Brady Counsell — OGILVIE

Brady CounsellSS Hillsboro Hops

Age 23 R/R 6'3" / 210 lbs A+ HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION251 act + 167 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†34

AVG/OBP/SLG.177 / .242 / .263

PA167

HR2

K%34

BB%7

BABIP265

ISO85

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 39

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER39

scouting grade only

EYE49

scouting grade only

SPEED56

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A+	ARI	—	251	227	33	6	0	2	16	106	5	8	3	145	218	198	416	53	258	42	6	189	3	-28	+0	+0	+3	+7	-1.8
YTD	23	A+	ARI	—	251	217	45	9	0	3	26	76	5	8	3	207	306	290	597	83	302	30	10	277	70	-9	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.2
ROS	23	A+	ARI	0%	167	152	27	5	1	2	11	57	2	4	1	177	242	263	505	85	262	34	7	230	34	-12	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.6
ROS	23	MLB	ARI	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						264	0	0	221	27	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	A+	ARI	—	252	228	33	6	0	2	16	106	5	8	3	145	217	197	414	53	256	42	6	189	3	-28	+0	+0	+3	+7	-1.8
TOT	23	A+	ARI	—	418	379	60	11	1	4	27	163	7	12	4	158	227	224	451	66	261	39	6	205	15	-40	+1	+0	+4	+12	-2.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	ARI	30%	538	488	90	17	2	8	38	176	7	11	4	184	253	277	530	92	266	33	7	242	44	-34	+1	+0	+6	+15	-1.3
2028	25	MLB	ARI	44%	579	525	100	19	2	10	42	185	7	13	4	190	260	291	551	101	269	32	7	250	50	-33	+1	+0	+6	+16	-1.0
2027	24	MLB	ARI	30%	163	148	27	5	1	2	12	53	2	3	1	182	253	270	523	88	269	33	7	235	38	-11	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.5
2028	25	MLB	ARI	44%	256	233	44	8	1	4	18	82	3	6	2	189	256	283	539	94	271	32	7	243	44	-16	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	420	382	71	13	2	6	30	135	5	9	3	186	254	277	532	92	267	32	7	240	42	-28	+1	+0	+4	+12	-1.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	109	20	3	9	46	209	8	14	5	184	253	274	527	90	266	32	7	240	42	-43	+1	+0	+7	+18	-1.7
Career	—			—	1284	1165	217	41	5	20	91	418	16	28	9	186	255	281	536	95	268	33	7	244	45	-80	+2	+0	+14	+36	-2.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	110	21	3	10	46	212	8	14	5	186	255	283	538	97	269	33	7	244	45	-40	+1	+0	+7	+18	-1.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	421	7	9	189	255	285	+5	+3	-0.8	-0.4
	/162	664	11	14	189	255	285	+7.1	+4.7	-1.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brady Counsell (OGILVIE)	23	20→25	34→39	51→56	49	158/227/224	66	261	4	12	39%	6%	15	-2.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Raul Siri 2018 · A	23	39	38→40	51→50	42	192/251/271	80	265	6	11	29%	7%	42	-2.3	199/264/283	84	349	5	9	41%	7%	51	-1.7	149/237/238	89	307	4	14	47%	8%	28	-0.6
✕Grae Kessinger 2021 · A	23	43→28	39→45	50	47	209/276/293	84	265	7	12	23%	8%	58	-1.2	188/256/297	109	262	13	15	32%	7%	51	-1.7	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Mariel Bautista 2021 · A	23	40→34	42→45	49→50	38	201/251/299	98	265	10	15	28%	5%	49	-1.8	209/254/332	123	305	13	11	34%	5%	59	-1.1	181/215/331	150	258	17	11	37%	3%	42	-0.5
✕Max George 2019 · A	23	33→36	41→45	53→55	43	170/253/270	99	234	9	20	30%	7%	44	-2.1	183/267/288	105	279	10	20	36%	8%	55	-1.4	148/255/300	152	246	20	20	45%	10%	51	-0.7
✕Joe Cronin 2017 · A	23	40	38→45	48→50	43	195/265/267	72	264	5	12	27%	6%	47	-1.9	180/270/270	90	282	8	7	36%	9%	51	-1.7	161/260/254	93	255	9	8	37%	10%	41	-1.0
✕Jorge Saez 2014 · A	23	38	39→45	49→30	43	188/248/271	83	255	7	6	28%	7%	40	-2.4	194/261/290	96	280	8	3	31%	8%	51	-1.7	206/269/348	143	287	21	3	35%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Tate Blackman 2018 · A	23	40→34	42→45	49→40	44	198/269/304	106	269	10	4	29%	7%	59	-1.1	175/249/267	92	300	10	4	41%	8%	41	-2.3	154/232/237	84	271	10	3	44%	8%	25	-2.5
✕Riccio Torrez 2013 · A	23	36→33	40	47→45	40	182/238/273	91	226	8	7	24%	4%	37	-2.6	196/252/283	87	254	7	6	25%	4%	46	-2.0	190/245/269	79	248	6	3	25%	3%	37	-1.0
✕Connor Justus 2018 · A	23	41→37	38→40	46→45	45	193/275/270	77	281	5	9	31%	8%	53	-1.5	176/256/248	72	256	5	8	31%	8%	40	-2.4	158/238/217	59	235	4	6	32%	7%	21	-2.5
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	35	36→40	52→50	40	172/231/233	61	252	4	15	32%	6%	24	-3.6	212/280/299	87	278	9	14	25%	8%	62	-0.9	207/281/290	83	267	10	16	25%	8%	57	-0.6
✕Brady Policelli 2019 · A	24	40→37	42→45	51→50	41	200/254/308	108	269	9	14	28%	6%	53	-1.5	194/258/312	118	268	11	14	30%	7%	56	-1.3	176/245/296	120	243	12	15	31%	7%	43	-1.5
✕Osiris Johnson 2023 · A	22	36	41→45	51→50	39	186/239/277	91	257	10	9	31%	6%	38	-2.6	194/242/295	101	272	11	14	32%	5%	44	-2.1	178/225/278	100	246	13	18	33%	5%	29	-1.2
✕Brock Carpenter 2018 · A	23	37	41→40	48→30	42	184/257/280	96	282	10	6	36%	8%	47	-1.9	201/263/302	101	330	8	6	38%	7%	55	-1.4	188/249/306	119	317	7	3	40%	7%	46	-0.7
✕Jack Winkler 2022 · A	23	41→40	38→40	48→55	40	195/249/275	80	270	4	10	28%	6%	42	-2.3	203/265/296	93	273	8	14	27%	6%	54	-1.4	185/251/274	89	253	8	18	29%	6%	40	-1.7
✕Andrés Alvarez 2021 · A	24	41→30	37→45	48→50	42	195/261/270	74	275	4	7	29%	7%	46	-2.0	201/266/321	120	293	13	15	34%	7%	62	-0.9	177/245/298	121	254	15	15	35%	7%	45	-1.1
✕Jon Murphy 2013 · A	23	38	38→30	47→50	39	185/237/262	77	264	5	13	31%	6%	33	-2.9	197/249/259	62	309	3	10	35%	6%	37	-2.6	191/245/241	50	305	2	10	36%	6%	27	-1.8
✕Stephen Wrenn 2018 · A	23	42→43	39→45	51→60	40	204/254/292	87	288	7	12	31%	6%	48	-1.9	199/255/300	101	295	8	24	33%	6%	51	-1.7	192/250/301	109	290	9	31	35%	6%	47	-1.4
✕Chris Hess 2018 · A	23	39→34	37→45	49→30	38	187/245/270	83	282	3	5	33%	6%	39	-2.5	194/251/308	114	284	11	4	34%	4%	52	-1.6	181/239/309	128	257	14	1	34%	4%	46	-1.6
✕Jesus Valdez 2021 · A	23	42	42→45	50	43	204/273/309	105	279	9	11	29%	7%	61	-1.0	203/243/322	119	301	13	9	36%	4%	51	-1.7	196/233/312	116	281	13	4	35%	4%	41	-1.0
✕Steven Baron 2014 · A	23	34	40→45	53→50	34	176/209/269	93	256	6	9	34%	4%	22	-3.7	215/263/298	83	301	5	9	28%	6%	53	-1.5	240/300/311	71	326	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.2