Jesus Correa — OGILVIE

Jesus CorreaSS DSL Reds

Age 21 S/R 5'8" / 167 lbs ROK HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 55 proj PA

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .268 / .274

PA5

HR0

K%30

BB%8

ISO74

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-1	$0.6M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	42	36	12	1	2	0	4	6	2	0	4	333	429	472	901	139	400	14	10	403	159	+3	-2	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	131	113	30	3	1	1	17	33	0	5	1	265	362	336	698	71	362	25	13	321	103	+1	+1	—	—	+3	0.4
2024	19	ROK	DSL Reds	—	88	69	16	2	0	0	17	18	1	10	2	232	391	261	652	29	314	20	19	316	100	+0	+1	—	—	+2	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	42	38	9	1	1	0	2	9	2	0	4	237	310	316	625	79	308	21	5	281	76	-1	-2	—	—	+1	-0.2
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	131	120	22	2	1	1	10	48	0	5	1	183	246	242	488	58	278	37	8	212	30	-11	+1	—	—	+3	-0.8
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	88	75	12	1	0	0	11	27	1	10	2	160	276	173	449	13	247	31	12	218	34	-7	+1	—	—	+2	-0.4
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	42	38	9	1	1	0	2	9	2	0	4	237	310	316	625	79	310	21	5	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	42	36	12	1	2	0	4	6	2	0	4	333	429	472	901	139	400	14	10	403	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	131	120	22	2	1	1	10	48	0	5	1	183	246	242	488	58	292	37	8	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	131	113	30	3	1	1	17	33	0	5	1	265	362	336	698	71	362	25	13	321	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	88	75	12	1	0	0	11	27	1	10	2	160	276	173	449	13	250	31	12	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	88	69	16	2	0	0	17	18	1	10	2	232	391	261	652	29	314	20	19	316	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	42	38	9	1	1	0	2	9	2	0	4	237	310	316	625	79	308	21	5	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	131	120	22	2	1	1	10	48	0	5	1	183	246	242	488	58	278	37	8	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	88	76	12	1	0	0	11	27	1	10	2	158	276	171	447	13	247	31	12	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	131	120	22	2	1	1	10	48	0	5	1	183	246	242	488	58	278	37	8	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	88	76	12	1	0	0	11	27	1	10	2	158	276	171	447	13	247	31	12	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	21	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	200	200	200	400		288	20	0	251	56	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	CIN	34%	115	104	21	3	1	1	9	33	1	2	0	202	272	279	551	77	290	29	8	263	64	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	23	MLB MLE	CIN	48%	250	226	49	8	2	4	20	71	2	5	1	217	286	323	609	106	291	28	8	271	70	-9	+1	+0	+3	+5	-0.0
2029	24	MLB MLE	CIN	53%	349	315	68	11	2	6	28	98	3	7	1	216	286	321	607	105	292	28	8	277	74	-11	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	409	370	82	13	3	8	33	114	3	8	2	222	291	338	628	116	292	28	8	280	76	-12	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.2
2031	26	MLB MLE	CIN	56%	447	404	89	14	3	9	36	124	4	9	2	220	291	337	627	116	292	28	8	282	77	-12	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.3
2032	27	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	466	421	93	15	3	9	38	130	4	9	2	221	292	335	626	114	292	28	8	282	77	-13	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.3
2033	28	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	473	427	93	15	3	9	39	133	4	9	2	218	289	330	620	112	292	28	8	281	76	-13	+1	-1	+5	+10	0.2
2034	29	MLB MLE	CIN	53%	471	425	93	15	3	9	39	133	4	8	2	219	291	332	622	113	291	28	8	279	75	-14	+1	-1	+5	+10	0.1
2035	30	MLB MLE	CIN	53%	465	419	91	14	3	9	39	133	4	7	1	217	290	329	619	112	290	29	8	277	73	-15	+1	-2	+5	+10	-0.1
2027	22	MLB CTX	CIN	34%	40	37	8	1	0	1	3	12	0	1	0	216	275	324	599	108	292	30	8	261	64	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	CIN	48%	121	109	24	4	1	2	10	34	1	2	0	220	292	330	622	110	294	28	8	269	70	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	CIN	53%	184	165	36	6	1	3	15	52	2	4	1	218	291	321	612	103	295	28	8	275	74	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	224	202	45	7	1	5	18	62	2	4	1	223	293	342	634	119	295	28	8	279	76	-6	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	CIN	56%	249	225	50	8	2	5	20	69	2	5	1	222	291	342	634	120	295	28	8	280	77	-7	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2032	27	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	256	231	51	8	2	5	21	71	2	5	1	221	291	338	629	117	295	28	8	280	77	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2033	28	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	259	233	52	8	2	5	22	73	2	5	1	223	296	339	635	116	295	28	8	280	76	-7	+1	-0	+3	+6	0.1
2034	29	MLB CTX	CIN	53%	251	226	49	8	1	5	21	71	2	4	1	217	289	327	617	111	294	28	8	278	75	-7	+0	-1	+3	+5	0.0
2035	30	MLB CTX	CIN	53%	244	220	48	8	1	5	20	70	2	4	1	218	289	332	621	114	293	29	8	275	73	-8	+0	-1	+3	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1828	1648	363	58	11	36	150	514	15	34	7	220	291	334	626	114	296	28	8	277	72	-54	+4	-2	+20	+40	0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	130	21	4	13	53	183	5	12	2	222	291	338	629	116	298	28	8	277	72	-19	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	3711	3349	723	112	25	65	304	1054	32	79	20	216	287	322	610	107	293	28	8	275	72	-104	+8	-4	+37	+75	1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	126	20	4	11	53	185	6	14	4	215	287	319	605	104	292	28	8	275	72	-20	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	2.8	1,883	34	34	218	286	327	+20	+18	1.9	1.9
/162	664	12	12	+7.1	+6.3	0.7	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jesus Correa (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	200/268/274	74	288	0	1	30%	8%	56	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Riley Unroe 2017 · A	21	41→48	36→45	46→55	43	195/257/255	61	273	4	12	29%	7%	47	-2.6	200/267/276	76	287	5	12	30%	8%	55	-1.9	221/306/334	113	298	11	26	27%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Brainer Bonaci 2022 · A	20	40→44	39→45	53→50	43	195/254/284	89	269	5	13	28%	7%	53	-2.1	216/286/322	106	302	9	13	29%	9%	74	-0.6	216/290/325	109	297	11	14	29%	9%	73	-0.4
✕Arquímedes Gamboa 2019 · A	21	41→45	37→40	48→50	44	198/260/271	72	274	5	7	28%	7%	51	-2.2	184/259/260	76	272	5	14	31%	9%	49	-2.4	199/285/288	89	292	7	15	31%	10%	63	-0.8
✕Allan Castro 2023 · A	20	38→44	40→45	54→50	40	185/249/285	100	275	6	9	34%	7%	51	-2.2	203/274/314	111	281	9	13	29%	8%	68	-1.0	202/276/313	110	274	9	14	28%	9%	65	-1.0
✕Marcus Littlewood 2013 · A	21	40	40→45	48→45	41	198/249/288	90	271	8	7	29%	6%	51	-2.2	198/267/305	107	269	9	5	28%	8%	62	-1.4	204/271/311	107	262	9	4	25%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Junior Valera 2013 · A	20	42	36→40	51→60	45	196/266/265	69	275	2	10	28%	8%	53	-2.1	226/289/310	84	293	3	18	22%	8%	71	-0.8	245/308/338	94	307	3	28	20%	8%	80	-0.0
✕Angelo Mora 2014 · A	21	41→51	36→45	48→45	40	196/238/264	68	261	4	13	26%	5%	40	-3.0	222/264/307	85	298	4	6	25%	5%	60	-1.6	250/284/351	101	320	5	4	23%	4%	74	-0.4
✕C.J. Beatty 2010 · A	21	40	42→45	52→40	41	198/253/297	98	278	9	9	31%	7%	55	-2.0	209/270/324	115	297	9	5	31%	7%	68	-1.0	202/267/332	130	282	11	2	30%	8%	65	-0.7
✕Alan Schoenberger 2010 · A	21	39	37→45	49→45	41	186/247/260	75	289	3	8	35%	7%	44	-2.8	196/246/286	90	292	6	6	33%	6%	49	-2.4	184/232/270	86	270	6	5	33%	5%	38	-1.6
✕Pedro Florimón 2008 · A	21	40→50	37→45	47→55	39	193/244/262	69	285	5	12	33%	6%	43	-2.8	200/249/285	85	308	5	14	35%	6%	51	-2.3	220/277/327	107	327	9	11	33%	6%	68	-0.5
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	42	41→45	50	43	201/271/299	98	298	8	11	33%	8%	63	-1.4	193/263/287	94	294	6	14	34%	8%	57	-1.8	147/226/244	97	221	6	25	34%	8%	33	-1.0
✕Rosell Herrera 2013 · A	20	40→50	37→45	48→55	41	195/245/269	75	266	5	9	28%	6%	45	-2.7	236/283/325	89	313	8	10	26%	6%	72	-0.7	247/301/337	90	312	4	24	21%	7%	79	-0.1
✕Oliver Dominguez 2010 · A	21	41	40	53→45	45	201/262/294	93	269	7	12	27%	7%	57	-1.8	201/272/295	94	275	7	13	27%	9%	62	-1.4	190/268/285	94	265	7	12	29%	9%	55	-0.9
✕Jose Infante 2015 · A	21	43	37→40	50	46	197/298/275	78	287	4	13	29%	8%	69	-0.9	190/274/266	76	290	3	10	33%	8%	57	-1.8	124/216/184	60	205	0	10	35%	8%	16	-1.1
✕Jose Marquez 2019 · A	21	43	42→50	48→50	39	212/256/319	107	280	8	7	27%	5%	61	-1.5	211/260/312	101	308	9	8	33%	5%	61	-1.5	129/202/216	87	206	15	12	43%	7%	16	-0.8
✕Angel Martínez 2022 · A	20	42→47	41→50	50	44	203/259/304	102	267	7	10	26%	7%	59	-1.7	221/283/344	123	281	11	10	24%	7%	77	-0.3	231/280/377	146	276	15	12	22%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Drew Stankiewicz 2015 · A	22	39→49	37→45	51→45	38	191/237/261	70	280	5	9	33%	6%	40	-3.1	223/279/306	83	288	4	7	22%	7%	66	-1.1	228/288/316	88	292	5	5	22%	7%	69	-0.5
✕Rey Bruguera 2013 · A	21	43	37→40	48→50	48	200/278/274	74	281	4	14	28%	9%	59	-1.6	197/257/267	70	291	4	6	31%	7%	49	-2.4	174/233/224	50	264	4	1	33%	7%	28	-1.2
✕Jhoan Urena 2016 · A	21	42→48	37→45	52→45	41	202/244/276	74	266	4	7	25%	5%	46	-2.6	212/268/323	111	290	11	6	29%	7%	66	-1.1	213/271/332	119	292	12	5	30%	7%	67	-0.9
✕Luis Alexander Basabe 2018 · A	21	40→43	41→45	54→50	38	196/250/295	99	290	8	15	34%	6%	53	-2.1	202/265/306	104	313	9	14	36%	8%	61	-1.5	196/266/304	108	307	10	14	37%	8%	59	-0.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps