Mado Villegas — OGILVIE

Mado Villegas P DSL Marlins

Age 24 RHP 5'11" / 165 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2028

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 10 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114106vR 98

ERA4.24

FIP4.24

K%22.9%

BB%8.3%

K-BB%14.7%

ROS IP10

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 10 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	11	0	24	95	20	4	2	0%	2.2	14.3%	5.3%	9.1%	2.9%	3.42	4.15	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	11	0	24	95	20	4	2	0%	2.2	21.1%	4.2%	16.8%	2.1%	3.42	3.02	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	11	0	22	93	24	5	1	0%	2.0	17.5%	6.7%	10.8%	1.2%	4.09	3.11	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	11	0	22	93	24	5	1	0%	2.0	25.8%	5.4%	20.4%	1.1%	4.09	2.19	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	11	0	17	77	16	3	3	0%	1.5	14.1%	4.9%	9.3%	5.8%	3.71	5.71	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	11	0	17	77	16	3	3	0%	1.5	14.1%	4.9%	9.3%	5.8%	3.71	5.71	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	11	0	17	77	16	3	3	0%	1.5	20.8%	3.9%	16.9%	3.9%	3.71	4.04	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	MIA	10	0	10	42	10	3	1	0%	1.0	22.9%	8.3%	14.7%	3.0%	4.24	4.24	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	MIA	19	0	20	84	20	7	3	0%	1.1	23.4%	8.2%	15.1%	3.0%	4.22	4.19	+0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	MIA	9	0	9	38	9	3	1	0%	1.0	23.4%	8.2%	15.1%	3.0%	4.22	4.19	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	8	3	1	0%	1.1	23.4%	8.2%	15.1%	3.0%	4.22	3.81	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	70	23	0%	1.1	23.4%	8.2%	15.1%	3.0%	4.22	3.81	+1.7
Career	—	MLE		33	0	63	265	41	15	8	0%	1.9	15.4%	5.7%	9.7%	3.1%	3.73	4.24	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		105	0	200	846	130	48	27	0%	1.9	15.4%	5.7%	9.7%	3.1%	3.73	4.24	+0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Mado Villegas (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.24	22.9%	8.3%	3.0%	—	4.19	23.4%	15.1%	20	-0.05	—	—	—
Nolan Clenney R 2021 · 3.73 FIP	25	SU	3.73	25.5%	8.4%	3.1%	.340	4.35	22.4%	13.7%	185	+0.62	3.73	223	88
Stolmy Pimentel R 2014 · 4.13 FIP	24	SU	4.13	25.7%	9.5%	3.6%	.319	4.17	14.8%	4.3%	143	+0.04	3.87	176	87
Danny Hrbek R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	24	SU	3.98	21.3%	7.5%	3.1%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.98	100	86
Grant Balfour R 2003 · 4.13 FIP	25	SU	4.13	26.1%	10.4%	3.5%	.275	3.79	24.4%	12.8%	39	-0.34	2.04	533	86
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	85
Mitchell Stumpo R 2021 · 3.97 FIP	25	SU	3.97	25.6%	8.0%	3.7%	.299	5.27	22.4%	6.8%	121	+1.30	3.97	158	85
Josh Advocate R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	24	SU	3.78	18.8%	7.3%	2.4%	.291	3.71	20.4%	10.1%	75	-0.07	3.71	118	84
Vince Vannelle R 2022 · 3.71 FIP	24	SU	3.71	19.9%	8.6%	2.2%	.282	5.30	15.3%	4.5%	76	+1.59	3.71	105	84
Fineas Del Bonta-Smith R 2021 · 3.52 FIP	24	SU	3.52	23.4%	8.2%	2.5%	.262	6.05	20.5%	11.4%	128	+2.53	3.52	207	84
Chris Jefferson R 2022 · 3.53 FIP	25	SU	3.53	22.4%	10.2%	1.9%	.330	4.99	16.5%	3.9%	101	+1.46	3.53	140	84
Trey McLoughlin R 2023 · 3.79 FIP	24	SU	3.79	23.7%	8.4%	3.0%	.295	4.55	20.8%	8.6%	123	+0.76	3.77	245	83
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.65	17.5%	6.2%	170	+0.77	3.88	203	83
Kyle Schepel R 2015 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	23.1%	10.7%	3.9%	.233	3.64	22.1%	10.4%	120	-0.99	3.54	156	83
Kyle Martin R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	24	SU	3.61	21.2%	9.6%	2.0%	.345	3.51	22.4%	12.5%	172	-0.10	3.01	214	83
Breckin Williams R 2018 · 3.65 FIP	24	SU	3.65	22.6%	7.3%	2.8%	.282	2.78	23.4%	15.8%	48	-0.87	2.76	107	83
Jon Leicester R 2004 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	20.0%	8.6%	4.0%	.280	4.44	11.0%	2.0%	32	-0.25	3.76	113	82
Cristofer Ogando R 2018 · 3.23 FIP	24	SU	3.23	22.1%	8.7%	1.6%	.157	4.76	24.3%	10.2%	101	+1.53	3.23	179	82
Hueston Morrill R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	19.8%	8.7%	3.7%	.302	3.24	19.0%	8.2%	54	-1.30	3.09	102	82
José Cisnero R 2013 · 3.86 FIP	24	SU	3.86	20.7%	8.6%	2.6%	.326	4.50	26.1%	14.4%	12	+0.64	2.26	322	82
Jonathan Papelbon R 2005 · 3.93 FIP	24	SW	3.93	23.0%	10.1%	2.7%	.305	1.90	31.3%	26.8%	196	-2.03	1.33	726	81