Modeifi Marte

1B Hillsboro Hops
Age 25 R/R 6'1" / 200 lbs A+ HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202422AARI249.218/.313/.2963836—.179/.252/.237
202523A+/AARI406.281/.347/.3743959—.233/.280/.312
202624A+ARI274.273/.326/.4117466—.232/.271/.347
2027PROJMLE25MLBARI1.228/.275/.3210063-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB26MLBARI49.229/.279/.3301166-0.2
Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
Whiff%91
K%90
Z-Con%90
ISO45
wRC+40
wOBA38
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%
CompsAlejandro Garcia (age 25) · Daniel Pigott (age 25) · Thomas Spitz (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†63
AVG/OBP/SLG.228 / .275 / .321
PA1
HR0
K%22
BB%6
BABIP284
ISO102
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: -0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -2.5 runs (Positional adjustment)-2POSREP: +3.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.50-0.5WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.5-0.22728
Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 25
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT50
scouting grade only
POWER25
scouting grade only
EYE40
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202220 ROKDSL D-backs Black — 208181 551017 17238 105 304388486875 182314 118 386 49 — — — — — —
202321 ROKACL D-backs Red — 204169 531135 25286 41 314420503923 189343 1412 402 84 — — — — — —
202422 AVisalia Rawhide — 249216 47803 26554 81 218313296609 79273 2210 282 36 — — — — — —
202523 A+Hillsboro Hops — 169156 431112 9213 22 276327397725 122306 125 323 63 — — — — — —
202523 AVisalia Rawhide — 237210 601201 24421 72 286362357719 71349 1810 327 57 — — — — — —
202624 A+Hillsboro Hops — 274253 691027 19431 42 273326411737 138304 167 328 66 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202220 ROK MLEDSL D-backs Black — 208185 35514 13298 105 189272292564 103194 146 241 49 — — — — — —
202321 ROK MLEACL D-backs Red — 204179 41824 15406 41 229310363673 134254 207 293 84 — — — — — —
202422 A MLEVisalia Rawhide — 249224 40702 18744 81 179252237489 58244 307 222 36 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLEHillsboro Hops — 169159 381012 6283 22 239280352632 113266 174 262 63 — — — — — —
202523 A MLEVisalia Rawhide — 237219 50901 15581 72 228281283564 55298 246 252 57 — — — — — —
202624 A+ MLEHillsboro Hops — 274259 60826 13581 42 232271347619 116275 215 266 66 — — — — — —
202220 ROK MLEDSL D-backs Black — 208185 35514 13298 105 189272292564 103201 146 241 49 — — — — — —
202220 ROK RAWDSL D-backs Black — 208181 551017 17238 105 304388486875 182314 118 386 49 — — — — — —
202321 ROK MLEACL D-backs Red — 204179 41824 15406 41 229310363673 134266 207 293 84 — — — — — —
202321 ROK RAWACL D-backs Red — 204169 531135 25286 41 314420503923 189343 1412 402 84 — — — — — —
202422 A MLEVisalia Rawhide — 249224 40702 18744 81 179252237489 58252 307 222 36 — — — — — —
202422 A RAWVisalia Rawhide — 249216 47803 26554 81 218313296609 79273 2210 282 36 — — — — — —
202523 A MLE2 teams — 406378 861912 21864 94 228275299574 71287 215 256 60 — — — — — —
202523 A RAW2 teams — 406366 1032313 33634 94 281347374722 93330 168 325 60 — — — — — —
202624 A+ MLEHillsboro Hops — 274259 60826 13581 42 232271347619 116276 215 266 66 — — — — — —
202624 A+ RAWHillsboro Hops — 274253 691027 19431 42 273326411737 138304 167 328 66 — — — — — —
202220 ROK MLEDSL D-backs Black — 208185 35514 13298 105 189272292564 103194 146 241 49 — — — — — —
202321 ROK MLEACL D-backs Red — 204181 41824 15406 41 227310359669 133254 207 293 84 — — — — — —
202422 A MLEVisalia Rawhide — 249225 40702 18744 81 178252236488 58244 307 222 36 — — — — — —
202523 A MLE2 teams — 406378 861912 21864 94 228275299574 71285 215 256 60 — — — — — —
202624 A+ MLEHillsboro Hops — 274258 60826 13581 42 233271349620 116275 215 266 66 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202422 A MLEVisalia Rawhide — 249225 40702 18744 81 178252236488 58244 307 222 36 — — — — — —
202523 A MLE2 teams — 406378 861912 21864 94 228275299574 71285 215 256 60 — — — — — —
202624 A+ MLEHillsboro Hops — 274258 60826 13581 42 233271349620 116275 215 266 66 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202725 MLB MLEARI 0% 324301 661214 18722 42 221270310579 88275 226 261 63 -14 +0 +0 -6 +7 -0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202725 MLB CTXARI 0% 11 0000 000 00 228275321596 93284 00 268 63 -0 +0 +0 -0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202826 MLB MLEARI 30% 163152 34612 9361 21 223273319592 96276 226 266 66 -7 +0 +0 -3 +4 -0.6
202826 MLB CTXARI 30% 4946 10201 3110 10 229279330608 100285 226 273 66 -2 +0 +0 -1 +1 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 4946 10201 3110 10 217265326591 109265 226 273 60 -2 +0 +0 -1 +1 -0.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650610 13327013 401460 130 218266326592 108266 226 273 60 -26 +3 +0 -12 +14 -2.1
Career— MLE — 16421505 32558822 9735425 3915 216275309584 93265 226 257 60 -13 +0 +0 -5 +7 -1.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650596 1292339 3814010 156 216275310585 94265 226 257 60 -27 +0 +0 -12 +14 -2.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Hillsboro Hops · 274 PAwOBA .320 → .266 (−54)K% 15.7% → 21.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.69%÷1.000×1.350——21.19%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.93%÷1.000×0.710—×0.9884.86%
HBP% /PA0.36%—×0.810—×0.9880.29%
Singles /BIP23.81%÷1.000×0.910×1.030×0.98822.04%
Doubles /BIP4.76%÷1.000×0.830×1.030×0.9884.02%
Triples /BIP0.95%÷1.000×0.820×1.030×0.9880.79%
Home runs /BIP3.33%÷1.000×0.830—×0.9882.73%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.

Result: wOBA .320 → .266; ISO .138 → .110; BABIP .304 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AVisalia Rawhide · 237 PAwOBA .320 → .252 (−68)K% 17.7% → 24.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.72%÷0.983×1.360——24.51%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.70%÷1.012×0.690—×0.9906.55%
HBP% /PA0.42%—×0.780—×0.9900.33%
Singles /BIP27.98%÷1.027×0.920×0.981×0.99024.33%
Doubles /BIP7.14%÷1.005×0.830×0.981×0.9905.73%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.910×0.981×0.9900.00%
Home runs /BIP0.60%÷1.283×0.800—×0.9900.37%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 157, 1B 105, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 97, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.

Result: wOBA .320 → .252; ISO .071 → .053; BABIP .349 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Hillsboro Hops · 169 PAwOBA .316 → .262 (−54)K% 12.4% → 16.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.43%÷1.002×1.350——16.74%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.33%÷1.044×0.710—×0.9983.62%
HBP% /PA1.78%—×0.810—×0.9981.43%
Singles /BIP21.48%÷1.012×0.910×0.973×0.99818.74%
Doubles /BIP8.15%÷0.908×0.830×0.973×0.9987.23%
Triples /BIP0.74%÷1.150×0.820×0.973×0.9980.51%
Home runs /BIP1.48%÷0.968×0.830—×0.9981.27%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 102, 2B 82, 3B 130, K 100, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.

Result: wOBA .316 → .262; ISO .122 → .102; BABIP .306 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AVisalia Rawhide · 249 PAwOBA .278 → .222 (−57)K% 22.1% → 29.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.09%÷1.009×1.360——29.77%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.44%÷0.980×0.690——7.35%
HBP% /PA1.61%—×0.780——1.25%
Singles /BIP22.36%÷1.010×0.920×0.994—20.26%
Doubles /BIP4.97%÷0.964×0.830×0.994—4.26%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.965×0.910×0.994—0.00%
Home runs /BIP1.86%÷1.102×0.800——1.35%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 102, 2B 93, 3B 93, K 102, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.

Result: wOBA .278 → .222; ISO .079 → .059; BABIP .273 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKACL D-backs Red · 204 PAwOBA .400 → .293 (−107)K% 13.7% → 19.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.73%÷1.005×1.440——19.66%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.25%÷1.023×0.620—×0.9857.31%
HBP% /PA2.94%—×0.720—×0.9852.09%
Singles /BIP24.11%÷1.033×0.820×0.986×0.98518.57%
Doubles /BIP7.80%÷0.987×0.720×0.986×0.9855.53%
Triples /BIP2.13%÷1.150×0.720×0.986×0.9851.29%
Home runs /BIP3.55%÷0.918×0.780—×0.9852.97%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 107, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 101, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.

Result: wOBA .400 → .293; ISO .189 → .146; BABIP .343 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 DSLDSL D-backs Black · 208 PAwOBA .379 → .241 (−138)K% 11.1% → 13.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.06%÷0.978×1.220——13.79%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.17%÷0.927×0.700—×0.9856.08%
HBP% /PA3.85%—×0.700—×0.9852.65%
Singles /BIP23.42%÷1.014×0.680×1.001×0.98515.48%
Doubles /BIP6.33%÷1.104×0.600×1.001×0.9853.39%
Triples /BIP0.63%÷1.150×0.600×1.001×0.9850.33%
Home runs /BIP4.43%÷0.896×0.470—×0.9852.29%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 103, 2B 121, 3B 130, K 96, BB 85 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 18.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.

Result: wOBA .379 → .241; ISO .182 → .097; BABIP .314 → .194. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).