%	.260	5.68	15.9%	12.5%	20	+0.10	3.59	132	74
Bryan Harper L 2016 · 4.13 FIP	26	SU	4.13	19.3%	9.6%	2.6%	.197	4.63	14.9%	1.0%	46	+0.50	4.13	133	74

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	38	22.4%	10.3%	1.18	4.55
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41
Manny Acosta ('12)	1.2	41	20.5%	10.9%	1.09	3.99
Wesley Wright ('15)	1.5	51	22.0%	10.1%	1.11	4.16