Brayan Romero

P Fredericksburg Nationals

Age 25 RHP 6'1" / 180 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	20	ROKWSH	13	3	20	4.43	4.23	13.5%	12.5%	—	K 9.2% · BB 15.6% · FIP 5.18
2024	22	MIX2 levels	19	16	69	3.80	3.13	18.3%	6.3%	—	K 12.7% · BB 7.7% · FIP 4.02
2025	23	MIX2 levels	19	16	75	4.90	4.37	14.8%	16.5%	—	K 10.7% · BB 19.7% · FIP 5.08
2027PROJ	25	MLBWSH	12	12	70	6.71	6.71	10.0%	20.0%	-1.4
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBWSH	5	5	30	6.39	6.34	12.7%	18.9%	-0.5
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBWSH	7	7	43	6.23	6.23	13.5%	18.2%	-0.6

Next 3 projected WAR -2.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff20Control20Command20

CompsOscar Verdugo (age 25) · Johnny Hellweg (age 24) · Drew Conover (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 161152vR 144

ERA6.71

FIP6.71

K%10.0%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-10.0%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF2020

CTRL2020

CMD2020

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	20	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	13	3	20	96	13	12	1	23%	1.6	9.2%	15.6%	-6.4%	1.6%	4.43	5.18	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	FCL Nationals	13	3	20	96	13	12	1	23%	1.6	13.5%	12.5%	1.0%	1.0%	4.43	4.23	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	16	69	284	52	18	4	84%	3.6	12.7%	7.7%	5.0%	1.9%	3.80	4.02	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	16	69	284	52	18	4	84%	3.6	12.7%	7.7%	5.0%	1.9%	3.80	4.02	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	16	69	284	52	18	4	84%	3.6	18.3%	6.3%	12.0%	1.4%	3.80	3.13	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	16	75	351	52	58	2	84%	4.0	10.7%	19.7%	-9.0%	0.7%	4.90	5.08	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	16	75	351	52	58	2	84%	4.0	10.7%	19.7%	-9.0%	0.7%	4.90	5.08	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	16	75	351	52	58	2	84%	4.0	14.8%	16.5%	-1.7%	0.6%	4.90	4.37	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	WSH	12	12	70	296	30	59	8	100%	5.8	10.0%	20.0%	-10.0%	2.8%	6.71	6.71	-1.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	WSH	12	12	70	296	38	56	8	100%	5.8	12.7%	18.9%	-6.1%	2.8%	6.39	6.34	-1.1
2029	27	MLB MLE	WSH	12	12	69	291	39	53	8	100%	5.8	13.5%	18.2%	-4.7%	2.9%	6.23	6.23	-1.0
2030	28	MLB MLE	WSH	11	11	67	282	39	51	8	100%	6.1	13.9%	17.9%	-4.0%	3.0%	6.18	6.22	-1.0
2031	29	MLB MLE	WSH	11	11	64	270	38	48	8	100%	5.8	13.9%	17.9%	-4.0%	3.1%	6.23	6.30	-1.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	WSH	5	5	30	127	16	24	4	100%	6.0	12.7%	18.9%	-6.1%	2.8%	6.39	6.34	-0.5
2029	27	MLB CTX	WSH	7	7	43	182	25	33	5	100%	6.1	13.5%	18.2%	-4.7%	2.9%	6.23	6.23	-0.6
2030	28	MLB CTX	WSH	8	8	50	211	29	38	6	100%	6.2	13.9%	17.9%	-4.0%	3.0%	6.18	6.22	-0.7
2031	29	MLB CTX	WSH	9	9	52	220	31	39	7	100%	5.8	13.9%	17.9%	-4.0%	3.1%	6.23	6.30	-0.8
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		29	29	175	741	101	135	22	100%	6.0	13.6%	18.2%	-4.6%	3.0%	6.24	5.89	-1.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	115	154	25	100%	6.0	13.6%	18.2%	-4.6%	3.0%	6.24	5.89	-2.1
Career	—	MLE		51	35	164	731	83	106	9	69%	3.2	11.3%	14.5%	-3.2%	1.3%	4.38	4.68	-4.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		62	43	200	890	100	129	11	69%	3.2	11.3%	14.5%	-3.2%	1.3%	4.38	4.68	-3.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brayan Romero (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.71	10.0%	20.0%	2.8%	—	6.26	13.4%	-5.0%	206	-0.45	—	—	—
Oscar Verdugo R 2015 · 6.33 FIP	25	SP-	6.33	10.5%	13.9%	4.3%	.241	5.78	10.8%	-1.8%	74	-0.55	5.01	144	80
Johnny Hellweg R 2013 · 5.63 FIP	24	SP	5.63	5.6%	16.0%	1.8%	.298	5.82	9.6%	-8.1%	82	+0.19	2.98	140	74
Drew Conover R 2024 · 6.25 FIP	23	SW	6.25	15.6%	29.8%	1.3%	.272	5.19	12.6%	-3.4%	106	-1.06	4.49	145	72
Jorge Sosa R 2002 · 5.77 FIP	25	SW	5.77	11.1%	12.4%	3.7%	.228	4.55	15.7%	5.5%	362	-1.22	4.06	773	71
Noah Song R 2023 · 6.06 FIP	26	SP	6.06	12.0%	13.2%	4.2%	.239	3.80	19.8%	8.3%	116	-2.26	3.68	138	71
David Whitehead R 2016 · 6.00 FIP	24	SW	6.00	10.7%	19.2%	2.5%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	4.35	217	70
Drew Gagnon R 2015 · 5.56 FIP	25	SP-	5.56	11.6%	12.6%	3.4%	.313	4.02	20.4%	12.2%	311	-1.54	3.71	534	70
Pedro Garcia R 2018 · 6.06 FIP	23	SW	6.06	12.6%	24.0%	1.8%	.242	—	—	—	—	—	3.35	144	68
Mason Pelio R 2024 · 5.88 FIP	24	SP	5.88	9.0%	21.8%	1.4%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	5.88	122	67
Andrew Landry R 2024 · 5.70 FIP	22	SP	5.70	9.8%	20.7%	1.5%	.290	4.09	17.2%	5.1%	157	-1.61	3.22	177	67
Lauro Ramirez R 2015 · 5.80 FIP	25	SP-	5.80	9.5%	10.1%	4.1%	.382	4.99	7.2%	-3.4%	90	-0.81	4.99	140	67
Jeff Samardzija R 2010 · 7.03 FIP	25	SW	7.03	9.0%	19.0%	4.2%	.250	3.60	23.9%	15.1%	476	-3.43	2.73	1,662	67
Jose Campos R 2017 · 5.79 FIP	25	SP	5.79	9.9%	15.8%	2.8%	.368	5.86	15.0%	4.8%	44	+0.07	3.28	241	66
Levi Stoudt R 2023 · 6.22 FIP	25	SP-	6.22	13.4%	12.1%	5.0%	.280	6.13	15.4%	4.5%	110	-0.09	4.35	395	66
Jesse Foppert R 2005 · 7.32 FIP	25	SP-	7.32	11.3%	24.5%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	4.80	121	66
Lucas Erceg R 2021 · 5.61 FIP	26	SP-	5.61	17.1%	18.1%	3.0%	.258	3.36	25.0%	13.8%	193	-2.25	2.10	351	65
Joel Hanrahan R 2007 · 5.58 FIP	25	SP	5.58	17.4%	15.4%	3.6%	.318	3.06	27.8%	18.1%	218	-2.52	2.08	397	65
Jonathon Crawford R 2017 · 6.93 FIP	25	SP	6.93	7.8%	20.7%	3.4%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	125	64
Noah Hall R 2024 · 5.65 FIP	23	SP	5.65	15.1%	17.0%	3.1%	.450	4.88	18.6%	3.6%	236	-0.77	4.27	248	63
Jim Brower R 2000 · 5.54 FIP	27	SP-	5.54	10.9%	10.2%	3.8%	.314	4.22	16.4%	7.2%	310	-1.32	3.67	571	63

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	68	12.8%	18.6%	1.13	6.35
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Matt Perisho ('05)	1.4	69	15.2%	12.2%	1.37	6.39
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Lloyd Allen ('69-'75, -5 WAR*)	1.5	59	19.8%*	13.9%*	0.79*	5.99*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*