Cesar Perdomo — OGILVIE

Cesar Perdomo P Richmond Flying Squirrels

Age 24 LHP 5'10" / 219 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031 peak 1.6 · 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION135 act + 7 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 100108vR 116

ERA4.37

FIP4.37

K%17.2%

BB%8.9%

K-BB%8.3%

ROS IP7

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 141 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$4M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL5050

CMD4545

K†4045

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.1M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.3M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.8M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2029	Arb-1	$4M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Arb-2	$5M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-3	$6M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$2M		$6M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	20	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	4	3	15	54	18	3	0	75%	3.8	22.7%	6.9%	15.7%	0.0%	0.60	2.07	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	4	3	15	54	18	3	0	75%	3.8	33.3%	5.6%	27.8%	0.0%	0.60	1.30	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Giants Black	15	5	60	278	53	19	4	33%	4.0	13.0%	8.5%	4.4%	2.0%	5.55	4.16	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Giants Black	15	5	60	278	53	19	4	33%	4.0	13.0%	8.5%	4.4%	2.0%	5.55	4.16	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	ACL Giants Black	15	5	60	278	53	19	4	33%	4.0	19.1%	6.8%	12.2%	1.4%	5.55	3.15	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	14	97	417	105	35	5	54%	3.7	19.0%	9.7%	9.3%	1.5%	2.78	3.54	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	14	97	417	105	35	5	54%	3.7	19.0%	9.7%	9.3%	1.5%	2.78	3.54	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	14	97	417	105	35	5	54%	3.7	25.2%	8.4%	16.8%	1.2%	2.78	2.69	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	26	26	127	538	118	38	13	100%	4.9	16.9%	8.1%	8.8%	3.1%	3.96	4.39	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	26	26	127	538	118	38	13	100%	4.9	16.9%	8.1%	8.8%	3.1%	3.96	4.39	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Eugene Emeralds	26	26	127	538	118	38	13	100%	4.9	21.9%	7.1%	14.9%	2.4%	3.96	3.47	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			3	2	15	61	11	4	2	67%	4.9	18.0%	6.6%	11.5%	3.3%	3.68	4.19	+0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	27	24	135	570	136	46	16	89%	5.0	19.8%	8.1%	11.7%	3.2%	4.34	4.22	—
YTD	24	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	27	24	135	570	136	46	16	89%	5.0	19.8%	8.1%	11.7%	3.2%	4.34	4.22	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	AA RAW	SF	15	13	72	296	89	22	8	87%	4.8	30.1%	7.4%	22.6%	2.7%	3.98	2.99	—
2026	24	AAA RAW	SF	9	9	48	213	36	20	6	100%	5.3	16.9%	9.4%	7.5%	2.8%	5.10	4.41	—
2026	24	MLB RAW	SF	3	2	15	61	11	4	2	67%	4.9	18.0%	6.6%	11.5%	3.3%	3.68	4.21	+0.1
SO FAR	24	MLB RAW	SF	3	2	15	61	11	4	2	67%	4.9	18.0%	6.6%	11.5%	3.3%	3.68	4.21	+0.1
ROS	24	MLB MLE	SF	1	1	7	28	5	2	1	100%	6.6	17.2%	8.9%	8.3%	2.9%	4.37	4.37	+0.0
ROS	24	MLB CTX	SF	1	1	7	30	5	3	1	100%	7.0	17.2%	8.9%	8.3%	2.7%	4.25	4.25	+0.0
2026 TOT	24	MLB MLE	SF	—	—	141	598	141	48	17	—	—	23.5%	8.1%	15.4%	2.8%	4.35	4.23	+1.1
FULL	24	MLB A+C	SF	—	—	21	90	141	48	17	—	—	157.0%	54.0%	102.9%	18.7%	28.86	6.94	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	SF	23	23	134	564	100	47	16	100%	5.8	17.7%	8.4%	9.3%	2.9%	4.69	4.66	+0.4
2028	26	MLB MLE	SF	22	22	134	564	103	47	17	100%	6.1	18.2%	8.3%	9.9%	2.9%	4.63	4.61	+0.4
2029	27	MLB MLE	SF	22	22	132	555	102	46	17	100%	6.0	18.4%	8.4%	10.0%	3.0%	4.62	4.63	+0.4
2030	28	MLB MLE	SF	21	21	128	539	99	46	17	100%	6.1	18.4%	8.5%	9.9%	3.1%	4.66	4.70	+0.3
2031	29	MLB MLE	SF	20	20	122	515	93	45	17	100%	6.1	18.1%	8.7%	9.4%	3.2%	4.76	4.83	+0.1
2032	30	MLB MLE	SF	19	19	115	484	86	44	17	100%	6.0	17.8%	9.0%	8.7%	3.4%	4.91	5.01	-0.1
2033	31	MLB MLE	SF	18	18	107	451	78	42	17	100%	5.9	17.4%	9.4%	8.0%	3.7%	5.09	5.21	-0.4
2027	25	MLB CTX	SF	22	22	127	536	95	45	15	100%	5.8	17.7%	8.4%	9.3%	2.7%	4.57	4.54	+0.4
2028	26	MLB CTX	SF	21	21	127	536	98	45	15	100%	6.0	18.2%	8.3%	9.9%	2.7%	4.51	4.49	+0.4
2029	27	MLB CTX	SF	21	21	125	528	97	44	15	100%	6.0	18.4%	8.4%	10.0%	2.8%	4.50	4.51	+0.4
2030	28	MLB CTX	SF	20	20	121	511	94	43	15	100%	6.0	18.4%	8.5%	9.9%	2.9%	4.53	4.57	+0.3
2031	29	MLB CTX	SF	19	19	116	490	89	43	15	100%	6.1	18.1%	8.7%	9.4%	3.0%	4.63	4.70	+0.1
2032	30	MLB CTX	SF	18	18	109	460	82	42	15	100%	6.1	17.8%	9.0%	8.7%	3.2%	4.77	4.87	-0.1
2033	31	MLB CTX	SF	17	17	102	431	75	40	15	100%	6.0	17.4%	9.4%	8.0%	3.4%	4.94	5.06	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		142	141	847	3576	644	308	105	99%	6.0	18.0%	8.6%	9.4%	2.9%	4.60	4.28	+6.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	33	200	844	152	73	25	99%	6.0	18.0%	8.6%	9.4%	2.9%	4.60	4.28	+1.5
Career	—	MLE		98	72	434	1857	331	158	47	73%	4.4	17.8%	8.5%	9.3%	2.5%	3.92	4.05	+1.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		45	33	200	856	153	73	21	73%	4.4	17.8%	8.5%	9.3%	2.5%	3.92	4.05	+0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cesar Perdomo (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.83	16.3%	9.0%	2.9%	—	4.63	18.1%	9.7%	398	-0.20	—	—	—
Christian MacLeod L 2023 · 4.52 FIP	23	SP	4.52	16.4%	10.5%	2.7%	.312	4.60	19.5%	5.2%	212	+0.08	3.90	277	86
Bryan Radziewski L 2015 · 4.15 FIP	23	SP-	4.15	16.4%	10.5%	2.0%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	4.15	106	85
Brian Holmes L 2015 · 4.32 FIP	24	SP-	4.32	21.0%	9.9%	3.2%	.333	4.78	17.3%	8.0%	104	+0.46	3.60	205	84
Jake McSteen L 2021 · 5.05 FIP	25	SP-	5.05	16.8%	7.3%	4.5%	.322	5.18	19.2%	12.5%	172	+0.13	2.22	286	84
Jake Zokan L 2015 · 4.89 FIP	24	SP	4.89	12.5%	9.9%	2.9%	.292	1.79	24.2%	22.5%	37	-3.10	1.79	120	84
Grant Watson L 2017 · 4.70 FIP	24	SP-	4.70	16.4%	10.3%	3.0%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	2.59	180	82
Chipper Smith L 2015 · 3.81 FIP	25	SP-	3.81	15.6%	9.5%	1.5%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	109	82
Kyle Twomey L 2017 · 3.96 FIP	23	SP	3.96	14.8%	7.9%	2.0%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	141	82
Luis Leroy Cruz L 2015 · 5.03 FIP	24	SP-	5.03	16.0%	10.1%	3.7%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	5.03	116	82
Miguel Cienfuegos L 2023 · 5.12 FIP	26	SP	5.12	13.6%	10.5%	3.4%	.257	4.56	14.1%	5.6%	242	-0.56	2.99	313	82
Juan Pablo Oramas L 2015 · 3.99 FIP	25	SP	3.99	16.5%	8.6%	2.2%	.313	3.87	17.4%	6.8%	186	-0.12	3.46	440	81
Demetrio Gutierrez L 2015 · 5.33 FIP	25	SP-	5.33	12.3%	8.5%	4.0%	.327	4.78	10.7%	3.9%	181	-0.55	3.68	322	81
Dalton Sawyer L 2017 · 4.11 FIP	23	SP-	4.11	20.6%	9.4%	2.8%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	160	81
Nate Peterson L 2023 · 4.46 FIP	23	SP-	4.46	18.4%	11.4%	2.7%	.284	5.04	17.2%	5.3%	241	+0.58	4.27	315	80
John Michael Bertrand L 2023 · 3.71 FIP	25	SP-	3.71	14.8%	8.1%	1.5%	.294	4.33	14.1%	5.2%	345	+0.62	3.71	463	80
Jordan Carr L 2022 · 3.86 FIP	25	SP-	3.86	12.5%	5.2%	2.1%	.304	4.01	14.9%	6.2%	162	+0.15	3.49	269	80
Pete Hansen L 2023 · 4.18 FIP	23	SP	4.18	20.1%	9.9%	2.8%	.283	3.89	17.8%	10.2%	362	-0.29	3.77	475	79
Matt Portland L 2018 · 4.64 FIP	24	SP-	4.64	17.4%	11.0%	2.9%	.364	—	—	—	—	—	3.61	143	79
Parker Messick L 2023 · 3.91 FIP	22	SP	3.91	19.8%	8.7%	2.5%	.296	3.21	24.7%	17.0%	444	-0.70	3.02	566	79
A.J. Block L 2021 · 3.72 FIP	23	SP-	3.72	22.8%	10.0%	2.3%	.262	5.74	20.1%	8.4%	51	+2.02	3.65	203	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.7	118	17.9%	8.7%	1.21	4.76
Zach Davies ('23)	5.2	116	17.5%	8.1%	1.16	4.36
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Mike Minor ('22)	3.8	126	22.3%	7.2%	1.44	4.38
Luis Perdomo ('22)	2.3	90	16.6%	7.8%	1.08	5.09
Dylan Bundy ('22)	4.5	130	22.0%	7.3%	1.61	4.75