Ronal Herrera — OGILVIE

Ronal Herrera P DSL Orioles Orange

Age 24 RHP 6'2" / 180 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 17 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121113vR 105

ERA4.61

FIP4.61

K%23.1%

BB%11.4%

K-BB%11.7%

ROS IP17

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL BAL Black	13	0	14	73	14	20	1	0%	1.1	13.0%	34.2%	-21.2%	2.3%	7.90	7.60	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL BAL Black	13	0	14	73	14	20	1	0%	1.1	19.2%	27.4%	-8.2%	1.4%	7.90	6.39	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	18	0	28	120	35	16	0	0%	1.6	19.8%	16.7%	3.2%	0.0%	2.54	3.54	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	18	0	28	120	35	16	0	0%	1.6	19.8%	16.7%	3.2%	0.0%	2.54	3.54	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Orange	18	0	28	120	35	16	0	0%	1.6	29.2%	13.3%	15.8%	0.0%	2.54	2.32	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	5	0	9	31	10	1	0	0%	1.7	32.3%	3.2%	29.0%	0.0%	4.15	0.78	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	5	0	9	31	10	1	0	0%	1.7	32.3%	3.2%	29.0%	0.0%	4.15	0.78	—
2025	22	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Orange	5	0	9	31	10	1	0	0%	1.7	32.3%	3.2%	29.0%	0.0%	4.15	1.14	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	BAL	16	0	17	72	17	8	2	0%	1.1	23.1%	11.4%	11.7%	3.0%	4.61	4.61	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	BAL	19	0	20	84	20	9	3	0%	1.1	23.5%	10.6%	13.0%	3.0%	4.51	4.46	+0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	BAL	9	0	9	38	9	4	1	0%	1.0	23.5%	10.6%	13.0%	3.0%	4.51	4.46	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	8	4	1	0%	1.1	23.5%	10.6%	13.0%	3.0%	4.51	4.08	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	94	23	0%	1.1	23.5%	10.6%	13.0%	3.0%	4.51	4.08	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		36	0	51	224	43	46	2	0%	1.4	19.3%	20.5%	-1.2%	0.7%	4.26	4.48	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		142	0	200	884	171	182	7	0%	1.4	19.3%	20.5%	-1.2%	0.7%	4.26	4.48	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ronal Herrera (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.61	23.1%	11.4%	3.0%	—	4.46	23.5%	13.0%	20	-0.15	—	—	—
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	93
Shawn Tolleson R 2012 · 3.86 FIP	24	SU	3.86	24.4%	11.9%	2.4%	.265	3.47	24.4%	18.5%	144	-0.39	3.05	218	88
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.18	22.3%	9.0%	119	-0.38	2.12	165	88
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	87
Kyle Schepel R 2015 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	23.1%	10.7%	3.9%	.233	3.64	22.1%	10.4%	120	-0.99	3.54	156	87
Michael Wuertz R 2004 · 4.46 FIP	25	SU	4.46	24.2%	12.9%	3.2%	.243	3.39	26.1%	16.6%	189	-1.07	2.27	414	87
Grant Balfour R 2003 · 4.13 FIP	25	SU	4.13	26.1%	10.4%	3.5%	.275	3.79	24.4%	12.8%	39	-0.34	2.04	533	87
Stephen Jones R 2021 · 3.62 FIP	24	SU	3.62	23.8%	11.0%	2.1%	.304	4.50	21.7%	10.0%	142	+0.88	3.62	311	87
Austin Smith R 2022 · 3.88 FIP	23	SU	3.88	22.7%	10.0%	2.6%	.274	5.15	16.3%	0.7%	52	+1.27	3.88	148	86
Chris Jefferson R 2022 · 3.53 FIP	25	SU	3.53	22.4%	10.2%	1.9%	.330	4.99	16.5%	3.9%	101	+1.46	3.53	140	86
Cameron Gann R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	24	SU	4.22	21.4%	12.4%	2.5%	.296	5.36	21.1%	6.8%	23	+1.14	3.58	146	86
Vince Vannelle R 2022 · 3.71 FIP	24	SU	3.71	19.9%	8.6%	2.2%	.282	5.30	15.3%	4.5%	76	+1.59	3.71	105	86
Tyler Mitzel R 2019 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	24.1%	12.0%	3.2%	.245	4.10	22.4%	14.3%	96	-0.24	4.03	142	85
Cre Finfrock R 2019 · 4.63 FIP	23	SU	4.63	23.0%	11.7%	3.6%	.278	6.31	16.7%	-8.5%	36	+1.68	4.27	103	85
Josh Zeid R 2013 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.3%	9.3%	2.6%	.287	4.75	16.2%	4.8%	183	+0.75	4.00	313	85
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.74	25.9%	15.2%	147	-0.60	2.97	194	85
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	85
Kyle Martin R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	24	SU	3.61	21.2%	9.6%	2.0%	.345	3.51	22.4%	12.5%	172	-0.10	3.01	214	85
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	85
Ben Hecht R 2019 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.39	155	85