Martin Gonzalez — OGILVIE

Martin GonzalezSS ACL Mariners

Age 21 R/R 5'10" / 165 lbs ROK K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION141 act + 16 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .250 / .267

PA16

HR0

K%31

BB%6

BABIP265

ISO67

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$6M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-1	$3M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	215	172	40	7	0	3	32	86	9	2	4	233	380	326	706	93	435	40	15	332	111	+3	-1	—	—	+5	0.6
2023	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	160	129	25	6	0	1	25	57	6	1	0	194	350	264	614	70	338	36	16	300	89	-2	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
2024	19	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	103	91	19	5	1	0	10	30	2	0	0	209	301	286	587	77	311	29	10	274	72	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2025	20	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	219	179	36	9	2	2	30	66	5	5	2	201	332	307	639	106	296	30	14	294	85	-4	+0	—	—	+5	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	215	185	24	4	0	2	19	127	9	2	4	130	244	184	428	54	348	59	9	196	19	-21	-1	—	—	+5	-1.8
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	160	139	16	3	0	1	15	80	6	1	0	115	231	158	390	43	254	50	9	184	11	-17	+0	—	—	+3	-1.4
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	103	95	12	3	0	0	6	44	2	0	0	126	194	158	352	32	240	43	6	172	3	-12	+0	—	—	+2	-1.0
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	219	191	26	5	1	2	18	95	5	5	2	136	229	204	433	68	234	43	8	200	22	-20	+0	—	—	+5	-1.6
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	215	185	24	4	0	2	19	127	9	2	4	130	244	184	428	54	379	59	9	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	215	172	40	7	0	3	32	86	9	2	4	233	380	326	706	93	435	40	15	332	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	160	139	16	3	0	1	15	80	6	1	0	115	231	158	390	43	259	50	9	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	160	129	25	6	0	1	25	57	6	1	0	194	350	264	614	70	338	36	16	300	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	103	95	12	3	0	0	6	44	2	0	0	126	194	158	352	32	235	43	6	172	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	—	103	91	19	5	1	0	10	30	2	0	0	209	301	286	587	77	311	29	10	274	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	219	191	26	5	1	2	18	95	5	5	2	136	229	204	433	68	245	43	8	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	—	219	179	36	9	2	2	30	66	5	5	2	201	332	307	639	106	296	30	14	294	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	215	185	24	4	0	2	19	127	9	2	4	130	244	184	428	54	348	59	9	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	160	138	16	3	0	1	15	80	6	1	0	116	231	159	391	43	254	50	9	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	103	94	12	3	0	0	6	44	2	0	0	128	194	160	354	32	240	43	6	172	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	219	194	26	5	1	2	18	95	5	5	2	134	229	201	430	67	234	43	8	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	160	138	16	3	0	1	15	80	6	1	0	116	231	159	391	43	254	50	9	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	103	94	12	3	0	0	6	44	2	0	0	128	194	160	354	32	240	43	6	172	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	219	194	26	5	1	2	18	95	5	5	2	134	229	201	430	67	234	43	8	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	ROK MLE	SEA	—	141	119	20	6	0	2	16	60	3	5	1	168	283	269	552	101	300	43	11	248	54	-8	+1	+0	+2	+3	-0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	ROK RAW	SEA	—	141	110	28	9	0	3	25	42	3	5	1	255	406	418	824	164	368	30	18	368	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	ROK MLE	SEA	0%	16	15	3	1	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	200	250	267	517	67	267	31	6	244	51	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	21	ROK MLE	SEA	—	157	134	23	7	0	2	17	65	3	5	1	172	279	269	548	97	300	41	11	248	54	-9	+1	+0	+2	+3	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	SEA	34%	256	229	43	9	1	4	22	79	3	4	1	188	268	288	556	100	270	31	9	257	60	-12	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.4
2028	23	MLB MLE	SEA	48%	357	318	62	13	1	6	31	108	5	6	2	195	277	299	576	104	272	30	9	267	67	-14	+0	+0	+4	+8	-0.2
2029	24	MLB MLE	SEA	53%	425	379	76	16	2	8	37	126	6	7	2	201	282	317	599	116	274	30	9	272	70	-15	+1	+0	+5	+9	-0.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	SEA	55%	464	414	84	18	2	9	41	136	6	7	2	203	284	321	605	118	275	29	9	275	72	-15	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.0
2031	26	MLB MLE	SEA	56%	487	435	89	19	2	10	43	143	6	8	2	205	285	326	612	122	275	29	9	276	73	-16	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.1
2032	27	MLB MLE	SEA	55%	496	441	90	19	2	10	45	146	7	8	2	204	288	324	612	120	275	29	9	276	73	-16	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.1
2033	28	MLB MLE	SEA	55%	497	442	89	19	2	10	45	147	7	8	2	201	285	321	607	120	274	30	9	275	72	-16	+1	-1	+5	+11	-0.0
2034	29	MLB MLE	SEA	53%	491	437	86	18	2	9	45	146	6	7	2	197	281	309	590	112	274	30	9	273	71	-17	+1	-1	+5	+11	-0.2
2035	30	MLB MLE	SEA	57%	483	430	85	18	2	9	44	145	6	7	2	198	281	312	593	114	273	30	9	271	69	-18	+1	-2	+5	+10	-0.3
2027	22	MLB CTX	SEA	34%	88	79	14	3	0	1	8	27	1	1	0	177	261	253	515	76	267	31	9	245	60	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	SEA	48%	173	154	30	6	1	3	15	52	2	3	1	195	275	305	580	110	270	30	9	254	67	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	SEA	53%	224	199	39	8	1	4	20	66	3	4	1	196	279	307	586	111	272	29	9	260	70	-8	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.0
2030	25	MLB CTX	SEA	55%	254	227	45	9	1	5	22	75	3	4	1	198	278	313	591	115	272	30	9	263	72	-8	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.0
2031	26	MLB CTX	SEA	56%	271	241	48	10	1	5	24	80	4	4	1	199	283	311	594	112	272	30	9	263	73	-9	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.0
2032	27	MLB CTX	SEA	55%	273	242	48	10	1	5	25	80	4	4	1	198	284	310	594	112	272	29	9	264	73	-9	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.0
2033	28	MLB CTX	SEA	55%	272	241	48	10	1	5	25	80	4	4	1	199	285	311	596	112	272	29	9	263	72	-9	+0	-0	+3	+6	-0.0
2034	29	MLB CTX	SEA	53%	262	233	47	10	1	5	24	78	3	4	1	202	285	318	602	116	271	30	9	261	71	-9	+0	-1	+3	+6	-0.1
2035	30	MLB CTX	SEA	57%	275	244	48	10	1	5	25	83	4	4	1	197	282	307	589	111	270	30	9	259	69	-10	+0	-1	+3	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2092	1860	367	76	8	38	188	621	28	32	8	197	281	308	589	111	272	30	9	261	62	-73	+3	-2	+22	+45	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	114	24	2	12	58	193	9	10	2	197	280	308	588	111	272	30	9	261	62	-23	+1	-1	+7	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	4669	4150	785	165	17	80	412	1527	74	70	23	189	274	295	569	106	275	33	9	260	62	-140	+6	-4	+43	+86	-1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	109	23	2	11	57	213	10	10	3	189	272	292	565	104	275	33	9	260	62	-23	+1	-1	+7	+14	-0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.4	2,280	41	35	200	279	312	+24	+18	0.6	0.8
/162	664	12	10	+7.1	+5.2	0.2	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Martin Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	21	20	25	45	50	179/262/258	80	267	2	4	32%	9%	51	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	36	36→40	45→40	46	170/263/235	65	253	4	5	32%	9%	47	-2.6	187/263/267	80	309	5	4	37%	8%	53	-2.1	184/258/270	86	308	5	2	39%	8%	49	-0.9
✕Luis Sanchez 2008 · A	21	37	36→30	45→40	44	178/253/238	60	259	4	7	31%	8%	42	-2.9	198/256/251	53	276	2	4	27%	7%	45	-2.7	190/246/233	43	263	1	2	26%	7%	36	-1.6
✕Franklin Tineo 2016 · A	21	36	38→45	41→50	47	177/258/254	77	247	5	7	29%	9%	48	-2.5	190/264/281	91	260	7	10	28%	8%	56	-1.9	184/261/280	96	239	8	13	25%	8%	53	-0.7
✕Victor Duarte 2022 · A	21	39	38→30	48→45	42	188/251/270	82	260	6	7	29%	6%	49	-2.4	199/275/282	83	287	6	6	30%	8%	61	-1.5	182/254/249	67	248	6	11	27%	8%	43	-0.7
✕Alfredo González 2012 · A	20	36	36→30	47→45	38	174/218/242	68	245	2	8	29%	5%	28	-3.9	194/246/266	72	256	4	10	25%	5%	45	-2.7	232/294/283	50	313	3	6	25%	7%	64	-0.5
✕Ronaldo Pulgar 2018 · A	21	35	34→30	46→55	44	170/241/222	52	239	2	7	28%	7%	34	-3.5	197/260/265	68	266	4	12	26%	7%	50	-2.3	189/250/244	55	249	4	19	24%	6%	38	-1.3
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A	21	39	38→40	47→55	47	190/263/273	82	247	5	9	24%	8%	53	-2.1	212/292/300	88	256	8	17	19%	9%	71	-0.8	209/299/290	80	241	9	25	16%	10%	70	-0.3
✕Steven Baron 2012 · A	21	34	39→45	45→50	36	172/216/255	83	252	7	7	34%	5%	31	-3.7	189/226/284	95	266	6	9	30%	4%	41	-3.0	237/293/310	73	315	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Gregori Gonzalez 2010 · A	21	39	35→30	46→55	38	188/230/246	58	269	3	14	30%	5%	34	-3.5	217/258/295	78	269	3	13	20%	4%	55	-1.9	230/267/317	87	275	3	15	17%	3%	63	-0.4
✕Elio Prado 2023 · A	21	42→38	36→40	46→50	45	196/282/260	64	285	4	6	30%	8%	59	-1.7	195/265/290	95	267	9	12	29%	7%	59	-1.7	182/251/273	91	250	9	14	30%	7%	47	-1.4
✕Luis De La Cruz 2010 · A	21	41	38→30	47→30	40	197/233/275	77	246	5	6	22%	4%	41	-3.0	220/253/311	91	276	5	6	21%	4%	57	-1.8	245/267/324	79	295	3	3	18%	3%	62	-0.4
✕Jose Ramirez 2010 · A	21	39	38→40	46→50	43	188/249/265	77	248	5	10	25%	6%	47	-2.6	211/278/295	84	273	7	11	24%	7%	65	-1.2	214/288/286	72	266	9	15	22%	7%	63	-0.5
✕Carlos Torres 2014 · A	21	39	38→30	47→50	42	192/253/263	71	257	6	9	27%	6%	47	-2.5	191/232/261	70	262	5	6	28%	4%	38	-3.2	186/218/244	58	251	3	4	27%	3%	26	-1.2
✕Hector Martinez 2022 · A	21	41	35→30	46→50	44	193/261/253	60	271	3	7	28%	7%	48	-2.5	197/252/270	73	299	4	5	33%	6%	48	-2.5	154/203/214	60	235	4	0	34%	6%	15	-0.9
✕Luis Palacios 2010 · A	21	39	39→40	46→50	36	192/235/276	84	265	7	5	30%	4%	43	-2.8	192/239/270	78	302	5	7	36%	5%	43	-2.8	140/190/175	36	236	0	6	38%	6%	0	-1.0
✕Deivi Mejia 2011 · A	21	40	39→40	43→30	44	193/264/278	85	266	7	5	29%	8%	55	-1.9	212/259/304	92	276	7	4	25%	4%	59	-1.7	224/268/311	87	267	6	1	18%	3%	64	-0.5
✕Claudio Finol 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	46→45	40	194/253/278	85	271	5	6	29%	6%	51	-2.3	196/253/280	84	275	6	9	29%	6%	51	-2.2	192/260/271	78	271	9	12	31%	7%	51	-0.6
✕Aaron Shipman 2013 · A	21	40→37	35→30	44→50	48	187/266/245	59	273	2	9	30%	9%	49	-2.4	224/306/292	68	309	2	16	25%	10%	74	-0.6	243/332/303	60	328	1	21	23%	11%	81	-0.0
✕Yovanny Cuevas 2019 · A	21	38	35→30	47→50	46	182/255/241	60	248	2	11	26%	8%	44	-2.8	209/288/308	99	310	8	10	32%	9%	72	-0.7	233/322/379	146	326	19	19	32%	9%	98	+0.2
✕Luis Rubio 2023 · A	21	40	35→30	46→45	39	185/247/242	57	294	2	7	36%	7%	40	-3.1	190/261/251	61	286	3	8	32%	8%	48	-2.5	130/225/152	22	201	0	8	31%	10%	12	-1.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps