Justin Trimble — OGILVIE

Justin Trimble1B Fayetteville Woodpeckers

Age 24 L/R 6'4" / 215 lbs A HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 98 proj PA

wRC+†40

AVG/OBP/SLG.169 / .235 / .257

PA98

HR1

K%36

BB%7

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	23	22	4	1	0	0	1	13	0	1	0	182	217	227	445	45	444	57	4	204	-45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	209	179	33	8	1	4	21	89	5	11	1	184	286	307	594	123	330	43	10	271	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	23	22	2	0	0	0	1	17	0	1	0	91	130	91	221		384	74	4	102	-45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	209	187	22	5	1	2	14	122	5	11	1	118	199	187	386	70	286	58	7	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	23	22	2	0	0	0	1	17	0	1	0	91	130	91	221		400	74	4	102	-45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ RAW	Asheville Tourists	—	23	22	4	1	0	0	1	13	0	1	0	182	217	227	445	45	444	57	4	204	-45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	209	187	22	5	1	2	14	122	5	11	1	118	199	187	386	70	308	58	7	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	209	179	33	8	1	4	21	89	5	11	1	184	286	307	594	123	330	43	10	271	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	23	22	2	0	0	0	1	17	0	1	0	91	130	91	221		384	74	4	102	-45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	209	188	22	5	1	2	14	122	5	11	1	117	199	186	385	69	286	58	7	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	23	22	2	0	0	0	1	17	0	1	0	91	130	91	221		384	74	4	102	-45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	209	188	22	5	1	2	14	122	5	11	1	117	199	186	385	69	286	58	7	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	259	237	41	8	1	4	17	94	3	5	1	171	236	259	495	88	262	36	7	227	40	-19	+1	+0	-5	+6	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	HOU	30%	137	125	22	4	1	2	9	49	2	3	1	175	241	269	510	94	264	36	7	233	44	-9	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.9
2028	25	MLB CTX	HOU	30%	41	38	7	1	0	1	3	15	0	1	0	177	243	272	515	94	268	37	7	235	44	-3	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	41	38	7	1	0	1	3	15	0	1	0	184	244	289	533	105	273	37	7	235	22	-3	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	602	111	16	0	16	48	238	0	16	0	184	245	291	535	106	273	37	7	235	22	-43	+3	+0	-12	+14	-3.8
Career	—	MLE		—	467	424	62	12	3	5	31	224	8	17	2	146	218	224	442	78	288	48	7	201	22	-16	+1	+0	-4	+5	-1.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	86	17	4	7	43	312	11	24	3	146	217	224	441	78	287	48	7	201	22	-45	+2	+0	-12	+14	-4.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Justin Trimble (OGILVIE)	24	20	35	55	40	169/235/257	87	262	1	2	36%	7%	40	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luke Brown 2023 · A	24	37	37→40	52→50	40	180/246/249	69	273	5	11	34%	7%	42	-2.9	182/248/290	108	274	12	15	36%	7%	53	-2.1	154/224/268	114	224	14	19	37%	7%	36	-1.3
✕Jared Carr 2023 · A	24	40→35	37→40	47→55	39	189/258/258	69	293	5	14	35%	7%	49	-2.4	196/259/277	81	299	6	17	34%	7%	53	-2.1	181/245/260	78	275	6	24	34%	7%	41	-1.9
✕Ryan Scott 2018 · A	25	38→34	41→40	50→45	37	190/250/290	100	279	9	8	34%	5%	53	-2.1	177/234/276	99	267	9	6	35%	6%	43	-2.8	132/188/218	87	196	8	2	36%	6%	11	-3.2
✕Jacob Pearson 2022 · AA	24	38→39	42→40	48→50	43	192/247/294	102	256	10	11	29%	7%	52	-2.2	190/254/288	98	267	8	17	30%	7%	54	-2.0	169/239/258	89	238	7	22	30%	7%	39	-1.3
✕Nick Decker 2024 · A	24	32	45	50	36	162/239/282	119	288	12	12	45%	8%	48	-2.5	180/245/296	116	338	11	13	46%	7%	53	-2.1	130/195/239	109	257	12	16	52%	7%	19	-1.6
✕Tyler Miller 2024 · A	24	37→28	44→45	52→50	35	189/234/299	110	275	12	16	35%	5%	49	-2.4	190/235/288	98	259	9	8	29%	5%	46	-2.6	182/226/277	94	237	8	3	26%	5%	38	-1.8
✕Pat Porter 2017 · A	24	31	43→45	47→45	37	166/233/275	109	251	11	7	37%	6%	43	-2.8	190/251/288	98	289	9	8	35%	6%	53	-2.1	173/233/241	69	263	7	5	35%	6%	33	-1.3
✕Lance Durham 2012 · A	24	37→34	43→45	50→30	39	183/246/291	108	298	10	7	40%	8%	51	-2.2	182/254/303	121	307	11	4	41%	8%	57	-1.8	166/240/280	113	278	11	2	41%	8%	45	-1.7
✕Robby Martin Jr. 2024 · A	24	40	41→40	47→50	36	197/241/294	98	295	8	12	35%	5%	49	-2.4	212/255/305	93	294	9	10	30%	5%	57	-1.8	205/242/273	69	270	10	8	28%	4%	43	-1.2
✕Jacob Wetzel 2024 · A	24	38→34	41→45	50	44	185/262/277	92	271	8	12	33%	8%	55	-2.0	199/275/320	121	288	9	14	31%	9%	69	-0.9	196/279/346	150	275	11	17	30%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Mike Peabody 2023 · A	24	38	44→45	47→50	38	189/265/301	112	291	12	12	37%	7%	62	-1.4	196/263/302	106	291	10	12	35%	6%	61	-1.5	171/236/270	98	250	11	12	34%	5%	41	-1.3
✕Aaron Knapp 2018 · A	23	40→36	37→30	52→55	40	187/254/256	69	298	5	19	36%	8%	46	-2.6	197/276/266	69	301	4	19	32%	9%	57	-1.8	190/279/248	58	286	3	21	31%	11%	52	-1.3
✕Seth Gray 2022 · A	24	36→37	42→40	49→50	39	178/256/274	96	282	10	6	38%	7%	53	-2.1	198/274/304	106	324	12	11	40%	8%	65	-1.2	193/273/299	105	322	13	14	41%	8%	61	-1.1
✕Garrett Spain 2024 · A	23	37→35	43→45	46→50	40	187/252/299	113	282	10	9	36%	7%	56	-1.9	173/235/288	115	249	13	12	34%	7%	47	-2.5	162/228/283	121	225	15	14	34%	7%	41	-2.3
✕Jimmy Pickens 2015 · A	23	36	39→40	48→45	35	178/223/263	85	276	6	7	36%	5%	36	-3.4	194/239/278	84	304	5	9	36%	5%	45	-2.7	190/227/277	87	288	6	8	35%	4%	37	-2.0
✕Jack Stronach 2022 · A	24	39	42→40	48→45	40	193/260/297	104	289	10	8	35%	7%	59	-1.7	194/270/290	96	284	8	6	32%	8%	61	-1.5	155/249/228	73	225	5	0	31%	9%	37	-1.2
✕Reynaldo Rivera 2021 · A	24	38→35	42→45	49→30	36	187/241/294	107	303	10	5	40%	6%	50	-2.3	187/248/348	161	339	21	4	48%	6%	66	-1.1	142/208/317	175	239	27	0	52%	6%	44	-1.7
✕Ryan Aguilar 2019 · A	24	35→40	39→45	51→50	40	173/237/256	83	269	6	6	36%	8%	40	-3.1	183/260/276	93	303	9	9	39%	8%	54	-2.0	181/274/286	106	291	12	12	39%	10%	59	-1.1
✕Jawuan Harris 2021 · A	24	37→27	40	54→55	41	171/260/263	92	306	7	18	42%	9%	51	-2.2	178/258/261	83	372	6	20	48%	9%	50	-2.3	92/196/136	44	239	2	38	56%	10%	-2	-1.7
✕Jeff Gelalich 2015 · A	24	41→44	38→40	51→55	41	198/258/273	75	290	5	13	32%	7%	51	-2.2	197/261/269	72	341	4	16	40%	7%	51	-2.2	187/254/247	60	349	2	19	43%	7%	42	-1.3