Jake Fitzgibbons

Jake Fitzgibbons P Visalia Rawhide

Age 25 LHP 5'11" / 175 lbs A

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 23 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122130vR 138

ERA5.53

FIP5.53

K%20.7%

BB%17.4%

K-BB%3.3%

ROS IP23

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	1	9	42	13	8	1	14%	1.3	31.0%	19.0%	11.9%	2.4%	5.00	4.21	—
2023	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	7	1	9	42	13	8	1	14%	1.3	31.0%	19.0%	11.9%	2.4%	5.00	4.32	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	0	18	79	28	17	2	0%	1.3	21.6%	30.9%	-9.2%	3.6%	4.58	7.17	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	0	18	79	28	17	2	0%	1.3	21.6%	30.9%	-9.2%	3.6%	4.58	7.17	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	0	18	79	28	17	2	0%	1.3	35.4%	21.5%	13.9%	2.5%	4.58	4.29	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	0	47	193	46	33	2	0%	1.4	17.9%	20.0%	-2.1%	1.2%	1.34	4.77	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	0	47	193	46	33	2	0%	1.4	17.9%	20.0%	-2.1%	1.2%	1.34	4.77	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	0	47	193	46	33	2	0%	1.4	23.8%	17.1%	6.7%	1.0%	1.34	3.80	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	ARI	22	0	23	97	20	17	3	0%	1.0	20.7%	17.4%	3.3%	2.9%	5.53	5.53	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	ARI	40	0	42	179	38	30	5	0%	1.1	21.2%	16.6%	4.6%	2.9%	5.39	5.38	-0.4
2028	26	MLB CTX	ARI	17	0	18	76	16	13	2	0%	1.1	21.2%	16.6%	4.6%	2.9%	5.39	5.38	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		17	0	18	76	16	13	2	0%	1.1	21.2%	16.6%	4.6%	2.9%	5.39	5.00	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	177	144	22	0%	1.1	21.2%	16.6%	4.6%	2.9%	5.39	5.00	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		54	1	74	314	65	71	6	2%	1.4	20.6%	22.6%	-2.0%	2.0%	2.57	5.30	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		147	3	200	852	175	192	17	2%	1.4	20.6%	22.6%	-2.0%	2.0%	2.57	5.30	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jake Fitzgibbons (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.53	20.7%	17.4%	2.9%	—	5.38	21.2%	4.6%	42	-0.15	—	—	—
Fabian Williamson L 2015 · 5.31 FIP	26	SU	5.31	17.4%	17.9%	2.6%	.289	4.16	20.0%	8.2%	77	-1.15	3.39	154	86
Nick Lee L 2016 · 4.96 FIP	25	SU	4.96	19.0%	19.7%	1.8%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.77	102	85
Seth Clark L 2024 · 5.66 FIP	24	SU	5.66	18.9%	16.2%	3.9%	.267	4.56	17.7%	-2.7%	32	-1.10	4.23	128	84
Graeme Stinson L 2023 · 4.85 FIP	25	SU	4.85	19.5%	15.6%	2.6%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	146	84
Brian Moran L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	26	SU	4.50	17.7%	14.1%	2.0%	.318	2.74	25.0%	17.4%	80	-1.76	1.80	421	84
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	83
Brian Marconi L 2022 · 5.02 FIP	25	SU	5.02	20.3%	18.2%	2.4%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.89	101	83
Ty Madrigal L 2022 · 5.75 FIP	25	SU	5.75	17.6%	15.2%	4.0%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	107	82
Hector Mercado L 2000 · 4.79 FIP	26	SU	4.79	21.7%	13.3%	3.3%	.270	4.22	22.9%	10.0%	111	-0.57	3.47	125	82
John Kilichowski L 2018 · 4.99 FIP	24	SU	4.99	17.6%	16.2%	2.4%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	115	82
Ben Harris L 2024 · 5.66 FIP	24	SU	5.66	23.8%	19.6%	3.8%	.291	4.74	21.1%	0.9%	30	-0.92	3.06	183	82
Davis Schwab L 2022 · 5.70 FIP	25	SU	5.70	20.3%	18.7%	3.5%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	114	82
Chandler Jozwiak L 2024 · 5.33 FIP	25	SU	5.33	16.9%	15.3%	3.1%	.259	—	—	—	—	—	2.86	161	81
Chris Reed L 2015 · 4.92 FIP	25	SU	4.92	15.4%	14.5%	2.3%	.284	4.67	16.4%	6.6%	81	-0.25	4.67	137	80
John Bale L 2001 · 4.41 FIP	27	SU	4.41	18.6%	15.0%	1.8%	.219	4.12	19.0%	13.9%	46	-0.29	2.49	168	80
Ryne Slack L 2017 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	17.4%	13.2%	2.0%	.308	5.59	13.9%	1.8%	49	+1.17	4.07	212	80
Nick Hagadone L 2012 · 4.74 FIP	26	SU	4.74	22.4%	12.9%	3.5%	.310	3.88	24.6%	14.7%	82	-0.86	2.97	141	80
Yoan Aybar L 2022 · 6.04 FIP	25	SU	6.04	20.9%	19.7%	4.0%	.318	—	—	—	—	—	3.41	166	79
Aaron Brown L 2017 · 4.96 FIP	25	SU	4.96	15.0%	17.6%	1.6%	.348	4.38	19.8%	5.2%	127	-0.58	4.04	269	79
Erik Sabrowski L 2023 · 4.53 FIP	25	SU	4.53	24.7%	21.5%	1.4%	.267	3.05	33.3%	17.7%	115	-1.48	2.56	165	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	33	21.0%	16.9%	1.12	5.44
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
John Parrish ('10)	1.4	46	17.6%	14.8%	0.88	4.51