Ike Irish — OGILVIE

Ike IrishC Frederick Keys

Age 22 L/R 6'2" / 201 lbs A+ HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION343 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†103

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP303

ISO165

MLB%4%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$35M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 54 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT54

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED41

scouting grade only

DEFENSE44

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$3M	+$2M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.1	$8M	+$7M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.4	$9M	+$8M
2030	Arb-1	$5M	+1.6	$9M	+$6M
2031	Arb-2	$9M	+1.6	$9M	+$4M
2032	Arb-3	$12M	+1.5	$8M	+$1M
Totals		$29M		$45M	+$28M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	81	74	17	2	0	1	6	19	1	3	0	230	296	297	594	68	296	23	7	275	72	-3	+1	—	—	+2	-0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	81	76	15	2	0	1	4	27	1	3	0	197	247	263	510	66	286	33	5	220	35	-6	+1	—	—	+2	-0.4
2025	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	81	76	15	2	0	1	4	27	1	3	0	197	247	263	510	66	292	33	5	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	81	74	17	2	0	1	6	19	1	3	0	230	296	297	594	68	296	23	7	275	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	81	76	15	2	0	1	4	27	1	3	0	197	247	263	510	66	286	33	5	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	81	76	15	2	0	1	4	27	1	3	0	197	247	263	510	66	286	33	5	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	A+ MLE	BAL	—	343	305	72	16	1	13	28	100	7	20	10	236	315	423	738	187	303	29	8	318	101	+1	+0	+0	+6	+7	1.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A+ RAW	BAL	—	343	290	83	20	1	16	43	75	7	20	10	286	391	528	919	241	332	22	13	400	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	22	A+ MLE	BAL	4%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		297	22	11	320	103	+0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	22	A+ MLE	BAL	—	352	313	73	16	1	13	29	102	7	20	10	233	312	415	728	182	299	29	8	318	101	+1	+0	+0	+6	+8	1.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	BAL	45%	305	274	66	13	1	11	24	81	4	7	3	241	311	416	727	175	299	27	8	322	104	+2	+0	+0	+5	+7	1.4
2028	24	MLB MLE	BAL	59%	386	347	85	17	2	14	31	101	5	7	3	245	316	427	742	182	299	26	8	325	106	+3	+0	+0	+7	+8	1.9
2029	25	MLB MLE	BAL	65%	425	381	93	19	2	15	35	110	6	7	3	244	318	423	740	178	299	26	8	327	107	+4	+0	+0	+8	+9	2.1
2030	26	MLB MLE	BAL	68%	448	402	98	20	2	16	37	115	6	7	3	244	317	423	740	179	299	26	8	328	108	+4	+0	+0	+8	+10	2.3
2031	27	MLB MLE	BAL	68%	454	407	99	20	2	16	38	117	6	7	3	243	317	420	737	177	298	26	8	328	108	+4	+0	+0	+8	+10	2.3
2032	28	MLB MLE	BAL	68%	454	407	99	20	2	16	38	118	6	7	3	243	317	420	737	177	298	26	8	327	107	+4	+0	-0	+8	+10	2.2
2033	29	MLB MLE	BAL	66%	446	399	96	19	2	16	38	116	6	6	3	241	316	419	735	178	297	26	9	325	106	+3	+0	-1	+8	+10	2.0
2034	30	MLB MLE	BAL	66%	438	392	94	19	2	15	37	115	6	6	3	240	315	413	728	173	296	26	8	322	104	+2	+0	-2	+8	+9	1.8
2035	31	MLB MLE	BAL	65%	411	368	86	17	1	14	35	110	5	5	2	234	309	399	708	166	293	27	9	318	101	+1	+0	-3	+7	+9	1.5
2036	32	MLB MLE	BAL	65%	382	342	79	15	1	13	32	103	5	5	2	231	306	395	701	164	290	27	8	312	97	-1	+0	-3	+7	+8	1.1
2037	33	MLB MLE	BAL	65%	343	307	69	13	1	11	29	95	4	4	2	225	300	381	681	156	285	28	8	305	92	-3	+0	-4	+6	+7	0.7
2038	34	MLB MLE	BAL	60%	292	262	57	10	1	9	24	82	4	3	1	218	293	366	660	149	279	28	8	296	86	-5	+0	-5	+5	+6	0.2
2027	23	MLB CTX	BAL	45%	137	123	30	6	1	5	11	36	2	3	1	244	316	431	747	187	304	26	8	318	104	+1	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.7
2028	24	MLB CTX	BAL	59%	227	204	50	10	1	8	18	59	3	4	2	245	316	422	737	176	304	26	8	322	106	+2	+0	+0	+4	+5	1.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	BAL	65%	277	248	61	12	1	10	23	71	4	5	2	246	320	423	743	177	304	26	8	323	107	+2	+0	+0	+5	+6	1.4
2030	26	MLB CTX	BAL	68%	306	274	69	14	1	12	25	79	4	5	2	252	323	442	765	190	304	26	8	324	108	+3	+0	+0	+5	+7	1.6
2031	27	MLB CTX	BAL	68%	309	276	69	14	1	12	26	80	4	5	2	250	324	438	762	188	304	26	8	324	108	+3	+0	+0	+6	+7	1.6
2032	28	MLB CTX	BAL	68%	309	276	69	14	1	12	26	80	4	4	2	250	324	438	762	188	303	26	8	323	107	+3	+0	-0	+6	+7	1.5
2033	29	MLB CTX	BAL	66%	296	265	65	13	1	11	25	77	4	4	2	245	320	426	746	181	302	26	8	321	106	+2	+0	-1	+5	+6	1.3
2034	30	MLB CTX	BAL	66%	287	257	62	13	1	10	24	76	4	4	2	241	316	416	732	175	301	26	8	318	104	+1	+0	-1	+5	+6	1.2
2035	31	MLB CTX	BAL	65%	267	238	57	11	1	10	23	71	4	3	1	239	317	420	737	181	298	27	9	314	101	+0	+0	-2	+5	+6	1.0
2036	32	MLB CTX	BAL	65%	247	221	52	10	1	9	21	67	3	3	1	235	310	412	722	176	295	27	9	308	97	-1	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.7
2037	33	MLB CTX	BAL	65%	221	197	46	9	1	7	19	61	3	2	1	234	311	396	706	162	290	28	9	301	92	-2	+0	-3	+4	+5	0.4
2038	34	MLB CTX	BAL	60%	175	156	35	6	1	6	15	49	2	2	1	224	301	391	692	167	284	28	9	292	86	-3	+0	-3	+3	+4	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3058	2735	665	132	12	112	256	806	41	44	19	243	317	423	740	180	302	26	8	317	102	+11	+1	-11	+55	+66	12.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	142	28	3	24	54	171	9	9	4	244	318	427	745	182	303	26	8	317	102	+2	+0	-2	+12	+14	2.7
Career	—	MLE		—	4874	4372	1037	204	19	167	403	1292	64	74	31	237	311	407	718	170	296	27	8	319	102	+17	+2	-17	+86	+104	19.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	138	27	3	22	54	172	9	10	4	237	312	407	718	170	296	26	8	319	102	+2	+0	-2	+12	+14	2.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
/162	664	23	1	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#4Welington Castillolast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,667 PA	4.0	2,667	97	5	254	313	425	+48	-14	13.3	13.2
/162	664	24	1	+11.9	-3.4	3.3	pk7: 13
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	4.6	3,066	107	45	239	310	412	+55	-18	15.0	13.0
/162	664	23	10	+11.9	-3.9	3.3	pk7: 11
#5Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
#6Tim Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,743 PA	2.6	1,743	63	13	248	301	431	+19	-13	6.1	6.1
/162	664	24	5	+7.1	-4.8	2.3	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ike Irish (OGILVIE)	22	49→54	51→55	40→41	50	236/308/408	172	297	5	6	27%	8%	103	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Michael McKenry 2008 · A	23	46→48	54→55	41→40	49	238/309/421	183	282	21	7	24%	9%	105	+1.7	223/291/376	153	278	17	4	25%	8%	88	+0.4	251/325/430	179	297	23	2	23%	9%	110	+0.8
✕Chase Meidroth 2023 · A	22	49→56	53→40	48→50	50	250/323/425	175	285	20	12	20%	8%	112	+2.2	247/339/344	97	305	9	12	20%	11%	99	+1.2	256/344/352	96	304	9	11	17%	10%	100	+1.3
●Stephen Drew 2006 · AA	23	50→57	55	43→45	49	259/324/456	196	304	22	7	22%	8%	118	+2.7	256/310/417	161	295	15	6	18%	7%	104	+1.6	271/331/452	181	305	15	6	16%	8%	114	+2.5
●Yainer Diaz 2022 · A	23	52→60	48→60	48→40	41	263/296/405	142	309	16	5	21%	4%	96	+1.0	270/304/451	181	308	23	3	20%	4%	110	+2.1	280/313/466	185	314	24	1	19%	4%	114	+1.9
✕Derek Norris 2011 · A	22	41→51	50→55	44→50	52	209/313/362	153	287	18	6	32%	12%	94	+0.9	209/299/374	165	271	20	11	29%	10%	91	+0.7	258/336/412	153	316	16	5	22%	10%	109	+1.5
●John Jaso 2006 · A	22	48→57	49→55	47→45	48	244/302/395	151	280	16	5	20%	7%	96	+1.0	257/316/388	131	289	14	3	16%	7%	99	+1.3	270/374/430	159	310	15	6	16%	13%	128	+1.8
●Sean Rodríguez 2007 · AA	22	46→49	52→60	48→50	46	235/306/404	170	299	19	12	28%	8%	100	+1.3	229/300/399	170	291	20	10	28%	7%	97	+1.1	234/307/425	191	291	23	12	27%	7%	102	+1.1
●Brett Baty 2022 · AA	22	52→56	47→50	46→45	44	248/314/389	141	351	15	8	32%	8%	99	+1.3	246/312/399	153	325	19	5	29%	8%	101	+1.4	237/306/388	151	302	21	3	28%	8%	93	+0.7
✕James Darnell 2010 · A	23	51→52	51→55	45→40	54	254/334/424	170	304	18	6	22%	10%	115	+2.4	246/315/406	160	287	18	4	20%	8%	103	+1.6	242/311/404	161	276	19	2	20%	8%	100	+0.8
✕Brian Goodwin 2013 · AA	22	47→52	46→60	48→50	49	230/304/365	135	294	13	13	26%	9%	90	+0.6	213/284/325	112	292	9	13	28%	8%	73	-0.6	243/310/437	193	313	22	11	28%	8%	105	+1.0
✕Logan O'Hoppe 2023 · MLB	23	44→48	52→55	45	50	232/308/392	160	264	21	7	21%	8%	98	+1.2	235/298/411	176	286	24	5	26%	7%	99	+1.3	229/284/404	175	286	26	2	29%	6%	91	+0.4
✕Jarrod Saltalamacchia 2006 · A	21	51→55	50→60	45→40	41	253/302/409	156	322	18	5	27%	6%	99	+1.3	238/303/381	143	302	15	3	25%	8%	93	+0.8	239/302/451	213	309	26	2	30%	8%	107	+1.3
●Taylor Green 2009 · A	22	51→56	46→50	40→30	50	251/313/380	129	289	14	3	18%	8%	97	+1.1	243/300/372	129	278	13	2	17%	7%	90	+0.6	245/303/383	138	278	14	0	17%	7%	93	+0.6
✕Oswaldo Arcia 2013 · AA	22	50→53	52→60	44→45	40	250/298/427	176	330	18	5	29%	6%	102	+1.5	237/296/417	180	309	22	4	30%	6%	99	+1.3	216/295/403	187	291	24	3	33%	8%	94	+0.5
●Ian Stewart 2006 · A	21	45→52	50→60	46→45	43	226/288/390	164	303	17	4	30%	7%	90	+0.6	238/299/394	156	311	14	6	27%	7%	95	+0.9	239/315/432	193	304	23	9	28%	9%	107	+1.6
✕Jaff Decker 2011 · A	21	46→49	54→55	45→55	51	235/324/415	180	304	22	7	29%	10%	109	+2.0	209/292/354	145	278	16	9	29%	10%	84	+0.1	221/295/327	106	285	9	13	24%	9%	76	-0.3
✕Edgar Quero 2023 · A	20	48→57	51→50	47→40	51	240/336/412	172	309	18	8	27%	10%	114	+2.3	241/321/361	120	299	12	3	22%	9%	96	+1.0	245/321/344	99	301	10	1	21%	9%	90	+0.4
●Luis García Jr. 2023 · MLB	23	53→56	49→60	44→50	42	264/297/418	153	311	16	6	21%	5%	99	+1.3	264/302/408	144	297	15	14	16%	5%	99	+1.2	271/308/461	189	292	24	16	16%	5%	111	+1.9
●Mike Zunino 2013 · AA	22	49→48	50→65	49→30	46	249/297/405	156	285	18	9	20%	6%	97	+1.1	206/264/375	169	269	21	3	31%	5%	78	-0.3	228/303/462	235	292	33	0	33%	8%	111	+1.7
●Tyler Flowers 2009 · A	23	49→55	49→50	41→40	50	242/318/395	153	311	15	5	26%	10%	102	+1.5	228/316/382	154	319	16	4	31%	10%	99	+1.3	260/361/411	151	335	17	0	25%	10%	120	+1.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps