Brady Counsell — OGILVIE

Brady CounsellSS Hillsboro Hops

Age 23 R/R 6'3" / 210 lbs A+ HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION284 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†41

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP266

ISO90

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER38

scouting grade only

EYE49

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	23	A+ MLE	ARI	—	284	257	37	7	0	2	18	118	6	8	3	144	217	195	412	51	254	42	6	190	15	-29	+0	+0	+3	+6	-2.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A+ RAW	ARI	—	284	246	52	11	0	3	29	84	6	8	3	211	310	293	602	81	306	30	10	280	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	A+ MLE	ARI	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		261	33	11	228	41	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	23	A+ MLE	ARI	—	293	265	38	7	0	2	19	121	6	8	3	143	217	192	410	49	252	41	6	191	16	-29	+0	+0	+3	+6	-2.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	ARI	30%	444	404	74	14	1	6	31	143	6	9	3	183	252	267	519	84	266	32	7	242	50	-27	+1	+0	+5	+10	-1.2
2027	24	MLB CTX	ARI	30%	135	123	24	5	1	2	9	44	2	3	1	195	261	301	562	106	271	33	7	234	50	-8	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	135	123	24	5	1	2	9	44	2	3	1	195	261	301	562	106	282	33	7	234	49	-8	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	116	24	5	10	43	212	10	14	5	196	262	304	566	108	283	33	7	234	49	-39	+1	+0	+7	+14	-1.7
Career	—	MLE		—	453	412	75	14	1	6	32	146	6	9	3	182	251	265	516	83	263	32	7	241	49	-27	+1	+0	+5	+10	-1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	107	20	1	9	46	209	9	13	4	181	251	264	515	83	261	32	7	241	49	-39	+1	+0	+7	+14	-1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brady Counsell (OGILVIE)	23	20→25	33→38	50→55	49	173/242/247	74	261	3	7	34%	7%	41	-1.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Raul Siri 2018 · A	23	39	38→40	51→50	42	192/251/271	80	265	6	11	29%	7%	49	-2.4	199/265/283	84	347	5	9	41%	7%	57	-1.8	146/235/232	85	299	4	14	47%	8%	34	-0.6
✕Grae Kessinger 2021 · A	23	43→31	39→45	50	47	208/276/293	85	264	7	12	23%	8%	63	-1.4	191/260/296	105	257	12	15	29%	8%	59	-1.7	179/261/273	93	244	9	8	29%	9%	52	-0.9
✕Jorge Saez 2014 · A	23	38	39→45	49→30	43	188/248/271	83	255	7	6	28%	7%	47	-2.5	196/263/293	97	280	8	3	31%	8%	58	-1.7	207/270/340	133	282	19	3	33%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	36	36→40	52→50	41	176/235/239	63	249	4	15	30%	6%	35	-3.4	212/281/292	80	276	8	14	24%	8%	65	-1.2	205/280/278	73	264	8	16	24%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Mariel Bautista 2021 · A	23	41→36	42→45	49→50	39	204/254/301	97	266	10	15	27%	5%	57	-1.8	211/256/332	121	306	12	11	34%	5%	64	-1.3	186/219/331	145	265	16	11	36%	3%	51	-0.5
✕Tate Blackman 2018 · A	23	40→35	42→45	49→40	44	198/269/304	106	269	10	4	29%	7%	63	-1.3	179/252/275	96	301	10	4	41%	8%	51	-2.3	159/236/248	88	274	11	3	43%	8%	37	-2.3
✕Connor Justus 2018 · A	23	40→38	38→40	46→45	45	189/272/265	76	270	5	9	30%	8%	56	-1.9	179/259/251	72	255	5	8	29%	8%	49	-2.4	164/243/223	59	238	4	6	30%	7%	34	-2.4
✕Jack Winkler 2022 · A	23	40→41	38→40	48→55	40	194/249/274	80	270	4	10	28%	6%	48	-2.5	206/268/296	90	274	7	14	26%	6%	61	-1.5	192/259/279	87	258	7	18	27%	6%	51	-1.6
✕Joe Cronin 2017 · A	23	40	38→45	48→50	43	195/265/267	72	264	5	12	27%	6%	53	-2.1	181/269/271	90	281	8	7	35%	9%	57	-1.8	162/259/254	92	253	9	8	36%	9%	47	-1.1
✕Andrés Alvarez 2021 · A	24	41→31	37→45	48→50	42	196/261/270	74	275	4	7	29%	7%	52	-2.2	202/269/324	122	288	13	15	33%	8%	68	-1.0	182/251/303	121	254	14	15	33%	8%	55	-1.1
✕Max George 2019 · A	23	35→38	44→45	53→55	44	180/263/295	115	240	11	20	29%	7%	60	-1.6	190/276/300	110	283	11	20	34%	8%	66	-1.1	150/259/288	138	250	17	20	43%	10%	55	-0.8
✕Stephen Wrenn 2018 · A	23	42→43	40→45	51→60	40	206/255/294	88	289	7	12	30%	6%	55	-2.0	205/261/305	100	295	8	24	31%	6%	60	-1.6	198/258/302	104	291	8	31	33%	6%	56	-1.4
✕Julio Carrion 2022 · A	23	39	38→40	50→45	42	188/269/267	79	279	6	5	33%	7%	55	-1.9	186/259/280	94	342	9	5	45%	7%	55	-2.0	160/236/251	91	316	11	4	49%	7%	37	-1.3
✕Steven Baron 2014 · A	23	35	40→45	53→50	34	179/213/275	95	257	7	9	33%	4%	34	-3.5	216/264/299	83	296	5	9	27%	6%	59	-1.7	237/293/310	73	315	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Riccio Torrez 2013 · A	23	37→35	41→40	47→45	40	187/241/282	95	234	9	7	24%	4%	48	-2.5	200/255/288	88	257	7	6	24%	4%	54	-2.0	195/249/276	81	251	5	3	23%	3%	47	-1.0
✕Chris Roller 2019 · A	22	39	41→45	51→55	42	192/267/295	103	286	9	14	34%	8%	61	-1.5	205/269/313	108	292	7	12	30%	6%	65	-1.2	178/265/281	103	258	10	19	32%	8%	56	-1.0
✕Jon Murphy 2013 · A	23	38	38→30	47→50	39	185/237/262	77	264	5	13	31%	6%	40	-3.0	198/251/261	63	306	3	10	34%	6%	46	-2.6	192/247/244	53	300	3	10	35%	6%	37	-1.7
✕Tyler Grimes 2013 · A	23	37	42→40	46→40	40	180/259/284	104	282	9	8	37%	8%	55	-1.9	203/277/297	94	309	7	5	34%	7%	65	-1.2	203/279/289	86	310	6	2	34%	7%	62	-0.8
✕Jesus Valdez 2021 · A	23	42	42→45	50	43	204/273/309	105	279	9	11	29%	7%	65	-1.2	203/244/323	120	298	14	9	35%	4%	57	-1.8	195/255/286	91	276	10	3	32%	6%	51	-0.7
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→40	50→45	40	186/240/263	77	257	4	8	28%	6%	42	-2.9	207/267/299	92	292	8	10	30%	7%	61	-1.5	192/260/271	78	271	9	12	31%	7%	51	-0.6