Martin Gonzalez — OGILVIE

Martin GonzalezSS ACL Mariners

Age 21 R/R 5'10" / 165 lbs ROK HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION128 act + 85 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†40

AVG/OBP/SLG.181 / .258 / .259

PA85

HR1

K%33

BB%8

BABIP269

ISO78

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	215	186	24	4	0	2	18	130	9	2	4	129	239	183	422	54	393	60	8	191	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	215	172	40	7	0	3	32	86	9	2	4	233	380	326	706	93	435	40	15	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	160	139	16	3	0	1	15	79	6	1	0	115	231	158	390	43	254	49	9	185	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	160	129	25	6	0	1	25	57	6	1	0	194	350	264	614	70	338	36	16	300	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	103	94	12	3	0	0	7	45	2	0	0	128	204	160	363	32	245	44	7	174	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	103	91	19	5	1	0	10	30	2	0	0	209	301	286	587	77	311	29	10	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	219	191	28	5	2	2	18	95	5	5	2	147	238	225	463	79	265	43	8	207	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	219	179	36	9	2	2	30	66	5	5	2	201	332	307	639	106	296	30	14	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	ROK	SEA	—	128	110	17	4	0	2	12	56	3	5	1	155	256	245	501	91	273	44	9	236	39	-9	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.3
YTD	21	ROK	SEA	—	128	102	25	7	0	3	20	39	3	5	1	245	384	402	786	157	349	30	16	351	127	+4	+1	+0	+1	+4	1.0
ROS	21	ROK	SEA	0%	85	77	14	3	0	1	7	28	1	2	0	181	258	259	516	78	262	33	8	238	40	-6	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
ROS	21	MLB	SEA	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		260	—	—	224	30	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	21	ROK	SEA	—	128	111	17	4	0	2	12	56	3	5	1	153	256	243	499	90	268	44	9	236	39	-9	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.3
TOT	21	ROK	SEA	—	213	187	31	7	0	3	19	84	4	7	1	165	257	251	508	85	271	39	9	237	39	-15	+1	+0	+2	+6	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	SEA	34%	256	229	43	9	1	4	21	80	4	4	1	188	268	288	556	100	268	31	8	254	52	-14	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.3
2028	23	MLB	SEA	48%	357	319	63	13	2	6	30	109	5	6	2	197	277	307	584	110	271	31	8	263	60	-16	+0	+0	+4	+10	-0.2
2029	24	MLB	SEA	53%	425	380	75	15	2	8	36	127	6	7	2	197	277	311	588	113	273	30	8	269	64	-17	+1	+0	+5	+12	-0.0
2030	25	MLB	SEA	55%	464	416	83	17	2	9	39	138	6	7	2	200	278	315	593	115	274	30	8	272	66	-18	+1	+0	+5	+13	0.1
2031	26	MLB	SEA	56%	487	435	88	18	2	10	42	144	7	8	2	202	283	322	605	120	273	30	9	273	67	-18	+1	+0	+5	+14	0.2
2032	27	MLB	SEA	55%	496	443	89	18	2	10	43	147	7	8	2	201	282	318	600	117	273	30	9	273	67	-19	+1	+0	+5	+14	0.2
2033	28	MLB	SEA	55%	497	444	89	18	2	10	43	148	7	8	2	200	281	318	599	117	273	30	9	272	66	-19	+1	-1	+5	+14	0.1
2027	22	MLB	SEA	34%	88	80	14	3	0	1	7	28	1	1	0	175	250	250	500	75	265	32	8	241	43	-6	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
2028	23	MLB	SEA	48%	173	154	30	6	1	3	15	53	2	3	1	195	275	305	580	110	268	31	9	251	50	-10	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.3
2029	24	MLB	SEA	53%	224	200	39	8	1	4	19	67	3	4	1	195	275	305	580	110	270	30	8	257	55	-11	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.2
2030	25	MLB	SEA	55%	254	227	45	9	1	5	22	75	3	4	1	198	278	313	591	115	271	30	9	260	57	-12	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.2
2031	26	MLB	SEA	56%	271	242	48	10	1	5	23	80	4	4	1	198	279	310	589	112	271	30	8	260	57	-13	+0	+0	+3	+8	-0.2
2032	27	MLB	SEA	55%	273	243	48	10	1	5	24	81	4	4	1	198	280	309	589	111	271	30	9	260	57	-13	+0	+0	+3	+8	-0.2
2033	28	MLB	SEA	55%	272	242	48	10	1	5	24	81	4	4	1	198	281	310	591	112	270	30	9	259	57	-13	+0	-0	+3	+8	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1555	1389	272	56	6	28	134	465	21	24	6	196	277	305	582	109	271	30	9	257	55	-79	+2	-0	+17	+44	-1.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	114	23	3	12	56	194	9	10	3	196	278	308	586	112	270	30	9	257	55	-33	+1	-0	+7	+18	-0.7
Career	—			—	3764	3353	624	126	15	63	319	1270	65	58	19	186	270	289	559	103	275	34	8	254	53	-201	+4	-1	+40	+107	-5.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	109	22	3	11	55	219	11	10	3	188	271	294	565	105	278	34	8	254	53	-35	+1	-0	+7	+18	-0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	215	172	40	7	0	3	32	86	9	2	4	233	380	326	706	93	435	40	15	332	112	+3	-1	—	—	+6	0.8
2023	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	160	129	25	6	0	1	25	57	6	1	0	194	350	264	614	70	338	36	16	300	87	-2	+0	—	—	+5	0.3
2024	19	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	103	91	19	5	1	0	10	30	2	0	0	209	301	286	587	77	311	29	10	274	68	-4	+0	—	—	+3	-0.1
2025	20	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	219	179	36	9	2	2	30	66	5	5	2	201	332	307	639	106	296	30	14	294	83	-4	+0	—	—	+6	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	1,742	31	28	199	275	309	+19	+15	-0.4	-0.1
	/162	664	12	11	199	275	309	+7.1	+5.7	-0.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Martin Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	21	20	25	45	50	165/257/251	85	271	3	7	39%	9%	39	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	36	36→40	45→40	46	170/263/235	65	253	4	5	32%	9%	40	-2.4	187/263/267	80	309	5	4	37%	8%	46	-2.0	184/258/270	86	308	5	2	39%	8%	42	-0.8
✕Luis Sanchez 2008 · A	21	37	36→30	45→40	44	178/253/238	60	259	4	7	31%	8%	35	-2.8	196/255/250	54	275	2	4	27%	7%	37	-2.6	188/244/231	44	262	1	2	27%	7%	26	-1.6
✕Victor Duarte 2022 · A	21	39	38→30	48→45	42	188/251/269	81	260	6	7	29%	6%	42	-2.3	199/274/280	81	291	6	6	31%	8%	55	-1.4	183/255/250	66	251	6	11	27%	8%	37	-0.7
✕Franklin Tineo 2016 · A	21	36	38→45	41→50	47	177/258/254	77	247	5	7	29%	9%	41	-2.3	190/264/281	91	260	7	10	28%	8%	50	-1.7	184/261/280	96	239	8	13	25%	8%	47	-0.7
✕Ronaldo Pulgar 2018 · A	21	35	34→30	46→55	44	170/241/222	52	239	2	7	28%	7%	25	-3.5	197/260/265	68	266	4	12	26%	7%	43	-2.2	189/250/244	55	249	4	19	24%	6%	30	-1.3
✕Steven Baron 2012 · A	21	33	40→45	45→50	36	171/214/256	85	249	7	7	34%	5%	21	-3.7	187/224/281	94	269	6	9	32%	4%	32	-3.0	240/300/311	71	326	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Gregori Gonzalez 2010 · A	21	39	35→30	46→55	38	188/230/246	58	269	3	14	30%	5%	25	-3.5	217/258/295	78	269	3	13	20%	4%	50	-1.8	230/267/317	87	275	3	15	17%	3%	58	-0.3
✕Luis Palacios 2010 · A	21	39	39→40	46→50	36	192/235/276	84	265	7	5	30%	4%	36	-2.7	190/239/268	78	302	5	7	36%	5%	35	-2.8	130/184/163	32	225	0	6	40%	6%	-19	-1.1
✕Carlos Torres 2014 · A	21	39	38→30	47→50	42	192/253/263	71	257	6	9	27%	6%	40	-2.4	191/232/261	70	262	5	6	28%	5%	30	-3.1	187/220/244	57	251	3	4	26%	3%	17	-1.1
✕Jose Ramirez 2010 · A	21	39	38→40	46→50	43	188/249/265	77	248	5	10	25%	6%	40	-2.4	211/278/295	84	273	7	11	24%	7%	60	-1.0	214/288/286	72	266	9	15	22%	7%	59	-0.5
✕Hector Martinez 2022 · A	21	41	35→30	46→50	44	193/260/253	60	272	3	7	28%	7%	41	-2.3	196/250/268	72	305	4	5	34%	6%	40	-2.4	152/197/210	58	243	3	0	37%	5%	0	-0.9
✕Deivi Mejia 2011 · A	21	40	39→40	43→30	44	193/264/278	85	266	7	5	29%	8%	50	-1.8	212/259/304	92	276	7	4	25%	4%	53	-1.5	224/268/311	87	267	6	1	18%	3%	59	-0.4
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A	21	39	38→40	47→55	47	190/263/273	82	247	5	9	24%	8%	47	-1.9	212/292/300	88	256	8	17	19%	9%	67	-0.5	209/299/290	80	241	9	25	16%	10%	66	-0.2
✕Claudio Finol 2022 · A	22	40	39→40	46→45	40	193/251/277	85	270	5	6	30%	6%	43	-2.2	194/250/277	83	275	7	9	30%	6%	43	-2.2	181/246/258	77	260	9	12	32%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Elio Prado 2023 · A	21	44→37	36→40	46→50	47	203/290/267	64	289	4	6	28%	8%	59	-1.1	194/265/290	96	265	9	12	29%	7%	53	-1.5	180/250/271	92	246	10	14	30%	7%	39	-1.4
✕Angel Rojas 2014 · A	21	37	34→30	47→50	39	177/234/230	53	260	2	9	31%	6%	24	-3.6	201/253/269	68	288	3	6	29%	5%	42	-2.3	195/242/237	42	275	0	2	27%	4%	26	-0.6
✕Yovanny Cuevas 2019 · A	21	38	35→30	47→50	46	182/255/241	60	248	2	11	26%	8%	37	-2.7	210/287/308	98	311	8	10	32%	9%	67	-0.5	233/322/379	146	326	19	19	32%	9%	98	+0.3
✕Luis Rubio 2023 · A	21	40	35→30	46→45	39	185/248/243	57	296	2	7	36%	7%	33	-2.9	189/260/250	61	284	3	8	31%	8%	40	-2.4	127/221/148	21	194	0	8	31%	10%	-2	-1.3
✕Geovanny Planchart 2023 · A	21	41	36→40	50→40	46	190/271/255	65	295	3	5	34%	10%	46	-2.0	197/283/279	82	287	5	4	30%	10%	58	-1.2	185/278/265	80	263	6	2	29%	11%	51	-0.7
✕Alfredo González 2012 · A	20	36	36→40	47→45	38	174/218/242	68	245	2	8	29%	5%	19	-3.9	194/246/266	72	256	4	10	25%	5%	38	-2.6	229/290/281	52	315	3	6	26%	7%	57	-0.5