Enmanuel Pinales

P San Antonio Missions

Age 26 RHP 6'2" / 185 lbs AA peak 0.6 · 2028

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	22	MIX2 levels	15	9	60	4.48	3.25	24.4%	7.4%	—	K 17.5% · BB 8.9% · FIP 4.55
2024	23	A+SD	22	21	111	3.49	4.08	22.0%	9.3%	—	K 16.9% · BB 10.7% · FIP 5.31
2025	24	MIX2 levels	25	20	114	4.43	3.72	22.3%	9.9%	—	K 17.9% · BB 11.0% · FIP 4.57
2027PROJ	26	MLBSD	13	13	79	5.25	5.25	16.7%	11.9%	-0.3
2028PROJ38% MLB	27	MLBSD	6	6	38	5.18	5.19	17.2%	11.5%	-0.1
2029PROJ60% MLB	28	MLBSD	10	10	58	5.17	5.20	17.4%	11.4%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff40Control45Command40

CompsNick Pasquale (age 26) · Alejandro Martinez (age 26) · Luke Irvine (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133125vR 117

ERA5.25

FIP5.25

K%16.7%

BB%11.9%

K-BB%4.8%

Proj IP79

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 79 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL4545

CMD4040

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	21	ROK MLE	DSL Padres	11	4	36	175	32	17	6	36%	3.3	12.4%	12.1%	0.3%	4.9%	7.75	6.29	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	DSL Padres	11	4	36	175	32	17	6	36%	3.3	18.3%	9.7%	8.6%	3.4%	7.75	4.91	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	9	60	258	63	19	6	60%	4.0	17.5%	8.9%	8.6%	3.3%	4.48	4.55	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	9	60	258	63	19	6	60%	4.0	24.4%	7.4%	17.1%	2.3%	4.48	3.25	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	22	21	111	460	101	43	14	95%	5.0	16.9%	10.7%	6.2%	4.2%	3.49	5.31	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	22	21	111	460	101	43	14	95%	5.0	16.9%	10.7%	6.2%	4.2%	3.49	5.31	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	Fort Wayne TinCaps	22	21	111	460	101	43	14	95%	5.0	22.0%	9.3%	12.6%	3.0%	3.49	4.08	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	20	114	484	108	48	11	80%	4.5	17.9%	11.0%	6.9%	2.9%	4.43	4.57	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	20	114	484	108	48	11	80%	4.5	17.9%	11.0%	6.9%	2.9%	4.43	4.57	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	20	114	484	108	48	11	80%	4.5	22.3%	9.9%	12.4%	2.3%	4.43	3.72	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	SD	13	13	79	334	56	40	10	100%	6.1	16.7%	11.9%	4.8%	3.1%	5.25	5.25	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	SD	17	17	101	426	73	49	13	100%	5.9	17.2%	11.5%	5.6%	3.1%	5.18	5.19	-0.3
2029	28	MLB MLE	SD	16	16	98	413	72	47	13	100%	6.1	17.4%	11.4%	6.0%	3.2%	5.17	5.20	-0.3
2030	29	MLB MLE	SD	16	16	93	394	69	45	13	100%	5.8	17.4%	11.4%	6.0%	3.3%	5.22	5.29	-0.4
2031	30	MLB MLE	SD	15	15	88	371	64	43	13	100%	5.9	17.2%	11.6%	5.5%	3.5%	5.34	5.44	-0.5
2028	27	MLB CTX	SD	6	6	38	160	28	18	5	100%	6.3	17.2%	11.5%	5.6%	3.1%	5.18	5.19	-0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	SD	10	10	58	245	43	28	8	100%	5.8	17.4%	11.4%	6.0%	3.2%	5.17	5.20	-0.2
2030	29	MLB CTX	SD	11	11	66	279	48	32	9	100%	6.0	17.4%	11.4%	6.0%	3.3%	5.22	5.29	-0.3
2031	30	MLB CTX	SD	12	12	69	291	50	34	10	100%	5.8	17.2%	11.6%	5.5%	3.5%	5.34	5.44	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		38	38	231	975	169	112	32	100%	6.1	17.3%	11.5%	5.8%	3.3%	5.24	4.92	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	146	97	28	100%	6.0	17.3%	11.5%	5.8%	3.3%	5.24	4.92	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		73	54	321	1377	231	147	50	74%	4.4	16.8%	10.7%	6.1%	3.6%	4.49	5.03	-1.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		45	34	200	858	144	91	31	74%	4.4	16.8%	10.7%	6.1%	3.6%	4.49	5.03	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Enmanuel Pinales (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.25	16.7%	11.9%	3.1%	—	5.23	17.3%	5.9%	292	-0.02	—	—	—
Nick Pasquale R 2017 · 4.74 FIP	26	SP-	4.74	16.8%	12.7%	2.6%	.306	3.80	17.9%	6.3%	50	-0.94	3.19	308	85
Alejandro Martinez R 2015 · 4.46 FIP	26	SP-	4.46	17.5%	10.9%	2.7%	.393	4.24	9.2%	3.9%	53	-0.22	4.24	166	84
Luke Irvine R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	13.4%	9.8%	2.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	104	83
Jacob Meador R 2024 · 5.34 FIP	23	SP-	5.34	15.6%	14.0%	3.2%	.301	6.73	14.7%	-6.6%	50	+1.39	5.34	139	83
David Lebron R 2019 · 4.28 FIP	25	SP-	4.28	18.6%	14.2%	1.7%	.336	5.56	26.7%	12.0%	62	+1.28	4.28	144	82
Tyler Uberstine R 2022 · 4.19 FIP	23	SP-	4.19	19.5%	10.5%	2.6%	.302	4.27	22.8%	15.4%	121	+0.08	2.98	262	82
Andrew Quezada R 2023 · 5.33 FIP	26	SP-	5.33	14.4%	9.5%	4.1%	.344	4.90	12.7%	5.3%	173	-0.43	4.40	412	81
Derek True R 2024 · 4.90 FIP	23	SP-	4.90	18.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.333	4.95	17.6%	5.9%	73	+0.05	4.50	170	81
Joe Nathan R 2000 · 5.19 FIP	25	SP-	5.19	14.3%	13.8%	2.8%	.262	3.30	26.3%	16.8%	79	-1.89	1.25	929	81
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2015 · 5.24 FIP	27	SP-	5.24	11.6%	9.8%	3.4%	.263	4.28	15.3%	5.2%	167	-0.96	4.01	272	80
Zach Fruit R 2024 · 4.29 FIP	24	SP	4.29	19.3%	14.1%	1.9%	.258	5.03	15.4%	-0.2%	44	+0.74	4.29	151	80
Britt Reames R 2000 · 4.49 FIP	26	SP	4.49	18.2%	12.9%	2.4%	.230	4.35	21.9%	11.5%	163	-0.14	3.76	204	79
Forrest Snow R 2015 · 5.03 FIP	26	SP-	5.03	16.1%	8.2%	4.1%	.263	4.14	21.8%	14.2%	256	-0.89	3.02	406	79
Kenten Egbert R 2024 · 4.26 FIP	23	SP-	4.26	19.6%	9.6%	2.9%	.257	4.34	10.8%	3.5%	133	+0.08	4.04	231	79
Nestor Molina R 2016 · 4.83 FIP	27	SP	4.83	15.0%	8.0%	3.6%	.304	3.61	17.0%	10.2%	289	-1.22	3.01	401	79
Bryce Morrow R 2015 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	12.8%	7.9%	2.4%	.316	5.44	10.1%	-0.2%	50	+1.13	4.31	125	79
Frank Batista R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	26	SP-	4.29	12.1%	8.2%	2.1%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	4.29	118	78
André Rienzo R 2014 · 5.13 FIP	26	SP-	5.13	16.3%	10.6%	3.8%	.324	4.13	17.5%	4.8%	171	-1.00	3.53	321	78
Enrique Gonzalez R 2006 · 4.49 FIP	24	SP-	4.49	14.3%	7.4%	3.0%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	4.49	132	78
Chance Kirby R 2021 · 5.83 FIP	26	SP-	5.83	15.1%	10.0%	5.0%	.242	4.59	18.5%	11.2%	138	-1.24	4.14	325	78

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 3,327 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 2,076 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.3	92	17.2%	11.6%	1.25	5.23
Bob McGraw ('17-'29, -2 WAR*)	3.0	99	16.8%*	11.0%*	1.21*	5.01*
Les Webber ('42-'48, -1 WAR*)	2.2	86	17.0%*	10.4%*	1.30*	5.13*
Todd Wellemeyer ('10)	3.1	77	16.9%	11.2%	1.26	4.83
Charlie Puleo ('81-'89, 1 WAR*)	3.2	90	18.5%*	11.5%*	1.22*	4.73*
Victor Santos ('07)	3.0	86	15.6%	10.2%	1.29	5.21
Dustin Nippert ('10)	1.3	67	17.6%	11.2%	1.18	5.31