John Cruz

RF FCL Marlins

Age 21 L/L 6'2" / 171 lbs ROK HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	AMIA	54	.122/.189/.204	1	1	-16	—	.120/.170/.200
2025	19	ROKMIA	134	.211/.358/.284	1	14	27	—	.143/.239/.193
2026	20	ROKMIA	166	.281/.394/.460	5	3	61	—	.196/.279/.324
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBMIA	276	.192/.264/.292	4	5	58	-0.5
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBMIA	83	.191/.264/.294	1	2	64	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

ISO78

wRC+73

K%67

wOBA62

Whiff%62

Z-Con%57

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsLoidel Chapelli (age 21) · Juan Perez (age 21) · Jake Fox (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 156 proj PA

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .262 / .289

PA156

HR2

K%23

BB%8

ISO100

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 49 / POW 43

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT49

scouting grade only

POWER43

scouting grade only

EYE56

scouting grade only

SPEED57

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	16	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	224	169	38	8	3	5	48	62	6	10	5	225	413	396	809	172	320	28	21	372	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	202	177	52	6	3	10	22	44	2	9	4	294	378	531	909	237	339	22	11	396	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	314	273	46	9	0	1	31	88	4	8	4	168	262	212	475	44	238	28	10	225	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	54	49	6	1	0	1	3	11	1	1	1	122	189	204	393	82	132	20	6	182	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	134	109	23	5	0	1	24	21	1	14	1	211	358	284	643	73	253	16	18	309	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	166	139	39	10	0	5	23	30	3	3	4	281	394	460	854	180	324	18	14	381	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	16	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	224	182	22	4	2	2	35	77	6	10	5	121	283	198	480	77	189	34	16	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	—	202	185	36	4	2	5	14	67	2	9	4	195	259	319	578	124	265	33	7	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	314	282	38	7	0	1	23	116	4	8	4	135	210	170	381	35	211	37	7	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	54	50	6	1	0	1	2	15	1	1	1	120	170	200	370	80	119	28	4	145	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	134	119	17	3	0	1	14	31	1	14	1	143	239	193	432	50	190	23	10	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	166	148	29	7	0	4	14	43	3	3	4	196	279	324	603	128	237	26	8	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	16	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	224	182	22	4	2	2	35	77	6	10	5	121	283	198	480	77	192	34	16	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	16	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Bombers	—	224	169	38	8	3	5	48	62	6	10	5	225	413	396	809	172	320	28	21	372	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	—	202	185	36	4	2	5	14	67	2	9	4	195	259	319	578	124	272	33	7	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	FCL Yankees	—	202	177	52	6	3	10	22	44	2	9	4	294	378	531	909	237	339	22	11	396	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	314	282	38	7	0	1	23	116	4	8	4	135	210	170	381	35	218	37	7	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	314	273	46	9	0	1	31	88	4	8	4	168	262	212	475	44	238	28	10	225	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	188	169	23	4	0	2	16	45	2	15	2	136	219	195	415	59	171	24	9	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	188	158	29	6	0	2	27	32	2	15	2	184	310	259	570	76	216	17	14	272	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	166	148	29	7	0	4	14	43	3	3	4	196	279	324	603	128	245	26	8	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	—	166	139	39	10	0	5	23	30	3	3	4	281	394	460	854	180	324	18	14	381	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	16	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	224	181	22	4	2	2	35	77	6	10	5	122	283	199	481	77	189	34	16	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	—	202	184	36	4	2	5	14	67	2	9	4	196	259	321	579	125	265	33	7	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	314	284	38	7	0	1	23	116	4	8	4	134	210	169	379	35	211	37	7	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	188	168	23	4	0	2	16	45	2	15	2	137	219	196	416	60	170	24	9	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	166	148	29	7	0	4	14	43	3	3	4	196	279	324	603	128	237	26	8	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	314	284	38	7	0	1	23	116	4	8	4	134	210	169	379	35	211	37	7	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	188	168	23	4	0	2	16	45	2	15	2	137	219	196	416	60	170	24	9	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	166	148	29	7	0	4	14	43	3	3	4	196	279	324	603	128	237	26	8	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	276	250	48	10	1	4	21	64	3	5	2	192	264	292	556	100	237	23	8	254	58	-14	+0	+0	-3	+6	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	MIA	34%	242	218	44	9	1	5	19	55	3	5	1	197	270	308	578	110	241	23	8	263	64	-10	+1	+0	-3	+5	-0.7
2028	22	MLB CTX	MIA	34%	83	75	14	3	0	1	7	19	1	2	0	191	264	294	559	103	233	23	8	255	64	-4	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	83	75	14	3	0	1	7	19	1	2	0	187	265	267	532	80	236	23	8	255	40	-4	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	109	23	0	8	55	149	8	16	0	186	265	266	530	80	235	23	8	255	40	-28	+3	+0	-7	+14	-1.8
Career	—	MLE		—	1492	1325	218	40	6	21	133	439	22	53	21	165	252	251	503	87	225	29	9	228	40	-18	+1	+0	-4	+9	-1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	95	17	3	9	58	191	10	23	9	165	253	251	504	87	225	29	9	228	40	-30	+1	+0	-7	+14	-2.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#2Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#3Karim Garcia'95-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,560 PA	2.3	1,560	66	10	231*	269*	413*	-16	-3	-1.0	0.1
/162	664	28	4	-6.7	-1.3	-0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	239	4	5	194	264	299	-3	-1	-0.7	-0.4
/162	664	11	12	-7.1	-2.8	-2.0	pk7: 0
#4Seth Brownlast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,799 PA	2.7	1,799	74	24	227	293	421	-23	-34	-0.8	-0.8
/162	664	27	9	-8.6	-12.4	-0.3	pk7: -1
#5Rip Russell'39-'47 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,522 PA	2.3	1,522	29	4	236*	279*	389*	-16	-12	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	13	2	-6.9	-5.1	-1.2	pk7: -3
#6Howie Schultz'43-'48 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	24	15	233*	271*	383*	-30	-2	-3.6	-3.6
/162	664	9	6	-11.8	-0.7	-1.4	pk7: -4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
John Cruz (OGILVIE)	21	44→49	38→43	52→57	56	190/262/289	100	237	2	3	23%	8%	58	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Loidel Chapelli 2023 · A	21	43→36	42→45	54→55	52	210/282/324	114	243	9	11	18%	9%	72	-0.7	193/260/290	97	286	8	17	33%	8%	56	-1.9	179/249/271	92	273	8	21	35%	7%	45	-1.8
✕Juan Perez 2013 · A	21	46→50	42→45	52→55	45	223/280/339	116	273	8	14	22%	6%	74	-0.5	212/253/315	103	274	8	17	25%	5%	59	-1.7	226/270/343	117	292	13	24	27%	5%	69	-0.6
✕Jake Fox 2024 · A	21	45→44	41→40	51→50	48	214/291/317	103	293	7	11	28%	9%	74	-0.5	206/285/303	97	281	6	12	26%	10%	69	-0.9	203/291/297	94	273	5	13	25%	11%	68	-0.5
✕Darryl Collins 2022 · A	20	45	38→40	50→45	51	212/292/289	77	265	5	11	21%	9%	68	-1.0	209/287/289	80	273	4	11	23%	9%	66	-1.1	198/286/277	79	269	1	9	24%	11%	64	-0.7
✕Spencer Nivens 2024 · A	22	41→49	41→45	48→50	52	199/280/294	96	255	8	14	24%	10%	65	-1.2	208/277/334	126	276	13	11	28%	9%	73	-0.6	211/281/333	122	272	12	12	26%	9%	73	-0.5
✕Justin Ellison 2016 · A	21	40→43	43→50	53→50	42	200/249/309	110	261	10	8	27%	6%	56	-1.9	198/235/304	106	283	8	10	31%	5%	49	-2.4	193/227/303	110	275	7	11	32%	4%	43	-1.8
✕Frankie Tostado 2019 · A	21	44→42	40→50	50→40	42	212/250/305	93	254	7	5	20%	4%	55	-2.0	215/253/336	121	279	13	2	27%	4%	63	-1.3	224/264/351	127	277	15	3	25%	5%	69	-0.6
✕Michael Swinson 2011 · A	21	41	41→40	52→50	43	201/265/299	98	278	8	12	29%	7%	60	-1.6	201/265/274	73	267	4	10	24%	8%	54	-2.0	196/267/258	62	261	2	10	23%	9%	49	-1.1
✕Carlos Franco 2013 · A	21	41→49	37→45	49→45	46	195/264/270	75	273	5	9	29%	8%	53	-2.1	208/262/288	80	293	6	7	29%	7%	55	-1.9	214/266/324	110	318	13	2	35%	6%	64	-1.1
✕Ramiro Rodriguez 2019 · A	21	46	41→40	45→50	52	222/299/323	101	257	8	8	16%	8%	79	-0.2	200/280/290	90	284	6	15	29%	9%	64	-1.3	169/255/250	81	248	7	19	32%	9%	46	-0.9
✕Frederick Bencosme 2024 · A	21	48→46	37→45	53→55	48	225/282/296	71	273	4	17	19%	7%	65	-1.2	213/272/303	90	260	8	17	20%	7%	63	-1.3	210/272/309	99	252	10	17	20%	7%	62	-0.9
✕Larry Infante 2006 · A	21	41→51	41→40	47→45	45	201/261/296	95	256	9	9	25%	7%	58	-1.7	223/267/310	87	290	6	7	24%	5%	62	-1.4	233/273/312	79	303	5	7	24%	4%	63	-0.8
✕Jose Augusto Figueroa 2014 · A	21	44	37→40	49→45	47	205/270/287	81	260	4	11	22%	7%	59	-1.7	216/260/296	80	306	4	12	29%	5%	57	-1.8	240/273/329	88	342	5	9	30%	4%	66	-0.4
✕Danny Perales 2007 · A	22	43→47	43→50	51→50	45	212/266/324	112	247	10	10	19%	6%	66	-1.1	211/255/333	122	272	10	6	25%	5%	64	-1.3	216/255/312	96	253	8	8	18%	4%	57	-0.8
✕Luis Mieses 2021 · A	21	42→47	38→50	51→30	38	202/239/285	83	271	5	7	27%	4%	46	-2.6	221/252/351	130	277	14	2	25%	3%	68	-1.0	216/242/337	121	271	13	1	25%	3%	58	-1.4
✕Brady Whalen 2019 · A	21	39→49	44→45	45→40	49	194/269/310	116	238	11	5	23%	8%	65	-1.2	202/263/295	93	269	8	3	26%	7%	58	-1.7	220/273/344	123	268	13	7	22%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Travis Swaggerty 2019 · A	21	39→46	41→45	50→55	40	192/251/290	98	279	8	7	33%	7%	53	-2.1	211/277/311	100	301	9	15	31%	8%	68	-1.0	209/278/308	99	307	7	19	32%	8%	63	-0.8
✕Bill Rice 2011 · A	22	42	45→40	50	49	211/276/331	119	244	12	9	19%	8%	72	-0.7	225/271/309	84	277	5	14	20%	5%	63	-1.3	242/284/317	76	290	4	18	17%	5%	66	-0.4
✕Yohendrick Pinango 2023 · A	21	47→54	43→50	52→50	42	231/269/337	106	282	10	9	22%	5%	70	-0.9	217/274/323	106	272	10	10	23%	7%	69	-0.9	223/292/355	132	284	14	7	25%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Brett Siddall 2016 · A	21	48→46	43→45	55→40	48	231/290/348	117	278	9	8	20%	7%	80	-0.1	205/258/307	102	270	10	4	27%	5%	59	-1.6	194/248/291	97	259	10	3	28%	5%	50	-1.9

John Cruz

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps