Jesus Correa — OGILVIE

Jesus CorreaSS DSL Reds

Age 21 S/R 5'8" / 167 lbs ROK HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 55 proj PA

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .267 / .274

PA55

HR0

K%30

BB%8

ISO75

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	42	38	9	1	1	0	2	9	2	0	4	237	310	316	625	79	310	21	5	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	42	36	12	1	2	0	4	6	2	0	4	333	429	472	901	139	400	14	10	403	166	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	131	120	21	2	1	1	10	49	0	5	1	175	238	233	472	58	282	37	8	211	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	131	113	30	3	1	1	17	33	0	5	1	265	362	336	698	71	362	25	13	321	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL Reds	—	88	75	12	2	0	0	11	28	1	10	2	160	276	187	463	27	255	32	12	209	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL Reds	—	88	69	16	2	0	0	17	18	1	10	2	232	391	261	652	29	314	20	19	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	CIN	—	55	51	10	2	0	0	4	17	0	1	0	196	255	235	490	39	288	31	7	251	50	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	CIN	34%	115	104	21	3	1	1	9	34	1	2	0	202	272	279	551	77	290	30	8	263	59	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
2028	23	MLB	CIN	48%	250	226	49	8	2	4	20	72	2	5	1	217	286	323	609	106	291	29	8	271	65	-10	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2029	24	MLB	CIN	53%	349	315	68	11	2	6	28	99	3	7	1	216	286	321	607	105	292	28	8	277	70	-12	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.3
2030	25	MLB	CIN	55%	409	370	81	13	3	8	33	115	3	8	2	219	288	335	623	116	292	28	8	280	72	-13	+1	+0	+4	+12	0.4
2031	26	MLB	CIN	56%	447	404	89	14	3	9	36	126	4	9	2	220	291	337	627	116	292	28	8	281	74	-13	+1	+0	+5	+13	0.5
2032	27	MLB	CIN	55%	466	421	92	15	3	9	38	132	4	9	2	219	289	333	622	114	292	28	8	281	74	-14	+1	+0	+5	+13	0.5
2033	28	MLB	CIN	55%	473	427	93	15	3	9	39	134	4	9	2	218	289	330	620	112	292	28	8	281	73	-14	+1	-1	+5	+13	0.4
2034	29	MLB	CIN	53%	471	425	92	15	3	9	39	135	4	8	2	216	288	329	618	113	291	29	8	279	72	-15	+1	-1	+5	+13	0.3
2027	22	MLB	CIN	34%	40	37	8	1	0	1	3	12	0	1	0	216	275	324	599	108	292	30	8	259	56	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2028	23	MLB	CIN	48%	121	109	24	4	1	2	10	35	1	2	0	220	292	330	622	110	293	29	8	267	63	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.0
2029	24	MLB	CIN	53%	184	165	36	6	1	3	15	52	2	4	1	218	291	321	612	103	295	28	8	273	67	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2030	25	MLB	CIN	55%	224	202	44	7	1	4	18	63	2	4	1	218	288	322	610	104	295	28	8	276	69	-8	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.1
2031	26	MLB	CIN	56%	249	225	50	8	2	5	20	70	2	5	1	222	291	342	634	120	295	28	8	278	71	-8	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.2
2032	27	MLB	CIN	55%	256	231	51	8	2	5	21	72	2	5	1	221	291	338	629	117	295	28	8	278	71	-8	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.2
2033	28	MLB	CIN	55%	259	234	51	8	2	5	21	73	2	5	1	218	288	333	621	115	294	28	8	277	70	-9	+1	-0	+3	+7	0.2
2034	29	MLB	CIN	53%	251	226	49	8	1	5	21	72	2	4	1	217	289	327	617	111	294	29	8	275	69	-9	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1584	1429	313	50	10	30	129	449	13	30	6	219	290	331	621	112	296	28	8	275	69	-56	+4	-1	+17	+45	0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	129	21	4	12	53	184	5	12	2	220	290	331	621	111	298	28	8	275	69	-23	+2	-0	+7	+18	0.4
Career	—			—	3296	2976	637	101	22	56	269	950	28	73	19	214	285	319	605	105	293	29	8	273	67	-121	+7	-2	+35	+93	1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	125	20	4	11	53	187	6	14	4	213	285	317	602	104	291	29	8	273	67	-24	+1	-0	+7	+18	0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	42	36	12	1	2	0	4	6	2	0	4	333	429	472	901	139	400	14	10	403	166	+3	-2	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	131	113	30	3	1	1	17	33	0	5	1	265	362	336	698	71	362	25	13	321	104	+1	+1	—	—	+4	0.5
2024	19	ROK	DSL Reds	—	88	69	16	2	0	0	17	18	1	10	2	232	391	261	652	29	314	20	19	316	100	+0	+1	—	—	+2	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	1,638	30	30	218	285	328	+18	+15	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	12	12	218	285	328	+7.1	+6.1	0.5	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jesus Correa (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	200/267/274	74	288	0	1	30%	8%	50	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alan Schoenberger 2010 · A	21	39	37→45	49→45	41	186/247/260	75	289	3	8	35%	7%	37	-2.7	200/248/293	93	296	7	6	33%	6%	46	-2.0	188/236/280	92	275	7	5	33%	5%	34	-1.4
✕Brainer Bonaci 2022 · A	20	41→42	39→45	53→50	42	196/255/285	89	270	5	13	28%	7%	46	-2.0	211/283/320	109	300	10	13	30%	9%	69	-0.4	209/285/321	112	292	12	14	30%	9%	67	-0.4
✕Arquímedes Gamboa 2019 · A	21	42→44	38→40	48→50	44	202/264/277	75	279	5	7	28%	7%	48	-1.9	182/258/257	75	275	5	14	32%	9%	42	-2.3	198/284/290	92	298	8	15	33%	10%	58	-0.7
✕Marcus Littlewood 2013 · A	21	40	40→45	48→45	41	198/248/289	92	267	8	7	29%	6%	44	-2.1	199/266/305	106	272	10	5	28%	8%	57	-1.2	209/274/322	113	270	10	4	25%	8%	62	-0.4
✕Allan Castro 2023 · A	20	38→43	40→45	54→55	39	184/247/283	100	276	6	9	34%	6%	43	-2.2	200/271/309	109	281	9	13	30%	8%	60	-1.0	198/272/305	108	273	9	14	29%	9%	57	-1.0
✕C.J. Beatty 2010 · A	21	40	42→45	52→40	41	198/253/297	98	278	9	9	31%	7%	49	-1.8	209/271/322	113	297	9	5	31%	8%	63	-0.8	201/268/328	127	281	10	2	30%	8%	60	-0.6
✕Riley Unroe 2017 · A	21	39→48	36→50	46→55	42	189/249/245	56	269	4	12	30%	7%	33	-2.9	195/262/273	78	283	6	12	31%	8%	46	-2.0	227/311/367	139	295	15	26	27%	10%	89	+0.5
✕Pedro Florimón 2008 · A	21	40→50	37→45	47→55	39	193/244/262	69	285	5	12	33%	6%	36	-2.7	200/249/285	85	309	5	14	35%	6%	44	-2.1	219/275/335	116	325	10	11	34%	6%	66	-0.3
✕Angelo Mora 2014 · A	21	41→50	37→45	48→45	40	199/240/271	72	263	5	13	26%	5%	36	-2.7	224/266/310	86	302	4	6	26%	5%	57	-1.2	245/279/344	99	321	5	4	24%	4%	68	-0.3
✕Junior Valera 2013 · A	20	42	36→40	51→60	45	196/266/265	69	275	2	10	28%	8%	46	-2.0	226/289/310	84	293	3	18	22%	8%	67	-0.5	245/308/338	94	307	3	28	20%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Robert Moore 2023 · A	21	42→40	41→45	50	42	203/268/305	102	288	9	13	31%	7%	58	-1.2	192/255/288	96	258	8	15	27%	6%	48	-1.9	192/256/302	110	236	11	15	24%	6%	50	-0.9
✕Jhoan Urena 2016 · A	21	41→47	37→45	53→45	40	199/241/274	75	262	4	7	25%	5%	37	-2.7	210/267/325	115	292	11	6	30%	7%	63	-0.9	212/271/335	123	297	13	5	32%	7%	63	-0.7
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2021 · A	21	41→51	39→45	50	42	199/261/284	85	279	6	11	30%	7%	50	-1.8	227/277/335	108	310	11	10	29%	6%	69	-0.4	235/295/324	88	326	9	12	29%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	42	41→45	50	43	201/271/299	98	298	8	11	33%	8%	58	-1.2	193/263/287	94	294	6	14	34%	8%	51	-1.7	147/226/244	97	221	6	25	34%	8%	24	-0.9
✕Frainyer Chavez 2021 · A	22	43→47	36→40	50	45	203/261/265	62	273	3	15	26%	7%	43	-2.2	204/274/269	65	289	4	11	28%	8%	51	-1.7	228/293/326	98	302	11	17	26%	8%	71	-0.2
✕Angel Martínez 2022 · A	20	41→47	41→50	49→50	44	202/257/305	102	265	8	10	26%	7%	53	-1.5	223/285/351	128	285	12	10	25%	7%	77	+0.1	226/291/358	132	282	13	10	24%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Luis Alexander Basabe 2018 · A	21	41→45	41→45	54→50	38	197/249/295	98	294	7	15	34%	6%	46	-2.0	197/262/301	104	314	9	14	37%	8%	54	-1.4	188/260/297	109	305	11	14	39%	8%	50	-0.9
✕Jose Marquez 2019 · A	21	43	42→50	48→50	39	212/256/319	107	280	8	7	27%	5%	56	-1.3	211/260/311	100	309	9	8	33%	5%	56	-1.3	125/197/206	81	204	13	12	44%	7%	1	-0.9
✕Drew Stankiewicz 2015 · A	22	39→49	37→45	51→45	38	192/239/261	70	279	5	9	32%	6%	33	-2.9	225/281/310	85	293	4	7	23%	7%	63	-0.8	230/290/321	91	297	5	5	23%	7%	67	-0.3
✕Rosell Herrera 2013 · A	20	40→50	37→45	48→55	40	193/243/266	73	268	5	9	29%	6%	37	-2.7	229/276/310	81	309	7	10	26%	6%	62	-0.9	247/301/337	90	315	4	24	22%	7%	76	+0.1