Martin GonzalezSS
ACL Mariners
Age 21
R/R
5'10" / 165 lbs
ROK
HR +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 1.0 · 2031
wRC+†53
AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .265 / .287
PA188
HR3
K%34
BB%8
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
20→20
PWR
25→25
SPD
45→45
EYE
48↗50
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.1peak
2032
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +1.0 | $10M | +$9M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.9 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.8 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.5 | $3M | +$1M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.3 | $2M | +$0.6M |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $7M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $13M | $22M | +$10M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 215 | 186 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 129 | 9 | 2 | 4 | .129 | .239 | .183 | .422 | .054 | .386 | 60 | 8 | .192 | 5 | -23 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +6 | -1.6 |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 160 | 139 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 79 | 6 | 1 | 0 | .115 | .231 | .158 | .390 | .043 | .254 | 49 | 9 | .185 | 0 | -18 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +5 | -1.2 |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | ACL Mariners | 103 | 94 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 45 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .128 | .204 | .160 | .363 | .032 | .245 | 44 | 7 | .173 | -9 | -13 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | -0.9 |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | ACL Mariners | 219 | 191 | 27 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 95 | 5 | 5 | 2 | .141 | .234 | .220 | .454 | .079 | .255 | 43 | 8 | .204 | 14 | -21 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +6 | -1.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | MLB | SEA | 188 | 169 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 64 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .189 | .263 | .290 | .553 | .101 | .282 | 34 | 8 | .255 | 53 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +5 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB 11% | SEA | 256 | 229 | 46 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 82 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .201 | .280 | .314 | .594 | .114 | .284 | 32 | 9 | .271 | 66 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +7 | 0.0 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB 28% | SEA | 357 | 317 | 66 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 110 | 5 | 6 | 1 | .208 | .291 | .338 | .628 | .129 | .285 | 31 | 9 | .281 | 73 | -11 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +10 | 0.4 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB 45% | SEA | 425 | 378 | 79 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 39 | 128 | 5 | 7 | 2 | .209 | .291 | .339 | .630 | .130 | .286 | 30 | 9 | .287 | 78 | -11 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +12 | 0.7 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB 60% | SEA | 464 | 411 | 87 | 17 | 2 | 11 | 44 | 138 | 6 | 8 | 2 | .212 | .297 | .343 | .640 | .131 | .287 | 30 | 9 | .291 | 81 | -10 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +13 | 0.9 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB 77% | SEA | 487 | 432 | 91 | 17 | 2 | 12 | 46 | 145 | 6 | 8 | 2 | .211 | .295 | .343 | .638 | .132 | .288 | 30 | 9 | .293 | 82 | -10 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +14 | 1.0 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB 92% | SEA | 496 | 439 | 93 | 18 | 2 | 12 | 48 | 148 | 6 | 8 | 2 | .212 | .298 | .344 | .642 | .132 | .288 | 30 | 10 | .293 | 82 | -10 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +14 | 1.0 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 497 | 440 | 93 | 18 | 2 | 12 | 48 | 150 | 6 | 7 | 1 | .211 | .298 | .343 | .641 | .132 | .287 | 30 | 10 | .292 | 81 | -10 | +1 | -1 | +5 | +14 | 0.9 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB | SEA | 491 | 434 | 90 | 17 | 2 | 12 | 48 | 149 | 6 | 7 | 1 | .207 | .295 | .339 | .634 | .131 | .286 | 30 | 10 | .290 | 80 | -11 | +1 | -1 | +5 | +14 | 0.8 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB | SEA | 483 | 427 | 88 | 17 | 2 | 11 | 47 | 148 | 6 | 6 | 1 | .206 | .294 | .333 | .626 | .126 | .285 | 31 | 10 | .286 | 77 | -12 | +1 | -2 | +5 | +14 | 0.5 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB | SEA | 471 | 416 | 85 | 16 | 2 | 11 | 46 | 147 | 6 | 5 | 0 | .204 | .293 | .332 | .624 | .127 | .283 | 31 | 10 | .283 | 74 | -14 | +1 | -3 | +5 | +13 | 0.3 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB | SEA | 453 | 401 | 80 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 44 | 144 | 5 | 4 | 0 | .200 | .287 | .322 | .608 | .122 | .281 | 32 | 10 | .278 | 71 | -15 | +1 | -4 | +5 | +13 | 0.0 |
| 2038 | 33 | MLB | SEA | 424 | 375 | 74 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 41 | 137 | 5 | 4 | 0 | .197 | .285 | .317 | .602 | .120 | .280 | 32 | 10 | .273 | 67 | -16 | +1 | -4 | +5 | +12 | -0.3 |
| 2039 | 34 | MLB | SEA | 379 | 335 | 65 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 37 | 126 | 4 | 4 | 0 | .194 | .282 | .304 | .586 | .110 | .278 | 33 | 10 | .266 | 62 | -16 | +1 | -5 | +4 | +11 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6568 | 5813 | 1148 | 219 | 28 | 138 | 615 | 2164 | 93 | 89 | 20 | .197 | .285 | .316 | .601 | .119 | .285 | 33 | 9 | .274 | 68 | -241 | +10 | -20 | +70 | +186 | 0.6 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 575 | 115 | 22 | 3 | 14 | 61 | 214 | 9 | 9 | 2 | .200 | .286 | .322 | .608 | .122 | .289 | 33 | 9 | .274 | 68 | -24 | +1 | -2 | +7 | +18 | 0.1 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 215 | 172 | 40 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 86 | 9 | 2 | 4 | .233 | .380 | .326 | .706 | .093 | .435 | 40 | 15 | .332 | 112 | +3 | -1 | — | — | +6 | 0.8 |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 160 | 129 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 57 | 6 | 1 | 0 | .194 | .350 | .264 | .614 | .070 | .338 | 36 | 16 | .300 | 87 | -2 | +0 | — | — | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | ACL Mariners | 103 | 91 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .209 | .301 | .286 | .587 | .077 | .311 | 29 | 10 | .274 | 68 | -4 | +0 | — | — | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | ACL Mariners | 219 | 179 | 36 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 66 | 5 | 5 | 2 | .201 | .332 | .307 | .639 | .106 | .296 | 30 | 14 | .294 | 83 | -4 | +0 | — | — | +6 | 0.2 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Martin Gonzalez (OGILVIE) | 21 | 20 | 25 | 45 | 50 | .189/.265/.287 | .098 | .282 | 3 | 3 | 34% | 8% | 53 | -0.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2010 · A |
21 | 33 | 41→45 | 41→50 | 41 | .168/.252/.259 | .091 | .262 | 9 | 8 | 37% | 8% | 41 | -2.3 | .197/.275/.307 | .110 | .307 | 11 | 5 | 36% | 9% | 63 | -0.9 | .204/.303/.338 | .134 | .292 | 14 | 2 | 32% | 11% | 83 | +0.2 |
|
✕Payton Henry 2018 · A |
21 | 40→31 | 41→45 | 46→30 | 38 | .191/.255/.294 | .102 | .304 | 8 | 4 | 38% | 7% | 50 | -1.7 | .187/.253/.289 | .102 | .316 | 10 | 2 | 41% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .246/.293/.382 | .135 | .322 | 19 | 1 | 29% | 4% | 83 | +0.2 |
|
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A |
20 | 37 | 40 | 44→55 | 39 | .185/.250/.273 | .088 | .268 | 9 | 9 | 33% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | .200/.257/.289 | .089 | .277 | 6 | 11 | 28% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .197/.256/.288 | .091 | .265 | 4 | 15 | 26% | 6% | 45 | -0.8 |
|
✕Franklin Tineo 2016 · A |
21 | 37 | 38→45 | 41→50 | 46 | .178/.258/.254 | .076 | .251 | 5 | 7 | 29% | 8% | 41 | -2.3 | .189/.262/.277 | .088 | .258 | 7 | 10 | 27% | 8% | 49 | -1.8 | .184/.261/.280 | .096 | .239 | 8 | 13 | 25% | 8% | 47 | -0.7 |
|
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A |
21 | 40 | 38→40 | 47→55 | 47 | .192/.263/.275 | .082 | .250 | 5 | 9 | 24% | 8% | 48 | -1.9 | .212/.292/.300 | .088 | .255 | 8 | 17 | 19% | 9% | 67 | -0.5 | .209/.299/.290 | .080 | .241 | 9 | 25 | 16% | 10% | 66 | -0.2 |
|
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A |
21 | 37 | 36→40 | 45→40 | 46 | .174/.265/.241 | .067 | .259 | 4 | 5 | 32% | 9% | 42 | -2.3 | .187/.265/.267 | .080 | .304 | 5 | 4 | 37% | 8% | 47 | -1.9 | .184/.258/.270 | .086 | .308 | 5 | 2 | 39% | 8% | 42 | -0.8 |
|
✕Steven Baron 2012 · A |
21 | 34 | 39→45 | 45→50 | 36 | .174/.218/.256 | .082 | .253 | 7 | 7 | 34% | 5% | 23 | -3.6 | .191/.228/.286 | .095 | .265 | 7 | 9 | 29% | 4% | 35 | -2.8 | .233/.289/.308 | .075 | .313 | 4 | 8 | 25% | 7% | 63 | -0.4 |
|
✕Imbewer Alvarez 2007 · A |
21 | 42 | 39→40 | 45→55 | 37 | .199/.254/.291 | .092 | .307 | 6 | 8 | 35% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .213/.277/.298 | .085 | .301 | 6 | 15 | 29% | 7% | 60 | -1.0 | .216/.288/.295 | .079 | .292 | 7 | 22 | 26% | 7% | 60 | -0.3 |
|
✕Glenn Santiago 2023 · A |
22 | 41 | 41→40 | 46→45 | 40 | .203/.258/.301 | .098 | .286 | 8 | 8 | 31% | 6% | 52 | -1.6 | .200/.266/.289 | .089 | .294 | 8 | 9 | 32% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .183/.256/.260 | .077 | .269 | 7 | 8 | 32% | 8% | 40 | -1.1 |
|
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A |
22 | 41 | 39→40 | 49→40 | 40 | .198/.263/.282 | .084 | .277 | 6 | 7 | 29% | 6% | 50 | -1.7 | .218/.296/.304 | .086 | .283 | 8 | 4 | 24% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .219/.302/.289 | .070 | .280 | 7 | 1 | 22% | 7% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Deivi Mejia 2011 · A |
21 | 40 | 39→40 | 44→30 | 44 | .194/.265/.281 | .087 | .269 | 7 | 5 | 29% | 7% | 51 | -1.7 | .211/.260/.303 | .092 | .273 | 7 | 4 | 24% | 5% | 53 | -1.5 | .224/.268/.311 | .087 | .267 | 6 | 1 | 18% | 3% | 59 | -0.4 |
|
✕Braulio Vasquez 2021 · A |
22 | 40 | 39→40 | 44→65 | 37 | .193/.250/.274 | .080 | .298 | 7 | 7 | 36% | 6% | 42 | -2.3 | .205/.278/.298 | .093 | .301 | 7 | 29 | 32% | 7% | 61 | -1.0 | .200/.277/.293 | .093 | .287 | 7 | 42 | 30% | 7% | 55 | -0.6 |
|
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A |
20 | 41→35 | 41→45 | 47→50 | 40 | .199/.265/.295 | .096 | .286 | 9 | 10 | 32% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .204/.294/.305 | .101 | .301 | 9 | 8 | 32% | 10% | 70 | -0.3 | .186/.292/.283 | .097 | .277 | 9 | 10 | 33% | 11% | 63 | -0.5 |
|
✕Elio Prado 2023 · A |
21 | 42→37 | 36→40 | 46→50 | 45 | .197/.283/.264 | .067 | .287 | 4 | 6 | 30% | 8% | 55 | -1.4 | .193/.263/.289 | .096 | .261 | 10 | 12 | 28% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .178/.245/.270 | .092 | .242 | 10 | 14 | 29% | 6% | 37 | -1.5 |
|
✕Andy Paz 2015 · A |
22 | 39 | 38→40 | 45 | 45 | .191/.251/.267 | .076 | .256 | 5 | 5 | 26% | 7% | 40 | -2.4 | .211/.266/.279 | .068 | .290 | 4 | 6 | 27% | 7% | 50 | -1.8 | .235/.280/.283 | .048 | .303 | 3 | 7 | 22% | 6% | 52 | -0.5 |
|
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A |
22 | 43 | 42→40 | 46→45 | 48 | .209/.289/.317 | .108 | .281 | 9 | 6 | 28% | 9% | 70 | -0.3 | .221/.304/.311 | .090 | .312 | 8 | 6 | 29% | 9% | 75 | -0.0 | .236/.329/.308 | .072 | .330 | 7 | 6 | 28% | 11% | 83 | +0.2 |
|
✕Luis Sanchez 2008 · A |
21 | 38 | 36→30 | 46→40 | 44 | .181/.255/.243 | .062 | .263 | 4 | 7 | 31% | 8% | 37 | -2.7 | .198/.257/.251 | .053 | .277 | 2 | 4 | 27% | 7% | 39 | -2.5 | .190/.247/.234 | .043 | .266 | 1 | 2 | 27% | 7% | 27 | -1.6 |
|
✕Yeison Santana 2022 · A |
21 | 44 | 38→30 | 45→55 | 39 | .206/.265/.282 | .076 | .318 | 5 | 10 | 35% | 7% | 50 | -1.7 | .218/.286/.280 | .062 | .312 | 3 | 15 | 28% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .226/.306/.267 | .041 | .308 | 2 | 22 | 25% | 9% | 60 | -0.5 |
|
✕Victor Duarte 2022 · A |
21 | 38 | 38→30 | 48→45 | 43 | .184/.251/.264 | .080 | .244 | 5 | 7 | 26% | 6% | 40 | -2.4 | .199/.274/.283 | .084 | .289 | 6 | 6 | 31% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .168/.241/.224 | .056 | .238 | 4 | 6 | 29% | 7% | 25 | -0.8 |
|
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A |
21 | 43 | 41→45 | 50 | 43 | .204/.273/.304 | .100 | .299 | 8 | 11 | 32% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .191/.262/.285 | .094 | .292 | 6 | 14 | 34% | 8% | 50 | -1.7 | .147/.226/.244 | .097 | .221 | 6 | 25 | 34% | 8% | 24 | -0.9 |