Joe Sever

Pos1B
B/TR/R
Born1990-08-12
Age (2027)36
No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.
Overview
AALAST SEASON 2018
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
201625AACLE456.251/.302/.3324251—.225/.267/.291
201726AACLE481.282/.336/.3867578—.264/.303/.344
201827AAA/AACLE542.256/.319/.36571072—.238/.285/.332
Contract
No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201322 A+Carolina Mudcats — 8276 24400 5101 10 316366368734 53364 126 335 85 — — — — — —
201322 ALake County Captains — 427386 1052527 32805 33 272336402737 130325 197 328 68 — — — — — —
201423 A+Carolina Mudcats — 316270 711003 30479 20 263356333689 70302 159 314 68 — — — — — —
201524 AAAkron RubberDucks — 114105 23302 7250 00 219268305573 86266 226 256 47 — — — — — —
201524 A+Lynchburg Hillcats — 320296 7817210 17595 10 264314436750 172297 185 330 56 — — — — — —
201625 AAAkron RubberDucks — 456419 1052014 241117 22 251302332634 81330 245 285 51 — — — — — —
201726 AAAkron RubberDucks — 481440 1242127 32824 52 282336386722 105329 177 322 78 — — — — — —
201827 AAAColumbus Clippers — 6964 14500 3152 01 219275297572 78286 224 263 38 — — — — — —
201827 AAAkron RubberDucks — 473424 1112707 36724 102 262325375700 113295 158 311 77 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201322 A+ MLECarolina Mudcats — 8278 23400 3141 10 295329346675 51357 174 294 85 — — — — — —
201322 A MLELake County Captains — 427395 912126 231095 33 230281339621 109295 265 268 68 — — — — — —
201423 A+ MLECarolina Mudcats — 316281 67903 19709 20 238307302610 64284 226 268 68 — — — — — —
201524 AA MLEAkron RubberDucks — 114107 24302 5300 00 224259308567 84270 264 237 47 — — — — — —
201524 A+ MLELynchburg Hillcats — 320303 631327 10815 10 208245333579 125255 253 251 56 — — — — — —
201625 AA MLEAkron RubberDucks — 456426 961713 171367 22 225267291558 66314 304 244 51 — — — — — —
201726 AA MLEAkron RubberDucks — 481451 1191725 211014 52 264303344646 80321 214 284 78 — — — — — —
201827 AAA MLEColumbus Clippers — 6965 12400 2182 01 185232246478 62266 263 224 38 — — — — — —
201827 AA MLEAkron RubberDucks — 473435 1072506 25884 102 246293345638 99282 195 282 77 — — — — — —
201322 A MLE2 teams — 509472 1142526 271236 43 242291341632 100312 245 272 70 — — — — — —
201322 A RAW2 teams — 509462 1292927 37906 43 279341396737 117332 187 329 70 — — — — — —
201423 A+ MLECarolina Mudcats — 316281 67903 19709 20 238307302610 64300 226 268 68 — — — — — —
201423 A+ RAWCarolina Mudcats — 316270 711003 30479 20 263356333689 70302 159 314 68 — — — — — —
201524 A+ MLE2 teams — 434410 861529 151115 10 210247322568 112263 263 247 54 — — — — — —
201524 A+ RAW2 teams — 434401 10120212 24845 10 252302401704 150289 196 311 54 — — — — — —
201625 AA MLEAkron RubberDucks — 456426 961713 171367 22 225267291558 66322 304 244 51 — — — — — —
201625 AA RAWAkron RubberDucks — 456419 1052014 241117 22 251302332634 81330 245 285 51 — — — — — —
201726 AA MLEAkron RubberDucks — 481451 1191725 211014 52 264303344646 80326 214 284 78 — — — — — —
201726 AA RAWAkron RubberDucks — 481440 1242127 32824 52 282336386722 105329 177 322 78 — — — — — —
201827 AA MLE2 teams — 542500 1202906 271056 103 240287334621 94287 195 275 72 — — — — — —
201827 AA RAW2 teams — 542488 1253207 39876 103 256319365684 109294 167 305 72 — — — — — —
201322 A MLE2 teams — 509471 1142526 271236 43 242291342633 100305 245 272 70 — — — — — —
201423 A+ MLECarolina Mudcats — 316285 67903 19709 20 235307298606 63284 226 268 68 — — — — — —
201524 A+ MLE2 teams — 434411 861529 151115 10 209247321568 112259 263 247 54 — — — — — —
201625 AA MLEAkron RubberDucks — 456429 961713 171367 22 224267289556 65314 304 244 51 — — — — — —
201726 AA MLEAkron RubberDucks — 481453 1191725 211014 52 263303342645 79321 214 284 78 — — — — — —
201827 AA MLE2 teams — 542504 1202906 271056 103 238287331618 93280 195 275 72 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals
Career— MLE — 27382540 602112732 12664637 2410 237283324607 87302 245 266 66 -111 +1 +0 -49 +59 -10.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650603 1442728 301539 62 239285330615 91304 245 266 66 -26 +0 +0 -12 +14 -2.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2018 AAAkron RubberDucks · 473 PAwOBA .307 → .282 (−25)K% 15.2% → 18.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.22%÷1.004×1.220——18.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.40%÷0.941×0.700—×0.9685.33%
HBP% /PA0.85%—×0.850—×0.9680.70%
Singles /BIP21.88%÷0.968×0.970×1.007×0.96821.36%
Doubles /BIP7.67%÷0.922×0.860×1.007×0.9686.98%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.980×0.950×1.007×0.9680.00%
Home runs /BIP1.99%÷0.840×0.780—×0.9681.79%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 68, 1B 94, 2B 84, 3B 96, K 101, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.

Result: wOBA .307 → .282; ISO .113 → .104; BABIP .295 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAAColumbus Clippers · 69 PAwOBA .256 → .224 (−32)K% 21.7% → 25.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.74%÷1.017×1.200——25.66%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.35%÷0.972×0.690—×0.9923.06%
HBP% /PA2.90%—×0.940—×0.9922.70%
Singles /BIP18.37%÷0.974×0.930×1.018×0.99217.71%
Doubles /BIP10.20%÷0.958×0.830×1.018×0.9928.92%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.970×1.018×0.9920.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.135×0.840—×0.9920.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 95, 2B 92, 3B 80, K 103, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.

Result: wOBA .256 → .224; ISO .078 → .066; BABIP .286 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAAkron RubberDucks · 481 PAwOBA .317 → .284 (−33)K% 17.0% → 21.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.05%÷0.990×1.220——21.01%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.65%÷1.052×0.700—×0.9784.33%
HBP% /PA0.83%—×0.850—×0.9780.69%
Singles /BIP26.26%÷0.978×0.970×1.050×0.97826.75%
Doubles /BIP5.87%÷1.072×0.860×1.050×0.9784.83%
Triples /BIP0.56%÷1.150×0.950×1.050×0.9780.47%
Home runs /BIP1.96%÷1.008×0.780—×0.9781.48%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 96, 2B 114, 3B 130, K 98, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .317 → .284; ISO .105 → .083; BABIP .329 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAAkron RubberDucks · 456 PAwOBA .279 → .244 (−35)K% 24.3% → 29.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.34%÷0.997×1.220——29.78%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.26%÷0.950×0.700—×0.9883.83%
HBP% /PA1.54%—×0.850—×0.9881.29%
Singles /BIP25.97%÷1.014×0.970×1.032×0.98825.35%
Doubles /BIP6.49%÷1.015×0.860×1.032×0.9885.61%
Triples /BIP0.32%÷1.150×0.950×1.032×0.9880.27%
Home runs /BIP1.30%÷0.949×0.780—×0.9881.05%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 103, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 99, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.

Result: wOBA .279 → .244; ISO .081 → .066; BABIP .330 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 A+Lynchburg Hillcats · 320 PAwOBA .323 → .251 (−73)K% 18.4% → 25.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.44%÷1.031×1.420——25.40%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.31%÷1.046×0.630—×0.9783.13%
HBP% /PA1.56%—×0.860—×0.9781.31%
Singles /BIP20.68%÷1.026×0.940×0.992×0.97818.38%
Doubles /BIP7.17%÷1.000×0.830×0.992×0.9785.77%
Triples /BIP0.84%÷0.921×0.800×0.992×0.9780.71%
Home runs /BIP4.22%÷1.129×0.900—×0.9783.29%

Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 105, 2B 100, 3B 84, K 106, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.

Result: wOBA .323 → .251; ISO .172 → .129; BABIP .297 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAkron RubberDucks · 114 PAwOBA .251 → .237 (−15)K% 21.9% → 26.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.93%÷1.019×1.220——26.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.14%÷0.934×0.700—×0.9984.59%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.850—×0.9980.00%
Singles /BIP22.50%÷0.971×0.970×1.050×0.99823.54%
Doubles /BIP3.75%÷1.053×0.860×1.050×0.9983.21%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.950×1.050×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP2.50%÷0.842×0.780—×0.9982.31%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 68, 1B 94, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 104, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .251 → .237; ISO .086 → .076; BABIP .266 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 A+Carolina Mudcats · 316 PAwOBA .310 → .268 (−42)K% 14.9% → 22.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.87%÷0.961×1.420——21.98%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.18%÷0.966×0.630—×0.9885.91%
HBP% /PA2.85%—×0.860—×0.9882.42%
Singles /BIP26.01%÷1.011×0.940×1.036×0.98824.75%
Doubles /BIP4.48%÷0.983×0.830×1.036×0.9883.87%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.800×1.036×0.9880.00%
Home runs /BIP1.35%÷0.869×0.900—×0.9881.38%

Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 102, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 92, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.

Result: wOBA .310 → .268; ISO .070 → .065; BABIP .302 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 ALake County Captains · 427 PAwOBA .322 → .268 (−53)K% 18.7% → 25.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.74%÷1.001×1.360——25.47%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.49%÷0.936×0.690—×0.9905.47%
HBP% /PA1.17%—×0.780—×0.9900.90%
Singles /BIP23.20%÷1.033×0.920×1.041×0.99021.29%
Doubles /BIP8.17%÷0.963×0.830×1.041×0.9907.25%
Triples /BIP0.65%÷0.925×0.910×1.041×0.9900.66%
Home runs /BIP2.29%÷0.956×0.800—×0.9901.89%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 107, 2B 93, 3B 85, K 100, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.041.

Result: wOBA .322 → .268; ISO .130 → .108; BABIP .325 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).