Dillon Head

CF Beloit Sky Carp

Age 22 L/L 5'10" / 185 lbs A+ HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

Scout OFP45ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	20	AMIA	425	.223/.335/.318	4	36	52	—	.190/.271/.269
2026	21	A+MIA	403	.248/.325/.379	7	41	59	—	.205/.265/.300
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBMIA	2	.183/.252/.267	0	0	52	-0.0
2028PROJ35% MLB	23	MLBMIA	155	.190/.259/.286	2	8	59	-0.2
2029PROJ46% MLB	24	MLBMIA	229	.195/.265/.299	4	11	65	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Speed96

Z-Con%89

Whiff%79

K%66

ISO41

Chase%37

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 2, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 88%

CompsWes Rogers (age 22) · Guy Lipscomb (age 23) · Carlos Willoughby (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.183 / .252 / .267

PA2

HR0

K%24

BB%8

BABIP235

ISO89

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$6M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 46 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT46

scouting grade only

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED73

scouting grade only

DEFENSE56

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-1	$3M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	18	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	61	54	13	1	2	0	4	10	2	1	2	241	317	333	650	93	289	16	7	292	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	ACL Padres	—	63	51	15	4	1	1	11	9	0	3	1	294	419	471	890	176	333	14	17	391	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	116	105	26	5	3	1	9	28	2	5	4	248	319	381	700	133	329	24	8	314	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	425	359	80	4	9	4	58	81	3	36	9	223	335	318	652	95	275	19	14	300	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	403	359	89	18	4	7	38	84	3	41	5	248	325	379	704	131	303	21	9	316	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	18	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	61	55	13	1	2	0	3	14	2	1	2	236	300	327	627	91	291	23	5	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	63	55	13	3	1	1	7	13	0	3	1	236	323	382	704	145	263	21	11	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	116	108	21	4	3	1	6	37	2	5	4	194	250	315	565	120	281	32	5	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	425	379	72	3	9	3	39	109	3	36	9	190	271	269	540	79	252	26	9	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	403	370	76	14	3	5	27	107	3	41	5	205	265	300	565	95	272	27	7	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	124	110	25	4	3	1	10	27	2	4	3	227	303	345	649	118	286	22	8	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	124	105	28	5	3	1	15	19	2	4	3	267	369	400	769	133	310	15	12	343	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	116	108	21	4	3	1	6	37	2	5	4	194	250	315	565	120	286	32	5	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	116	105	26	5	3	1	9	28	2	5	4	248	319	381	700	133	329	24	8	314	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	425	379	72	3	9	3	39	109	3	36	9	190	271	269	540	79	257	26	9	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	425	359	80	4	9	4	58	81	3	36	9	223	335	318	652	95	275	19	14	300	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	403	370	76	14	3	5	27	107	3	41	5	205	265	300	565	95	272	27	7	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ RAW	Beloit Sky Carp	—	403	359	89	18	4	7	38	84	3	41	5	248	325	379	704	131	303	21	9	316	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	124	111	25	4	3	1	10	27	2	4	3	225	303	342	646	117	277	22	8	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	116	107	21	4	3	1	6	37	2	5	4	196	250	318	568	121	281	32	5	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	425	380	72	3	9	3	39	109	3	36	9	189	271	268	539	79	252	26	9	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	403	370	76	14	3	5	27	107	3	41	5	205	265	300	565	95	272	27	7	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	116	107	21	4	3	1	6	37	2	5	4	196	250	318	568	121	281	32	5	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	425	380	72	3	9	3	39	109	3	36	9	189	271	268	539	79	252	26	9	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	403	370	76	14	3	5	27	107	3	41	5	205	265	300	565	95	272	27	7	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	513	466	88	13	6	6	39	124	3	25	5	189	257	279	536	90	242	24	8	245	52	-29	+3	+2	+2	+11	-0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	22	MLB CTX	MIA	0%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	183	252	267	519	84	235	0	0	238	52	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	MIA	35%	449	408	80	12	5	7	35	107	3	22	4	196	265	299	564	103	246	24	8	256	59	-22	+3	+2	+2	+10	-0.6
2029	24	MLB MLE	MIA	46%	496	450	91	14	5	9	39	116	4	25	5	201	271	313	584	112	249	23	8	264	65	-21	+3	+2	+2	+11	-0.3
2030	25	MLB MLE	MIA	52%	523	472	96	15	5	10	42	122	4	26	5	204	275	321	596	117	251	23	8	269	68	-20	+3	+2	+2	+11	-0.1
2031	26	MLB MLE	MIA	54%	537	484	100	16	5	11	44	125	4	26	5	206	277	326	603	119	253	23	8	272	70	-19	+3	+2	+2	+12	-0.0
2032	27	MLB MLE	MIA	54%	542	489	101	16	5	11	44	127	4	26	5	207	278	327	606	120	254	23	8	273	71	-19	+3	+2	+2	+12	0.0
2033	28	MLB MLE	MIA	54%	540	487	100	16	5	10	44	127	4	23	4	206	276	323	599	117	254	24	8	271	69	-20	+3	+2	+2	+12	-0.2
2034	29	MLB MLE	MIA	53%	532	480	99	16	5	10	43	127	4	20	4	203	274	317	591	114	253	24	8	267	67	-21	+2	+1	+2	+12	-0.4
2028	23	MLB CTX	MIA	35%	155	141	27	4	2	2	12	37	1	8	1	190	259	286	545	96	238	24	8	249	59	-7	+1	+1	+1	+3	-0.2
2029	24	MLB CTX	MIA	46%	229	207	40	6	2	4	18	54	2	11	2	195	265	299	564	105	241	24	8	256	65	-10	+1	+1	+1	+5	-0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	MIA	52%	270	244	49	7	3	5	22	63	2	13	2	198	269	307	576	110	243	23	8	261	68	-10	+2	+1	+1	+6	-0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	MIA	54%	291	263	53	8	3	5	24	68	2	14	3	200	271	311	582	112	245	23	8	264	70	-10	+2	+1	+1	+6	-0.0
2032	27	MLB CTX	MIA	54%	294	266	54	8	3	6	24	69	2	14	3	201	272	313	585	113	246	23	8	265	71	-10	+2	+1	+1	+6	0.0
2033	28	MLB CTX	MIA	54%	293	265	53	8	3	5	24	69	2	13	2	199	270	309	579	110	246	24	8	263	69	-11	+2	+1	+1	+6	-0.1
2034	29	MLB CTX	MIA	53%	282	255	50	8	2	5	23	67	2	11	2	197	268	303	571	107	245	24	8	259	67	-11	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1814	1641	326	49	18	32	147	427	13	84	15	199	270	309	579	110	247	24	8	260	64	-70	+11	+6	+6	+39	-0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	116	18	6	11	53	153	5	30	5	197	270	304	574	107	246	24	8	260	64	-25	+4	+2	+2	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	5007	4528	916	138	56	82	397	1209	39	270	56	202	272	312	584	110	255	24	8	263	64	-159	+23	+14	+14	+85	-2.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	119	18	7	11	52	157	5	35	7	202	273	313	586	111	255	24	8	263	64	-26	+4	+2	+2	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Omar Moreno'75-'86 * career totals — 11 seasons, 5,481 PA	8.3	5,481	37	487	246*	304*	367*	+13	+49	12.5	13.1
/162	664	4	59	+1.6	+6.0	1.5	pk7: 14
#2Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	4.7	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
/162	664	19	34	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#3Jarrod Dysonlast yr '21 career totals — 12 seasons, 2,833 PA	4.3	2,833	21	266	244	314	332	+10	+50	11.8	11.6
/162	664	5	62	+2.4	+11.7	2.8	pk7: 11
#4Leonys Martinlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,784 PA	4.2	2,784	58	126	243	301	366	+10	+53	10.7	10.8
/162	664	14	30	+2.4	+12.6	2.5	pk7: 11
#5Brian Hunter'94-'03 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,659 PA	5.5	3,659	25	260	252*	300*	337*	+1	+13	2.0	3.6
/162	664	5	47	+0.2	+2.4	0.4	pk7: 5
#6Chuck Carr'90-'97 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,914 PA	2.9	1,914	13	144	242*	306*	331*	+6	+20	2.6	2.6
/162	664	5	50	+2.1	+7.1	0.9	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.7	1,817	34	84	205	272	321	+6	+8	-0.3	-0.1
/162	664	12	31	+2.4	+3.0	-0.1	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dillon Head (OGILVIE)	22	46	36	73	50	187/255/276	89	242	4	16	24%	8%	52	-1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Wes Rogers 2016 · A	22	47→51	39→40	65	44	225/283/314	88	297	6	35	25%	6%	70	-0.9	223/278/313	90	298	6	34	25%	6%	68	-1.0	218/272/304	87	291	6	36	26%	6%	61	-1.2
✕Guy Lipscomb 2024 · A	23	49	37→40	63→60	52	225/307/306	81	303	3	36	25%	10%	78	-0.3	226/292/313	87	288	5	29	22%	8%	73	-0.6	223/287/309	86	277	6	31	21%	8%	67	-0.6
✕Carlos Willoughby 2011 · A	22	46→43	36→40	62→60	51	213/294/286	73	268	2	28	20%	8%	68	-1.0	204/273/269	65	266	2	17	22%	8%	56	-1.9	197/269/254	57	255	1	17	21%	8%	49	-1.6
✕Corey Rosier 2023 · A	23	46→54	42→40	62→60	48	222/293/332	110	289	9	28	25%	8%	78	-0.3	219/280/317	98	293	7	33	26%	7%	70	-0.9	214/278/307	93	284	7	36	26%	7%	64	-0.8
✕Max Ferguson 2023 · A	23	36→35	39→40	64→60	50	175/275/264	90	264	6	32	33%	11%	57	-1.8	180/260/270	90	269	8	28	33%	9%	53	-2.1	177/253/266	89	250	10	28	31%	9%	46	-1.7
✕Johan Rojas 2023 · AA	22	44→54	41→45	63→65	42	216/263/320	104	271	8	35	23%	5%	63	-1.3	248/290/352	104	312	8	37	22%	5%	81	-0.1	260/302/359	100	326	7	41	21%	5%	85	+0.2
✕Tyler James 2018 · A	21	44	36→30	64→65	42	203/264/279	76	291	2	27	29%	7%	55	-2.0	217/280/291	74	327	4	27	32%	7%	63	-1.3	224/290/283	58	344	4	45	33%	7%	61	-0.6
✕Pedro Toribio 2012 · A	22	43	38→40	63→60	47	201/252/288	86	235	4	27	16%	6%	52	-2.2	236/266/309	73	293	2	23	19%	4%	61	-1.5	267/287/325	58	333	0	29	19%	2%	68	-0.4
✕David Hamilton 2022 · AA	24	43	42→50	65→70	46	208/270/320	112	273	8	36	26%	8%	66	-1.1	211/279/332	121	278	12	50	27%	8%	73	-0.6	227/287/350	124	282	13	56	24%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Chris Garia 2015 · A	22	49→55	38→40	62→60	38	231/273/312	81	313	5	30	27%	4%	65	-1.2	224/264/336	112	293	9	24	26%	5%	68	-1.0	217/254/345	127	276	10	27	25%	4%	62	-0.7
✕Ty Morrison 2011 · A	21	45→54	40	63→55	38	211/268/312	101	323	6	28	35%	6%	63	-1.3	233/281/314	81	331	3	22	29%	5%	69	-0.9	248/295/320	72	341	1	23	26%	4%	71	-0.6
✕Rodolfo Penalo 2015 · A	22	45	36→30	59→65	55	206/294/273	67	255	2	31	19%	10%	65	-1.2	202/272/269	67	274	3	16	25%	8%	55	-1.9	164/228/210	46	226	0	10	25%	7%	23	-1.2
✕Ryan Rogowski 2008 · A	24	47→46	39→40	61→55	50	219/289/319	100	273	4	25	20%	8%	74	-0.6	218/286/303	85	270	5	25	20%	8%	69	-0.9	215/286/284	70	259	5	32	18%	8%	63	-1.1
✕Roberto Caro 2016 · A	22	41→40	37→40	60	50	192/272/272	80	251	2	20	23%	9%	57	-1.8	203/271/276	73	310	2	18	32%	8%	57	-1.8	211/282/288	76	323	2	26	32%	8%	62	-0.7
✕Jorge Mateo 2017 · A	22	45→50	40→50	61→65	39	214/259/313	98	298	6	34	30%	5%	60	-1.6	205/248/327	122	300	8	28	33%	5%	59	-1.6	217/266/353	136	277	13	42	26%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Trent Mummey 2012 · A	23	46	43→40	61→55	47	224/281/341	117	271	9	26	21%	7%	76	-0.4	204/269/294	90	250	7	17	20%	8%	60	-1.6	197/261/279	82	229	5	19	16%	7%	50	-1.2
✕Tyler Tolbert 2022 · A	24	38→48	39→45	67→65	43	180/267/270	90	293	6	37	37%	9%	55	-1.9	204/263/301	97	291	6	38	30%	6%	59	-1.6	222/284/299	77	304	6	60	27%	6%	65	-0.6
✕Jesus Galindo 2013 · A	22	48→50	35→30	60→65	46	221/284/282	61	282	2	35	21%	7%	63	-1.4	229/278/295	66	316	3	30	27%	5%	63	-1.4	229/276/289	60	318	2	31	27%	5%	58	-1.1
✕Yhoswar Garcia 2023 · A	21	42	38→30	63→70	39	197/261/279	82	301	5	38	34%	6%	54	-2.0	204/255/271	67	276	3	38	26%	5%	49	-2.4	200/248/252	52	262	1	51	23%	5%	40	-1.4
✕Jean Ramirez 2023 · A	22	44→49	41→40	56→65	45	213/279/306	94	287	9	31	28%	8%	67	-1.1	212/273/286	74	303	6	23	30%	7%	59	-1.6	204/268/260	56	297	5	24	31%	8%	49	-1.3

Dillon Head

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps