Ike Irish — OGILVIE

Ike IrishC Frederick Keys

Age 22 L/R 6'2" / 201 lbs A+ HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION314 act + 209 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†97

AVG/OBP/SLG.230 / .304 / .395

PA209

HR7

SB7

K%27

BB%8

BABIP290

ISO165

MLB%4%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED42

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.3	$17M	+$16M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.5	$17M	+$17M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.6	$17M	+$16M
2030	Arb-1	$5M	+2.7	$16M	+$13M
2031	Arb-2	$9M	+2.7	$15M	+$10M
2032	Arb-3	$12M	+2.6	$13M	+$7M
Totals		$29M		$95M	+$78M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	81	76	15	2	0	1	4	27	1	3	0	197	247	263	510	66	292	33	5	225	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	81	74	17	2	0	1	6	19	1	3	0	230	296	297	594	68	296	23	7	275	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A+	BAL	—	314	277	61	13	1	10	28	94	7	18	10	220	308	383	690	162	291	30	9	296	85	-5	-0	+0	+6	+9	0.9
YTD	22	A+	BAL	—	314	263	69	16	1	12	42	70	7	18	10	262	378	468	846	205	311	22	13	375	145	+16	-0	+0	+6	+9	3.1
ROS	22	A+	BAL	4%	209	187	43	8	1	7	17	57	3	7	4	230	304	395	699	165	294	27	8	312	97	-1	-0	+0	+4	+6	0.9
ROS	22	MLB	BAL	4%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		298	22	11	305	92	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	22	A+	BAL	—	323	285	62	13	1	10	29	96	7	18	10	218	305	375	681	158	287	30	9	296	85	-6	-0	+0	+6	+9	0.9
TOT	22	A+	BAL	—	523	464	104	21	2	17	45	151	10	25	14	224	306	388	694	164	291	29	9	302	90	-6	-1	+0	+9	+15	1.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	BAL	50%	520	465	108	21	2	16	43	140	7	11	5	232	307	389	696	157	294	27	8	312	97	-2	+0	+0	+9	+15	2.3
2028	24	MLB	BAL	66%	520	465	109	21	2	17	43	137	7	10	5	234	309	398	707	163	295	26	8	316	100	+0	+0	+0	+9	+15	2.5
2029	25	MLB	BAL	73%	520	464	109	21	2	17	44	136	7	9	4	235	311	399	709	164	295	26	8	319	102	+1	+0	+0	+9	+15	2.6
2030	26	MLB	BAL	76%	520	464	110	21	2	18	44	135	7	8	4	237	313	407	720	170	295	26	8	320	103	+2	+0	+0	+9	+15	2.7
2031	27	MLB	BAL	76%	520	463	110	21	2	18	45	136	7	8	4	238	315	408	723	171	294	26	9	320	103	+2	+0	+0	+9	+15	2.7
2032	28	MLB	BAL	76%	520	463	109	21	2	17	45	136	7	8	4	235	313	400	712	164	294	26	9	319	103	+2	+0	-0	+9	+15	2.6
2033	29	MLB	BAL	74%	520	463	109	21	2	17	45	138	7	7	3	235	313	400	712	164	293	27	9	318	101	+1	+0	-1	+9	+15	2.4
2034	30	MLB	BAL	73%	520	463	108	21	2	17	45	139	7	7	3	233	311	397	708	164	292	27	9	315	99	-1	+0	-2	+9	+15	2.2
2035	31	MLB	BAL	73%	504	448	104	20	2	16	44	136	7	6	3	232	311	393	703	161	290	27	9	311	96	-2	+0	-2	+9	+14	1.9
2036	32	MLB	BAL	72%	489	438	98	18	2	15	42	134	6	6	3	224	300	377	677	153	286	27	9	305	92	-5	+0	-3	+9	+14	1.5
2037	33	MLB	BAL	72%	343	306	67	12	1	10	30	96	4	4	2	219	297	363	660	144	282	28	9	298	86	-5	+0	-4	+6	+10	0.7
2027	23	MLB	BAL	50%	261	234	55	11	1	8	21	70	4	6	3	235	309	393	702	158	299	27	8	307	93	-2	+0	+0	+5	+7	1.0
2028	24	MLB	BAL	66%	342	306	75	15	2	12	28	90	5	6	3	245	319	425	743	180	299	26	8	312	97	-1	+0	+0	+6	+10	1.5
2029	25	MLB	BAL	73%	379	339	82	16	2	13	32	99	5	7	3	242	316	416	732	174	300	26	8	314	99	-1	+0	+0	+7	+11	1.8
2030	26	MLB	BAL	76%	397	355	86	17	2	14	34	103	5	6	3	242	317	420	737	177	299	26	9	316	100	-0	+0	+0	+7	+11	1.9
2031	27	MLB	BAL	76%	396	354	86	17	2	14	34	103	5	6	3	243	318	421	739	178	299	26	9	316	100	-0	+0	+0	+7	+11	1.9
2032	28	MLB	BAL	76%	396	354	86	17	2	14	34	104	5	6	3	243	318	421	739	178	299	26	9	315	99	-0	+0	-0	+7	+11	1.8
2033	29	MLB	BAL	74%	386	344	82	16	2	13	34	102	5	5	3	238	316	410	726	172	298	26	9	313	98	-1	-0	-1	+7	+11	1.6
2034	30	MLB	BAL	73%	381	340	81	16	1	13	33	102	5	5	2	238	315	406	721	168	297	27	9	310	96	-2	+0	-1	+7	+11	1.5
2035	31	MLB	BAL	73%	366	326	76	15	1	12	32	99	5	5	2	233	311	396	707	163	294	27	9	306	92	-3	+0	-2	+7	+10	1.2
2036	32	MLB	BAL	72%	354	315	72	14	1	11	31	97	5	4	2	229	308	384	692	156	291	27	9	301	88	-5	+0	-2	+6	+10	1.0
2037	33	MLB	BAL	72%	247	221	50	9	1	8	21	69	3	3	1	226	302	385	687	158	286	28	9	294	83	-5	+0	-3	+4	+7	0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3914	3496	832	163	17	132	335	1040	52	59	28	238	314	408	722	170	299	27	9	310	95	-20	+1	-8	+70	+111	15.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	138	27	3	22	56	173	9	10	5	238	315	408	723	170	298	27	9	310	95	-3	+0	-1	+12	+18	2.6
Career	—			—	5786	5165	1199	228	22	186	491	1547	77	94	44	232	308	393	701	161	292	27	8	313	98	-14	+1	-11	+103	+164	24.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	135	26	2	21	55	174	9	11	5	233	309	393	702	160	293	27	8	313	98	-2	+0	-1	+12	+18	2.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	81	74	17	2	0	1	6	19	1	3	0	230	296	297	594	68	296	23	7	275	68	-3	+1	—	—	+2	-0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kurt Suzukilast yr '22 career totals — 16 seasons, 6,163 PA	16	6,163	143	20	255	314	388	+110	-35	22.7	20.5
	/162	664	15	2	255	314	388	+11.9	-3.8	2.4	pk7: 18
#2Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
	/162	664	21	6	256	308	421	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,913	127	60	235	308	399	+70	-16	17.4	15.2
	/162	664	22	10	235	308	399	+11.9	-2.7	3.0	pk7: 13
#4Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	9	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
	/162	664	23	1	235	308	414	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#5Welington Castillolast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,667 PA	8	2,667	97	5	254	313	425	+48	-14	13.3	13.2
	/162	664	24	1	254	313	425	+11.9	-3.4	3.3	pk7: 13
#6Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	7	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
	/162	664	21	6	245	302	422	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ike Irish (OGILVIE)	22	51→55	51→55	41→42	50	224/306/388	164	291	17	25	29%	9%	90	+1.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Brett Baty 2022 · AA	22	53→58	49→55	46→45	44	254/319/405	152	356	16	8	32%	8%	105	+2.1	251/316/422	171	330	23	5	29%	8%	109	+2.4	240/310/409	169	304	24	3	28%	8%	99	+1.3
●Jordan Diaz 2022 · A	21	49→56	49→55	41→30	44	247/294/394	147	294	17	5	22%	6%	92	+1.2	262/302/432	170	303	22	2	21%	5%	105	+2.1	263/306/436	173	301	23	0	21%	5%	104	+1.7
●Taylor Green 2009 · A	22	51→56	46→50	40→30	50	251/313/380	129	289	14	3	18%	8%	96	+1.5	244/302/377	133	279	13	2	17%	7%	91	+1.1	248/306/390	142	280	14	0	17%	7%	95	+1.0
●Graham Pauley 2023 · A	22	45→52	46→55	48→50	52	224/303/356	132	269	13	12	22%	9%	86	+0.8	237/303/415	178	282	22	11	24%	8%	102	+1.8	230/299/411	181	267	23	11	23%	8%	96	+1.1
✕Michael McKenry 2008 · A	23	46→47	54→55	41→40	49	238/309/421	183	282	21	7	24%	9%	106	+2.2	222/289/377	155	277	18	4	26%	8%	86	+0.8	241/316/409	168	288	21	2	23%	9%	102	+0.7
✕Hank Conger 2010 · AA	22	52→56	47→50	45	45	257/300/390	132	298	15	5	19%	6%	92	+1.2	234/291/359	125	272	13	3	19%	7%	81	+0.4	230/302/383	154	282	18	0	24%	8%	90	+0.4
●Vinnie Catricala 2011 · A	22	48→55	48→55	46→45	42	239/294/382	143	301	16	6	26%	6%	89	+1.0	235/286/374	139	288	15	8	23%	5%	83	+0.6	223/273/352	129	272	14	7	23%	5%	70	-0.3
●Ian Stewart 2007 · AA	22	47→52	48→60	40→45	43	230/291/387	157	300	13	4	27%	7%	89	+0.9	240/308/415	175	311	19	8	28%	8%	104	+2.0	239/315/432	193	304	23	9	28%	9%	108	+2.0
●Luis Campusano 2021 · A	22	53→56	48→50	45→30	49	262/317/408	146	298	16	3	18%	7%	105	+2.1	232/287/365	133	285	15	3	24%	6%	82	+0.5	264/328/432	168	297	22	1	19%	8%	113	+1.5
✕Jorbit Vivas 2022 · A	21	54→56	47→45	47→50	47	264/327/402	138	297	14	7	16%	6%	108	+2.3	234/315/348	114	265	10	11	15%	8%	89	+1.0	221/310/327	107	252	10	14	16%	8%	80	+0.3
●Ryan McMahon 2016 · A	21	46→56	52→55	38→45	38	230/284/402	172	328	18	5	35%	6%	90	+1.0	235/286/378	143	334	14	8	32%	6%	85	+0.7	233/294/378	145	309	16	7	28%	7%	85	+0.6
●Brian Goodwin 2013 · AA	22	47→53	46→60	48→50	49	229/305/362	133	299	13	13	27%	9%	89	+0.9	214/286/331	117	295	10	13	29%	9%	72	-0.2	245/312/443	198	315	23	11	28%	8%	108	+1.4
✕Jarrod Saltalamacchia 2007 · AA	22	45→53	48→60	43→40	46	229/294/371	143	287	16	3	26%	7%	86	+0.8	244/308/390	146	318	16	3	27%	8%	97	+1.5	232/311/417	185	312	22	2	31%	10%	101	+1.4
●Luis García Jr. 2023 · MLB	23	53→57	50→60	43→50	42	267/300/427	160	311	17	6	21%	5%	103	+1.9	264/302/407	143	296	15	14	16%	5%	98	+1.6	269/307/454	185	287	24	17	16%	5%	110	+1.9
●Drew Sutton 2006 · A	23	45→55	49→50	46→50	48	228/303/380	152	288	16	7	26%	9%	92	+1.2	236/297/371	135	287	14	14	22%	8%	88	+0.9	249/323/392	143	313	13	10	23%	9%	101	+1.4
●Yonathan Perlaza 2022 · A	23	45→51	49→60	43→50	42	227/284/374	147	308	18	7	31%	7%	82	+0.5	229/302/413	184	302	20	11	30%	9%	101	+1.8	232/306/413	181	303	19	12	28%	9%	98	+1.5
●Andrew Benintendi 2016 · A	22	50→60	50→55	47→50	48	253/309/406	153	285	18	11	18%	7%	102	+1.8	255/320/406	151	290	13	15	16%	8%	105	+2.1	268/340/434	166	315	16	13	19%	9%	119	+3.1
✕Chase Meidroth 2023 · A	22	49→55	55→40	48→50	49	253/327/440	188	289	23	12	21%	8%	118	+3.0	245/335/346	101	303	9	12	21%	10%	98	+1.6	255/341/344	89	303	8	12	17%	10%	97	+1.2
✕Taylor Lindsey 2014 · AA	22	50→52	48→50	45	42	253/287/396	144	291	15	5	20%	4%	89	+1.0	206/258/324	118	243	12	6	21%	6%	58	-1.2	181/238/288	107	214	11	6	21%	7%	38	-1.8
●John Jaso 2006 · A	22	48→57	49→50	47→45	48	244/302/395	151	280	16	5	20%	7%	95	+1.4	258/317/394	136	290	14	3	16%	7%	102	+1.8	272/376/431	159	312	15	6	16%	13%	132	+2.1