Rafelin Nivar
P
Tampa Tarpons
Age 25
LHP
5'10" / 160 lbs
A
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 23 ip · rates below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119127vR 135
ERA5.36
FIP5.36
K%22.4%
BB%16.7%
K-BB%5.7%
ROS IP23
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 20 | ROK MLE | DSL NYY Bombers | 12 | 0 | 15 | 73 | 24 | 14 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.4% | 24.0% | -1.6% | 2.4% | 3.68 | 5.56 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK RAW | DSL NYY Bombers | 12 | 0 | 15 | 73 | 24 | 14 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 32.9% | 19.2% | 13.7% | 2.7% | 3.68 | 4.46 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK MLE | DSL NYY Bombers | 18 | 0 | 32 | 148 | 44 | 14 | 1 | 0% | 1.8 | 20.2% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 0.6% | 4.73 | 3.25 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK RAW | DSL NYY Bombers | 18 | 0 | 32 | 148 | 44 | 14 | 1 | 0% | 1.8 | 29.7% | 9.5% | 20.3% | 0.7% | 4.73 | 2.08 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 24 | 0 | 39 | 200 | 48 | 46 | 7 | 0% | 1.6 | 17.3% | 27.4% | -10.1% | 4.4% | 5.72 | 7.55 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 24 | 0 | 39 | 200 | 48 | 46 | 7 | 0% | 1.6 | 17.3% | 27.4% | -10.1% | 4.4% | 5.72 | 7.55 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 24 | 0 | 39 | 200 | 48 | 46 | 7 | 0% | 1.6 | 24.0% | 23.0% | 1.0% | 3.5% | 5.72 | 6.48 | — |
| ▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | NYY | 22 | 0 | 23 | 97 | 22 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 16.7% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 5.36 | 5.36 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | NYY | 22 | 0 | 23 | 99 | 22 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 15.9% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 5.24 | 5.23 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | NYY | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 15.9% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 5.24 | 5.23 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | RAW | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 15.9% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 5.24 | 4.86 | -0.0 | |
| / 200 IP | — | RAW | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 200 | 140 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 15.9% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 5.24 | 4.86 | -0.7 | |
| Career | — | MLE | 54 | 0 | 86 | 421 | 81 | 90 | 12 | 0% | 1.6 | 19.2% | 21.3% | -2.1% | 2.8% | 5.00 | 5.69 | -0.2 | |
| / 200 IP | — | MLE | 125 | 0 | 200 | 975 | 187 | 208 | 27 | 0% | 1.6 | 19.2% | 21.3% | -2.1% | 2.8% | 5.00 | 5.69 | -1.6 | |