Aaron McKeithan

C Arkansas Travelers

Age 27 R/R 5'11" / 225 lbs AA K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	25	AAPIT	139	.175/.304/.272	3	0	34	—	.158/.252/.250
2026	26	AASEA	120	.299/.433/.351	1	1	95	—	.272/.375/.320
2027PROJ2% MLB	27	MLBSEA	3	.217/.305/.304	0	0	78	0.0
2028PROJ33% MLB	28	MLBSEA	69	.217/.304/.305	1	1	77	0.1
2029PROJ46% MLB	29	MLBSEA	121	.216/.302/.303	2	1	76	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Chase%93

BB%90

Whiff%88

wRC+86

Z-Con%85

K%82

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsLuis Martinez (age 27) · Josh Labandeira (age 27) · Bryson Brigman (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†78

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .305 / .304

PA3

HR0

K%33

BB%9

BABIP280

ISO100

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 53 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT53

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED44

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	21	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	76	65	10	2	0	0	6	17	4	0	0	154	267	185	451	31	204	22	8	223	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	83	75	19	3	0	1	7	16	1	0	1	253	325	333	659	80	310	19	8	303	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	232	194	55	10	1	4	27	44	9	1	0	284	396	407	803	124	345	19	12	364	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	256	207	55	3	0	5	28	33	13	2	1	266	387	353	740	87	282	13	11	335	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	191	163	43	5	1	1	17	30	8	0	0	264	362	325	687	61	311	16	9	316	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	Altoona Curve	—	139	114	20	2	0	3	18	21	3	0	1	175	304	272	576	96	185	15	13	267	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	120	97	29	2	0	1	19	22	4	1	1	299	433	351	784	52	378	18	16	370	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	21	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	76	67	9	2	0	0	4	22	4	0	0	134	227	164	391	30	172	29	5	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	83	77	16	2	0	1	5	19	1	0	1	208	265	273	538	65	269	23	6	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	232	203	46	7	1	3	18	62	9	1	0	227	317	315	633	89	297	27	8	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	256	217	49	2	0	4	18	44	13	2	1	226	323	290	613	65	240	17	7	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	191	168	39	4	1	1	12	39	8	0	0	232	314	286	600	54	281	20	6	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	139	120	19	2	0	3	12	27	3	0	1	158	252	250	502	92	162	19	9	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	120	103	28	2	0	1	13	27	4	1	1	272	375	320	695	49	351	22	11	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	76	67	9	2	0	0	4	22	4	0	0	134	227	164	391	30	196	29	5	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A RAW	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	76	65	10	2	0	0	6	17	4	0	0	154	267	185	451	31	204	22	8	223	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	315	280	63	10	1	4	23	81	10	1	1	225	307	311	617	86	299	26	7	272	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	315	269	74	13	1	5	34	60	10	1	1	275	377	387	764	112	335	19	11	348	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	256	217	49	2	0	4	18	44	13	2	1	226	323	290	613	65	254	17	7	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ RAW	Peoria Chiefs	—	256	207	55	3	0	5	28	33	13	2	1	266	387	353	740	87	282	13	11	335	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	191	168	39	4	1	1	12	39	8	0	0	232	314	286	600	54	290	20	6	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA RAW	Springfield Cardinals	—	191	163	43	5	1	1	17	30	8	0	0	264	362	325	687	61	311	16	9	316	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	139	120	19	2	0	3	12	27	3	0	1	158	252	250	502	92	174	19	9	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA RAW	Altoona Curve	—	139	114	20	2	0	3	18	21	3	0	1	175	304	272	576	96	185	15	13	267	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	120	103	28	2	0	1	13	27	4	1	1	272	375	320	695	49	360	22	11	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA RAW	Arkansas Travelers	—	120	97	29	2	0	1	19	22	4	1	1	299	433	351	784	52	378	18	16	370	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	76	68	9	2	0	0	4	22	4	0	0	132	227	162	388	29	172	29	5	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	315	279	63	10	1	4	23	81	10	1	1	226	307	312	619	86	290	26	7	272	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	256	223	49	2	0	4	18	44	13	2	1	220	323	283	605	63	240	17	7	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	191	169	39	4	1	1	12	39	8	0	0	231	314	284	598	53	281	20	6	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	139	123	19	2	0	3	12	27	3	0	1	154	252	244	496	89	162	19	9	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	120	102	28	2	0	1	13	27	4	1	1	275	375	324	699	49	351	22	11	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	24	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	191	169	39	4	1	1	12	39	8	0	0	231	314	284	598	53	281	20	6	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	139	123	19	2	0	3	12	27	3	0	1	154	252	244	496	89	162	19	9	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	120	102	28	2	0	1	13	27	4	1	1	275	375	324	699	49	351	22	11	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	27	MLB MLE	SEA	2%	200	176	39	6	1	3	18	47	4	3	1	219	307	308	615	89	282	24	9	283	78	-5	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	27	MLB CTX	SEA	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	217	305	304	609	87	280	33	0	281	78	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	SEA	33%	207	182	41	7	1	3	19	49	4	2	1	219	305	308	614	90	282	24	9	282	77	-6	+0	-1	+4	+4	0.2
2029	29	MLB MLE	SEA	46%	262	231	49	8	1	3	24	63	5	3	1	218	303	307	610	89	281	24	9	281	76	-7	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.2
2030	30	MLB MLE	SEA	54%	300	265	58	10	1	4	27	73	5	3	2	216	300	304	605	88	280	24	9	278	74	-9	-0	-2	+5	+6	0.0
2028	28	MLB CTX	SEA	33%	69	62	13	2	0	1	6	16	1	1	0	217	304	305	608	88	280	23	9	280	77	-2	+0	-0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	SEA	46%	121	107	23	4	0	2	11	29	2	1	1	216	302	303	605	88	279	24	9	279	76	-3	-0	-1	+2	+3	0.1
2030	30	MLB CTX	SEA	54%	161	143	31	5	1	2	14	39	3	1	1	214	299	300	599	86	277	24	9	276	74	-5	-0	-1	+3	+3	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	351	312	67	11	1	5	31	84	6	3	2	215	298	304	602	90	276	24	9	278	69	-10	-0	-2	+6	+8	0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	124	20	2	9	57	156	11	6	4	215	297	303	600	88	276	24	9	278	69	-19	-0	-4	+12	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	2002	1753	382	51	6	25	164	457	59	14	9	218	306	297	603	79	276	23	8	270	69	-26	+0	-4	+16	+20	0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	569	124	17	2	8	53	148	19	5	3	218	306	297	603	79	276	23	8	270	69	-19	+0	-3	+12	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#2Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Red Kleinow'04-'11 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,875 PA	2.8	1,875	3	42	219*	299*	350*	+33	-1	4.3	4.4
/162	664	1	15	+11.5	-0.2	1.5	pk7: 4
#5Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3
#6Malachi Kittridge'01-'06 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,664 PA	2.5	1,664	4	11	219*	281*	319*	+30	+0	1.3	1.3
/162	664	2	4	+11.9	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.5	354	5	3	218	300	307	+6	+4	0.5	0.5
/162	664	9	6	+11.9	+7.5	1.0	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Aaron McKeithan (OGILVIE)	27	53	37	44	55	217/304/305	88	282	2	2	24%	9%	78	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Martinez 2012 · MLB	27	54→58	38→40	48→40	47	251/309/334	83	324	5	6	23%	7%	84	+0.1	231/286/322	91	299	5	4	23%	6%	73	-0.6	221/277/308	88	282	4	0	22%	6%	64	-0.6
✕Josh Labandeira 2006 · AAA	27	51→53	38→40	45	49	240/310/323	83	302	4	12	21%	8%	82	+0.0	239/296/312	73	295	4	9	19%	6%	74	-0.5	235/292/298	63	292	4	6	19%	6%	67	-0.6
✕Bryson Brigman 2022 · AAA	27	52→59	40	48→50	48	246/306/341	95	302	6	10	20%	7%	84	+0.2	237/287/331	94	300	7	11	22%	6%	75	-0.5	245/299/322	76	300	6	12	19%	6%	74	-0.3
✕Carlos Alonso 2015 · AA	27	51→53	39→40	45→40	49	240/307/323	84	286	6	5	18%	7%	81	-0.1	224/290/316	92	280	6	8	21%	8%	74	-0.6	169/236/247	78	227	5	4	26%	7%	34	-0.7
✕Angel Sanchez 2011 · MLB	27	54→60	37→40	46→45	46	253/297/328	76	300	3	5	17%	6%	78	-0.3	245/297/314	69	280	4	7	13%	7%	75	-0.5	239/295/292	54	268	4	6	12%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Jose Herrera 2024 · MLB	27	47	39→40	49→40	50	225/297/309	84	288	7	5	24%	9%	74	-0.5	211/285/296	85	267	7	4	22%	9%	68	-1.0	197/276/269	73	248	6	1	22%	10%	57	-0.7
✕Rob Johnson 2010 · MLB	28	49→53	42→45	41→50	48	235/290/343	108	280	8	6	19%	7%	79	-0.2	211/279/317	106	265	8	7	22%	8%	70	-0.9	194/261/287	93	242	8	5	22%	7%	56	-0.7
✕Josh Ford 2010 · AA	27	47→53	41→45	47→30	44	229/286/329	100	298	9	8	25%	7%	74	-0.5	223/272/360	137	302	15	4	30%	5%	77	-0.3	216/266/350	134	292	16	1	31%	5%	70	-0.6
✕Austin Wynns 2018 · AAA	27	50→51	42→45	47→40	47	241/296/344	103	288	10	3	20%	6%	82	-0.0	227/279/323	96	279	11	3	22%	6%	71	-0.8	233/301/333	100	289	11	3	22%	7%	80	-0.0
✕Michel Hernandez 2006 · AAA	27	52	39→40	47→40	52	248/306/331	82	286	7	5	16%	8%	82	-0.0	242/290/320	78	272	7	5	13%	6%	74	-0.6	231/290/293	62	261	4	4	13%	7%	68	-0.3
✕Derrik Gibson 2017 · AAA	27	52→56	37→40	50→55	48	245/307/317	72	304	3	12	20%	7%	79	-0.2	213/269/316	103	283	6	12	25%	7%	65	-1.2	190/244/304	113	258	6	11	27%	6%	51	-1.0
✕Sean Jamieson 2016 · AA	27	49→44	42→45	46→50	43	236/295/341	105	311	8	10	26%	6%	80	-0.1	217/276/306	89	324	7	8	33%	7%	65	-1.2	183/237/237	54	305	2	0	38%	6%	32	-1.2
✕Jason Jaramillo 2010 · MLB	27	51→54	41→45	45→40	47	246/299/346	100	292	9	3	19%	6%	83	+0.1	221/276/308	87	269	7	5	20%	6%	66	-1.1	205/262/267	62	255	4	3	20%	6%	50	-1.0
✕Gilberto Galaviz 2019 · AAA	27	51	39→40	47→30	48	242/290/328	85	267	7	9	12%	5%	76	-0.4	229/279/311	82	260	8	7	15%	5%	68	-1.0	226/270/263	36	254	4	0	12%	3%	50	-0.9
✕Christian Herrera 2009 · AAA	27	49	38→40	48→45	45	232/286/312	80	294	5	8	22%	6%	70	-0.8	231/282/316	85	300	6	8	24%	5%	70	-0.9	236/286/318	82	312	5	8	25%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Wynston Sawyer 2019 · AAA	27	47	43→45	42→45	47	226/302/335	109	286	10	5	24%	8%	83	+0.1	218/282/326	108	308	9	6	30%	6%	73	-0.6	198/257/305	106	300	6	0	34%	4%	55	-0.6
✕Juan Centeno 2017 · MLB	27	51	40→45	46→40	45	242/285/331	89	283	7	5	17%	5%	74	-0.5	233/278/320	87	280	7	4	19%	5%	69	-0.9	224/271/328	105	263	10	2	19%	5%	66	-0.6
✕Yolbert Sanchez 2024 · AAA	27	54→58	36→30	42→45	43	256/295/317	61	312	4	9	19%	5%	74	-0.5	248/282/323	75	306	5	8	20%	4%	71	-0.8	266/287/326	59	323	3	5	18%	2%	72	-0.4
✕Roy Morales 2022 · AA	27	56	36→30	44→45	49	262/318/327	65	312	3	8	16%	7%	85	+0.2	256/320/348	92	303	8	10	17%	8%	92	+0.7	277/350/362	85	316	9	9	15%	9%	104	+0.6
✕Tyler Smith 2017 · AAA	26	51→54	39→40	47→50	45	242/293/329	87	300	6	9	21%	6%	77	-0.3	209/266/301	92	277	8	7	26%	6%	61	-1.5	181/247/264	83	244	8	4	28%	7%	43	-1.3

Aaron McKeithan

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps