Braeden Sloan

P Frederick Keys

Age 24 LHP 6'4" / 215 lbs A+ peak 0.2 · 2028

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	23	MIX2 levels	36	50	1.43	1.51	35.7%	10.2%	—	K 25.2% · BB 11.9% · FIP 2.48
2027PROJ	24	MLBBAL	27	28	4.26	4.26	24.7%	11.4%	0.1
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBBAL	19	20	4.20	4.15	24.9%	10.5%	0.1
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBBAL	29	30	4.17	4.14	25.0%	10.4%	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 2, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 92%

CompsBrian Marconi (age 24) · Andrew Walling (age 24) · Brandon Hughes (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 98106vR 114

ERA4.26

FIP4.26

K%24.7%

BB%11.4%

K-BB%13.3%

Proj IP28

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 28 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	50	196	70	20	0	0%	1.4	25.2%	11.9%	13.3%	0.0%	1.43	2.48	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	50	196	70	20	0	0%	1.4	25.2%	11.9%	13.3%	0.0%	1.43	2.48	—
2026	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	0	50	196	70	20	0	0%	1.4	35.7%	10.2%	25.5%	0.0%	1.43	1.51	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	BAL	27	0	28	118	29	13	3	0%	1.0	24.7%	11.4%	13.3%	2.6%	4.26	4.26	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	BAL	44	0	46	194	48	20	5	0%	1.0	24.9%	10.5%	14.4%	2.6%	4.20	4.15	+0.2
2029	26	MLB MLE	BAL	44	0	46	194	48	20	5	0%	1.0	25.0%	10.4%	14.6%	2.6%	4.17	4.14	+0.2
2030	27	MLB MLE	BAL	43	0	45	191	48	20	5	0%	1.1	24.9%	10.4%	14.5%	2.7%	4.18	4.19	+0.2
2031	28	MLB MLE	BAL	42	0	44	185	46	19	5	0%	1.0	24.8%	10.5%	14.2%	2.8%	4.24	4.27	+0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	BAL	19	0	20	84	21	9	2	0%	1.1	24.9%	10.5%	14.4%	2.6%	4.20	4.15	+0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	BAL	29	0	30	127	32	13	3	0%	1.0	25.0%	10.4%	14.6%	2.6%	4.17	4.14	+0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	BAL	33	0	35	148	37	15	4	0%	1.1	24.9%	10.4%	14.5%	2.7%	4.18	4.19	+0.1
2031	28	MLB CTX	BAL	35	0	37	156	39	16	4	0%	1.1	24.8%	10.5%	14.2%	2.8%	4.24	4.27	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		116	0	122	515	128	54	14	0%	1.1	24.9%	10.5%	14.4%	2.7%	4.20	3.82	+1.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	210	89	23	0%	1.0	24.9%	10.5%	14.4%	2.7%	4.20	3.82	+1.7
Career	—	MLE		36	0	50	196	49	23	0	0%	1.4	25.2%	11.9%	13.3%	0.0%	1.43	2.48	+0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		143	0	200	779	197	93	0	0%	1.4	25.2%	11.9%	13.3%	0.0%	1.43	2.48	+0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Braeden Sloan (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.26	24.7%	11.4%	2.6%	—	4.16	25.0%	14.5%	137	-0.10	—	—	—
Brian Marconi L 2021 · 3.89 FIP	24	SU	3.89	25.3%	12.3%	2.5%	.265	5.02	20.3%	2.1%	57	+1.13	3.89	101	93
Andrew Walling L 2024 · 4.05 FIP	24	SU	4.05	23.4%	13.2%	2.3%	.281	3.73	20.8%	7.5%	52	-0.32	3.14	161	87
Brandon Hughes L 2021 · 3.68 FIP	25	SU	3.68	27.0%	11.1%	2.7%	.300	4.59	24.3%	15.3%	149	+0.91	3.68	206	86
Ryan Rowland-Smith L 2007 · 3.35 FIP	24	SU	3.35	25.0%	8.3%	2.4%	.324	4.89	12.7%	4.4%	324	+1.54	3.35	363	86
Taylor Tankersley L 2007 · 3.76 FIP	24	SU	3.76	23.9%	12.7%	1.9%	.302	7.13	14.2%	4.3%	30	+3.37	3.65	118	85
Mike Zagurski L 2007 · 4.10 FIP	24	SU	4.10	20.8%	8.9%	3.0%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	120	85
Daniel Schlereth L 2010 · 3.59 FIP	24	SU	3.59	21.8%	8.0%	2.4%	.305	4.64	20.8%	7.6%	49	+1.05	3.06	130	85
Graeme Stinson L 2022 · 3.56 FIP	24	SU	3.56	23.0%	10.5%	1.9%	.275	4.85	19.5%	3.9%	45	+1.29	3.56	146	85
Will Ohman L 2001 · 4.66 FIP	23	SU	4.66	22.2%	11.1%	3.7%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	350	85
Dario Alvarez L 2015 · 3.47 FIP	26	SU	3.47	26.0%	13.1%	1.7%	.260	3.64	27.7%	17.1%	129	+0.17	3.47	160	84
Dale Stanavich L 2023 · 3.09 FIP	24	SU	3.09	25.2%	12.2%	1.0%	.365	4.93	24.7%	10.3%	154	+1.84	3.09	184	84
Thomas Burrows L 2019 · 3.99 FIP	24	SU	3.99	22.0%	10.5%	2.6%	.276	3.93	26.5%	12.9%	82	-0.06	2.67	271	84
Nick Hagadone L 2012 · 4.74 FIP	26	SU	4.74	22.4%	12.9%	3.5%	.310	3.88	24.6%	14.7%	82	-0.86	2.97	141	84
Ty Damron L 2018 · 4.27 FIP	24	SU	4.27	24.3%	14.0%	2.6%	.358	4.30	19.7%	10.3%	134	+0.03	3.29	346	84
Hayden Harris L 2023 · 3.11 FIP	24	SU	3.11	29.1%	11.2%	1.9%	.315	3.30	29.4%	17.2%	145	+0.19	1.77	196	84
Brendon Little L 2021 · 3.76 FIP	24	SU	3.76	24.7%	11.4%	2.4%	.333	4.03	20.1%	9.1%	187	+0.27	2.63	506	83
Darien Núñez L 2018 · 3.27 FIP	25	SU	3.27	26.4%	11.0%	1.8%	.377	2.59	34.2%	23.5%	78	-0.68	2.48	122	83
Robert Garcia L 2019 · 4.35 FIP	23	SU	4.35	24.0%	11.4%	3.3%	.342	4.38	22.0%	10.4%	106	+0.03	2.21	471	83
Mason Melotakis L 2016 · 3.32 FIP	25	SU	3.32	23.6%	9.2%	1.9%	.379	4.35	18.2%	7.1%	80	+1.03	3.32	142	83
Hector Mercado L 2000 · 4.79 FIP	26	SU	4.79	21.7%	13.3%	3.3%	.270	4.22	22.9%	10.0%	111	-0.57	3.47	125	83

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	42	24.9%	10.6%	1.04	4.21
José Cisnero ('24)	1.4	46	24.0%	11.3%	1.01	4.16
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Frank Francisco ('14)	1.9	55	25.6%	10.3%	0.96	4.01
Dave Geisel ('78-'85, 2 WAR*)	1.0	42	23.5%*	10.6%*	0.84*	4.12*
Alberto Reyes ('95-'08, 5 WAR*)	2.1	54	27.1%*	10.2%*	1.18*	3.66*
Dave Baldwin ('66-'73, 2 WAR*)	1.1	56	22.2%*	9.2%*	0.96*	3.97*