Martin Gonzalez

SS ACL Mariners
Age 22 R/R 5'10" / 165 lbs ROK K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202419ROKSEA103.209/.301/.286002—.126/.194/.158
202520ROKSEA219.201/.332/.3072519—.131/.224/.199
202621ROKSEA141.255/.406/.4183551—.167/.275/.267
2027PROJMLE22MLBSEA251.179/.255/.2582447-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB23MLBSEA40.183/.260/.2710153-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
ISO70
wRC+66
BB%66
wOBA53
Chase%51
K%18
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsMisael Urbina (age 22) · Franklin Tineo (age 22) · Claudio Finol (age 22)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 73 proj PA
wRC+†47
AVG/OBP/SLG.178 / .253 / .255
PA73
HR1
K%31
BB%8
ISO79
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.2-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 25
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT20
scouting grade only
POWER25
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202217 ROKDSL Mariners — 215172 40703 32869 24 233380326706 93435 4015 332 26 — — — — — —
202318 ROKDSL Mariners — 160129 25601 25576 10 194350264614 70338 3616 300 12 — — — — — —
202419 ROKACL Mariners — 10391 19510 10302 00 209301286587 77311 2910 274 2 — — — — — —
202520 ROKACL Mariners — 219179 36922 30665 52 201332307639 106296 3014 294 19 — — — — — —
202621 ROKACL Mariners — 141110 28903 25423 51 255406418824 164368 3018 368 51 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202217 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 215183 24401 211089 24 131254169423 38290 5010 207 26 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 160137 15300 17686 10 109237131369 22209 4211 186 12 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 10395 12300 6442 00 126194158352 32239 436 171 2 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 219191 25512 18955 52 131224199423 68231 438 197 19 — — — — — —
202621 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 141120 20602 15603 51 167275267542 100270 4311 243 51 — — — — — —
202217 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 215183 24401 211089 24 131254169423 38303 5010 207 26 — — — — — —
202217 ROK RAWDSL Mariners — 215172 40703 32869 24 233380326706 93435 4015 332 26 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 160137 15300 17686 10 109237131369 22217 4211 186 12 — — — — — —
202318 ROK RAWDSL Mariners — 160129 25601 25576 10 194350264614 70338 3616 300 12 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 10395 12300 6442 00 126194158352 32235 436 171 2 — — — — — —
202419 ROK RAWACL Mariners — 10391 19510 10302 00 209301286587 77311 2910 274 2 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 219191 25512 18955 52 131224199423 68235 438 197 19 — — — — — —
202520 ROK RAWACL Mariners — 219179 36922 30665 52 201332307639 106296 3014 294 19 — — — — — —
202621 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 141120 20602 15603 51 167275267542 100295 4311 243 51 — — — — — —
202621 ROK RAWACL Mariners — 141110 28903 25423 51 255406418824 164368 3018 368 51 — — — — — —
202217 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 215183 24401 211089 24 131254169423 38290 5010 207 26 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 160136 15300 17686 10 110237132370 22209 4211 186 12 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 10394 12300 6442 00 128194160354 32239 436 171 2 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 219194 25512 18955 52 129224196420 67231 438 197 19 — — — — — —
202621 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 141122 20602 15603 51 164275262538 98270 4311 243 51 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202419 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 10394 12300 6442 00 128194160354 32239 436 171 2 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 219194 25512 18955 52 129224196420 67231 438 197 19 — — — — — —
202621 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 141122 20602 15603 51 164275262538 98270 4311 243 51 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202722 MLB MLESEA 0% 251226 40812 20783 41 179255258513 79259 318 237 47 -16 +0 +0 +3 +5 -0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202823 MLB MLESEA 34% 115104 19411 9351 21 185261274536 89262 308 246 53 -6 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.3
202823 MLB CTXSEA 34% 4037 6100 3120 10 183260271530 87259 308 244 53 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 4037 6100 3120 10 162225189414 27240 308 244 28 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650601 971600 491950 160 161225188413 27239 308 244 28 -36 +3 +0 +7 +14 -1.2
Career— MLE — 1026896 1262727 9243327 168 141241199440 58255 429 210 28 -11 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650568 791714 5827417 105 139240194433 55253 429 210 28 -38 +1 +0 +7 +14 -1.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL Mariners · 141 PAwOBA .367 → .243 (−124)K% 29.8% → 42.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.79%÷1.000×1.440——42.89%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.73%÷1.000×0.620—×0.97510.72%
HBP% /PA2.13%—×0.720—×0.9751.49%
Singles /BIP23.53%÷1.000×0.820×0.975×0.97518.34%
Doubles /BIP13.24%÷1.000×0.720×0.975×0.9759.06%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720×0.975×0.9750.00%
Home runs /BIP4.41%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9753.36%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.

Result: wOBA .367 → .243; ISO .164 → .110; BABIP .368 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Mariners · 219 PAwOBA .291 → .197 (−93)K% 30.1% → 43.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.14%÷0.999×1.440——43.45%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.24%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9858.09%
HBP% /PA2.28%—×0.720—×0.9851.62%
Singles /BIP20.35%÷0.942×0.820×0.974×0.98517.01%
Doubles /BIP7.96%÷1.046×0.720×0.974×0.9855.26%
Triples /BIP1.77%÷0.900×0.720×0.974×0.9851.36%
Home runs /BIP1.77%÷0.886×0.780—×0.9851.54%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 88, 2B 109, 3B 80, K 100, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.

Result: wOBA .291 → .197; ISO .106 → .072; BABIP .296 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKACL Mariners · 103 PAwOBA .268 → .171 (−97)K% 29.1% → 42.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.13%÷0.981×1.440——42.73%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.71%÷0.966×0.620—×0.9956.20%
HBP% /PA1.94%—×0.720—×0.9951.39%
Singles /BIP21.31%÷0.962×0.820×0.950×0.99517.18%
Doubles /BIP8.20%÷0.970×0.720×0.950×0.9955.75%
Triples /BIP1.64%÷1.150×0.720×0.950×0.9950.97%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.863×0.780—×0.9950.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 92, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 96, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .268 → .171; ISO .077 → .043; BABIP .311 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Mariners · 160 PAwOBA .293 → .186 (−107)K% 35.6% → 42.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA35.62%÷1.020×1.220——42.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.62%÷1.005×0.700—×0.99510.83%
HBP% /PA3.75%—×0.700—×0.9952.61%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷0.978×0.680×0.950×0.99516.42%
Doubles /BIP8.33%÷1.092×0.600×0.950×0.9954.33%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.049×0.600×0.950×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP1.39%÷1.034×0.470—×0.9950.63%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 96, 2B 118, 3B 110, K 104, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .293 → .186; ISO .070 → .034; BABIP .338 → .209. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 DSLDSL Mariners · 215 PAwOBA .327 → .207 (−121)K% 40.0% → 50.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA40.00%÷0.977×1.220——49.95%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.88%÷1.055×0.700—×1.0089.95%
HBP% /PA4.19%—×0.700—×1.0082.95%
Singles /BIP34.88%÷0.991×0.680×0.999×1.00824.11%
Doubles /BIP8.14%÷0.953×0.600×0.999×1.0085.16%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.105×0.600×0.999×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP3.49%÷1.015×0.470—×1.0081.63%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 98, 2B 91, 3B 121, K 95, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .327 → .207; ISO .093 → .047; BABIP .435 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).