Hung-Leng Chang

P Greensboro Grasshoppers

Age 25 RHP 6'3" / 159 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	23	A+PIT	25	24	106	4.82	3.72	21.4%	5.7%	—	K 16.5% · BB 6.6% · FIP 4.56
2026	24	A+PIT	27	13	91	8.74	6.29	20.4%	13.8%	—	K 15.7% · BB 15.9% · FIP 7.10
2027PROJ	25	MLBPIT	12	12	70	5.89	5.89	15.0%	12.6%	-0.8
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBPIT	7	7	41	5.70	5.67	16.4%	12.1%	-0.3
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBPIT	10	10	59	5.60	5.60	16.8%	11.8%	-0.5

Next 3 projected WAR -1.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff40Control55Command45

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJacob Meador (age 23) · Carlos Sano (age 25) · Ryan Jensen (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 145137vR 129

ERA5.89

FIP5.89

K%15.0%

BB%12.6%

K-BB%2.4%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL5555

CMD4545

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	20	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	8	3	23	97	27	8	0	38%	2.8	18.9%	10.3%	8.6%	0.0%	4.76	2.81	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	FCL Pirates	8	3	23	97	27	8	0	38%	2.8	27.8%	8.2%	19.6%	0.0%	4.76	1.78	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	11	51	228	39	24	7	73%	3.4	12.0%	12.8%	-0.8%	4.1%	5.33	5.96	—
2023	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	11	51	228	39	24	7	73%	3.4	17.1%	10.5%	6.6%	3.1%	5.33	4.78	—
2024	22	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	19	14	78	337	71	31	6	74%	4.1	15.6%	10.9%	4.7%	2.2%	4.64	4.37	—
2024	22	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	19	14	78	337	71	31	6	74%	4.1	15.6%	10.9%	4.7%	2.2%	4.64	4.37	—
2024	22	A RAW	Bradenton Marauders	19	14	78	337	71	31	6	74%	4.1	21.1%	9.2%	11.9%	1.8%	4.64	3.47	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	25	24	106	454	97	26	14	96%	4.3	16.5%	6.6%	9.9%	3.7%	4.82	4.56	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	25	24	106	454	97	26	14	96%	4.3	16.5%	6.6%	9.9%	3.7%	4.82	4.56	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Greensboro Grasshoppers	25	24	106	454	97	26	14	96%	4.3	21.4%	5.7%	15.6%	3.1%	4.82	3.72	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	27	13	91	456	93	63	22	48%	3.4	15.7%	15.9%	-0.2%	6.0%	8.74	7.10	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	27	13	91	456	93	63	22	48%	3.4	15.7%	15.9%	-0.2%	6.0%	8.74	7.10	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	Greensboro Grasshoppers	27	13	91	456	93	63	22	48%	3.4	20.4%	13.8%	6.6%	4.8%	8.74	6.29	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	PIT	12	12	70	296	44	37	11	100%	5.8	15.0%	12.6%	2.4%	3.8%	5.89	5.89	-0.8
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	PIT	16	16	96	404	66	49	15	100%	6.0	16.4%	12.1%	4.2%	3.7%	5.70	5.67	-0.8
2029	27	MLB MLE	PIT	16	16	94	398	67	47	15	100%	5.9	16.8%	11.8%	4.9%	3.7%	5.60	5.60	-0.7
2030	28	MLB MLE	PIT	15	15	92	386	65	46	15	100%	6.1	16.9%	11.8%	5.1%	3.8%	5.59	5.62	-0.7
2031	29	MLB MLE	PIT	15	15	87	369	62	44	14	100%	5.8	16.8%	11.9%	4.9%	3.9%	5.65	5.72	-0.8
2032	30	MLB MLE	PIT	14	14	82	347	57	42	14	100%	5.9	16.4%	12.2%	4.2%	4.1%	5.80	5.89	-0.9
2028	26	MLB CTX	PIT	7	7	41	173	28	21	6	100%	5.9	16.4%	12.1%	4.2%	3.7%	5.70	5.67	-0.3
2029	27	MLB CTX	PIT	10	10	59	249	42	30	9	100%	5.9	16.8%	11.8%	4.9%	3.7%	5.60	5.60	-0.5
2030	28	MLB CTX	PIT	12	12	69	291	49	34	11	100%	5.8	16.9%	11.8%	5.1%	3.8%	5.59	5.62	-0.5
2031	29	MLB CTX	PIT	12	12	71	300	50	36	12	100%	5.9	16.8%	11.9%	4.9%	3.9%	5.65	5.72	-0.6
2032	30	MLB CTX	PIT	12	12	70	296	49	36	12	100%	5.8	16.4%	12.2%	4.2%	4.1%	5.80	5.89	-0.8
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		52	52	311	1313	219	157	51	100%	6.0	16.7%	12.0%	4.7%	3.9%	5.67	5.33	-1.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	141	101	33	100%	6.0	16.7%	12.0%	4.7%	3.9%	5.67	5.33	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		94	65	348	1572	245	178	61	69%	3.7	15.6%	11.3%	4.2%	3.9%	5.87	5.35	-4.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		54	37	200	903	141	102	35	69%	3.7	15.6%	11.3%	4.2%	3.9%	5.87	5.35	-1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Hung-Leng Chang (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.89	15.0%	12.6%	3.8%	—	5.63	16.7%	4.7%	282	-0.26	—	—	—
Jacob Meador R 2024 · 5.34 FIP	23	SP-	5.34	15.6%	14.0%	3.2%	.301	6.73	14.7%	-6.6%	50	+1.39	5.34	139	86
Carlos Sano R 2018 · 4.82 FIP	25	SP-	4.82	17.6%	11.2%	3.3%	.282	9.22	19.7%	7.1%	18	+4.40	4.82	105	85
Ryan Jensen R 2001 · 5.03 FIP	25	SP-	5.03	13.5%	13.0%	2.6%	.285	4.82	13.4%	5.2%	185	-0.21	4.35	253	84
Carlos Torres R 2009 · 5.24 FIP	26	SP-	5.24	16.9%	11.5%	3.9%	.284	3.59	18.2%	7.3%	67	-1.65	2.89	604	83
Justin Miller R 2002 · 5.01 FIP	24	SP-	5.01	14.5%	13.6%	2.6%	.280	5.41	12.5%	2.1%	82	+0.40	2.63	373	83
Oscar Verdugo R 2015 · 6.33 FIP	25	SP-	6.33	10.5%	13.9%	4.3%	.241	5.78	10.8%	-1.8%	74	-0.55	5.01	144	82
Denny Bautista R 2006 · 4.71 FIP	25	SP-	4.71	13.9%	10.8%	2.6%	.298	4.58	17.5%	3.3%	74	-0.13	3.38	238	82
J.P. France R 2019 · 5.32 FIP	24	SP-	5.32	17.9%	13.9%	3.6%	.285	4.24	26.3%	15.2%	225	-1.08	4.04	577	81
Jake Bray R 2018 · 5.37 FIP	25	SP-	5.37	15.4%	11.2%	3.9%	.294	5.65	20.5%	7.7%	61	+0.28	2.51	198	80
Boone Whiting R 2015 · 5.33 FIP	25	SP-	5.33	11.3%	13.9%	2.6%	.337	4.88	10.9%	4.8%	132	-0.45	4.88	227	80
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2015 · 5.24 FIP	27	SP-	5.24	11.6%	9.8%	3.4%	.263	4.28	15.3%	5.2%	167	-0.96	4.01	272	80
Derek True R 2024 · 4.90 FIP	23	SP-	4.90	18.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.333	4.95	17.6%	5.9%	73	+0.05	4.50	170	80
Andrew Politi R 2021 · 5.21 FIP	25	SP-	5.21	21.0%	12.2%	4.3%	.320	4.04	22.9%	13.8%	138	-1.17	3.38	292	79
Lauro Ramirez R 2015 · 5.80 FIP	25	SP-	5.80	9.5%	10.1%	4.1%	.382	4.99	7.2%	-3.4%	90	-0.81	4.99	140	79
Drew Gagnon R 2015 · 5.56 FIP	25	SP-	5.56	11.6%	12.6%	3.4%	.313	4.02	20.4%	12.2%	311	-1.54	3.71	534	78
Paxton Schultz R 2023 · 4.87 FIP	25	SP-	4.87	19.5%	11.9%	3.5%	.319	4.02	23.3%	14.9%	227	-0.85	3.83	543	78
Matt Ruppenthal R 2021 · 4.76 FIP	25	SP-	4.76	18.5%	13.8%	2.7%	.308	4.28	22.7%	7.9%	102	-0.48	3.74	283	78
Levi Stoudt R 2023 · 6.22 FIP	25	SP-	6.22	13.4%	12.1%	5.0%	.280	6.13	15.4%	4.5%	110	-0.09	4.35	395	78
Mike Franco R 2017 · 4.75 FIP	25	SP-	4.75	17.2%	12.9%	2.7%	.251	4.33	21.9%	12.7%	98	-0.42	3.11	322	77
Josh Hancock R 2004 · 6.37 FIP	26	SP-	6.37	12.3%	8.9%	5.8%	.262	4.15	14.7%	8.6%	104	-2.22	3.57	167	77

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 3,327 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 2,076 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.6	87	16.4%	12.1%	1.48	5.70
Mac Suzuki ('02)	2.3	93	15.4%	12.5%	1.29	5.72
Hal Griggs ('56-'59, -4 WAR*)	1.7	116	16.8%*	11.9%*	1.33*	5.92*
Sean Douglass ('05)	1.0	52	16.6%	12.1%	1.47	6.11
Blake Stein ('02)	2.4	95	17.4%	13.2%	1.48	5.41
Jerry Casale ('58-'62, -1 WAR*)	1.9	93	18.7%*	11.2%*	1.44*	5.30*
Charlie Bishop ('52-'55, -1 WAR*)	1.5	98	16.9%*	11.2%*	1.30*	5.49*